2016 Harris St · Kennett, MO
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,054 – $1,958
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 110°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 20 days/yr
Wind risk 4/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 8.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +27.4/30.0
- DSCR +9.6/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- 1% rule +6.4/10.0
- Livability +3.0/5.0
- Schools +2.6/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$89,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Check out this 3 bedroom 1 bath house located on a large corner lot. This charming house features over 1100 square feet of living space and a large fenced in backyard. There is a large shop with electricity that would be a perfect spot for your hobbies or even a mancave or she-shed! This cute home has fresh paint throughout and a new hot water heater. Call today to schedule your in person tour of this one before it is gone!
Key facts
- 0.23 acre lot
- 2 garage spots
- Built 1940
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Not in a flood plain; Living area approximately 1,172; Lot about 10,200 square feet; Directions: From HWY 25 turn left on Harris Street; house is on your left
- HOA & community: No association fees
Exterior
- Parking: Detached carport; Detached 2-car garage
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Single-family residence; Residential property; 1 story; 76–100 years old
- Construction: Vinyl siding; Composition roof
- Exterior features: Corner lot; Wood fencing
Interior
- Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Electric cooling (central)
- Interior features: Ranch floor plan; Slab basement
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath other listed at $89k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $261 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $89k).
- Recommended offer: $78k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 9.8% vs local median 6.5% in Kennett — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 59/100 on livability (#561 in MO) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A; Watch: health & safety C-, schools D, crime F.
- Kennett 39 (town): math 28% / reading 36% proficiency, ranked #262 of 324 in MO (top 81%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 67% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 58 active listings in the ZIP; 30 units permitted in Dunklin County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $615 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Dunklin County population projected at -22% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $25k cash investment doubles in ~10 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 165 days — a 12% lower offer ($78k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 9 sale attempts since 3y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $20k (18%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1940 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 165 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1940 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.14% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.81%
- Cash-on-cash
- 12.58%
- DSCR
- 1.56
- GRM
- 7.3
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 2.3%
- Equity multiple
- 1.09×
- Total profit
- $2,186
- Equity at exit
- $13,270
- IRR
- 11.8%
- Equity multiple
- 1.93×
- Total profit
- $23,207
- Equity at exit
- $7,695
Cash invested: $24,920 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Missouri
- 81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 63857
- Home prices YoY
- -12.7%
- Active inventory
- 58
- Price-to-rent
- 7.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,017 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$467
- Tax from tax record
- −$38 /mo · $462/yr
- Insurance
- −$37
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$214
- Net cashflow
- $261
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $22,250
- Closing costs
- $2,670
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 38 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $89,000 Active 165 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $89,000 Active 164 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $89,000 Active 163 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $89,000 Active 162 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $89,000 Active 160 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $89,000 Active 159 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $89,000 Active 156 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $89,000 Active 155 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $89,000 Active 154 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $89,000 Active 152 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $89,000 Active 150 DOM
-
2026-06-02pricedays on market $89,000 Active 149 DOM
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2026-06-01days on market $99,000 Active 148 DOM
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2026-05-31days on market $99,000 Active 147 DOM
-
2026-05-22price $99,000
-
2026-05-16status Active
-
2026-02-08historical Active Under Contract
-
2025-12-31status Pending
-
2025-12-14historical Active Under Contract
-
2025-11-26$109,000 Active
-
2025-07-24price $100,000
-
2025-07-07$105,000 Active
-
2024-04-01soldstatus Closed 427-char remark
Show marketing remark (427 chars)
Check out this 3 bedroom 1 bath house located on a large corner lot. This charming house features over 1100 square feet of living space and a large fenced in backyard. There is a large shop with electricity that would be a perfect spot for your hobbies or even a mancave or she-shed! This cute home has fresh paint throughout and a new hot water heater. Call today to schedule your in person tour of this one before it is gone!
-
2024-02-29status Pending 427-char remark
Show marketing remark (427 chars)
Check out this 3 bedroom 1 bath house located on a large corner lot. This charming house features over 1100 square feet of living space and a large fenced in backyard. There is a large shop with electricity that would be a perfect spot for your hobbies or even a mancave or she-shed! This cute home has fresh paint throughout and a new hot water heater. Call today to schedule your in person tour of this one before it is gone!
