701 Missouri River Dr · Adrian, MI
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $784 – $1,456
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 98°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Schools +3.5/10.0
- Livability +3.5/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$85,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Nice, move-in ready home with a 2 car attached garage for sale in Hidden River North! This home features a drywalled interior, over 1800 square feet, 3 bedrooms, 2 full baths, some new flooring, Furnace/AC 5 years old, hot tub and 2 driveways for plenty of parking on this nice, corner lot. Base lot rent is $750 + $35 premium lot fee.
Key facts
- Drywalled interior
- Hot tub
- New flooring
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- HOA & community: Has association; Association includes snow removal
Exterior
- Parking: Attached 2-car garage
- Utilities: Public water
- Home design: Ranch-style residential; Single-story; Built in 1995
- Construction: Vinyl siding
- Exterior features: Located on a cul-de-sac; Public water
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Disposal; Microwave; Oven; Range; Refrigerator; Kitchen approx. 13 x 13; Breakfast nook (9 x 13)
- Bedrooms: Primary bedroom (14 x 13); Bedroom 2 (10 x 13); Bedroom 3 (9 x 13)
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Has cooling
- Interior features: Total of 8 rooms; Basement (other)
- Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath other listed at $85k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $727 ($9k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $85k).
- Recommended offer: $80k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 16.6% vs local median 5.7% in Adrian — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 69/100 on livability (#342 in MI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities D, crime F, commute F.
- Madison School District (Lenawee) (town): math 34% / reading 51% proficiency, ranked #195 of 540 in MI (top 36%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 214 active listings in the ZIP; 137 units permitted in Lenawee County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $588 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Lenawee County population projected at -18% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $24k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 79 days — a 6% lower offer ($80k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 6 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $5k (5%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 79 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.82% ✓
- Cap rate
- 16.55%
- Cash-on-cash
- 36.63%
- DSCR
- 2.63
- GRM
- 4.6
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 32.4%
- Equity multiple
- 2.36×
- Total profit
- $32,468
- Equity at exit
- $12,674
- IRR
- 39.5%
- Equity multiple
- 4.69×
- Total profit
- $87,725
- Equity at exit
- $7,349
Cash invested: $23,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Michigan
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 49221
- Active inventory
- 214
- Price-to-rent
- 4.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,547 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$446
- Tax from tax record
- −$14 /mo · $173/yr
- Insurance
- −$35
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$325
- Net cashflow
- $727
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $21,250
- Closing costs
- $2,550
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 27 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $85,000 Active 79 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $85,000 Active 78 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $85,000 Active 77 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $85,000 Active 76 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $85,000 Active 74 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $85,000 Active 73 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $85,000 Active 70 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $85,000 Active 69 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $85,000 Active 68 DOM
-
2026-06-05pricedays on market $85,000 Active 66 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $87,500 Active 64 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $87,500 Active 63 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $87,500 Active 62 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $87,500 Active 61 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $87,500 Active 60 DOM
-
2026-04-28price $87,500 335-char remark
Show marketing remark (335 chars)
Nice, move-in ready home with a 2 car attached garage for sale in Hidden River North! This home features a drywalled interior, over 1800 square feet, 3 bedrooms, 2 full baths, some new flooring, Furnace/AC 5 years old, hot tub and 2 driveways for plenty of parking on this nice, corner lot. Base lot rent is $750 + $35 premium lot fee.
-
2026-04-27price $87,500 335-char remark
Show marketing remark (335 chars)
Nice, move-in ready home with a 2 car attached garage for sale in Hidden River North! This home features a drywalled interior, over 1800 square feet, 3 bedrooms, 2 full baths, some new flooring, Furnace/AC 5 years old, hot tub and 2 driveways for plenty of parking on this nice, corner lot. Base lot rent is $750 + $35 premium lot fee.
-
2026-04-27price $87,500
Show marketing remark (335 chars)
Nice, move-in ready home with a 2 car attached garage for sale in Hidden River North! This home features a drywalled interior, over 1800 square feet, 3 bedrooms, 2 full baths, some new flooring, Furnace/AC 5 years old, hot tub and 2 driveways for plenty of parking on this nice, corner lot. Base lot rent is $750 + $35 premium lot fee.
-
2026-04-08status Active 335-char remark
Show marketing remark (335 chars)
Nice, move-in ready home with a 2 car attached garage for sale in Hidden River North! This home features a drywalled interior, over 1800 square feet, 3 bedrooms, 2 full baths, some new flooring, Furnace/AC 5 years old, hot tub and 2 driveways for plenty of parking on this nice, corner lot. Base lot rent is $750 + $35 premium lot fee.
-
2026-04-08status Active 335-char remark
Show marketing remark (335 chars)
Nice, move-in ready home with a 2 car attached garage for sale in Hidden River North! This home features a drywalled interior, over 1800 square feet, 3 bedrooms, 2 full baths, some new flooring, Furnace/AC 5 years old, hot tub and 2 driveways for plenty of parking on this nice, corner lot. Base lot rent is $750 + $35 premium lot fee.
-
2026-04-08status Active
Show marketing remark (335 chars)
Nice, move-in ready home with a 2 car attached garage for sale in Hidden River North! This home features a drywalled interior, over 1800 square feet, 3 bedrooms, 2 full baths, some new flooring, Furnace/AC 5 years old, hot tub and 2 driveways for plenty of parking on this nice, corner lot. Base lot rent is $750 + $35 premium lot fee.
