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3217 Arlene Ave
B Composite 70.06
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.8/15.0
  • Rent growth +5.0/5.0
  • Livability +3.7/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.1/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$39,900

3217 Arlene Ave · Flint, MI 48503
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 658 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 205 Days on market
Built 1935 4,792 sqft lot Est $40k · at est.

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Potential Investor Opportunity. 2 bedroom, 1 bath home with basement, detached garage. Buyers agent to verify all information in this listing.

Key facts

  • 4,792 sq ft lot
  • Garage
  • Built 1935

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Subdivision: CHEVROLET SUB; Cross street: S Ballenger Hwy / Corunna Rd
  • Financial info: Annual tax information available
  • HOA & community: Homeowners association present

Exterior

  • Parking: Detached 1-car garage
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Single-family residence; One level
  • Construction: Aluminum siding construction
  • Exterior features: Aluminum siding; Lot dimensions approximately 40 x 118 x 39 x 119

Interior

  • Bedrooms: 2 total rooms (includes bedrooms and living areas)
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating (natural gas); No central cooling
  • Interior features: Unfinished basement

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $40k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $399 ($5k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($926 rent vs $40k).
  • Recommended offer: $35k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 18.3% vs local median 11.5% in Flint — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 74/100 on livability (#196 in MI, #4,946 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools F, crime F, employment F.
  • Flint School District (urban): math 7% / reading 13% proficiency, ranked #714 of 760 in MI (top 94%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 83% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+12.3%/yr); 135 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 419 units permitted in Genesee County in 2024 (68 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $276 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $1k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Genesee County population projected at -27% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 8.0% rent growth), your $11k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 205 days — a 12% lower offer ($35k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 12 sale attempts since 29y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $5k (11%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: property tax is 3.2% of price; built in 1935 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $35,112 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 205 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1935 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
  4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  7. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  10. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
2.32%
Cap rate
18.29%
Cash-on-cash
42.84%
DSCR
2.91
GRM
3.6

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$40,138
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
3310 Larchmont St 0.14mi 2/1.0 688 (+5%) 2mo $18,000 $26 84
3317 Arlene Ave 0.03mi 2/1.0 600 (-9%) 1mo $34,500 $58 83
3609 Larchmont St 0.26mi 2/1.0 650 (-1%) 7mo $60,000 $92 80
3214 Clairmont St 0.09mi 2/1.0 720 (+9%) 4mo $30,500 $42 77
2913 Gibson St 0.37mi 2/1.0 680 (+3%) 6mo $45,000 $66 72
2717 Gibson St 0.44mi 2/1.0 687 (+4%) 1mo $50,000 $73 72
916 Mann St 0.51mi 2/1.0 647 (-2%) 3mo $35,000 $54 71
2805 Reynolds St 0.39mi 2/1.0 704 (+7%) 3mo $35,000 $50 68
3305 Larchmont St 0.17mi 2/1.0 736 (+12%) 5mo $45,000 $61 68
1034 Meida St 0.64mi 2/1.0 624 (-5%) 1mo $60,000 $96 61
2710 Reynolds St 0.44mi 2/1.0 751 (+14%) 5mo $56,500 $75 51
959 Tacken St 0.59mi 2/1.0 748 (+14%) 4mo $24,900 $33 46

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
45.7%
Equity multiple
3.14×
Total profit
$23,879
Equity at exit
$5,949
10-year hold
IRR
53.9%
Equity multiple
7.80×
Total profit
$75,980
Equity at exit
$3,450

Cash invested: $11,172 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Michigan
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
7-day pay-or-quit; mixed climate; Detroit/AA have some protections.

