620 W Windsor St · Montpelier, IN
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $717 – $1,331
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 99°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 18 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +20.4/30.0
- Appreciation +8.4/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- DSCR +6.5/10.0
- 1% rule +4.1/10.0
- Livability +3.4/5.0
- Schools +3.3/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$129,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Move in ready 3 bedroom, 2 bath MH w/ permanent block foundation. The new metal roof was installed in 2017, the 12 x 28 smart barn is newer and offers lots of extra storage! Gas forced heating and Central AC, 50 Gallon Electric Water heater, 200 amp electric service and car port ! The master bath is wonderful with a new Slipper Tub, new vanity and stylish barn door ! The walk in closet also offers lots of extra storage for its proud occupant! The laundry is conveniently accessible near the kitchen and the washer and dryer are included. Don't miss this affordable home located in a nice quiet area of Montpelier.
Key facts
- 0.31 acre lot
- Built 1997
- Listed 48 days
Property features AI
Exterior
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Natural gas heating; Window cooling units
- Home design: Manufactured home (residential); Single-story living (primary on main level)
- Construction: Vinyl siding
- Exterior features: Metal roof; Outbuilding on the property; Lot dimensions approximately 96 x 140; Lot about 0.31 acre
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Microwave; Refrigerator; Gas range; Kitchen island
- Bedrooms: Total of 5 rooms (includes bedrooms and living spaces)
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms; 2 main-level bathrooms
- Interior features: Walk-in closet(s); Kitchen island; Open floorplan; Primary bedroom on main level; Crawl space basement
- Laundry & utility: Washer and dryer included; Laundry on main level
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $130k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $168 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $119k (8.7% below list).
- Recommended offer: $119k (8.7% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 68/100 on livability (#230 in IN) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: health & safety D, amenities F, commute F.
- Blackford County Schools (town): math 37% / reading 41% proficiency, ranked #164 of 301 in IN (top 54%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Blackford Primary School (352 students, 65% FRL); Blackford Jr-Sr High School (math 25% / reading 43%, grade F, #285 of 369 statewide, top 78%, 717 students, 50% FRL).
- Market conditions: 26 active listings in the ZIP; 9 units permitted in Blackford County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $10k of equity ($898 loan paydown + $9k appreciation (6.7% local appreciation)).
- Blackford County population projected at -27% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (6.7% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $36k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 4, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$33k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 49 days — a 3% lower offer ($126k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts since 5y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $66k; list at $130k implies a 97% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 49 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.91% ✗
- Cap rate
- 7.84%
- Cash-on-cash
- 5.54%
- DSCR
- 1.25
- GRM
- 9.1
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $64,500
- List price
- $129,900
- Delta
- 101.40%
- Verdict
- OVERPRICED
- Comps
- 2 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 404 W Windsor St | 0.29mi | 3/2.0 | 1,404 (-7%) | 1mo | $104,000 | $74 | 74 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
6.72% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 21.5%
- Equity multiple
- 2.48×
- Total profit
- $53,756
- Equity at exit
- $87,641
- IRR
- 20.2%
- Equity multiple
- 5.08×
- Total profit
- $148,394
- Equity at exit
- $164,369
Cash invested: $36,372 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Indiana
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+11
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 47359
- Home prices YoY
- 3.0%
- Active inventory
- 26
- Price-to-rent
- 9.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,187 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$681
- Tax from tax record
- −$34 /mo · $410/yr
- Insurance
- −$54
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$249
- Net cashflow
- $168
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $241 | -5% $205 | +0% $168 | +5% $131 | +10% $94 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $74 | -5% $121 | +0% $168 | +5% $215 | +10% $262 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $233 | -0.5pp $201 | base $168 | +0.5pp $134 | +1.0pp $100 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $32,475
- Closing costs
- $3,897
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 20 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $129,900 Active 49 DOM
-
2026-06-19days on market $129,900 Active 47 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $129,900 Active 46 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $129,900 Active 45 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $129,900 Active 44 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $129,900 Active 43 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $129,900 Active 41 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $129,900 Active 40 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $129,900 Active 37 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $129,900 Active 36 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $129,900 Active 35 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $129,900 Active 32 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $129,900 Active 31 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $129,900 Active 30 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $129,900 Active 29 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $129,900 Active 28 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $129,900 Active 27 DOM
-
2026-05-02$129,900 Active 709-char remark
-
2021-09-30soldstatus $66,000 619-char remark
Show marketing remark (619 chars)
Move in ready 3 bedroom, 2 bath MH w/ permanent block foundation. The new metal roof was installed in 2017, the 12 x 28 smart barn is newer and offers lots of extra storage! Gas forced heating and Central AC, 50 Gallon Electric Water heater, 200 amp electric service and car port ! The master bath is wonderful with a new Slipper Tub, new vanity and stylish barn door ! The walk in closet also offers lots of extra storage for its proud occupant! The laundry is conveniently accessible near the kitchen and the washer and dryer are included. Don't miss this affordable home located in a nice quiet area of Montpelier.