-
2026-04-03status Pending 335-char remark
Show marketing remark (335 chars)
Nice, move-in ready home with a 2 car attached garage for sale in Hidden River North! This home features a drywalled interior, over 1800 square feet, 3 bedrooms, 2 full baths, some new flooring, Furnace/AC 5 years old, hot tub and 2 driveways for plenty of parking on this nice, corner lot. Base lot rent is $750 + $35 premium lot fee.
-
2026-04-03status Pending 335-char remark
Show marketing remark (335 chars)
Nice, move-in ready home with a 2 car attached garage for sale in Hidden River North! This home features a drywalled interior, over 1800 square feet, 3 bedrooms, 2 full baths, some new flooring, Furnace/AC 5 years old, hot tub and 2 driveways for plenty of parking on this nice, corner lot. Base lot rent is $750 + $35 premium lot fee.
-
2026-04-03status Pending
Show marketing remark (335 chars)
Nice, move-in ready home with a 2 car attached garage for sale in Hidden River North! This home features a drywalled interior, over 1800 square feet, 3 bedrooms, 2 full baths, some new flooring, Furnace/AC 5 years old, hot tub and 2 driveways for plenty of parking on this nice, corner lot. Base lot rent is $750 + $35 premium lot fee.
-
2026-03-26$89,900 Active 335-char remark
Show marketing remark (335 chars)
Nice, move-in ready home with a 2 car attached garage for sale in Hidden River North! This home features a drywalled interior, over 1800 square feet, 3 bedrooms, 2 full baths, some new flooring, Furnace/AC 5 years old, hot tub and 2 driveways for plenty of parking on this nice, corner lot. Base lot rent is $750 + $35 premium lot fee.
-
2026-03-26$89,900 Active 335-char remark
Show marketing remark (335 chars)
Nice, move-in ready home with a 2 car attached garage for sale in Hidden River North! This home features a drywalled interior, over 1800 square feet, 3 bedrooms, 2 full baths, some new flooring, Furnace/AC 5 years old, hot tub and 2 driveways for plenty of parking on this nice, corner lot. Base lot rent is $750 + $35 premium lot fee.
-
2026-03-26$89,900 Active
Show marketing remark (335 chars)
Nice, move-in ready home with a 2 car attached garage for sale in Hidden River North! This home features a drywalled interior, over 1800 square feet, 3 bedrooms, 2 full baths, some new flooring, Furnace/AC 5 years old, hot tub and 2 driveways for plenty of parking on this nice, corner lot. Base lot rent is $750 + $35 premium lot fee.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $173 · $14/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $741 · $62/mo
- Expected delta
- +$568/yr (+$47/mo · 328.5%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥98°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $18,564
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,761
- − Property taxes
- −$173
- − Insurance
- −$425
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,485
- − Management
- −$1,485
- − Depreciation
- −$2,473
- Taxable income
- $7,762
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,863
- After-tax cash flow
- $6,856/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Madison School District (Lenawee)
- NCES district ID
- 2622320
- Math proficiency
- 34% ▼ -10.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 51% ▼ -5.00%
- Median HH income
- $37,961
- Composite
- 35.35/100
- National rank
- #4959
- State rank
- #195 of 540 in MI
Livability — Adrian
- Score
- 69/100
- State rank
- #342
- US rank
- #8722
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Adrian, MI
- City population
- 41,041
- Population (ZIP)
- 41,041
Population outlook (Lenawee County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 95,497 people
- By 2030
- 92,722 · -2.9%
- By 2040
- 85,641 · -10.3%
- By 2050
- 77,971 · -18.4%
- By 2075
- 60,043 · -37.1%
- By 2100
- 41,468 · -56.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (77%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 77% Hispanic / Latino 14% Two or more races 8% Black 4%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 12%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 3% Lithuanian 3% Italian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 93% English-only · Spanish 6% Arabic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Lenawee
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+23.0) · D 37.8% · R 60.8% · Other 1.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -28.1pp toward R · 2008: 5.1pp · 2024: -23.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+23.0 2020: R+19.9 2016: R+21.1 2012: R+1.3 2008: D+5.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -143.64%
- Current HPI
- 237.3796
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.37%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Automotive Parts | 3 | $48B |
|
||
| Automotive | 2 | $372B |
|
||
| Chemicals | 1 | $45B |
|
||
| Automotive Retail | 1 | $29B |
|
||
| Healthcare / Medical Devices | 1 | $23B |
|
||
| Automotive Technology | 1 | $20B |
|
||
Price history
-2.7% since first listed12 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-28 Price Changed $87,500 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-04-27 Price Changed $87,500 REALCOMP
- 2026-04-27 Price Changed $87,500 SW Michigan MLS
- 2026-04-08 Relisted — REALCOMP
- 2026-04-08 Relisted — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-04-08 Relisted — SW Michigan MLS
- 2026-04-03 Pending — REALCOMP
- 2026-04-03 Pending — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-04-03 Pending — SW Michigan MLS
- 2026-03-26 Listed $89,900 SW Michigan MLS
- 2026-03-26 Listed $89,900 REALCOMP
- 2026-03-26 Listed $89,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
Property tax history
+1.4%/yrLatest (2025): $173 · -12.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…