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436 Gull Ct
D Composite 40.69
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +12.5/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Schools +4.3/10.0
  • Livability +3.9/5.0
  • 1% rule +3.8/10.0
  • DSCR +3.7/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.6/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$580,000

436 Gull Ct · North Palm Beach, FL 33408
4 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,578 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 16 Days on market
Built 1959 9,098 sqft lot

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Investor Special. Tenants in place. Seller Ready to Sell. 2023 Beautifully renovated 4 bedroom 2 bath with a 2 car garage. This lovely home features new tile floors throughout, paint inside and out. The kitchen has white wood cabinets, quartz counters, Stainless Steel appliances. Paver driveway. New impact windows and doors(2023). New metal roof (2023). Exterior paint (2025). Both bathrooms are updated. Master has a walk in closet. Master bath has double sinks and frame-less glass shower. sprinklers to keep yard nice and green. Close to the beach and the newly renovated North Palm Beach Country Club. Tenant Occupied. Rented for $3500 a month. Lease ends December 2026

Key facts

  • New tile floors
  • White wood cabinets
  • Quartz counters

Tags

NEW TILE FLOORSWHITE WOOD CABINETSQUARTZ COUNTERSSTAINLESS STEEL APPLIANCESPAVER DRIVEWAYNEW IMPACT WINDOWS

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Detached 2-car garage; Driveway
  • Security: Smoke detector(s)
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Single-story home; Faces east
  • Construction: Block construction; Metal roof; Resale property
  • Exterior features: Fenced yard; Patio

Interior

  • Kitchen: Dishwasher; Electric range; Disposal; Microwave; Refrigerator
  • Bedrooms: Bedroom located on the main level
  • Flooring: Tile
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central air conditioning; Ceiling fan(s)
  • Interior features: Impact-resistant windows; First-floor entry; Bedroom on main level; Smoke detector(s)
  • Laundry & utility: Laundry room; Utility room

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $580k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-84 ($-1k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $565k (2.6% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $509k (12.3% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $509k (12.3% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 77/100 on livability (#184 in FL, #2,894 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, employment A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, cost of living D-.
  • Palm Beach (suburban): math 46% / reading 53% proficiency, ranked #34 of 73 in FL (top 47%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: Rents flat; 400 active listings in the ZIP; 32 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 3,974 units permitted in Palm Beach County in 2024 (1,012 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $5,087/mo this rent would consume 66% of the median local household income ($92k/yr) (locally 835% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $4k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $17k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Palm Beach County population projected at +30% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 16 days — a 2% lower offer ($571k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 11 sale attempts since 11y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $285k; list at $580k implies a 104% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1959 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→25/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $508,718 (12.3% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. Built in 1959 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  5. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.88%
Cap rate
6.12%
Cash-on-cash
-0.62%
DSCR
0.97
GRM
9.5

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 0.27% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-20.5%
Equity multiple
0.31×
Total profit
$-112,823
Equity at exit
$86,480
10-year hold
IRR
-21.5%
Equity multiple
0.03×
Total profit
$-157,460
Equity at exit
$50,148

Cash invested: $162,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Florida
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; preempts local rent control; landlord-friendly statutes. Court speed varies by county.

ZIP-level market 33408

Rents YoY
0.3%
Active inventory
400
Price-to-rent
9.5×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$5,087 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$3,042
Tax from tax record
$820 /mo · $9,839/yr
Insurance
$242
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$1,068
Net cashflow
$-84

