20553 E 330 Rd N · Cayuga, IN
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $804 – $1,492
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 104°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 18 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 1.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Schools +5.0/10.0
- Appreciation +4.6/10.0
- Livability +3.1/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$79,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Use your imagination and make this home your own. This home has been in the same family for over 50 years. The house sits on 2 lots and is being sold with 2 additional lots. The home offers 3 bedrooms and 1 bath. The property has a lot of potential and would make a great starter home. There have been several updates done to the home already which include new doors, newer windows, roof, water heater, some new flooring and a new shed. Home is being sold AS -IS.
Key facts
- Roof
- New doors
- Water heater
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Utilities: Well water; Septic tank
- Home design: Single-family residence; One story
- Construction: Vinyl siding; Shingle roof; Built on crawl space
- Exterior features: Front porch; Gravel road access; Shed(s) on the property
Interior
- Kitchen: Oven; Refrigerator
- Bedrooms: Total of 5 rooms
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Natural gas heating; No central cooling
- Interior features: Electric water heater; Crawl space basement
- Laundry & utility: Washer and dryer on the main level
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath other listed at $80k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $509 ($6k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $80k).
- Recommended offer: $79k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 61/100 on livability (#490 in IN) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools F, amenities F, commute F.
- Market conditions: 8 units permitted in Vermilion County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-0.8%/yr); year-one equity from $552 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $676 of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Vermilion County population projected at -24% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-0.8% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $22k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 18 days — a 2% lower offer ($79k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1950 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1950 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.65% ✓
- Cap rate
- 13.94%
- Cash-on-cash
- 27.30%
- DSCR
- 2.21
- GRM
- 5.1
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-0.85% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 25.9%
- Equity multiple
- 2.20×
- Total profit
- $26,957
- Equity at exit
- $19,878
- IRR
- 30.8%
- Equity multiple
- 4.23×
- Total profit
- $72,319
- Equity at exit
- $21,382
Cash invested: $22,372 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Indiana
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+11
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 61870
- Home prices YoY
- -0.4%
- Price-to-rent
- 5.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,316 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$419
- Tax from tax record
- −$78 /mo · $940/yr
- Insurance
- −$33
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$276
- Net cashflow
- $509
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $554 | -5% $531 | +0% $509 | +5% $486 | +10% $464 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $405 | -5% $457 | +0% $509 | +5% $561 | +10% $613 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $549 | -0.5pp $529 | base $509 | +0.5pp $488 | +1.0pp $467 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $19,975
- Closing costs
- $2,397
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 10 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $79,900 Active 18 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $79,900 Active 15 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $79,900 Active 14 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $79,900 Active 13 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $79,900 Active 12 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $79,900 Active 10 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $79,900 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $79,900 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-06-07remarks 463-char remark
-
2026-06-07$79,900 Active 4 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast IN · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $940 · $78/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $940 · $78/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥104°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $15,790
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,476
- − Property taxes
- −$940
- − Insurance
- −$400
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,263
- − Management
- −$1,263
- − Depreciation
- −$2,324
- Taxable income
- $5,124
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,230
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,877/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
No district data.
Livability — Cayuga
- Score
- 61/100
- State rank
- #490
- US rank
- #17480
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Population (ZIP)
- 1,153
Population outlook (Vermilion County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 72,775 people
- By 2030
- 69,235 · -4.9%
- By 2040
- 62,360 · -14.3%
- By 2050
- 55,539 · -23.7%
- By 2075
- 40,606 · -44.2%
- By 2100
- 26,985 · -62.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (95%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 95% Two or more races 3% Hispanic / Latino 2% Black 1%
- Common ancestry
- Serbian 3% Romanian 1% Iranian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 1%
- Languages at home
- 99% English-only · French/Haitian/Cajun 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Vermilion
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+35.7) · D 31.4% · R 67.0% · Other 1.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -36.2pp toward R · 2008: 0.6pp · 2024: -35.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+35.7 2020: R+32.9 2016: R+29.2 2012: R+15.7 2008: D+0.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -0.85%
- Current HPI
- 219.5996
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.90%
- F500 in state
- 18
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IN)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Machinery | 2 | $37B |
|
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| Healthcare | 1 | $177B |
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| Pharmaceuticals | 1 | $45B |
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| Metals / Steel | 1 | $18B |
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| Agriculture | 1 | $17B |
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| Packaging | 1 | $12B |
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Price history
1 event — show timeline
- 2026-06-03 Listed $79,900 CIBR
Property tax history
+3.2%/yrLatest (2024): $940 · +8.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…