1960 Highway 139 · Swartz, LA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,269 – $2,357
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 111°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 20 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 72.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +13.9/30.0
- ARV discount +10.1/15.0
- DSCR +4.2/10.0
- Schools +3.2/10.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- 1% rule +3.0/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$195,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Take a look at this RARE FIND in Swartz! This well built 3/1.5 almost 2,000 HSF home sits on approximately 1.72 ACRES & comes with an XL 30x60 shop and the home has a spacious living area with a cozy fireplace, a NICE heated/ cooled sunroom and lots of updates. This very spacious, 1 owner home has been very well taken care of and needs a new owner. Come take a look and MAKE IT YOUR HOME TODAY!
Key facts
- 1.72 acres
- Xl 30x60 shop
- 1.72 acre lot
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $195k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $22 ($260/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $156k (19.8% below list).
- Recommended offer: $156k (19.8% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 64/100 on livability (#184 in LA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime C-, health & safety D, amenities F.
- Ouachita Parish (suburban): math 31% / reading 45% proficiency, ranked #26 of 98 in LA (top 26%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Swartz Lower Elementary School (392 students, 67% FRL); Ouachita Junior High School (math 12% / reading 25%, grade F, #169 of 218 statewide, top 78%, 422 students, 80% FRL); Ouachita Parish High School (math 23% / reading 31%, grade F, #136 of 265 statewide, top 55%, 1,191 students, 66% FRL) — zoned schools average 71% FRL vs 52% district-wide (20 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Zoned-school proficiency averages 23% at this address vs 38% district-wide (-15 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Ouachita Parish average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
- Market conditions: 440 active listings in the ZIP; 345 units permitted in Ouachita Parish in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 36% of the median local income ($52k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 181 days — a 12% lower offer ($172k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $20k (9%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 72% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 181 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 20% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1968 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.80% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.43%
- Cash-on-cash
- 0.48%
- DSCR
- 1.02
- GRM
- 10.4
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $207,102
- List price
- $195,000
- Delta
- -5.84%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 6 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 209 Hudson Dr | 0.20mi | 3/1.0 | 1,578 (-2%) | 2mo | $180,000 | $114 | 81 |
| 155 Hudson Dr | 0.26mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,596 (-1%) | 24mo | $182,500 | $114 | 61 |
| 119 Wheeler Rd | 0.64mi | 3/2.0 | 1,637 (+1%) | 10mo | $199,000 | $122 | 60 |
| 133 Walker Rd | 0.29mi | 3/2.0 | 1,800 (+12%) | 10mo | $230,000 | $128 | 59 |
| 5 Quail Ridge Dr | 0.43mi | 3/2.0 | 1,663 (+3%) | 23mo | $225,000 | $135 | 56 |
| 450 Walker Rd | 0.69mi | 3/2.0 | 1,485 (-8%) | 3mo | $162,900 | $110 | 52 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -15.6%
- Equity multiple
- 0.45×
- Total profit
- $-30,278
- Equity at exit
- $29,075
- IRR
- -7.2%
- Equity multiple
- 0.55×
- Total profit
- $-24,830
- Equity at exit
- $16,860
Cash invested: $54,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Louisiana
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+12
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 71203
- Home prices YoY
- -32.4%
- Active inventory
- 440
- Price-to-rent
- 10.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,563 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,023
- Tax from tax record
- −$109 /mo · $1,313/yr
- Insurance
- −$81
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$328
- Net cashflow
- $22
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $132 | -5% $77 | +0% $22 | +5% $-34 | +10% $-89 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-102 | -5% $-40 | +0% $22 | +5% $83 | +10% $145 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $120 | -0.5pp $71 | base $22 | +0.5pp $-29 | +1.0pp $-80 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $48,750
- Closing costs
- $5,850
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 11 events
-
2026-06-07statusdays on market $195,000 Pending 181 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $195,000 Active 180 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $195,000 Active 179 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $195,000 Active 178 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $195,000 Active 177 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $195,000 Active 176 DOM
-
2026-01-20price $195,000 402-char remark
Show marketing remark (402 chars)
Take a look at this RARE FIND in Swartz! This well built 3/1.5 almost 2,000 HSF home sits on approximately 1.72 ACRES & comes with an XL 30x60 shop and the home has a spacious living area with a cozy fireplace, a NICE heated/ cooled sunroom and lots of updates. This very spacious, 1 owner home has been very well taken care of and needs a new owner. Come take a look and MAKE IT YOUR HOME TODAY!