Break-even live

Break-even rent $5,194
Max offer price $565,106
Occupancy floor 97%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$145,000
Closing costs
$17,400
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 32 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
2545 Conroy Dr West Palm Beach, FL 3.0 2.0 1066 $3,295 $3.09 24d 1 0.15mi
2573 Conroy Dr West Palm Beach, FL 5.0 3.0 2153 $5,950 $2.76 24d 1 0.18mi
624 Southwind Cir Unit 3 North Palm Beach, FL 3.0 3.0 1316 $5,500 $4.18 24d 1 0.32mi
624 Southwind Cir Apt 4 North Palm Beach, FL 3.0 2.0 1134 $4,750 $4.19 24d 1 0.32mi
620 Southwind Cir Unit A North Palm Beach, FL 3.0 2.0 1697 $4,200 $2.47 24d 1 0.34mi
708 Westwind Dr North Palm Beach, FL 3.0 2.0 1761 $4,000 $2.27 24d 1 0.44mi
913 Lighthouse Dr North Palm Beach, FL 3.0 2.5 1092 $5,900 $5.40 24d 1 0.48mi
908 Lighthouse Dr North Palm Beach, FL 3.0 2.0 1478 $4,250 $2.88 24d 1 0.51mi
712 Tradewind Dr North Palm Beach, FL 4.0 3.0 1616 $6,500 $4.02 24d 1 0.51mi
736 Prosperity Farms Rd North Palm Beach, FL 4.0 2.0 1556 $6,950 $4.47 24d 1 0.54mi
735 Tradewind Dr North Palm Beach, FL 4.0 2.0 1901 $6,700 $3.52 24d 1 0.55mi
517 Gulf Rd North Palm Beach, FL 3.0 2.0 1657 $5,500 $3.32 24d 1 0.56mi
547 Marlin Rd North Palm Beach, FL 3.0 2.0 1880 $9,900 $5.27 24d 1 0.64mi
549 Fairwind Dr North Palm Beach, FL 3.0 2.0 1498 $5,000 $3.34 24d 1 0.64mi
429 Inlet Rd North Palm Beach, FL 3.0 2.5 1452 $6,500 $4.48 24d 1 0.71mi
756 Cinnamon Rd North Palm Beach, FL 4.0 2.0 1324 $6,600 $4.98 24d 1 0.72mi
2539 Wabash Dr West Palm Beach, FL 3.0 2.5 1468 $5,500 $3.75 24d 1 0.83mi
732 Pelican Way North Palm Beach, FL 3.0 2.0 1728 $4,950 $2.86 24d 1 0.88mi
379 Garden Blvd Palm Beach Gardens, FL 4.0 2.0 1642 $4,500 $2.74 24d 1 1.01mi
2745 Omega Pl North Palm Beach, FL 4.0 2.0 2190 $5,500 $2.51 24d 1 1.02mi
855 Date Palm Dr West Palm Beach, FL 3.0 3.0 1216 $3,150 $2.59 24d 1 1.08mi
10174 Plum St Palm Beach Gardens, FL 3.0 2.0 1546 $3,800 $2.46 24d 1 1.10mi
343 Balsam St Palm Beach Gardens, FL 4.0 2.0 1414 $4,000 $2.83 24d 1 1.11mi
337 Balsam St Palm Beach Gardens, FL 4.0 2.0 1426 $5,500 $3.86 18d 1 1.12mi
10152 Aspen Way Palm Beach Gardens, FL 3.0 2.5 2180 $3,850 $1.77 24d 1 1.15mi
301 Hawthorne Dr West Palm Beach, FL 3.0 2.0 1402 $3,200 $2.28 24d 1 1.15mi
815 Silver Beach Rd Lake Park, FL 4.0 3.0 1480 $3,000 $2.03 24d 1 1.30mi
1128 Rainwood Cir W Palm Beach Gardens, FL 3.0 2.0 1650 $4,200 $2.55 22d 1 1.32mi
250 Foresteria Dr West Palm Beach, FL 4.0 3.0 2080 $11,500 $5.53 20d 1 1.36mi
8617 Pluto Ter West Palm Beach, FL 3.0 2.0 1560 $3,999 $2.56 24d 1 1.46mi
3836 Dove Landing Rd West Palm Beach, FL 4.0 2.0 1790 $3,400 $1.90 7d 1 1.47mi
3836 Dove Landing Rd West Palm Beach, FL 4.0 2.0 1790 $3,400 $1.90 24d 1 1.47mi

Listing history 12 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $580,000 Active 16 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $580,000 Active 15 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $580,000 Active 14 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $580,000 Active 13 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $580,000 Active 11 DOM
  6. 2026-06-09
    days on market $580,000 Active 7 DOM
  7. 2026-06-08
    days on market $580,000 Active 6 DOM
  8. 2026-06-07
    days on market $580,000 Active 5 DOM
  9. 2026-06-04
    remarks 675-char remark
  10. 2026-06-04
    days on market $580,000 Active 2 DOM
  11. 2026-06-02
    remarks 650-char remark
  12. 2026-06-02
    listed $580,000 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$9,839 · $820/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$9,839 · $820/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 25 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$61,046
− Mortgage interest
−$32,489
− Property taxes
−$9,839
− Insurance
−$2,900
− Repairs & maintenance
−$4,884
− Management
−$4,884
− Depreciation
−$16,873
Taxable loss
−$10,822
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$2,597
After-tax cash flow
$1,586/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Palm Beach
NCES district ID
1201500
Math proficiency
46% ▼ -16.00%
Reading proficiency
53% ▼ -4.00%
Median HH income
$53,943
Composite
42.72/100
National rank
#3160
State rank
#34 of 73 in FL

