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701 Missouri River Dr
B- Composite 69.48
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Schools +3.5/10.0
  • Livability +3.5/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$85,000

701 Missouri River Dr · Adrian, MI 49221
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,848 sqft · Other · 79 Days on market
Built 1995 ↓ 3% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Nice, move-in ready home with a 2 car attached garage for sale in Hidden River North! This home features a drywalled interior, over 1800 square feet, 3 bedrooms, 2 full baths, some new flooring, Furnace/AC 5 years old, hot tub and 2 driveways for plenty of parking on this nice, corner lot. Base lot rent is $750 + $35 premium lot fee.

Key facts

  • Drywalled interior
  • Hot tub
  • New flooring

Tags

MOVE IN READYDRYWALLED INTERIORNEW FLOORINGHOT TUBCORNER LOT

Property features AI

Finance

  • HOA & community: Has association; Association includes snow removal

Exterior

  • Parking: Attached 2-car garage
  • Utilities: Public water
  • Home design: Ranch-style residential; Single-story; Built in 1995
  • Construction: Vinyl siding
  • Exterior features: Located on a cul-de-sac; Public water

Interior

  • Kitchen: Dishwasher; Disposal; Microwave; Oven; Range; Refrigerator; Kitchen approx. 13 x 13; Breakfast nook (9 x 13)
  • Bedrooms: Primary bedroom (14 x 13); Bedroom 2 (10 x 13); Bedroom 3 (9 x 13)
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Has cooling
  • Interior features: Total of 8 rooms; Basement (other)
  • Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath other listed at $85k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $727 ($9k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $85k).
  • Recommended offer: $80k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 16.6% vs local median 5.7% in Adrian — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 69/100 on livability (#342 in MI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities D, crime F, commute F.
  • Madison School District (Lenawee) (town): math 34% / reading 51% proficiency, ranked #195 of 540 in MI (top 36%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 214 active listings in the ZIP; 137 units permitted in Lenawee County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $588 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Lenawee County population projected at -18% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $24k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 79 days — a 6% lower offer ($80k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 6 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $5k (5%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Recommended offer $79,900 (6.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 79 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.82%
Cap rate
16.55%
Cash-on-cash
36.63%
DSCR
2.63
GRM
4.6

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
32.4%
Equity multiple
2.36×
Total profit
$32,468
Equity at exit
$12,674
10-year hold
IRR
39.5%
Equity multiple
4.69×
Total profit
$87,725
Equity at exit
$7,349

Cash invested: $23,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Michigan
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
7-day pay-or-quit; mixed climate; Detroit/AA have some protections.

ZIP-level market 49221

Active inventory
214
Price-to-rent
4.6×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,547 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$446
Tax from tax record
$14 /mo · $173/yr
Insurance
$35
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$325
Net cashflow
$727

Break-even live

Break-even rent $627
Max offer price $85,000
Occupancy floor 48%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$21,250
Closing costs
$2,550
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 27 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $85,000 Active 79 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $85,000 Active 78 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $85,000 Active 77 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $85,000 Active 76 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $85,000 Active 74 DOM
  6. 2026-06-12
    days on market $85,000 Active 73 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $85,000 Active 70 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $85,000 Active 69 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $85,000 Active 68 DOM
  10. 2026-06-05
    pricedays on market $85,000 Active 66 DOM
  11. 2026-06-04
    days on market $87,500 Active 64 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $87,500 Active 63 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $87,500 Active 62 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $87,500 Active 61 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $87,500 Active 60 DOM
  16. 2026-04-28
    price $87,500 335-char remark
    Show marketing remark (335 chars)

    Nice, move-in ready home with a 2 car attached garage for sale in Hidden River North! This home features a drywalled interior, over 1800 square feet, 3 bedrooms, 2 full baths, some new flooring, Furnace/AC 5 years old, hot tub and 2 driveways for plenty of parking on this nice, corner lot. Base lot rent is $750 + $35 premium lot fee.

  17. 2026-04-27
    price $87,500 335-char remark
    Show marketing remark (335 chars)

    Nice, move-in ready home with a 2 car attached garage for sale in Hidden River North! This home features a drywalled interior, over 1800 square feet, 3 bedrooms, 2 full baths, some new flooring, Furnace/AC 5 years old, hot tub and 2 driveways for plenty of parking on this nice, corner lot. Base lot rent is $750 + $35 premium lot fee.

  18. 2026-04-27
    price $87,500
    Show marketing remark (335 chars)

    Nice, move-in ready home with a 2 car attached garage for sale in Hidden River North! This home features a drywalled interior, over 1800 square feet, 3 bedrooms, 2 full baths, some new flooring, Furnace/AC 5 years old, hot tub and 2 driveways for plenty of parking on this nice, corner lot. Base lot rent is $750 + $35 premium lot fee.

  19. 2026-04-08
    status Active 335-char remark
    Show marketing remark (335 chars)

    Nice, move-in ready home with a 2 car attached garage for sale in Hidden River North! This home features a drywalled interior, over 1800 square feet, 3 bedrooms, 2 full baths, some new flooring, Furnace/AC 5 years old, hot tub and 2 driveways for plenty of parking on this nice, corner lot. Base lot rent is $750 + $35 premium lot fee.

  20. 2026-04-08
    status Active 335-char remark
    Show marketing remark (335 chars)

    Nice, move-in ready home with a 2 car attached garage for sale in Hidden River North! This home features a drywalled interior, over 1800 square feet, 3 bedrooms, 2 full baths, some new flooring, Furnace/AC 5 years old, hot tub and 2 driveways for plenty of parking on this nice, corner lot. Base lot rent is $750 + $35 premium lot fee.

