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985 Goodwater Hwy
B- Composite 68.36
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Livability +3.2/5.0
  • Schools +2.7/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$70,000

985 Goodwater Hwy · Sylacauga, AL 35150
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,552 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 1 Days on market
Built 2003

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Nice home for a single family

Key facts

  • Built 2003

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $70k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $503 ($6k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $70k).
  • Cap rate 14.9% vs local median 4.3% in Sylacauga — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 64/100 on livability (#157 in AL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A, health & safety A-; Watch: schools D+, crime F, amenities F.
  • Sylacauga City (town): math 20% / reading 45% proficiency, ranked #63 of 129 in AL (top 49%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 134 active listings in the ZIP; 189 units permitted in Talladega County in 2024 (6 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $484 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Talladega County population projected at -14% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $20k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 1 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 39% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $70,000

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  2. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  3. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.71%
Cap rate
14.91%
Cash-on-cash
30.77%
DSCR
2.37
GRM
4.9

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$206,416
Comps found
2
Show comp detail 2 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
223 Primrose Path 0.63mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,573 (+1%) 19mo $209,900 $133 43
309 & 311 S Main Ave 0.73mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,775 (+14%) 8mo $40,000 $23 30

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
25.5%
Equity multiple
2.05×
Total profit
$20,663
Equity at exit
$10,437
10-year hold
IRR
33.2%
Equity multiple
4.02×
Total profit
$59,183
Equity at exit
$6,052

Cash invested: $19,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Alabama
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+15
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Right-to-evict in 7 days for non-payment; no rent control; preempted statewide; courts move quickly.

ZIP-level market 35150

Home prices YoY
-7.9%
Active inventory
134
Price-to-rent
4.9×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,195 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$367
Tax from tax record
$45 /mo · $540/yr
Insurance
$29
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$251
Net cashflow
$503

Break-even live

Break-even rent $559
Max offer price $70,000
Occupancy floor 53%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$17,500
Closing costs
$2,100
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 1 events

  1. 2026-05-26
    listed $70,000 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast AL · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$540 · $45/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$540 · $45/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 39% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$14,337
− Mortgage interest
−$3,921
− Property taxes
−$540
− Insurance
−$350
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,147
− Management
−$1,147
− Depreciation
−$2,036
Taxable income
$5,196
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,247
After-tax cash flow
$4,785/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Sylacauga City
NCES district ID
0103120
Math proficiency
20% ▼ -25.00%
Reading proficiency
45% ▲ 4.00%
Median HH income
$33,900
Composite
26.64/100
National rank
#7170
State rank
#63 of 129 in AL

Livability — Sylacauga

Score
64/100
State rank
#157
US rank
#14297

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A Health & safety A- User ratings B+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Sylacauga, AL
City population
17,118
Population (ZIP)
17,118

Population outlook (Talladega County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
78,905 people
By 2030
77,160 · -2.2%
By 2040
72,937 · -7.6%
By 2050
68,279 · -13.5%
By 2075
57,884 · -26.6%
By 2100
47,220 · -40.2%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Majority White (62%)
Race & ethnicity
White 62% Black 32% Two or more races 3% Hispanic / Latino 2%
Common ancestry
Slovak 1% Hispanic 1% Italian 1%
Foreign-born
1% · Canada
Languages at home
97% English-only · Spanish 2% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Talladega

2024 margin
Solid R (+33.8) · D 32.9% · R 66.6%
2008→2024 swing
-15.3pp toward R · 2008: -18.5pp · 2024: -33.8pp
All cycles
2024: R+33.8 2020: R+25.5 2016: R+25.6 2012: R+16.0 2008: R+18.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -20.65%
Current HPI
240.527
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.94%
F500 in state
4

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

1 event — show timeline
  • 2026-05-26 Listed $70,000 FSBO.com

Property tax history

+2.9%/yr

Latest (2019): $540 · +19.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…