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1104 Charnwood St 🏷️ Likely Rental
D Composite 42.57
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • Cash flow +9.4/30.0
  • Livability +3.7/5.0
  • Rent growth +3.6/5.0
  • 1% rule +3.1/10.0
  • Schools +2.7/10.0
  • DSCR +2.6/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$165,000

1104 Charnwood St · Houston, TX 77022
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,152 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 182 Days on market
Built 1940 7,901 sqft lot $143/sqft · 35% below area Est $255k · 35% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

CASH FLOWING PROPERTY , TENANT OCCUPIED LOCATION THAT IS LOCATED ABOUT 10 MINUTES FROM DOWNTOWN HOUSTON. KEEP AS A LONG TERM HOLD, OR BUILD YOUR DREAM HOME LATER. AREA IS BOOMING, WITH MAJOR FREEWAYS CLOSE, SHOPPING, AND RESTAURANTS.

Key facts

  • Shopping
  • Major freeways close
  • Restaurants

Tags

MAJOR FREEWAYS CLOSESHOPPINGRESTAURANTS

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…
🏷️ Possibly a rental listed for sale. The $165,000 price doesn't fit this home's estimated sale value (~$254,629) and the remarks read like a rental — treat the cards below with caution.

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $165k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-119 ($-1k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $144k (12.7% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $134k (19.0% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $134k (19.0% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 5.4% vs local median 3.2% in Houston — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 74/100 on livability (#184 in TX, #4,771 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools D, crime F.
  • Houston ISD (urban): math 27% / reading 35% proficiency, ranked #593 of 826 in TX (top 72%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 71% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.5%/yr); 285 active listings in the ZIP; 39 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 22d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 29,883 units permitted in Harris County in 2024 (8,621 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 30% of the median local income ($53k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Harris County population projected at +47% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 182 days — a 12% lower offer ($145k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $27k; list at $165k implies a 505% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1940 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→24/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $133,623 (19.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 182 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 19% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. Built in 1940 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  7. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  8. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  9. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  10. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  11. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.81%
Cap rate
5.43%
Cash-on-cash
-3.08%
DSCR
0.86
GRM
10.3

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$254,629
List price
$165,000
Delta
-35.20%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 10 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
7714 Helmers St 0.43mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,104 (-4%) 2mo $249,900 $226 66
604 Yorkshire St 0.68mi 2/1.0 1,170 (+2%) 2mo $175,000 $150 64
620 Apache St 0.33mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,036 (-10%) 2mo $195,000 $188 61
8106 Melrose St 0.37mi 2/1.0 1,104 (-4%) 20mo $195,000 $177 59
7905 Farnsworth St 0.63mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,119 (-3%) 14mo $179,999 $161 50
1820 Eubanks St 0.63mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,150 (-0%) 21mo $220,000 $191 44
7703 Appleton St 0.57mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,037 (-10%) 11mo $185,000 $178 43
8111 Roswell St 0.54mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,195 (+4%) 22mo $310,000 $259 41
8715 Bauman Rd #6 0.73mi 3/3.0 (+1) 1,269 (+10%) 2mo $300,000 $236 34
8802 Burden St 0.58mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,287 (+12%) 18mo $254,500 $198 34

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 4.47% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-19.7%
Equity multiple
0.30×
Total profit
$-32,253
Equity at exit
$24,602
10-year hold
IRR
-9.6%
Equity multiple
0.37×
Total profit
$-29,177
Equity at exit
$14,266

Cash invested: $46,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Texas
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; statewide preemption; one of the fastest eviction climates; Travis County (Austin) slightly slower.

ZIP-level market 77022

Home prices YoY
-33.2%
Rents YoY
4.5%
Active inventory
285
Price-to-rent
10.3×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,336 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$865
Tax from tax record
$240 /mo · $2,884/yr
Insurance
$69
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$281
Net cashflow
$-119

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,487
Max offer price $144,025
Occupancy floor

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $-25 -5% $-72 +0% $-119 +5% $-165 +10% $-212
Rent -10% $-224 -5% $-172 +0% $-119 +5% $-66 +10% $-13
Rate -1.0pp $-36 -0.5pp $-77 base $-119 +0.5pp $-161 +1.0pp $-205