ZIP-level market 48503

Home prices YoY
-27.7%
Rents YoY
12.3%
Active inventory
135
Price-to-rent
3.6×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$926 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$209
Tax from tax record
$107 /mo · $1,285/yr
Insurance
$17
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$195
Net cashflow
$399

Break-even live

Break-even rent $421
Max offer price $39,900
Occupancy floor 52%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$9,975
Closing costs
$1,197
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 2 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
352 Bradley Ave Unit 343 Sheffield Ave-Apt C Flint, MI 1.0 1.0 564 $900 $1.60 21d 1 0.89mi
343 Sheffield Apt. C Ave heuristic Flint, MI 1.0 1.0 564 $900 $1.60 25d 1 0.91mi

Listing history 42 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $39,900 Active 205 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $39,900 Active 204 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $39,900 Active 203 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $39,900 Active 202 DOM
  5. 2026-06-14
    days on market $39,900 Active 200 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $39,900 Active 199 DOM
  7. 2026-06-10
    days on market $39,900 Active 197 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $39,900 Active 196 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $39,900 Active 195 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $39,900 Active 194 DOM
  11. 2026-06-05
    days on market $39,900 Active 191 DOM
  12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $39,900 Active 190 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $39,900 Active 189 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $39,900 Active 188 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $39,900 Active 187 DOM
  16. 2026-05-30
    days on market $39,900 Active 186 DOM
  17. 2026-04-02
    status Active
    Show marketing remark (142 chars)

    Potential Investor Opportunity. 2 bedroom, 1 bath home with basement, detached garage. Buyers agent to verify all information in this listing.

  18. 2026-04-02
    status Active 142-char remark
    Show marketing remark (142 chars)

    Potential Investor Opportunity. 2 bedroom, 1 bath home with basement, detached garage. Buyers agent to verify all information in this listing.

  19. 2026-04-01
    historical
    Show marketing remark (142 chars)

    Potential Investor Opportunity. 2 bedroom, 1 bath home with basement, detached garage. Buyers agent to verify all information in this listing.

  20. 2026-04-01
    historical 142-char remark
    Show marketing remark (142 chars)

    Potential Investor Opportunity. 2 bedroom, 1 bath home with basement, detached garage. Buyers agent to verify all information in this listing.

  21. 2026-02-26
    status Active
  22. 2026-02-25
    historical
  23. 2025-10-22
    price $39,900 142-char remark
    Show marketing remark (142 chars)

    Potential Investor Opportunity. 2 bedroom, 1 bath home with basement, detached garage. Buyers agent to verify all information in this listing.

  24. 2025-10-21
    price $39,900
  25. 2025-10-02
    listed $44,900 Active
    Show marketing remark (142 chars)

    Potential Investor Opportunity. 2 bedroom, 1 bath home with basement, detached garage. Buyers agent to verify all information in this listing.

  26. 2025-10-02
    listed $44,900 Active 142-char remark
    Show marketing remark (142 chars)

    Potential Investor Opportunity. 2 bedroom, 1 bath home with basement, detached garage. Buyers agent to verify all information in this listing.

  27. 2015-09-28
    historical
  28. 2015-09-09
    listed $7,700 348-char remark
    Show marketing remark (348 chars)

    Great opportunity! 2 bedroom, 1 baths, full basement, 1 car garage, storage shed, and more! Take a look! Go to CitySideCorp.com for bidding info, links to inspection reports, and Lead Based Paint Notices. FHA # 262-161735 - FHA Insurability Code IE. 203K - Subject to an Appraisal. New homes are added each day! A great opportunity for home buyers!

  29. 2015-09-09
    listed $7,700
    Show marketing remark (348 chars)

    Great opportunity! 2 bedroom, 1 baths, full basement, 1 car garage, storage shed, and more! Take a look! Go to CitySideCorp.com for bidding info, links to inspection reports, and Lead Based Paint Notices. FHA # 262-161735 - FHA Insurability Code IE. 203K - Subject to an Appraisal. New homes are added each day! A great opportunity for home buyers!

