1421 Edison St · Dayton, OH
Flood risk 6/10 · Moderate
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.67%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $713 – $1,323
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 104°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 4 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.6/15.0
- Rent growth +3.5/5.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.3/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$44,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Investor special! Opportunity awaits at this 2-bedroom, 1-bath home ready for its next chapter. Priced accordingly for its current condition, this fixer-upper is ideal for a flipper, investor, or DIY renovator looking to restore the property to its former glory. The second floor features 2 bedrooms and 1 full bath. The main level offers a spacious living room, formal dining room, kitchen, and convenient washer/dryer hookups. A full unfinished basement provides additional storage and potential. Property is being sold strictly AS-IS. Seller will make no repairs. Cash or hard money financing only. Agent Owned.
Key facts
- 4,587 sq ft lot
- Built 1914
- Listed 2 days
Property features AI
Finance
- Financial info: Offered for sale
Exterior
- Parking: No garage
- Utilities: Natural gas heating; Central air conditioning
- Home design: Two-story frame house
- Construction: Frame construction
- Exterior features: Residential lot approximately 0.105 acres (35 x 131)
Interior
- Bedrooms: Two bedrooms located on the second floor (10 x 12 and 14 x 12)
- Bathrooms: One full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Forced-air heating (natural gas); Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Full basement
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $44k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $628 ($8k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $44k).
- Cap rate 23.4% vs local median 7.4% in Dayton — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 65/100 on livability (#716 in OH) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A; Watch: schools C-, amenities C-, crime F.
- Dayton City (urban): math 12% / reading 21% proficiency, ranked #641 of 656 in OH (top 98%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 74% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.1%/yr); 135 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 15d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 907 units permitted in Montgomery County in 2024 (416 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 38% of the median local income ($37k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $304 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $1k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Montgomery County population projected at -10% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 4.1% rent growth), your $12k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 2 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1914 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1914 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.63% ✓
- Cap rate
- 23.43%
- Cash-on-cash
- 61.21%
- DSCR
- 3.72
- GRM
- 3.2
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $44,080
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 621 Kammer Ave | 0.25mi | 3/1.0 | 1,207 (+4%) | 2mo | $55,000 | $46 | 80 |
| 200 N Orchard Ave | 0.23mi | 3/1.5 | 1,256 (+8%) | 4mo | $35,000 | $28 | 71 |
| 552 Evergreen Ave | 0.46mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,152 (-1%) | 2mo | $44,000 | $38 | 71 |
| 233 Westwood Ave | 0.44mi | 3/1.0 | 1,236 (+7%) | 1mo | $45,000 | $36 | 68 |
| 236 S Ardmore Ave | 0.65mi | 3/1.0 | 1,192 (+3%) | 0mo | $45,000 | $38 | 65 |
| 105 Anna St | 0.24mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,008 (-13%) | 1mo | $75,000 | $74 | 61 |
| 352 Huron Ave | 0.47mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,240 (+7%) | 2mo | $40,000 | $32 | 60 |
| 1209 Kammer Ave | 0.55mi | 3/1.0 | 1,248 (+8%) | 4mo | $40,000 | $32 | 59 |
| 728 Leland Ave | 0.72mi | 3/1.0 | 1,210 (+4%) | 2mo | $130,900 | $108 | 57 |
| 924 Kammer Ave | 0.37mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,008 (-13%) | 2mo | $30,000 | $30 | 54 |
| 32 S Plaza Ave | 0.72mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,218 (+5%) | 3mo | $34,000 | $28 | 51 |
| 504 N Upland Ave | 0.72mi | 3/1.0 | 1,044 (-10%) | 1mo | $70,000 | $67 | 49 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 4.06% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 61.2%
- Equity multiple
- 3.77×
