850 11th Ave S · Clinton, IA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $902 – $1,676
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 103°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Schools +4.5/10.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$49,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Key facts
- 3,500 sq ft lot
- 2 garage spots
- Built 1900
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $50k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $700 ($8k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $50k).
- Recommended offer: $44k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 23.1% vs local median 6.7% in Clinton — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 75/100 on livability (#222 in IA, #4,192 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities C-, crime D, employment D.
- Clinton Community School District (town): math 52% / reading 56% proficiency, ranked #273 of 289 in IA (top 94%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Market conditions: 246 active listings in the ZIP; 5 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 100% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 116 units permitted in Clinton County in 2024 (50 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $345 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $1k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Clinton County population projected at -19% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $14k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 121 days — a 12% lower offer ($44k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 6 sale attempts since 24y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $15k; list at $50k implies a 233% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: property tax is 3.1% of price; built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 121 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.82% ✓
- Cap rate
- 23.12%
- Cash-on-cash
- 60.11%
- DSCR
- 3.67
- GRM
- 3.0
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $82,580
- List price
- $49,900
- Delta
- -39.57%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 823 14th Ave S | 0.25mi | 3/2.0 | 1,456 (+4%) | 3mo | $100,000 | $69 | 79 |
| 765 9th Ave S | 0.19mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,353 (-3%) | 6mo | $102,500 | $76 | 72 |
| 1043 14th Ave S | 0.34mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,359 (-3%) | 5mo | $130,000 | $96 | 70 |
| 756 13th Ave S | 0.24mi | 3/1.5 | 1,219 (-13%) | 4mo | $50,500 | $41 | 62 |
| 1125 8th Ave S | 0.37mi | 4/1.5 (+1) | 1,527 (+9%) | 1mo | $20,000 | $13 | 60 |
| 935 10th Ave S | 0.17mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,233 (-12%) | 10mo | $99,900 | $81 | 59 |
| 1313 Harrison Dr | 0.65mi | 4/1.5 (+1) | 1,392 (-0%) | 7mo | $94,000 | $68 | 56 |
| 1324 Caroline Ave | 0.62mi | 3/1.0 | 1,298 (-7%) | 2mo | $185,000 | $143 | 53 |
| 1214 S 12th St | 0.42mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,592 (+14%) | 6mo | $89,000 | $56 | 48 |
| 635 8th Ave S | 0.37mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,210 (-14%) | 6mo | $36,525 | $30 | 46 |
| 1316 Florence Ave | 0.69mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,276 (-9%) | 4mo | $154,255 | $121 | 41 |
| 545 3rd Ave S | 0.75mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,245 (-11%) | 2mo | $74,900 | $60 | 36 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 58.9%
- Equity multiple
- 3.62×
- Total profit
- $36,554
- Equity at exit
- $7,440
- IRR
- 63.7%
- Equity multiple
- 7.40×
- Total profit
- $89,482
- Equity at exit
- $4,314
Cash invested: $13,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Iowa
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 52732
- Home prices YoY
- -34.9%
- Active inventory
- 246
- Price-to-rent
- 3.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,405 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$262
- Tax from tax record
- −$128 /mo · $1,532/yr
- Insurance
- −$21
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$295
- Net cashflow
- $700
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $12,475
- Closing costs
- $1,497
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 5 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1004 S 4th St Clinton, IA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1467 | $1,700 | $1.16 | 44d | 1 | 0.65mi |
| 1006 S 4th St Clinton, IA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1467 | $1,700 | $1.16 | 44d | 1 | 0.65mi |
| 1002 S 4th St Clinton, IA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1467 | $1,750 | $1.19 | 44d | 1 | 0.65mi |
| 1008 S 4th St Clinton, IA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1467 | $1,750 | $1.19 | 44d | 1 | 0.66mi |
| 516 2nd Ave S Unit 2 Clinton, IA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1082 | $750 | $0.69 | 44d | 1 | 0.88mi |
Listing history 30 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $49,900 Active 121 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $49,900 Active 120 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $49,900 Active 119 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $49,900 Active 118 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $49,900 Active 117 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $49,900 Active 115 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $49,900 Active 114 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $49,900 Active 111 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $49,900 Active 110 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $49,900 Active 109 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $49,900 Active 108 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $49,900 Active 105 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $49,900 Active 104 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $49,900 Active 103 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $49,900 Active 102 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $49,900 Active 101 DOM
-
2026-02-17$49,900 Active
-
2021-08-06historical
-
2021-08-06historical
-
2020-06-01historical
-
2017-08-25soldstatus $15,000
-
2017-08-25soldstatus $15,000
-
2017-04-23$19,500
-
2017-04-23$19,500
-
2007-04-02soldstatus $67,000
-
2007-04-02soldstatus $67,000
-
2006-10-23$69,900
-
2006-10-23$69,900
-
2002-09-04soldstatus $55,000
-
2002-05-14$57,900
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast IA · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,532 · $128/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,532 · $128/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥103°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $16,862
- − Mortgage interest
- −$2,795
- − Property taxes
- −$1,532
- − Insurance
- −$250
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,349
- − Management
- −$1,349
- − Depreciation
- −$1,452
- Taxable income
- $8,136
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,953
- After-tax cash flow
- $6,447/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Clinton Community School District
- NCES district ID
- 1907710
- Math proficiency
- 52% ▼ -13.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 56% ▼ -8.00%
- Median HH income
- $40,900
- Composite
- 45.22/100
- National rank
- #2666
- State rank
- #273 of 289 in IA
Livability — Clinton
- Score
- 75/100
- State rank
- #222
- US rank
- #4192
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Clinton, IA
- County
- Clinton County · 25,880 people
- City population
- 25,880
- Metro
- Clinton, IA
- Population (ZIP)
- 25,880
- Household income
- $61,105
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 889.0
Population outlook (Clinton County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 44,817 people
- By 2030
- 43,090 · -3.9%
- By 2040
- 39,513 · -11.8%
- By 2050
- 36,209 · -19.2%
- By 2075
- 31,888 · -28.8%
- By 2100
- 30,382 · -32.2%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (86%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 86% Two or more races 7% Hispanic / Latino 5% Black 4%
- Common ancestry
- Iranian 4% Portuguese 2% Lithuanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 97% English-only · Spanish 2% Arabic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Clinton
- 2024 margin
- R (+18.9) · D 39.8% · R 58.6% · Other 1.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -41.9pp toward R · 2008: 23.0pp · 2024: -18.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+18.9 2020: R+10.3 2016: R+5.1 2012: D+22.9 2008: D+23.0
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -83.23%
- Current HPI
- 155.3426
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Clinton, IA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.48%
- F500 in state
- 4
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 1 | $16B |
|
||
| Retail / Convenience | 1 | $15B |
|
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Price history
-13.8% since first listed14 events — show timeline
- 2026-02-17 Listed $49,900 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2021-08-06 Listing Removed — RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2021-08-06 Listing Removed — RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2020-06-01 Listing Removed — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2017-08-25 Sold (MLS) $15,000 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2017-08-25 Sold (MLS) $15,000 RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2017-04-23 Listed $19,500 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2017-04-23 Listed $19,500 RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2007-04-02 Sold (MLS) $67,000 RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2007-04-02 Sold (MLS) $67,000 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2006-10-23 Listed $69,900 RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2006-10-23 Listed $69,900 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2002-09-04 Sold (MLS) $55,000 RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2002-05-14 Listed $57,900 RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
Property tax history
-0.1%/yrLatest (2025): $1,532 · +1.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…