  30. 2006-05-19
    soldstatus $52,500
  31. 2006-04-28
    soldstatus $52,500
  32. 2006-04-28
    soldstatus $52,500
  33. 2006-04-10
    historical
  34. 2005-11-30
    listed $49,900
  35. 2005-11-30
    listed $49,900
  36. 2005-09-24
    historical
  37. 2005-04-04
    listed $56,900
  38. 1997-05-21
    soldstatus $28,000
  39. 1997-05-21
    soldstatus $28,000
  40. 1997-04-22
    historical
  41. 1997-02-18
    listed $29,900
  42. 1997-02-18
    listed $29,900

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$1,285 · $107/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,285 · $107/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥96°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$11,116
− Mortgage interest
−$2,235
− Property taxes
−$1,285
− Insurance
−$200
− Repairs & maintenance
−$889
− Management
−$889
− Depreciation
−$1,161
Taxable income
$4,457
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,070
After-tax cash flow
$3,716/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Flint School District
NCES district ID
2614520
Math proficiency
7% ▬ 0.00%
Reading proficiency
13% ▲ 3.00%
Median HH income
$25,954
Composite
10.97/100
National rank
#14642
State rank
#714 of 760 in MI

Livability — Flint

Score
74/100
State rank
#196
US rank
#4946

Category grades

Amenities A- Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Flint, MI
County
Genesee County · 221,329 people
City population
93,814
Metro
Flint, MI
Population (ZIP)
22,347
Household income
$44,411
Rent vs Own
49.3% rent · 50.7% own
Severe rent burden
1293.0

Population outlook (Genesee County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
381,312 people
By 2030
362,731 · -4.9%
By 2040
321,550 · -15.7%
By 2050
279,212 · -26.8%
By 2075
193,336 · -49.3%
By 2100
128,118 · -66.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.56)
Race & ethnicity
Black 55% White 36% Two or more races 4% Hispanic / Latino 3%
Common ancestry
Romanian 2% Lithuanian 2% Slovak 1%
Foreign-born
5% · China, Canada
Languages at home
93% English-only · Arabic 4% Spanish 1% Chinese 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Genesee

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 51.4% · R 47.2% · Other 1.4%
2008→2024 swing
-28.3pp toward R · 2008: 32.5pp · 2024: 4.2pp
All cycles
2024: D+4.2 2020: D+9.3 2016: D+9.5 2012: D+28.2 2008: D+32.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -49.84%
Current HPI
130.1152
Rent YoY
▲ 12.35%
Metro
Flint, MI
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.37%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+33.4% since first listed
26 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-02 Relisted REALCOMP
  • 2026-04-02 Relisted MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-04-01 Listing Removed MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-04-01 Listing Removed REALCOMP
  • 2026-02-26 Relisted REALCOMP
  • 2026-02-25 Listing Removed REALCOMP
  • 2025-10-22 Price Changed $39,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2025-10-21 Price Changed $39,900 REALCOMP
  • 2025-10-02 Listed $44,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2025-10-02 Listed $44,900 REALCOMP
  • 2015-09-28 Listing Removed MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2015-09-09 Listed $7,700 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2015-09-09 Listed $7,700 REALCOMP
  • 2006-05-19 Sold (Public Records) $52,500 Public Records
  • 2006-04-28 Sold (MLS) $52,500 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2006-04-28 Sold (MLS) $52,500 REALCOMP
  • 2006-04-10 Listing Removed MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2005-11-30 Listed $49,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2005-11-30 Listed $49,900 REALCOMP
  • 2005-09-24 Listing Removed REALCOMP
  • 2005-04-04 Listed $56,900 REALCOMP
  • 1997-05-21 Sold (MLS) $28,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 1997-05-21 Sold (MLS) $28,000 REALCOMP
  • 1997-04-22 Listing Removed MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 1997-02-18 Listed $29,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 1997-02-18 Listed $29,900 REALCOMP

Property tax history

+6.2%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,285 · +1.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…