1316 Brady Ave · Brownwood, TX
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,222 – $2,270
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 107°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 22 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 27.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +15.0/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- 1% rule +5.0/10.0
- DSCR +5.0/10.0
- Schools +3.6/10.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$20,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Investor special in Brownwood, TX! Situated on two combined lots, this property offers a rare opportunity for those looking to build new or take on a full-scale renovation project. The existing structure is in poor condition and will require extensive repairs or potential complete tear-down—no value has been assigned to the home. The true value lies in the land, providing ample space for redevelopment, expansion, or a new construction project. Mature trees and an established setting add to the property’s appeal. Cash buyers only due to condition. Property is being sold as-is. Bring your vision and unlock the potential this oversized lot has to offer!
Key facts
- Two combined lots
- Oversized lot
- Mature trees
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Carport (1 space)
- Utilities: Electricity available; Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Single-story; Resale property
- Construction: Lap siding exterior; Composition/shingle roof; Pillar/post/pier foundation; Year built per assessor
- Exterior features: Chain link fencing; City lot; Quarter- to half-acre lot; City street frontage; No water features
Interior
- Flooring: Wood
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Interior features: Wood flooring; See remarks
- Laundry & utility: Washer hookup; Electric dryer hookup; Electric water heater
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $20k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $706 ($8k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $20k).
- Cap rate 48.6% vs local median 3.7% in Brownwood — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 64/100 on livability (#781 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime D+, health & safety D+, schools F.
- Brownwood ISD (town): math 45% / reading 41% proficiency, ranked #344 of 826 in TX (top 42%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 377 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 142 units permitted in Brown County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $138 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $600 of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $6k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 1 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→22/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 5.34% ✓
- Cap rate
- 48.63%
- Cash-on-cash
- 151.19%
- DSCR
- 7.73
- GRM
- 1.6
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $113,645
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1216 3rd St | 0.35mi | 3/1.0 | 1,369 (+2%) | 10mo | $116,500 | $85 | 72 |
| 1201 8th St | 0.55mi | 3/2.0 | 1,372 (+3%) | 1mo | $129,850 | $95 | 65 |
| 1211 Main St | 0.40mi | 3/2.0 | 1,303 (-2%) | 10mo | $64,900 | $50 | 64 |
| 1209 Irma St | 0.18mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,174 (-12%) | 3mo | $92,900 | $79 | 64 |
| 1609 2nd St | 0.58mi | 3/2.0 | 1,300 (-3%) | 4mo | $220,000 | $169 | 62 |
| 1217 Avenue D | 0.29mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,226 (-8%) | 9mo | $52,000 | $42 | 60 |
| 504 5th St | 0.26mi | 3/2.0 | 1,200 (-10%) | 9mo | $259,000 | $216 | 60 |
| 1510 4th St | 0.54mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,196 (-10%) | 8mo | $139,000 | $116 | 45 |
| 2204 Avenue C | 0.65mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,230 (-8%) | 8mo | $63,000 | $51 | 44 |
| 1703 7th St | 0.73mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,484 (+11%) | 5mo | $50,000 | $34 | 38 |
| 1611 3rd St | 0.61mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,146 (-14%) | 7mo | $139,000 | $121 | 37 |
| 1215 Avenue J | 0.73mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,160 (-13%) | 7mo | $54,999 | $47 | 32 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- —
- Equity multiple
- 8.45×
- Total profit
- $41,714
- Equity at exit
- $2,982
- IRR
- —
- Equity multiple
- 17.83×
- Total profit
- $94,255
- Equity at exit
- $1,729
Cash invested: $5,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Texas
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 76801
- Active inventory
- 377
- Price-to-rent
- 1.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,068 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$105
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$25 /mo · $300/yr
- Insurance
- −$8
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$224
- Net cashflow
- $706
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $5,000
- Closing costs
- $600
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 2 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2001 Brady Ave Unit Booker 703 Brownwood, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1247 | $1,045 | $0.84 | 43d | 1 | 0.52mi |
| 2001 Brady Ave Unit 1705 Austin-A Brownwood, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1070 | $1,095 | $1.02 | 43d | 1 | 0.52mi |
Listing history 2 events
-
2026-05-01status Pending
-
2026-04-30$20,000 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 6/10 Major
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 22 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $12,817
- − Mortgage interest
- −$1,120
- − Property taxes
- −$300
- − Insurance
- −$100
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,025
- − Management
- −$1,025
- − Depreciation
- −$582
- Taxable income
- $8,664
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$2,079
- After-tax cash flow
- $6,387/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Brownwood ISD
- NCES district ID
- 4811700
- Math proficiency
- 45% ▲ 4.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 41% ▲ 1.00%
- Median HH income
- $37,395
- Composite
- 35.8/100
- National rank
- #4833
- State rank
- #344 of 826 in TX
Livability — Brownwood
- Score
- 64/100
- State rank
- #781
- US rank
- #14230
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Brownwood, TX
- Population (ZIP)
- 25,152
Population outlook (Brown County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 38,381 people
- By 2030
- 38,288 · -0.2%
- By 2040
- 38,120 · -0.7%
- By 2050
- 38,227 · -0.4%
- By 2075
- 39,362 · +2.6%
- By 2100
- 39,171 · +2.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (66%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 66% Hispanic / Latino 26% Two or more races 15% Black 4%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 23%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 12% Slovak 2% Lithuanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 4% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 82% English-only · Spanish 17%
Political lean MEDSL · Brown
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+73.9) · D 12.7% · R 86.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -12.5pp toward R · 2008: -61.5pp · 2024: -73.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+73.9 2020: R+72.6 2016: R+74.5 2012: R+71.7 2008: R+61.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -121.52%
- Current HPI
- 164.0992
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.95%
- F500 in state
- 110
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 16 | $1,198B |
|
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| Technology | 5 | $198B |
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| Engineering / Construction | 4 | $72B |
|
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| Energy Services | 3 | $60B |
|
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| Utilities | 3 | $41B |
|
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| Healthcare | 2 | $330B |
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Price history
2 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-01 Pending — CTXMLS
- 2026-04-30 Listed $20,000 CTXMLS
Property tax history
+5.8%/yrLatest (2025): $1,516 · -2.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…