213 SE 70th Cir · Silver Springs, FL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 8/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 108°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 22 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 4 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 4 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +28.1/30.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Appreciation +8.0/10.0
- 1% rule +7.7/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Schools +3.6/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Livability +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$159,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Investor Special – Spacious Fixer-Upper in SE Ocala! Opportunity awaits with this large 4-bedroom, 3-bath home located in desirable SE Ocala! Situated on . 50 acres, this property offers 2,140 sq ft of living space and a layout full of potential for investors, flippers, or buyers looking to create their dream home. Inside, you'll find an open floor plan with both a separate living room and family room, providing plenty of space for entertaining or flexible living arrangements. The home also features an inside laundry room and a split layout with multiple bathrooms, ideal for larger households. Conveniently located near Baseline Rd and Hwy 40, you'll have quick access to shopping, dining, schools, and everything Ocala has to offer while still enjoying the space and privacy of a half-acre lot. With solid square footage and a great location, this property is ready for your vision and renovations. Bring your ideas and transform this diamond in the rough into something special!
Key facts
- 0.5 acre lot
- Built 2018
- Listed 99 days
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $160k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $504 ($6k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $160k).
- Recommended offer: $146k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 10.1% vs local median 4.5% in Silver Springs — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads: area grade B — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
- Marion (rural): math 42% / reading 43% proficiency, ranked #61 of 73 in FL (top 84%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 61% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents flat; 682 active listings in the ZIP; 7 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 23d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 7,071 units permitted in Marion County in 2024 (534 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 38% of the median local income ($64k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $11k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $9k appreciation (5.9% local appreciation)).
- Marion County population projected at +13% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- At projected returns (5.9% appreciation + 0.2% rent growth), your $45k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 4, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$36k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 99 days — a 9% lower offer ($146k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts since 8y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $10k (6%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→22/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 99 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.27% ✓
- Cap rate
- 10.08%
- Cash-on-cash
- 13.51%
- DSCR
- 1.60
- GRM
- 6.5
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $67,288
- List price
- $159,900
- Delta
- 137.64%
- Verdict
- OVERPRICED
- Comps
- 2 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7015 NE 3rd St | 0.42mi | 3/2.0 | 1,978 (-8%) | 8mo | $50,000 | $25 | 60 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
5.93% appreciation · 0.17% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 24.9%
- Equity multiple
- 2.61×
- Total profit
- $72,031
- Equity at exit
- $99,839
- IRR
- 22.3%
- Equity multiple
- 4.95×
- Total profit
- $176,779
- Equity at exit
- $180,468
Cash invested: $44,772 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 34472
- Home prices YoY
- 2.4%
- Rents YoY
- 0.2%
- Active inventory
- 682
- Price-to-rent
- 6.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,035 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$839
- Tax from tax record
- −$182 /mo · $2,185/yr
- Insurance
- −$67
- HOA
- −$16
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$427
- Net cashflow
- $504
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $595 | -5% $549 | +0% $504 | +5% $459 | +10% $414 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $343 | -5% $424 | +0% $504 | +5% $585 | +10% $665 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $585 | -0.5pp $545 | base $504 | +0.5pp $463 | +1.0pp $421 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $39,975
- Closing costs
- $4,797
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 7 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 100 SE 68th Ct Ocala, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1612 | $1,850 | $1.15 | 22d | 1 | 0.35mi |
| 15 NE 63rd Ct Ocala, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1500 | $1,700 | $1.13 | 22d | 1 | 0.77mi |
| 436 NE 61st Ter Ocala, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 2170 | $2,600 | $1.20 | 22d | 1 | 1.03mi |
| 6001 SE 4th Pl Ocala, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1865 | $2,295 | $1.23 | 15d | 1 | 1.04mi |
| 113 Teak Rd Ocala, FL | 3.0 | 3.0 | 2086 | $2,150 | $1.03 | 15d | 1 | 1.14mi |
| 5725 SE 3rd Pl Ocala, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1608 | $1,550 | $0.96 | 22d | 1 | 1.22mi |
| 5610 NE 7th St Ocala, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1900 | $1,800 | $0.95 | 15d | 1 | 1.50mi |
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $16 · $192/yr
Listing history 20 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $159,900 Active 99 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $159,900 Active 98 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $159,900 Active 97 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $159,900 Active 96 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $159,900 Active 94 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $159,900 Active 93 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $159,900 Active 91 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $159,900 Active 90 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $159,900 Active 89 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $159,900 Active 88 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $159,900 Active 84 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $159,900 Active 83 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $159,900 Active 82 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $159,900 Active 81 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $159,900 Active 80 DOM
-
2026-04-25price $164,900 996-char remark
Show marketing remark (996 chars)
Investor Special – Spacious Fixer-Upper in SE Ocala! Opportunity awaits with this large 4-bedroom, 3-bath home located in desirable SE Ocala! Situated on . 50 acres, this property offers 2,140 sq ft of living space and a layout full of potential for investors, flippers, or buyers looking to create their dream home. Inside, you'll find an open floor plan with both a separate living room and family room, providing plenty of space for entertaining or flexible living arrangements. The home also features an inside laundry room and a split layout with multiple bathrooms, ideal for larger households. Conveniently located near Baseline Rd and Hwy 40, you'll have quick access to shopping, dining, schools, and everything Ocala has to offer while still enjoying the space and privacy of a half-acre lot. With solid square footage and a great location, this property is ready for your vision and renovations. Bring your ideas and transform this diamond in the rough into something special!
