2215 Cannon Dr · Virginia Beach, VA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $666 – $1,236
Heat risk 9/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 104°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 17 days/yr
Wind risk 8/10 · Major
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 98.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +20.7/30.0
- ARV discount +14.2/15.0
- DSCR +6.6/10.0
- Schools +6.4/10.0
- 1% rule +4.8/10.0
- Rent growth +4.2/5.0
- Livability +4.2/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$305,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Sought after neighborhood in Great Neck. Visit this updated townhome that offers comfort, style, and convenience. Come into a spacious home featuring new LVP flooring, fresh paint, and new light fixtures throughout. Eat-in-Kitchen, Dining-room, Living-room and Sun-room creating the perfect flow for entertaining. A cozy wood-burning fireplace adds warmth and character. The kitchen features stainless steel appliance package. A convenient half bath is located on the main floor. Private backyard with wood privacy fence. Upstairs offers 3 spacious bedrooms, 2 full bathrooms. NO HOA. Conveniently located near Military Bases - Oceana, Dam Neck & Joint Expeditionary Base Little Creek-Fort Sto
Key facts
- Fresh paint
- Private backyard
- New light fixtures
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: City view
- HOA & community: No association fees indicated
Exterior
- Parking: Driveway spaces; Street parking
- Utilities: City/County water; City/County sewer; Electric water heater; Electric power
- Home design: Attached townhouse; 2 stories; Slab foundation; Simple ownership
- Construction: Vinyl siding; Asphalt shingle roof
- Exterior features: Patio; Back privacy wood fence
Interior
- Kitchen: Electric range; Dishwasher; Refrigerator; Pantry; Breakfast area
- Bedrooms: One bedroom with ensuite; Master bedroom with bath
- Flooring: Carpet; Laminate
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms; 1 half bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Heat pump; Central air
- Interior features: Cable hookup; Ceiling fan; Wood fireplace; Pull-down attic stairs; Attic; Foyer; Sun room; Breakfast area; Pantry; Utility closet
- Laundry & utility: Washer hookup; Dryer hookup; Utility closet
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.5-bath townhouse listed at $305k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $414 ($5k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $299k (2.1% below list).
- Recommended offer: $299k (2.1% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 7.9% vs local median 3.5% in Virginia Beach — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 83/100 on livability (#38 in VA, #880 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, employment A+, housing A+; Watch: cost of living C-, commute F.
- Va Beach City Public School District (urban): math 69% / reading 78% proficiency, ranked #10 of 131 in VA (top 8%) — strong family-tenant draw, lease renewals of 3-5y typical.
- Zoned schools: Alanton Elementary (math 75% / reading 79%, grade A, #171 of 1,108 statewide, top 17%, 629 students, 46% FRL); Frank W. Cox High (math 81% / reading 88%, grade A, #23 of 319 statewide, top 8%, 1,681 students, 27% FRL).
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+6.6%/yr); 203 active listings in the ZIP; 12 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 20d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 666 units permitted in Virginia Beach city in 2024 (347 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 35% of the median local income ($103k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $9k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Virginia Beach County population projected at +6% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 6.6% rent growth), your $85k cash investment doubles in ~10 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 16 days — a 2% lower offer ($300k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- Current owner paid $190k; list at $305k implies a 61% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 98% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→17/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1977 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.98% ✗
- Cap rate
- 7.92%
- Cash-on-cash
- 5.81%
- DSCR
- 1.26
- GRM
- 8.5
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $358,584
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2211 Sedgewick Dr | 0.10mi | 4/2.5 (+1) | 1,774 (-1%) | 3mo | $355,000 | $200 | 87 |
| 818 Biltmore Dr | 0.07mi | 4/2.5 (+1) | 1,872 (+5%) | 5mo | $355,000 | $190 | 79 |
| 2212 Windom Pl | 0.15mi | 4/2.5 (+1) | 1,740 (-2%) | 9mo | $347,500 | $200 | 76 |
| 774 Biltmore Dr | 0.07mi | 4/2.5 (+1) | 1,872 (+5%) | 12mo | $350,000 | $187 | 74 |
| 821 Westminster Ln | 0.18mi | 4/2.5 (+1) | 1,748 (-2%) | 13mo | $352,000 | $201 | 73 |
| 539 Biltmore Dr | 0.18mi | 3/2.5 | 1,560 (-13%) | 7mo | $302,900 | $194 | 65 |
| 777 Westminster Ln | 0.16mi | 3/2.5 | 1,560 (-13%) | 9mo | $313,000 | $201 | 64 |
| 689 Biltmore Dr | 0.16mi | 3/2.5 | 1,550 (-13%) | 11mo | $330,000 | $213 | 62 |
| 414 Chinaberry Cir | 0.71mi | 4/2.5 (+1) | 1,806 (+1%) | 2mo | $345,000 | $191 | 58 |
| 1005 Hanson Way | 0.67mi | 2/2.5 (-1) | 1,725 (-3%) | 2mo | $350,000 | $203 | 56 |
| 1833 Durham W | 0.73mi | 3/2.5 | 1,890 (+6%) | 2mo | $399,000 | $211 | 54 |
| 634 Biltmore Dr | 0.19mi | 2/2.5 (-1) | 1,520 (-15%) | 12mo | $325,000 | $214 | 51 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 6.62% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -3.6%
- Equity multiple
- 0.86×
- Total profit
- $-11,849
- Equity at exit
- $45,476
- IRR
- 9.6%
- Equity multiple
- 1.86×
- Total profit
- $73,238
- Equity at exit
- $26,371
Cash invested: $85,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 55 Moderately Landlord-Leaning
- State Virginia
- 55 Moderately Landlord-Leaning · D+2
