37 Griffith Dr · Carbondale, IL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $804 – $1,492
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 107°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 20 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 2.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Appreciation +6.6/10.0
- Livability +3.5/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.4/10.0
$27,500
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
.35 acre lot with 1 bedroom home
Key facts
- Built 1975
- Listed 57 days
Property features AI
Exterior
- Utilities: Community water; Public sewer; Single-phase electric; Electricity available
- Home design: Single family residence; Residential property; One story
- Construction: Other construction materials; Estimated above-grade finished area: 1,128
- Exterior features: Level lot
Interior
- Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms on the main level
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom on the main level
- Heating & cooling: Other heating; Other cooling
- Interior features: One-level living; Total of 4 rooms
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $28k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $527 ($6k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($907 rent vs $28k).
- Recommended offer: $27k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 29.3% vs local median 4.9% in Carbondale — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 70/100 on livability (#375 in IL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: housing C-, crime F, employment F.
- Carbondale Chsd 165 (urban): math 26% / reading 35% proficiency, ranked #279 of 620 in IL (top 45%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Carbondale Comm H S (math 26% / reading 35%, grade F, #175 of 693 statewide, top 26%, 997 students, 0% FRL).
- Market conditions: 11 active listings in the ZIP; 5 units permitted in Jackson County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $1k of equity ($190 loan paydown + $876 appreciation (3.2% local appreciation)).
- At projected returns (3.2% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $8k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 58 days — a 3% lower offer ($27k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 58 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1975 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 3.30% ✓
- Cap rate
- 29.28%
- Cash-on-cash
- 82.10%
- DSCR
- 4.65
- GRM
- 2.5
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
3.19% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 86.7%
- Equity multiple
- 5.82×
- Total profit
- $37,152
- Equity at exit
- $12,656
- IRR
- 86.1%
- Equity multiple
- 12.03×
- Total profit
- $84,921
- Equity at exit
- $19,733
Cash invested: $7,700 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
- State Illinois
- 43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+7
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 62903
- Home prices YoY
- 3.0%
- Active inventory
- 11
- Price-to-rent
- 2.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $907 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$144
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$34 /mo · $412/yr
- Insurance
- −$11
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$191
- Net cashflow
- $527
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $6,875
- Closing costs
- $825
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 16 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $27,500 Active 58 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $27,500 Active 57 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $27,500 Active 56 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $27,500 Active 55 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $27,500 Active 54 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $27,500 Active 52 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $27,500 Active 51 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $27,500 Active 49 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $27,500 Active 48 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $27,500 Active 47 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $27,500 Active 46 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $27,500 Active 41 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $27,500 Active 40 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $27,500 Active 39 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $27,500 Active 38 DOM
-
2026-04-22$27,500 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 2% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $10,889
- − Mortgage interest
- −$1,540
- − Property taxes
- −$412
- − Insurance
- −$138
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$871
- − Management
- −$871
- − Depreciation
- −$800
- Taxable income
- $6,256
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,501
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,820/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Carbondale Chsd 165
- NCES district ID
- 1708370
- Math proficiency
- 26% ▼ -10.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 35% ▼ -2.00%
- Median HH income
- $22,075
- Composite
- 23.92/100
- National rank
- #7787
- State rank
- #279 of 620 in IL
Livability — Carbondale
- Score
- 70/100
- State rank
- #375
- US rank
- #7806
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- City population
- 22,946
- Population (ZIP)
- 2,533
Population outlook (Jackson County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 59,093 people
- By 2030
- 59,628 · +0.9%
- By 2040
- 59,495 · +0.7%
- By 2050
- 58,811 · -0.5%
- By 2075
- 57,683 · -2.4%
- By 2100
- 55,337 · -6.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (65%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 65% Black 17% Asian 9% Two or more races 3% Native American 2%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 9% Iranian 4% Romanian 4%
- Foreign-born
- 5% · China, South Korea
- Languages at home
- 88% English-only · Chinese 3% German/W. Germanic 2% Tagalog/Filipino 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Jackson
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 51.0% · R 47.5% · Other 1.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -18.3pp toward R · 2008: 21.8pp · 2024: 3.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+3.5 2020: D+1.3 2016: D+3.0 2012: D+10.3 2008: D+21.8
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 3.19%
- Current HPI
- 107.6546
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.59%
- F500 in state
- 60
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 4 | $201B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 4 | $87B |
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| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $64B |
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| Healthcare | 2 | $55B |
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| Retail / Pharmacy | 1 | $148B |
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| Agriculture / Food | 1 | $86B |
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Price history
1 event — show timeline
- 2026-04-22 Listed $27,500 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
Property tax history
+5.5%/yrLatest (2024): $1,882 · +7.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…