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$41,250
Closing costs
$4,950
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 39 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
8855 McGallion Rd Houston, TX 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 751 $1,303 $1.73 44d 6 0.55mi
8855 McGallion Rd Houston, TX 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 751 $1,303 $1.73 16d 16 0.55mi
534 Firnat St Unit NA Houston, TX 3.0 2.0 1397 $1,900 $1.36 25d 1 0.56mi
534 Firnat St Houston, TX 3.0 2.0 1397 $1,900 $1.36 44d 1 0.56mi
8210 Bauman Rd Houston, TX 2.0 2.0 852 $1,190 $1.40 44d 1 0.60mi
965 Tidwell Rd Houston, TX 3.0 2.0 1145 $1,309 $1.14 21d 1 0.74mi
965 Tidwell Rd Houston, TX 2.0 2.0 933 $1,109 $1.19 25d 1 0.74mi
819 Tidwell Rd #819 Houston, TX 2.0 1.5 1100 $1,300 $1.18 44d 1 0.79mi
139 Van Molan St Houston, TX 1.0 1.0 1056 $925 $0.88 44d 1 0.89mi
815 Cravens St Apt F2 Houston, TX 2.0 1.5 1100 $1,300 $1.18 19d 1 0.90mi
815 Cravens St Apt C1 Houston, TX 2.0 1.5 1100 $1,300 $1.18 6d 1 0.90mi
8185 Fulton St Houston, TX 2.0 2.0 924 $1,395 $1.51 25d 1 0.90mi
6918 Irvington Blvd Houston, TX 2.0 2.0 1100 $1,550 $1.41 44d 1 0.93mi
9406 Bauman Rd Houston, TX 2.0 1.0 900 $1,076 $1.20 44d 1 0.95mi
9406 Bauman Rd Houston, TX 2.0 1.0 900 $1,076 $1.20 20d 1 0.95mi
2006 Tidwell Rd Houston, TX 2.0 2.0 1035 $1,075 $1.04 44d 1 0.96mi
8217 Fulton St Houston, TX 2.0–3.0 1.0 785 $930 $1.18 3d 6 0.97mi
9400 Bauman Rd Houston, TX 1.0–2.0 1.0 800 $1,207 $1.51 23d 6 0.97mi
8520 Madie Dr Unit 2174 Houston, TX 2.0 2.0 924 $1,344 $1.45 12d 1 0.98mi
8520 Madie Dr Unit 2112 Houston, TX 2.0 2.0 924 $1,304 $1.41 0d 1 0.98mi
8520 Madie Dr Unit 424 Houston, TX 2.0 2.0 924 $1,320 $1.43 6d 1 0.98mi
8520 Madie Dr Unit 2047 Houston, TX 2.0 2.0 924 $1,345 $1.46 0d 1 0.98mi
8520 Madie Dr Unit 8577 Houston, TX 2.0 2.0 924 $1,291 $1.40 44d 1 0.98mi
8520 Madie Dr Unit 422 Houston, TX 2.0 2.0 924 $1,320 $1.43 8d 1 0.98mi
8520 Madie Dr Houston, TX 2.0 2.0 924 $1,395 $1.51 44d 1 0.99mi
8520 Madie Dr Houston, TX 2.0 2.0 924 $1,395 $1.51 21d 1 0.99mi
74 Lyerly St Houston, TX 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 775 $1,211 $1.56 21d 5 1.13mi
6869 Arto St Houston, TX 1.0–2.0 1.0 900 $950 $1.06 18d 6 1.19mi
7506 Jensen Dr Houston, TX 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 801 $1,285 $1.60 0d 18 1.28mi
7301 Jensen Dr Unit 50 Houston, TX 2.0 1.0 880 $999 $1.14 8d 1 1.30mi
7301 Jensen Dr Apt 12 Houston, TX 2.0 1.0 880 $930 $1.06 8d 1 1.30mi
58 Bennington St Houston, TX 1.0 1.0 725 $850 $1.17 19d 1 1.31mi
58 Bennington St Houston, TX 2.0 1.0 950 $950 $1.00 25d 1 1.31mi
58 Bennington St Houston, TX 1.0 1.0 725 $850 $1.17 44d 1 1.31mi
2530 Aldon St Unit 2530B Houston, TX 2.0 1.5 1100 $1,300 $1.18 44d 1 1.32mi
207 Lindale St Unit 1316403P Houston, TX 2.0 1.0 1119 $3,187 $2.85 0d 1 1.35mi
7320 Jensen Dr Houston, TX 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 935 $1,010 $1.08 3d 5 1.37mi
8326 Curry Rd Unit 1227052P Houston, TX 3.0 2.0 1270 $3,317 $2.61 0d 1 1.41mi
5105 Airline Dr Houston, TX 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 862 $1,230 $1.43 21d 19 1.48mi