- Total profit
- $34,149
- Equity at exit
- $6,561
- IRR
- 66.2%
- Equity multiple
- 8.02×
- Total profit
- $86,525
- Equity at exit
- $3,804
Cash invested: $12,320 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 73 Landlord-Friendly
- State Ohio
- 73 Landlord-Friendly · R+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 45417
- Home prices YoY
- -32.3%
- Rents YoY
- 4.1%
- Active inventory
- 135
- Price-to-rent
- 3.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,156 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$231
- Tax from tax record
- −$36 /mo · $428/yr
- Insurance
- −$18
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$243
- Net cashflow
- $628
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $11,000
- Closing costs
- $1,320
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 40 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 216 N Ardmore Ave Dayton, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1500 | $1,100 | $0.73 | 3d | 1 | 0.05mi |
| 437 Lorenz Ave Dayton, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1322 | $1,200 | $0.91 | 23d | 1 | 0.28mi |
| 70 Gramont Ave Dayton, OH | 3.0 | 1.5 | 966 | $1,300 | $1.35 | 3d | 1 | 0.33mi |
| 725 Maplehurst Ave Dayton, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1104 | $895 | $0.81 | 44d | 1 | 0.37mi |
| 40 S Mathison St Dayton, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1300 | $1,200 | $0.92 | 14d | 1 | 0.43mi |
| 42 S Mathison St Dayton, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1300 | $1,220 | $0.94 | 3d | 1 | 0.43mi |
| 137 Westwood Ave Dayton, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 784 | $900 | $1.15 | 3d | 1 | 0.51mi |
| 635 Anna St Dayton, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 960 | $1,300 | $1.35 | 14d | 1 | 0.58mi |
| 617 Westwood Ave Dayton, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1304 | $1,050 | $0.81 | 44d | 1 | 0.58mi |
| 660 Gramont Ave Dayton, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1142 | $1,050 | $0.92 | 3d | 1 | 0.63mi |
| 828 Walton Ave Unit 832 Walton Dayton, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $795 | $1.06 | 23d | 1 | 0.72mi |
| 1045 Philadelphia Dr Dayton, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1290 | $1,150 | $0.89 | 3d | 1 | 0.77mi |
| 1045 Shakespeare Ave Dayton, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1435 | $1,275 | $0.89 | 44d | 1 | 0.79mi |
| 920 Huron Ave Dayton, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 950 | $995 | $1.05 | 3d | 1 | 0.81mi |
| 652 Dennison Ave Dayton, OH | 2.0 | 2.0 | 988 | $1,095 | $1.11 | 21d | 1 | 0.84mi |
| 863 N Upland Ave Dayton, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1042 | $1,200 | $1.15 | 44d | 1 | 0.88mi |
| 673 Randolph St Dayton, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 792 | $950 | $1.20 | 44d | 1 | 0.88mi |
| 1119 Superior Ave Unit 1119 Dayton, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1435 | $1,350 | $0.94 | 3d | 1 | 0.88mi |
| 47 Leroy St Dayton, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1456 | $1,200 | $0.82 | 44d | 1 | 0.92mi |
| 623 Clifton Dr Apt B Dayton, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1200 | $1,174 | $0.98 | 3d | 1 | 0.94mi |
| 623 Clifton Dr Apt A Dayton, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1200 | $1,200 | $1.00 | 3d | 1 | 0.94mi |
| 2240 Lakeview Ave Dayton, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1056 | $1,025 | $0.97 | 44d | 1 | 0.99mi |
| 1816 N James H McGee Blvd Apt A Dayton, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 950 | $1,200 | $1.26 | 3d | 1 | 1.01mi |
| 1816 N James H McGee Blvd Unit C Dayton, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 950 | $1,150 | $1.21 | 3d | 1 | 1.01mi |
| 1816 N James H McGee Blvd Apt B Dayton, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 950 | $1,150 | $1.21 | 44d | 1 | 1.01mi |
| 3222 Athens Ave Unit C Dayton, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $700 | $1.00 | 44d | 1 | 1.02mi |
| 3925 Hoover Ave Dayton, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 936 | $1,100 | $1.18 | 3d | 1 | 1.02mi |
| 3220 Princeton Dr Dayton, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,000 | $1.11 | 44d | 1 | 1.16mi |
| 1515 W Stewart St Dayton, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 925 | $1,000 | $1.08 | 44d | 1 | 1.23mi |
| 4109 Midway Ave Dayton, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 971 | $1,000 | $1.03 | 3d | 1 | 1.25mi |
| 1378 Cory Dr Dayton, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1300 | $975 | $0.75 | 44d | 1 | 1.26mi |