-
2025-12-09status Active 402-char remark
Show marketing remark (402 chars)
Take a look at this RARE FIND in Swartz! This well built 3/1.5 almost 2,000 HSF home sits on approximately 1.72 ACRES & comes with an XL 30x60 shop and the home has a spacious living area with a cozy fireplace, a NICE heated/ cooled sunroom and lots of updates. This very spacious, 1 owner home has been very well taken care of and needs a new owner. Come take a look and MAKE IT YOUR HOME TODAY!
-
2025-10-22status Active 402-char remark
Show marketing remark (402 chars)
Take a look at this RARE FIND in Swartz! This well built 3/1.5 almost 2,000 HSF home sits on approximately 1.72 ACRES & comes with an XL 30x60 shop and the home has a spacious living area with a cozy fireplace, a NICE heated/ cooled sunroom and lots of updates. This very spacious, 1 owner home has been very well taken care of and needs a new owner. Come take a look and MAKE IT YOUR HOME TODAY!
-
2025-08-22status Pending 402-char remark
Show marketing remark (402 chars)
Take a look at this RARE FIND in Swartz! This well built 3/1.5 almost 2,000 HSF home sits on approximately 1.72 ACRES & comes with an XL 30x60 shop and the home has a spacious living area with a cozy fireplace, a NICE heated/ cooled sunroom and lots of updates. This very spacious, 1 owner home has been very well taken care of and needs a new owner. Come take a look and MAKE IT YOUR HOME TODAY!
-
2025-08-18$215,000 Active 402-char remark
Show marketing remark (402 chars)
Take a look at this RARE FIND in Swartz! This well built 3/1.5 almost 2,000 HSF home sits on approximately 1.72 ACRES & comes with an XL 30x60 shop and the home has a spacious living area with a cozy fireplace, a NICE heated/ cooled sunroom and lots of updates. This very spacious, 1 owner home has been very well taken care of and needs a new owner. Come take a look and MAKE IT YOUR HOME TODAY!
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast LA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,313 · $109/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,313 · $109/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥111°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 72% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $18,758
- − Mortgage interest
- −$10,923
- − Property taxes
- −$1,313
- − Insurance
- −$975
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,501
- − Management
- −$1,501
- − Depreciation
- −$5,673
- Taxable loss
- −$3,127
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$750
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,010/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Ouachita Parish
- NCES district ID
- 2201200
- Math proficiency
- 31% ▼ -38.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 45% ▼ -31.00%
- Median HH income
- $43,316
- Composite
- 32.14/100
- National rank
- #5791
- State rank
- #26 of 98 in LA
Livability — Swartz
- Score
- 64/100
- State rank
- #184
- US rank
- #14862
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Swartz, LA
- County
- Ouachita Parish · 118,340 people
- Metro
- Monroe, LA
- Population (ZIP)
- 38,354
- Household income
- $52,326
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 2085.0
Population outlook (Ouachita County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 163,370 people
- By 2030
- 165,520 · +1.3%
- By 2040
- 167,652 · +2.6%
- By 2050
- 166,699 · +2.0%
- By 2075
- 156,348 · -4.3%
- By 2100
- 134,102 · -17.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.57)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 48% White 45% Two or more races 4% Hispanic / Latino 3% Asian 1%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 3% Slovak 1% Serbian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 96% English-only · Spanish 2% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Ouachita
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+27.9) · D 35.5% · R 63.3% · Other 1.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -2.7pp toward R · 2008: -25.2pp · 2024: -27.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+27.9 2020: R+23.6 2016: R+25.4 2012: R+20.9 2008: R+25.2
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -99.01%
- Current HPI
- 206.1948
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Monroe, LA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.29%
- F500 in state
- 10
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in LA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Telecommunications | 2 | $23B |
|
||
| Utilities | 1 | $12B |
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| Wholesale / Distribution | 1 | $5B |
|
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| Advertising | 1 | $2B |
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Price history
-9.3% since first listed5 events — show timeline
- 2026-01-20 Price Changed $195,000 NELABOR
- 2025-12-09 Relisted — NELABOR
- 2025-10-22 Relisted — NELABOR
- 2025-08-22 Pending — NELABOR
- 2025-08-18 Listed $215,000 NELABOR
Property tax history
+7.2%/yrLatest (2025): $1,313 · -0.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…