528 Woodbury Rd · Jackson, MS
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,241 – $2,305
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 108°F)
- 6 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 18 days/yr
Wind risk 8/10 · Major
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 80.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Livability +3.4/5.0
- Rent growth +3.2/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.1/10.0
- ARV discount +0.0/15.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$78,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Move-in ready investment opportunity in the Broadmoor area! This 2-bedroom, 1-bath home also features a separate office/flex space that could be used for working from home, hobbies, or additional storage. The property offers a functional floor plan, solid rental potential, and convenient access to shopping, dining, schools, and major roadways. Whether you're looking to expand your rental portfolio or purchase an affordable property with income potential, this home is worth a look. Offered at $78,000 and being sold as-is. Cash purchase only.
Key facts
- 8,712 sq ft lot
- 3 parking spots
- Built 1950
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Lot size approximately 0.2 acres
Exterior
- Parking: Driveway with gravel surface; 3 parking spaces
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Cable available; Electricity available and connected
- Home design: Single-family residence (house); One level
- Construction: Clapboard and plaster construction; Conventional foundation; Assessor-sourced building area: 885; Year built information from assessor
- Exterior features: Architectural shingle roof; Shed(s); City lot with few trees
Interior
- Kitchen: Free-standing electric oven and range; Refrigerator; Electric water heater
- Flooring: Wood flooring
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Move-in ready condition; Electric water heater; Free-standing electric oven and range; Refrigerator
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $78k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $435 ($5k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $78k).
- Cap rate 13.0% vs local median 9.9% in Jackson — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 68/100 on livability (#66 in MS) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, employment F, health & safety F.
- Jackson Public School District (urban): math 9% / reading 18% proficiency, ranked #112 of 130 in MS (top 86%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 88% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Boyd Elementary School (math 0% / reading 9%, grade F, #368 of 375 statewide, top 98%, 405 students, 100% FRL); Callaway High School (math 3% / reading 10%, grade F, #191 of 197 statewide, top 97%, 923 students, 100% FRL).
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.8%/yr); 119 active listings in the ZIP; 17 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 167 units permitted in Hinds County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 34% of the median local income ($43k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $539 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Hinds County population projected to shrink 6% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 2.8% rent growth), your $22k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 5 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1950 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 6→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1950 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.56% ✓
- Cap rate
- 12.98%
- Cash-on-cash
- 23.88%
- DSCR
- 2.06
- GRM
- 5.4
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $56,640
- Comps found
- 4
Show comp detail 4 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 522 Woodbury Rd | 0.02mi | 3/1.0 | 1,012 (+14%) | 1mo | $25,000 | $25 | 74 |
| 547 Woodbury Rd | 0.05mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 816 (-8%) | 9mo | $94,000 | $115 | 72 |
| 4680 Londonderry Dr | 0.23mi | 3/1.0 | 935 (+6%) | 16mo | $59,997 | $64 | 67 |
| 556 Robinhood Rd | 0.13mi | 3/1.0 | 960 (+8%) | 18mo | $54,900 | $57 | 65 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 2.83% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 16.9%
- Equity multiple
- 1.68×
- Total profit
- $14,847
- Equity at exit
- $11,630
- IRR
- 25.3%
- Equity multiple
- 3.19×
- Total profit
- $47,768
- Equity at exit
- $6,744
Cash invested: $21,840 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Mississippi
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+11
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 39206
- Home prices YoY
- -10.3%
- Rents YoY
- 2.8%
- Active inventory
- 119
- Price-to-rent
- 5.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,215 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$409
- Tax from tax record
- −$83 /mo · $1,000/yr
- Insurance
- −$32
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$255
- Net cashflow
- $435
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $479 | -5% $457 | +0% $435 | +5% $413 | +10% $391 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $339 | -5% $387 | +0% $435 | +5% $483 | +10% $531 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $474 | -0.5pp $455 | base $435 | +0.5pp $414 | +1.0pp $394 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $19,500