Livability — North Palm Beach

Score
77/100
State rank
#184
US rank
#2894

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living D- Crime A+ Employment A+ Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
North Palm Beach, FL
County
Palm Beach County · 1,438,312 people
City population
18,817
Metro
Miami-Fort Lauderdale-Pompano Beach, FL
Population (ZIP)
18,817
Household income
$92,216
Rent vs Own
26.0% rent · 74.0% own
Severe rent burden
835.0

Population outlook (Palm Beach County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
1,637,487 people
By 2030
1,743,255 · +6.5%
By 2040
1,948,712 · +19.0%
By 2050
2,132,979 · +30.3%
By 2075
2,530,027 · +54.5%
By 2100
2,706,979 · +65.3%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (86%)
Race & ethnicity
White 86% Hispanic / Latino 9% Two or more races 7% Black 1% Asian 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Puerto Rican 2% Cuban 2%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 4% Slovak 3% Romanian 3%
Foreign-born
11% · Canada, Jamaica, Guatemala
Languages at home
89% English-only · Spanish 7% Other Indo-European 1% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Palm Beach

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 50.0% · R 49.2%
2008→2024 swing
-22.1pp toward R · 2008: 22.9pp · 2024: 0.8pp
All cycles
2024: D+0.8 2020: D+12.8 2016: D+15.3 2012: D+17.0 2008: D+22.9

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -223.14%
Current HPI
365.2913
Rent YoY
▲ 0.27%
Metro
Miami-Fort Lauderdale-Pompano Beach, FL
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.28%
F500 in state
36

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+205.3% since first listed
51 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-02 Listed $580,000 MARMLS
  • 2025-12-09 Listing Removed MARMLS
  • 2025-11-22 Rental Removed $3,500 MARMLS
  • 2025-11-17 Price Changed $580,000 MARMLS
  • 2025-11-17 Listed for Rent $3,500 MARMLS
  • 2025-11-03 Listed $595,000 MARMLS
  • 2025-10-28 Rental Removed $3,650 MARMLS
  • 2025-10-17 Listing Removed MARMLS
  • 2025-10-08 Price Changed $3,650 MARMLS
  • 2025-09-29 Price Changed $599,000 MARMLS
  • 2025-09-10 Price Changed $628,800 MARMLS
  • 2025-09-04 Price Changed $3,700 MARMLS
  • 2025-08-25 Price Changed $638,000 MARMLS
  • 2025-08-23 Listed for Rent $3,950 MARMLS
  • 2025-07-27 Price Changed $645,000 MARMLS
  • 2025-05-29 Price Changed $649,888 MARMLS
  • 2025-04-29 Price Changed $655,500 MARMLS
  • 2025-03-31 Price Changed $658,800 MARMLS
  • 2025-03-25 Price Changed $667,000 MARMLS
  • 2025-01-29 Price Changed $668,000 MARMLS
  • 2025-01-01 Listed $675,000 MARMLS
  • 2024-01-26 Rental Removed $3,600 MARMLS
  • 2024-01-25 Listing Removed MARMLS
  • 2024-01-02 Price Changed $680,000 MARMLS
  • 2023-12-19 Price Changed $690,000 MARMLS
  • 2023-11-22 Price Changed $694,888 MARMLS
  • 2023-11-09 Listed for Rent $3,600 MARMLS
  • 2023-10-09 Price Changed $698,888 MARMLS
  • 2023-09-07 Price Changed $702,800 MARMLS
  • 2023-09-01 Price Changed $712,800 MARMLS
  • 2023-08-21 Price Changed $714,800 MARMLS
  • 2023-08-07 Price Changed $719,900 MARMLS
  • 2023-07-25 Price Changed $725,000 MARMLS
  • 2023-07-07 Price Changed $735,800 MARMLS
  • 2023-06-15 Listed $742,800 MARMLS
  • 2023-05-09 Listing Removed MARMLS
  • 2023-05-01 Price Changed $656,800 MARMLS
  • 2023-03-04 Listed $658,888 MARMLS
  • 2021-06-30 Sold (Public Records) $285,000 Public Records
  • 2019-06-14 Listing Removed Beaches MLS
  • 2019-06-14 Contingent Beaches MLS
  • 2019-06-11 Price Changed $299,000 Beaches MLS
  • 2019-05-28 Listed $319,000 Beaches MLS
  • 2016-01-04 Sold (Public Records) $280,000 Public Records
  • 2015-12-31 Sold (MLS) $280,000 Beaches MLS
  • 2015-12-17 Pending Beaches MLS
  • 2015-11-24 Contingent Beaches MLS
  • 2015-11-21 Relisted Beaches MLS
  • 2015-10-08 Contingent Beaches MLS
  • 2015-09-20 Listed $289,900 Beaches MLS
  • 2015-07-06 Sold (Public Records) $190,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+12.7%/yr

Latest (2025): $9,839 · +1.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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