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 23454
- Rents YoY
- 6.6%
- Active inventory
- 203
- Price-to-rent
- 8.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,987 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,599
- Tax from tax record
- −$219 /mo · $2,629/yr
- Insurance
- −$127
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$627
- Net cashflow
- $414
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $76,250
- Closing costs
- $9,150
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 12 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1044 Commodore Dr Virginia Beach, VA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 2418 | $4,100 | $1.70 | 2d | 1 | 0.35mi |
| 1997 Eastwood Villa Ln Virginia Beach, VA | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.5 | 1117 | $2,209 | $1.98 | 16d | 1 | 0.65mi |
| 2537 Torrey Pl Virginia Beach, VA | 4.0 | 2.5 | 2300 | $3,600 | $1.57 | 21d | 1 | 0.75mi |
| 1821 Durham W Virginia Beach, VA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1780 | $2,500 | $1.40 | 23d | 1 | 0.76mi |
| 928 General Stuart Dr Virginia Beach, VA | 4.0 | 2.5 | 2400 | $3,800 | $1.58 | 7d | 1 | 0.84mi |
| 472 Falling Ln Virginia Beach, VA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1225 | $1,750 | $1.43 | 19d | 1 | 0.88mi |
| 304 Windship Cv Virginia Beach, VA | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1250 | $2,195 | $1.76 | 14d | 1 | 0.88mi |
| 1002 Colonial Meadows Way Virginia Beach, VA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1882 | $3,300 | $1.75 | 17d | 1 | 1.04mi |
| 2717 Seashore Cv Unit 1 Virginia Beach, VA | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1714 | $2,795 | $1.63 | 23d | 1 | 1.06mi |
| 2717 Seashore Cv Virginia Beach, VA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1714 | $2,795 | $1.63 | 23d | 1 | 1.06mi |
| 2012 Breton Ct Virginia Beach, VA | 4.0 | 2.5 | 2200 | $2,900 | $1.32 | 20d | 1 | 1.35mi |
| 513 Chesopeian Trl Virginia Beach, VA | 3.0 | 3.0 | 2538 | $4,100 | $1.62 | 20d | 1 | 1.38mi |
Listing history 5 events
-
2026-05-21historical Active Under Contract
-
2026-05-13$305,000 Active
-
2009-12-07soldstatus $190,000
-
2009-08-31soldstatus $135,000
-
2001-06-26soldstatus $86,990
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast VA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $2,629 · $219/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,629 · $219/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥104°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 8/10 Severe 98% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $35,839
- − Mortgage interest
- −$17,085
- − Property taxes
- −$2,629
- − Insurance
- −$1,525
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,867
- − Management
- −$2,867
- − Depreciation
- −$8,873
- Taxable loss
- −$6
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$2
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,967/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Va Beach City Public School District
- NCES district ID
- 5103840
- Math proficiency
- 69% ▼ -19.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 78% ▼ -7.00%
- Median HH income
- $66,452
- Composite
- 63.81/100
- National rank
- #594
- State rank
- #10 of 131 in VA
Livability — Virginia Beach
- Score
- 83/100
- State rank
- #38
- US rank
- #880
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Virginia Beach, VA
- County
- Virginia Beach City · 448,227 people
- City population
- 448,227
- Metro
- Virginia Beach-Norfolk-Newport News, VA-NC
- Population (ZIP)
- 58,178
- Household income
- $102,796
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1696.0
Population outlook (Virginia Beach County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 480,401 people
- By 2030
- 491,221 · +2.3%
- By 2040
- 504,882 · +5.1%
- By 2050
- 508,847 · +5.9%
- By 2075
- 504,831 · +5.1%
- By 2100
- 465,867 · -3.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (69%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 69% Black 13% Two or more races 9% Hispanic / Latino 7% Asian 4%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 2% Puerto Rican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 3% Lithuanian 3% Slovak 3%
- Foreign-born
- 7% · Canada, China
- Languages at home
- 90% English-only · Spanish 4% Tagalog/Filipino 1% Chinese 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Virginia Beach
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 50.7% · R 48.0% · Other 1.3%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +3.4pp toward D · 2008: -0.7pp · 2024: 2.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+2.6 2020: D+5.4 2016: R+4.5 2012: R+2.5 2008: R+0.7
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -385.89%
- Current HPI
- 328.85
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 6.62%
- Metro
- Virginia Beach-Norfolk-Newport News, VA-NC
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.40%
- F500 in state
- 50
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in VA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Aerospace / Defense | 4 | $236B |
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| Technology / Defense | 3 | $32B |
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| Financial Services | 2 | $176B |
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| Utilities | 2 | $27B |
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| Insurance | 2 | $25B |
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| Technology | 2 | $15B |
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Price history
+250.6% since first listed5 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-21 Contingent — REINMLS
- 2026-05-13 Listed $305,000 REINMLS
- 2009-12-07 Sold (Public Records) $190,000 Public Records
- 2009-08-31 Sold (Public Records) $135,000 Public Records
- 2001-06-26 Sold (Public Records) $86,990 Public Records
Property tax history
+4.1%/yrLatest (2025): $2,629 · +6.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…