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3402 Redbud Ln
D- Composite 38.14
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +11.4/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • 1% rule +4.5/10.0
  • Livability +3.4/5.0
  • DSCR +3.3/10.0
  • Schools +3.2/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$234,900

3402 Redbud Ln · Sapulpa, OK 74132
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,720 sqft · Townhouse public records · 139 Days on market
Built 2023 4,356 sqft lot ↓ 15% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Amazing luxury townhome living in Jenks Schools. .. Beautiful two story town house features an open living floor plan, beautiful kitchen with stainless appliances, nice dining area, large living with electric flame fireplace that is so chic and inviting. .. .all bedrooms are up. .. master features a nice en suite bath with walk in shower and double sinks, it also has a large walk in closet. .. town home also has an office or space room up. .. .community is gated. .. .

Key facts

  • Double sinks
  • Stainless appliances
  • En suite bath

Tags

OPEN LIVING FLOOR PLANSTAINLESS APPLIANCESELECTRIC FLAME FIREPLACEEN SUITE BATHWALK IN SHOWERDOUBLE SINKS

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Attached garage (1 car)
  • Security: No safety shelter
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electricity available; Natural gas available; Cable available
  • Home design: Two-story; Faces north; Slab foundation
  • Construction: Built with stucco and wood frame; Asphalt/fiberglass roof
  • Exterior features: Patio; Zero lot line

Interior

  • Kitchen: Dishwasher; Microwave; Oven; Range; Refrigerator; Gas water heater
  • Flooring: Tile flooring; Vinyl flooring
  • Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms; One half bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating (gas); Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Granite counters; High ceilings; Ceiling fan(s); Vinyl window features

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath townhouse listed at $235k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-84 ($-1k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $220k (6.3% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $222k (5.3% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $207k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 5.9% vs local median 2.8% in Sapulpa — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 67/100 on livability (#88 in OK) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime B+; Watch: schools F, amenities F, commute F.
  • Jenks (suburban): math 34% / reading 35% proficiency, ranked #27 of 270 in OK (top 10%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 96 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 13d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 193 units permitted in Creek County in 2024 (76 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 139 days — a 12% lower offer ($207k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 4 sale attempts since 2y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $55k (19%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: property tax is 2.6% of price.
  • Climate carrying-cost: major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→17/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $206,712 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 139 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
  4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  7. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  10. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.95%
Cap rate
5.87%
Cash-on-cash
-1.53%
DSCR
0.93
GRM
8.8

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-18.7%
Equity multiple
0.34×
Total profit
$-43,226
Equity at exit
$35,024
10-year hold
IRR
-11.0%
Equity multiple
0.33×
Total profit
$-43,822
Equity at exit
$20,310

Cash invested: $65,772 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Oklahoma
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+20
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
5-day notice; strongly landlord-favorable.

ZIP-level market 74132

Home prices YoY
-34.7%
Active inventory
96
Price-to-rent
8.8×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,225 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,232
Tax from tax record
$511 /mo · $6,136/yr
Insurance
$98
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$467
Net cashflow
$-84

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,330
Max offer price $220,119
Occupancy floor 99%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $49 -5% $-17 +0% $-84 +5% $-150 +10% $-217
Rent -10% $-259 -5% $-172 +0% $-84 +5% $4 +10% $92
Rate -1.0pp $35 -0.5pp $-24 base $-84 +0.5pp $-145 +1.0pp $-206

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$58,725
Closing costs
$7,047
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 3 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
3401 Redbud Ln Tulsa, OK 3.0 2.5 1708 $2,250 $1.32 2d 5 0.04mi
1551 W 78th St Tulsa, OK 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 919 $1,390 $1.51 12d 5 1.29mi
2542 W 66th Pl Tulsa, OK 4.0 2.0 2200 $2,400 $1.09 24d 1 1.50mi

