204 N Spokane St · Moxee, WA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $604 – $1,122
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 96°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 9/10 · Severe
- Unhealthy air days now
- 15 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +13.4/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Schools +5.1/10.0
- DSCR +4.0/10.0
- Livability +3.4/5.0
- 1% rule +2.8/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$289,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Super cute, move-in ready home with an open-concept layout! This charming 3-bedroom, 2-bath property features a dedicated laundry room and efficient mini split for year-round comfort. Step outside to a nicely fenced yard, perfect for summer barbecues and outdoor gatherings, all shaded by a beautiful mature tree that adds both character and comfort. A wonderful blend of functionality and charm-ready for you to call home!
Key facts
- Fenced yard
- Mature tree
- Open-concept layout
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Zoned R2 (2-family residential); Lot about 0.09 acre
Exterior
- Parking: Off-street parking
- Utilities: Public water; Sewer connected
- Home design: Single-family residence; 1 story
- Construction: Frame construction; Composition roof; Built as site-built residential
- Exterior features: Shed(s)
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher, Range, Refrigerator
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Electric heating; Heat pump
- Interior features: Dishwasher, Range, Refrigerator; Crawl space basement
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath other listed at $289k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $7 ($85/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $225k (22.1% below list).
- Recommended offer: $225k (22.1% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 68/100 on livability (#274 in WA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, employment A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety F.
- East Valley School District (Yakima) (suburban): math 54% / reading 61% proficiency, ranked #76 of 291 in WA (top 26%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Market conditions: 24 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 468 units permitted in Yakima County in 2024 (23 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $9k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Yakima County population projected at +6% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 18 days — a 2% lower offer ($285k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1968 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.78% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.32%
- Cash-on-cash
- 0.10%
- DSCR
- 1.00
- GRM
- 10.7
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -16.2%
- Equity multiple
- 0.43×
- Total profit
- $-46,486
- Equity at exit
- $43,091
- IRR
- -7.9%
- Equity multiple
- 0.50×
- Total profit
- $-40,329
- Equity at exit
- $24,987
Cash invested: $80,920 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 28 Tenant-Leaning
- State Washington
- 28 Tenant-Leaning · D+8
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 98936
- Home prices YoY
- -13.1%
- Active inventory
- 24
- Price-to-rent
- 10.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,250 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,516
- Tax from tax record
- −$134 /mo · $1,614/yr
- Insurance
- −$120
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$472
- Net cashflow
- $7
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $171 | -5% $89 | +0% $7 | +5% $-75 | +10% $-157 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-171 | -5% $-82 | +0% $7 | +5% $96 | +10% $185 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $153 | -0.5pp $81 | base $7 | +0.5pp $-68 | +1.0pp $-144 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $72,250
- Closing costs
- $8,670
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 509 Chelan Ave Moxee, WA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1436 | $2,250 | $1.57 | 45d | 1 | 0.26mi |
Listing history 2 events
-
2026-05-01status Pending
-
2026-04-13$289,000 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast WA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,614 · $134/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,832 · $236/mo
- Expected delta
- +$1,218/yr (+$102/mo · 75.5%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 2/10 Low
- Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥96°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 9/10 Extreme 15 unhealthy d/yr today · 16 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $27,000
- − Mortgage interest
- −$16,188
- − Property taxes
- −$1,614
- − Insurance
- −$1,445
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,160
- − Management
- −$2,160
- − Depreciation
- −$8,407
- Taxable loss
- −$4,974
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,194
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,279/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- East Valley School District (Yakima)
- NCES district ID
- 5305370
- Math proficiency
- 54% ▲ 1.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 61% ▲ 5.00%
- Median HH income
- $57,936
- Composite
- 51.46/100
- National rank
- #3682
- State rank
- #76 of 291 in WA
Livability — Moxee
- Score
- 68/100
- State rank
- #274
- US rank
- #9442
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Moxee, WA
- Population (ZIP)
- 8,898
Population outlook (Yakima County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 256,514 people
- By 2030
- 259,403 · +1.1%
- By 2040
- 265,677 · +3.6%
- By 2050
- 273,061 · +6.5%
- By 2075
- 296,991 · +15.8%
- By 2100
- 315,291 · +22.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Majority White (55%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 55% Hispanic / Latino 43% Two or more races 20% Native American 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 42%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 4% Lithuanian 3% Italian 3%
- Foreign-born
- 13% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 63% English-only · Spanish 34% Arabic 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Yakima
- 2024 margin
- R (+14.3) · D 41.6% · R 55.9% · Other 2.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -3.8pp toward R · 2008: -10.6pp · 2024: -14.3pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+14.3 2020: R+7.7 2016: R+15.4 2012: R+15.1 2008: R+10.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -46.36%
- Current HPI
- 307.4978
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 4.65%
- F500 in state
- 22
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in WA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Retail | 2 | $269B |
|
||
| Technology / Retail | 1 | $638B |
|
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| Technology | 1 | $245B |
|
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| Telecommunications | 1 | $38B |
|
||
| Food / Beverage | 1 | $36B |
|
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| Automotive / Trucks | 1 | $34B |
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Price history
2 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-01 Pending — YAMLS
- 2026-04-13 Listed $289,000 YAMLS
Property tax history
+2.8%/yrLatest (2026): $1,614 · -35.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…