-
2021-06-11$65,000 619-char remark
Show marketing remark (619 chars)
Move in ready 3 bedroom, 2 bath MH w/ permanent block foundation. The new metal roof was installed in 2017, the 12 x 28 smart barn is newer and offers lots of extra storage! Gas forced heating and Central AC, 50 Gallon Electric Water heater, 200 amp electric service and car port ! The master bath is wonderful with a new Slipper Tub, new vanity and stylish barn door ! The walk in closet also offers lots of extra storage for its proud occupant! The laundry is conveniently accessible near the kitchen and the washer and dryer are included. Don't miss this affordable home located in a nice quiet area of Montpelier.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast IN · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $410 · $34/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $757 · $63/mo
- Expected delta
- +$347/yr (+$29/mo · 84.7%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥99°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 0% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $14,238
- − Mortgage interest
- −$7,276
- − Property taxes
- −$410
- − Insurance
- −$650
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,139
- − Management
- −$1,139
- − Depreciation
- −$3,779
- Taxable loss
- −$155
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$37
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,051/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Blackford County Schools
- NCES district ID
- 1800570
- Math proficiency
- 37% ▼ -12.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 41% ▼ -5.00%
- Median HH income
- $39,653
- Composite
- 32.67/100
- National rank
- #5656
- State rank
- #164 of 301 in IN
Livability — Montpelier
- Score
- 68/100
- State rank
- #230
- US rank
- #9968
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Montpelier, IN
- City population
- 3,688
- Population (ZIP)
- 3,688
Population outlook (Blackford County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 11,183 people
- By 2030
- 10,542 · -5.7%
- By 2040
- 9,292 · -16.9%
- By 2050
- 8,176 · -26.9%
- By 2075
- 6,549 · -41.4%
- By 2100
- 5,636 · -49.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (90%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 90% Two or more races 6% Hispanic / Latino 3%
- Common ancestry
- Iranian 1% Lithuanian 1% Slovak 1%
- Foreign-born
- 0% · Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 98% English-only · Vietnamese 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Blackford
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+50.3) · D 23.9% · R 74.2% · Other 1.9%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -50.1pp toward R · 2008: -0.2pp · 2024: -50.3pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+50.3 2020: R+46.1 2016: R+43.7 2012: R+16.5 2008: R+0.2
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 6.72%
- Current HPI
- 231.2009
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.90%
- F500 in state
- 18
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IN)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Machinery | 2 | $37B |
|
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| Healthcare | 1 | $177B |
|
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| Pharmaceuticals | 1 | $45B |
|
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| Metals / Steel | 1 | $18B |
|
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| Agriculture | 1 | $17B |
|
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| Packaging | 1 | $12B |
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Price history
+99.8% since first listed3 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-02 Listed $129,900 IRMLS
- 2021-09-30 Sold (MLS) $66,000 IRMLS
- 2021-06-11 Listed $65,000 IRMLS
Property tax history
+2.4%/yrLatest (2025): $410 · -25.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…