| 500 Bowie Dr Unit 122 Dayton, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 850 | $910 | $1.07 | 44d | 1 | 1.30mi |
| 342 Lookout Ave Dayton, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $775 | $0.97 | 44d | 1 | 1.33mi |
| 342 Lookout Ave Dayton, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $750 | $0.94 | 3d | 1 | 1.33mi |
| 3007 Cornell Dr Dayton, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 827 | $1,000 | $1.21 | 3d | 1 | 1.38mi |
| 1272 Clement Ave Dayton, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1025 | $1,350 | $1.32 | 3d | 1 | 1.38mi |
| 3207 Cornell Dr Dayton, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1168 | $1,000 | $0.86 | 3d | 1 | 1.41mi |
| 119 Edgewood Ave Dayton, OH | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 817 | $999 | $1.22 | 23d | 2 | 1.42mi |
| 848 Riverview Ter Apt 607 Dayton, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1400 | $1,300 | $0.93 | 23d | 1 | 1.44mi |
| 848 Riverview Ter Apt 205 Dayton, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $1,100 | $1.00 | 14d | 1 | 1.44mi |
Listing history 3 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $44,000 Active 2 DOM
-
2026-06-16remarks 614-char remark
-
2026-06-16$44,000 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast OH · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $428 · $36/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $557 · $46/mo
- Expected delta
- +$129/yr (+$11/mo · 30.3%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 6/10 Major FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 67% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥104°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 0% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $13,871
- − Mortgage interest
- −$2,465
- − Property taxes
- −$428
- − Insurance
- −$220
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,110
- − Management
- −$1,110
- − Depreciation
- −$1,280
- Taxable income
- $7,259
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,742
- After-tax cash flow
- $5,799/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Dayton City
- NCES district ID
- 3904384
- Math proficiency
- 12% ▼ -12.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 21% ▼ -11.00%
- Median HH income
- $28,688
- Composite
- 12.94/100
- National rank
- #9579
- State rank
- #641 of 656 in OH
Livability — Dayton
- Score
- 65/100
- State rank
- #716
- US rank
- #12895
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Dayton, OH
- County
- Montgomery County · 459,541 people
- City population
- 164,387
- Metro
- Dayton-Kettering, OH
- Population (ZIP)
- 28,186
- Household income
- $36,945
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1822.0
Population outlook (Montgomery County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 523,241 people
- By 2030
- 514,948 · -1.6%
- By 2040
- 493,378 · -5.7%
- By 2050
- 469,639 · -10.2%
- By 2075
- 418,360 · -20.0%
- By 2100
- 353,315 · -32.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Black (71%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 71% White 20% Two or more races 8% Hispanic / Latino 3%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 0%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 96% English-only · Spanish 2% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Montgomery
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 49.8% · R 49.3%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -5.8pp toward R · 2008: 6.2pp · 2024: 0.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+0.5 2020: D+2.2 2016: R+1.2 2012: D+3.1 2008: D+6.2
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -92.43%
- Current HPI
- 193.4175
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 4.06%
- Metro
- Dayton-Kettering, OH
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.98%
- F500 in state
- 48
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OH)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 3 | $145B |
|
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| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $49B |
|
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| Financial Services | 3 | $24B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 2 | $93B |
|
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| Aerospace / Defense | 2 | $47B |
|
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| Utilities | 2 | $33B |
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Price history
1 event — show timeline
- 2026-06-16 Listed $44,000 Dayton MLS
Property tax history
-7.4%/yrLatest (2025): $428 · -0.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…