-
2026-03-11$169,900 Active 996-char remark
Show marketing remark (996 chars)
Investor Special – Spacious Fixer-Upper in SE Ocala! Opportunity awaits with this large 4-bedroom, 3-bath home located in desirable SE Ocala! Situated on . 50 acres, this property offers 2,140 sq ft of living space and a layout full of potential for investors, flippers, or buyers looking to create their dream home. Inside, you'll find an open floor plan with both a separate living room and family room, providing plenty of space for entertaining or flexible living arrangements. The home also features an inside laundry room and a split layout with multiple bathrooms, ideal for larger households. Conveniently located near Baseline Rd and Hwy 40, you'll have quick access to shopping, dining, schools, and everything Ocala has to offer while still enjoying the space and privacy of a half-acre lot. With solid square footage and a great location, this property is ready for your vision and renovations. Bring your ideas and transform this diamond in the rough into something special!
-
2019-05-23soldstatus $143,100
-
2019-05-16soldstatus $143,100 548-char remark
Show marketing remark (548 chars)
Here is a chance to own a Brand New 2018 Manufactured Home with 5 Bedrooms, 3 Full Baths, with approx 2140 living Sq Ft. Home is located on . 50 Acres in Lexington Estates subdivision in Ocala, Florida. Plenty of privacy. Located on a paved road. Master bedroom has a Separate shower and Glamour tub, and a HUGE Walk in closet. Home features a separate family room and living room. Brand New Appliances with plenty of countertop and cabinets. Spacious bedrooms. Plenty of windows. Be the first to live in this new home. Schedule your showing today!
-
2018-12-14$135,000 548-char remark
Show marketing remark (548 chars)
Here is a chance to own a Brand New 2018 Manufactured Home with 5 Bedrooms, 3 Full Baths, with approx 2140 living Sq Ft. Home is located on . 50 Acres in Lexington Estates subdivision in Ocala, Florida. Plenty of privacy. Located on a paved road. Master bedroom has a Separate shower and Glamour tub, and a HUGE Walk in closet. Home features a separate family room and living room. Brand New Appliances with plenty of countertop and cabinets. Spacious bedrooms. Plenty of windows. Be the first to live in this new home. Schedule your showing today!
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $2,185 · $182/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,185 · $182/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 5/10 Major
- Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 22 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $24,416
- − Mortgage interest
- −$8,957
- − Property taxes
- −$2,185
- − Insurance
- −$800
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,953
- − Management
- −$1,953
- − HOA
- −$192
- − Depreciation
- −$4,652
- Taxable income
- $3,724
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$894
- After-tax cash flow
- $5,156/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Marion
- NCES district ID
- 1201260
- Math proficiency
- 42% ▼ -7.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 43% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $40,015
- Composite
- 35.61/100
- National rank
- #4890
- State rank
- #61 of 73 in FL
Livability — Silver Springs
No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)
Census & demographics
- County
- Marion County · 315,796 people
- City population
- 34,665
- Metro
- Ocala, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 35,851
- Household income
- $64,208
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 655.0
Population outlook (Marion County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 365,905 people
- By 2030
- 376,768 · +3.0%
- By 2040
- 396,555 · +8.4%
- By 2050
- 412,723 · +12.8%
- By 2075
- 446,090 · +21.9%
- By 2100
- 436,193 · +19.2%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.65)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 50% Hispanic / Latino 25% Black 21% Two or more races 18% Asian 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 2% Puerto Rican 14% Cuban 3%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 2% Iranian 1% Lithuanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 11% · Canada, Jamaica, China
- Languages at home
- 78% English-only · Spanish 19% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Marion
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+31.6) · D 33.8% · R 65.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -20.0pp toward R · 2008: -11.6pp · 2024: -31.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+31.6 2020: R+25.9 2016: R+26.2 2012: R+16.2 2008: R+11.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 5.93%
- Current HPI
- 255.0714
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 0.17%
- Metro
- Ocala, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
||
| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
|
||
| Retail | 1 | $60B |
|
||
| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
|
||
| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
|
||
| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
|
||
Price history
+22.1% since first listed5 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-25 Price Changed $164,900 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-03-11 Listed $169,900 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2019-05-23 Sold (Public Records) $143,100 Public Records
- 2019-05-16 Sold (MLS) $143,100 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2018-12-14 Listed $135,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
Property tax history
+27.8%/yrLatest (2025): $2,185 · +12.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…