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37 Griffith Dr
B Composite 74.99
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Appreciation +6.6/10.0
  • Livability +3.5/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.4/10.0

$27,500

37 Griffith Dr · Carbondale, IL 62903
1 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,128 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 58 Days on market
Built 1975

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

.35 acre lot with 1 bedroom home

Key facts

  • Built 1975
  • Listed 57 days

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Utilities: Community water; Public sewer; Single-phase electric; Electricity available
  • Home design: Single family residence; Residential property; One story
  • Construction: Other construction materials; Estimated above-grade finished area: 1,128
  • Exterior features: Level lot

Interior

  • Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms on the main level
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom on the main level
  • Heating & cooling: Other heating; Other cooling
  • Interior features: One-level living; Total of 4 rooms

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $28k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $527 ($6k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($907 rent vs $28k).
  • Recommended offer: $27k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 29.3% vs local median 4.9% in Carbondale — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 70/100 on livability (#375 in IL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: housing C-, crime F, employment F.
  • Carbondale Chsd 165 (urban): math 26% / reading 35% proficiency, ranked #279 of 620 in IL (top 45%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Carbondale Comm H S (math 26% / reading 35%, grade F, #175 of 693 statewide, top 26%, 997 students, 0% FRL).
  • Market conditions: 11 active listings in the ZIP; 5 units permitted in Jackson County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $1k of equity ($190 loan paydown + $876 appreciation (3.2% local appreciation)).
  • At projected returns (3.2% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $8k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 58 days — a 3% lower offer ($27k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer $26,675 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 58 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1975 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
3.30%
Cap rate
29.28%
Cash-on-cash
82.10%
DSCR
4.65
GRM
2.5

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

3.19% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
86.7%
Equity multiple
5.82×
Total profit
$37,152
Equity at exit
$12,656
10-year hold
IRR
86.1%
Equity multiple
12.03×
Total profit
$84,921
Equity at exit
$19,733

Cash invested: $7,700 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
State Illinois
43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+7
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Chicago RTLO is among the strongest tenant ordinances in the Midwest; downstate is more landlord-friendly.

ZIP-level market 62903

Home prices YoY
3.0%
Active inventory
11
Price-to-rent
2.5×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$907 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$144
Tax est. 1.5%
$34 /mo · $412/yr
Insurance
$11
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$191
Net cashflow
$527

Break-even live

Break-even rent $241
Max offer price $27,500
Occupancy floor 37%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$6,875
Closing costs
$825
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 16 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on market $27,500 Active 58 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $27,500 Active 57 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $27,500 Active 56 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $27,500 Active 55 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $27,500 Active 54 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $27,500 Active 52 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on market $27,500 Active 51 DOM
  8. 2026-06-10
    days on market $27,500 Active 49 DOM
  9. 2026-06-09
    days on market $27,500 Active 48 DOM
  10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $27,500 Active 47 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $27,500 Active 46 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $27,500 Active 41 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $27,500 Active 40 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $27,500 Active 39 DOM
  15. 2026-05-30
    days on market $27,500 Active 38 DOM
  16. 2026-04-22
    listed $27,500 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 2% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$10,889
− Mortgage interest
−$1,540
− Property taxes
−$412
− Insurance
−$138
− Repairs & maintenance
−$871
− Management
−$871
− Depreciation
−$800
Taxable income
$6,256
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,501
After-tax cash flow
$4,820/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Carbondale Chsd 165
NCES district ID
1708370
Math proficiency
26% ▼ -10.00%
Reading proficiency
35% ▼ -2.00%
Median HH income
$22,075
Composite
23.92/100
National rank
#7787
State rank
#279 of 620 in IL

Livability — Carbondale

Score
70/100
State rank
#375
US rank
#7806

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing C- Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

City population
22,946
Population (ZIP)
2,533

Population outlook (Jackson County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
59,093 people
By 2030
59,628 · +0.9%
By 2040
59,495 · +0.7%
By 2050
58,811 · -0.5%
By 2075
57,683 · -2.4%
By 2100
55,337 · -6.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (65%)
Race & ethnicity
White 65% Black 17% Asian 9% Two or more races 3% Native American 2%
Common ancestry
Slovak 9% Iranian 4% Romanian 4%
Foreign-born
5% · China, South Korea
Languages at home
88% English-only · Chinese 3% German/W. Germanic 2% Tagalog/Filipino 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Jackson

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 51.0% · R 47.5% · Other 1.4%
2008→2024 swing
-18.3pp toward R · 2008: 21.8pp · 2024: 3.5pp
All cycles
2024: D+3.5 2020: D+1.3 2016: D+3.0 2012: D+10.3 2008: D+21.8

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 3.19%
Current HPI
107.6546
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.59%
F500 in state
60

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

1 event — show timeline
  • 2026-04-22 Listed $27,500 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid

Property tax history

+5.5%/yr

Latest (2024): $1,882 · +7.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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