Listing history 19 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $165,000 Active 182 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $165,000 Active 179 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $165,000 Active 178 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $165,000 Active 177 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $165,000 Active 176 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $165,000 Active 174 DOM
  7. 2026-06-10
    days on market $165,000 Active 170 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $165,000 Active 169 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $165,000 Active 168 DOM
  10. 2026-06-04
    days on market $165,000 Active 165 DOM
  11. 2026-06-01
    days on market $165,000 Active 162 DOM
  12. 2026-05-31
    days on market $165,000 Active 161 DOM
  13. 2025-12-21
    historical
    Show marketing remark (233 chars)

    CASH FLOWING PROPERTY , TENANT OCCUPIED LOCATION THAT IS LOCATED ABOUT 10 MINUTES FROM DOWNTOWN HOUSTON. KEEP AS A LONG TERM HOLD, OR BUILD YOUR DREAM HOME LATER. AREA IS BOOMING, WITH MAJOR FREEWAYS CLOSE, SHOPPING, AND RESTAURANTS.

  14. 2025-12-21
    listed $165,000 Active 233-char remark
    Show marketing remark (233 chars)

    CASH FLOWING PROPERTY , TENANT OCCUPIED LOCATION THAT IS LOCATED ABOUT 10 MINUTES FROM DOWNTOWN HOUSTON. KEEP AS A LONG TERM HOLD, OR BUILD YOUR DREAM HOME LATER. AREA IS BOOMING, WITH MAJOR FREEWAYS CLOSE, SHOPPING, AND RESTAURANTS.

  15. 2025-08-22
    listed $299,000 Active
  16. 2025-08-22
    historical
  17. 2025-04-09
    listed $200,000 Active
  18. 1997-04-10
    soldstatus $27,265
  19. 1997-02-18
    soldstatus

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$2,884 · $240/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$3,020 · $252/mo
Expected delta
+$136/yr (+$11/mo · 4.7%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 2/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 3% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 24 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$16,035
− Mortgage interest
−$9,243
− Property taxes
−$2,884
− Insurance
−$825
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,283
− Management
−$1,283
− Depreciation
−$4,800
Taxable loss
−$4,282
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$1,028
After-tax cash flow
$-397/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Houston ISD
NCES district ID
4823640
Math proficiency
27% ▼ -18.00%
Reading proficiency
35% ▼ -6.00%
Median HH income
$46,054
Composite
26.63/100
National rank
#7173
State rank
#593 of 826 in TX

Livability — Houston

Score
74/100
State rank
#184
US rank
#4771

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment C Housing A+ Health & safety A- User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Houston, TX
County
Harris County · 4,702,590 people
City population
3,226,434
Metro
Houston-The Woodlands-Sugar Land, TX
Population (ZIP)
25,805
Household income
$52,739
Rent vs Own
49.6% rent · 50.4% own
Severe rent burden
1354.0

Population outlook (Harris County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
5,571,493 people
By 2030
6,089,821 · +9.3%
By 2040
7,142,806 · +28.2%
By 2050
8,185,864 · +46.9%
By 2075
10,574,329 · +89.8%
By 2100
12,109,958 · +117.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Hispanic (72%)
Race & ethnicity
Hispanic / Latino 72% Two or more races 24% Black 19% White 7% Native American 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 54%
Common ancestry
Romanian 1% Portuguese 1%
Foreign-born
30% · Canada, Jamaica
Languages at home
40% English-only · Spanish 59%

Political lean MEDSL · Harris

2024 margin
Lean D (+5.5) · D 52.0% · R 46.4% · Other 1.6%
2008→2024 swing
+3.9pp toward D · 2008: 1.6pp · 2024: 5.5pp
All cycles
2024: D+5.5 2020: D+13.3 2016: D+12.4 2012: D+0.1 2008: D+1.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -151.13%
Current HPI
304.3745
Rent YoY
▲ 4.47%
Metro
Houston-The Woodlands-Sugar Land, TX
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.95%
F500 in state
110

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+505.2% since first listed
7 events — show timeline
  • 2025-12-21 Listed $165,000 HARMLS
  • 2025-12-21 Listing Removed HARMLS
  • 2025-08-22 Listing Removed HARMLS
  • 2025-08-22 Listed $299,000 HARMLS
  • 2025-04-09 Listed $200,000 HARMLS
  • 1997-04-10 Sold (Public Records) $27,265 Public Records
  • 1997-02-18 Sold (Public Records) Public Records

Property tax history

+8.9%/yr

Latest (2025): $2,884 · +3.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…