-
2024-02-15price $85,000 427-char remark
Show marketing remark (427 chars)
Check out this 3 bedroom 1 bath house located on a large corner lot. This charming house features over 1100 square feet of living space and a large fenced in backyard. There is a large shop with electricity that would be a perfect spot for your hobbies or even a mancave or she-shed! This cute home has fresh paint throughout and a new hot water heater. Call today to schedule your in person tour of this one before it is gone!
-
2024-02-14$80,000 Active 427-char remark
Show marketing remark (427 chars)
Check out this 3 bedroom 1 bath house located on a large corner lot. This charming house features over 1100 square feet of living space and a large fenced in backyard. There is a large shop with electricity that would be a perfect spot for your hobbies or even a mancave or she-shed! This cute home has fresh paint throughout and a new hot water heater. Call today to schedule your in person tour of this one before it is gone!
-
2023-12-20status Pending
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2023-12-20$80,000 Active
-
2023-12-20soldstatus Closed
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2023-12-20soldstatus Sold
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2023-12-20soldstatus Closed
-
2023-12-18status Under Contract
-
2023-12-14status Active
-
2023-12-14status Back on Market
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2023-12-07status Under Contract
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2023-12-04$82,000 Active
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2023-12-03$82,000 New Listing
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1971-02-22soldstatus
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MO · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $462 · $38/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $863 · $72/mo
- Expected delta
- +$402/yr (+$33/mo · 87.1%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥110°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 4/10 Moderate 8% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $12,205
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,985
- − Property taxes
- −$462
- − Insurance
- −$445
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$976
- − Management
- −$976
- − Depreciation
- −$2,589
- Taxable income
- $1,771
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$425
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,710/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Kennett 39
- NCES district ID
- 2916500
- Math proficiency
- 28% ▼ -16.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 36% ▼ -5.00%
- Median HH income
- $32,065
- Composite
- 26.12/100
- National rank
- #7284
- State rank
- #262 of 324 in MO
Livability — Kennett
- Score
- 59/100
- State rank
- #561
- US rank
- #20397
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Kennett, MO
- Population (ZIP)
- 11,964
Population outlook (Dunklin County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 28,599 people
- By 2030
- 27,230 · -4.8%
- By 2040
- 24,696 · -13.6%
- By 2050
- 22,402 · -21.7%
- By 2075
- 17,776 · -37.8%
- By 2100
- 13,890 · -51.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (75%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 75% Black 12% Two or more races 10% Hispanic / Latino 4%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 3% Iranian 2% Serbian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 94% English-only · Spanish 5%
Political lean MEDSL · Dunklin
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+61.8) · D 18.8% · R 80.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -40.5pp toward R · 2008: -21.3pp · 2024: -61.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+61.8 2020: R+57.0 2016: R+53.6 2012: R+30.2 2008: R+21.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -18.51%
- Current HPI
- 127.6077
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.84%
- F500 in state
- 20
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MO)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 1 | $163B |
|
||
| Insurance | 1 | $21B |
|
||
| Industrial Technology | 1 | $17B |
|
||
| Retail | 1 | $16B |
|
||
| Industrial Distribution | 1 | $10B |
|
||
| Utilities | 1 | $9B |
|
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Price history
+20.7% since first listed24 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-22 Price Changed $99,000 Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-05-16 Relisted — Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-02-08 Contingent — Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-12-31 Pending — Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-12-14 Contingent — Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-11-26 Listed $109,000 Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-07-24 Price Changed $100,000 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-07-07 Listed $105,000 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2024-04-01 Sold (MLS) — MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2024-02-29 Pending — MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2024-02-15 Price Changed $85,000 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2024-02-14 Listed $80,000 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2023-12-20 Pending — MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2023-12-20 Listed $80,000 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2023-12-20 Sold (MLS) — NEABOR MLS
- 2023-12-20 Sold (MLS) — CARMLS
- 2023-12-20 Sold (MLS) — MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2023-12-18 Pending — CARMLS
- 2023-12-14 Relisted — NEABOR MLS
- 2023-12-14 Relisted — CARMLS
- 2023-12-07 Pending — CARMLS
- 2023-12-04 Listed $82,000 NEABOR MLS
- 2023-12-03 Listed $82,000 CARMLS
- 1971-02-22 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
Property tax history
+1.2%/yrLatest (2025): $462 · +0.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…