  21. 2026-04-08
    status Active
    Show marketing remark (335 chars)

    Nice, move-in ready home with a 2 car attached garage for sale in Hidden River North! This home features a drywalled interior, over 1800 square feet, 3 bedrooms, 2 full baths, some new flooring, Furnace/AC 5 years old, hot tub and 2 driveways for plenty of parking on this nice, corner lot. Base lot rent is $750 + $35 premium lot fee.

  22. 2026-04-03
    status Pending 335-char remark
    Show marketing remark (335 chars)

    Nice, move-in ready home with a 2 car attached garage for sale in Hidden River North! This home features a drywalled interior, over 1800 square feet, 3 bedrooms, 2 full baths, some new flooring, Furnace/AC 5 years old, hot tub and 2 driveways for plenty of parking on this nice, corner lot. Base lot rent is $750 + $35 premium lot fee.

  23. 2026-04-03
    status Pending 335-char remark
    Show marketing remark (335 chars)

    Nice, move-in ready home with a 2 car attached garage for sale in Hidden River North! This home features a drywalled interior, over 1800 square feet, 3 bedrooms, 2 full baths, some new flooring, Furnace/AC 5 years old, hot tub and 2 driveways for plenty of parking on this nice, corner lot. Base lot rent is $750 + $35 premium lot fee.

  24. 2026-04-03
    status Pending
    Show marketing remark (335 chars)

    Nice, move-in ready home with a 2 car attached garage for sale in Hidden River North! This home features a drywalled interior, over 1800 square feet, 3 bedrooms, 2 full baths, some new flooring, Furnace/AC 5 years old, hot tub and 2 driveways for plenty of parking on this nice, corner lot. Base lot rent is $750 + $35 premium lot fee.

  25. 2026-03-26
    listed $89,900 Active 335-char remark
    Show marketing remark (335 chars)

    Nice, move-in ready home with a 2 car attached garage for sale in Hidden River North! This home features a drywalled interior, over 1800 square feet, 3 bedrooms, 2 full baths, some new flooring, Furnace/AC 5 years old, hot tub and 2 driveways for plenty of parking on this nice, corner lot. Base lot rent is $750 + $35 premium lot fee.

  26. 2026-03-26
    listed $89,900 Active 335-char remark
    Show marketing remark (335 chars)

    Nice, move-in ready home with a 2 car attached garage for sale in Hidden River North! This home features a drywalled interior, over 1800 square feet, 3 bedrooms, 2 full baths, some new flooring, Furnace/AC 5 years old, hot tub and 2 driveways for plenty of parking on this nice, corner lot. Base lot rent is $750 + $35 premium lot fee.

  27. 2026-03-26
    listed $89,900 Active
    Show marketing remark (335 chars)

    Nice, move-in ready home with a 2 car attached garage for sale in Hidden River North! This home features a drywalled interior, over 1800 square feet, 3 bedrooms, 2 full baths, some new flooring, Furnace/AC 5 years old, hot tub and 2 driveways for plenty of parking on this nice, corner lot. Base lot rent is $750 + $35 premium lot fee.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$173 · $14/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$741 · $62/mo
Expected delta
+$568/yr (+$47/mo · 328.5%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥98°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$18,564
− Mortgage interest
−$4,761
− Property taxes
−$173
− Insurance
−$425
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,485
− Management
−$1,485
− Depreciation
−$2,473
Taxable income
$7,762
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,863
After-tax cash flow
$6,856/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Madison School District (Lenawee)
NCES district ID
2622320
Math proficiency
34% ▼ -10.00%
Reading proficiency
51% ▼ -5.00%
Median HH income
$37,961
Composite
35.35/100
National rank
#4959
State rank
#195 of 540 in MI

Livability — Adrian

Score
69/100
State rank
#342
US rank
#8722

Category grades

Amenities D Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment D- Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Adrian, MI
City population
41,041
Population (ZIP)
41,041

Population outlook (Lenawee County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
95,497 people
By 2030
92,722 · -2.9%
By 2040
85,641 · -10.3%
By 2050
77,971 · -18.4%
By 2075
60,043 · -37.1%
By 2100
41,468 · -56.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (77%)
Race & ethnicity
White 77% Hispanic / Latino 14% Two or more races 8% Black 4%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 12%
Common ancestry
Romanian 3% Lithuanian 3% Italian 2%
Foreign-born
3% · Canada
Languages at home
93% English-only · Spanish 6% Arabic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Lenawee

2024 margin
Strong R (+23.0) · D 37.8% · R 60.8% · Other 1.4%
2008→2024 swing
-28.1pp toward R · 2008: 5.1pp · 2024: -23.0pp
All cycles
2024: R+23.0 2020: R+19.9 2016: R+21.1 2012: R+1.3 2008: D+5.1

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -143.64%
Current HPI
237.3796
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.37%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-2.7% since first listed
12 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-28 Price Changed $87,500 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-04-27 Price Changed $87,500 REALCOMP
  • 2026-04-27 Price Changed $87,500 SW Michigan MLS
  • 2026-04-08 Relisted REALCOMP
  • 2026-04-08 Relisted MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-04-08 Relisted SW Michigan MLS
  • 2026-04-03 Pending REALCOMP
  • 2026-04-03 Pending MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-04-03 Pending SW Michigan MLS
  • 2026-03-26 Listed $89,900 SW Michigan MLS
  • 2026-03-26 Listed $89,900 REALCOMP
  • 2026-03-26 Listed $89,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS

Property tax history

+1.4%/yr

Latest (2025): $173 · -12.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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