- Closing costs
- $2,340
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 17 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 229 Lawrence Rd #229 Jackson, MS | 2.0 | 1.0 | 840 | $995 | $1.18 | 44d | 1 | 0.32mi |
| 229 Lawrence Rd Jackson, MS | 2.0 | 1.0 | 840 | $900 | $1.07 | 24d | 1 | 0.32mi |
| 227 Lawrence Rd Jackson, MS | 2.0 | 1.0 | 840 | $900 | $1.07 | 14d | 2 | 0.32mi |
| 227 Lawrence Rd #227 Jackson, MS | 2.0 | 1.0 | 840 | $995 | $1.18 | 44d | 1 | 0.32mi |
| 4833 N State St Jackson, MS | 3.0 | 2.0 | 994 | $1,195 | $1.20 | 44d | 1 | 0.43mi |
| 4901 McWillie Cir Jackson, MS | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 806 | $1,150 | $1.43 | 14d | 1 | 0.56mi |
| 5255 Manhattan Rd Jackson, MS | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 813 | $1,100 | $1.35 | 14d | 1 | 0.63mi |
| 20 N Hill Pkwy Jackson, MS | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.5 | 1046 | $1,100 | $1.05 | 14d | 31 | 0.65mi |
| 5421 Crepe Myrtle Dr Jackson, MS | 4.0 | 1.5 | 1079 | $1,295 | $1.20 | 24d | 1 | 1.01mi |
| 200 Stillwood Dr Jackson, MS | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1088 | $1,300 | $1.19 | 14d | 1 | 1.02mi |
| 200 Stillwood Dr Jackson, MS | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1088 | $1,300 | $1.19 | 44d | 1 | 1.02mi |
| 3718 Northbrook Dr Jackson, MS | 2.0 | 1.0 | 942 | $1,050 | $1.11 | 24d | 1 | 1.04mi |
| 4426 Desoto St Jackson, MS | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1079 | $1,250 | $1.16 | 24d | 1 | 1.10mi |
| 4426 Desoto St Jackson, MS | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1079 | $1,250 | $1.16 | 14d | 1 | 1.10mi |
| 5155 Wayneland Dr Jackson, MS | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 905 | $1,500 | $1.66 | 24d | 1 | 1.23mi |
| 533 Stillwood Dr Jackson, MS | 2.0 | 1.0 | 906 | $820 | $0.91 | 14d | 1 | 1.46mi |
| 3811 Mosley Ave Jackson, MS | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,095 | $1.09 | 21d | 1 | 1.47mi |
Listing history 6 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $78,000 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $78,000 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $78,000 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $78,000 Active 2 DOM
-
2026-06-14remarks 546-char remark
-
2026-06-14$78,000 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MS · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,000 · $83/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,000 · $83/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 7/10 Severe 6 d/yr ≥108°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 8/10 Severe 80% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $14,576
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,369
- − Property taxes
- −$1,000
- − Insurance
- −$390
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,166
- − Management
- −$1,166
- − Depreciation
- −$2,269
- Taxable income
- $4,215
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,012
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,204/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Jackson Public School District
- NCES district ID
- 2802190
- Math proficiency
- 9% ▼ -14.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 18% ▼ -7.00%
- Median HH income
- $33,234
- Composite
- 10.89/100
- National rank
- #9755
- State rank
- #112 of 130 in MS
Livability — Jackson
- Score
- 68/100
- State rank
- #66
- US rank
- #9695
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Jackson, MS
- County
- Hinds County · 167,040 people
- City population
- 140,204
- Metro
- Jackson, MS
- Population (ZIP)
- 23,257
- Household income
- $42,686
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1554.0
Population outlook (Hinds County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 242,528 people
- By 2030
- 241,113 · -0.6%
- By 2040
- 235,557 · -2.9%
- By 2050
- 226,946 · -6.4%
- By 2075
- 199,995 · -17.5%
- By 2100
- 164,165 · -32.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Black (85%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 85% White 9% Hispanic / Latino 3% Two or more races 3%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 96% English-only · Spanish 3%
Political lean MEDSL · Hinds
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+46.1) · D 72.4% · R 26.3% · Other 1.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +7.1pp toward D · 2008: 39.0pp · 2024: 46.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+46.1 2020: D+48.3 2016: D+43.7 2012: D+45.1 2008: D+39.0
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -22.38%
- Current HPI
- 194.5873
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 2.83%
- Metro
- Jackson, MS
- State GDP YoY
- —
- F500 in state
- 0
Price history
3 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-13 Listed $78,000 MLSU
- 2015-11-17 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 1983-12-29 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
Property tax history
+0.9%/yrLatest (2025): $1,000 · +1.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…