Listing history 22 events

  1. 2026-06-13
    statusdays on market $234,900 Pending 139 DOM
  2. 2026-06-10
    days on market $234,900 Active 138 DOM
  3. 2026-06-09
    days on market $234,900 Active 137 DOM
  4. 2026-06-08
    days on market $234,900 Active 136 DOM
  5. 2026-06-07
    days on market $234,900 Active 135 DOM
  6. 2026-06-05
    days on market $234,900 Active 132 DOM
  7. 2026-06-03
    pricedays on market $234,900 Active 131 DOM
  8. 2026-06-02
    pricedays on market $195,000 Active 130 DOM
  9. 2026-06-01
    days on market $289,900 Active 129 DOM
  10. 2026-05-31
    days on market $289,900 Active 128 DOM
  11. 2026-01-23
    listed $289,900 Active
  12. 2026-01-20
    status Active
  13. 2025-09-30
    historical
  14. 2025-08-31
    status Pending
  15. 2025-08-29
    status Active
  16. 2025-07-21
    status Pending
  17. 2025-05-15
    price $289,900
  18. 2025-04-15
    price $299,900
  19. 2025-02-13
    price $310,000
  20. 2025-01-14
    price $319,900
  21. 2024-12-13
    price $329,900
  22. 2024-11-12
    listed $339,900 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast OK · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$6,136 · $511/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$6,136 · $511/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 6/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥112°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 3/10 Moderate 4% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$26,694
− Mortgage interest
−$13,158
− Property taxes
−$6,136
− Insurance
−$1,174
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,136
− Management
−$2,136
− Depreciation
−$6,833
Taxable loss
−$4,879
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$1,171
After-tax cash flow
$167/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Jenks
NCES district ID
4015720
Math proficiency
34% ▼ -9.00%
Reading proficiency
35% ▼ -8.00%
Median HH income
$66,291
Composite
31.5/100
National rank
#5973
State rank
#27 of 270 in OK

Livability — Sapulpa

Score
67/100
State rank
#88
US rank
#10676

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime B+ Employment B- Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Sapulpa, OK
City population
32,292
Population (ZIP)
10,629

Population outlook (Creek County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
72,706 people
By 2030
73,032 · +0.4%
By 2040
72,788 · +0.1%
By 2050
71,558 · -1.6%
By 2075
69,248 · -4.8%
By 2100
62,722 · -13.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (69%)
Race & ethnicity
White 69% Two or more races 12% Hispanic / Latino 8% Native American 6% Asian 5% Black 3%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 5%
Common ancestry
Slovak 2% Lithuanian 2% Italian 2%
Foreign-born
6% · Canada, Philippines, China
Languages at home
94% English-only · Other Asian/Pacific 2% Spanish 2% Chinese 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Creek

2024 margin
Solid R (+55.7) · D 21.2% · R 77.0% · Other 1.8%
2008→2024 swing
-14.1pp toward R · 2008: -41.6pp · 2024: -55.7pp
All cycles
2024: R+55.7 2020: R+54.8 2016: R+54.5 2012: R+45.4 2008: R+41.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -129.74%
Current HPI
244.1502
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.55%
F500 in state
6

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OK)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-14.7% since first listed
12 events — show timeline
  • 2026-01-23 Listed $289,900 MLS Technology, Inc.
  • 2026-01-20 Relisted MLS Technology, Inc.
  • 2025-09-30 Listing Removed MLS Technology, Inc.
  • 2025-08-31 Pending MLS Technology, Inc.
  • 2025-08-29 Relisted MLS Technology, Inc.
  • 2025-07-21 Pending MLS Technology, Inc.
  • 2025-05-15 Price Changed $289,900 MLS Technology, Inc.
  • 2025-04-15 Price Changed $299,900 MLS Technology, Inc.
  • 2025-02-13 Price Changed $310,000 MLS Technology, Inc.
  • 2025-01-14 Price Changed $319,900 MLS Technology, Inc.
  • 2024-12-13 Price Changed $329,900 MLS Technology, Inc.
  • 2024-11-12 Listed $339,900 MLS Technology, Inc.

Property tax history

+435.3%/yr

Latest (2025): $6,136 · -16.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…