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3602 Crowley St
B Composite 74.32
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Livability +3.1/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.2/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$79,999

3602 Crowley St · Rockford, IL 61102
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,539 sqft · SingleFamily · 44 Days on market
Built 1925 0.80 ac lot $52/sqft · 41% below area Est $135k · 41% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

INVESTORS!!!!! Looking for good bones on almost an acre of land....here's a 2 bedroom, 1 bath home ready for your ideas and make this your home! Now including additional pin making it a .80 acre sale!

Key facts

  • 0.8 acre lot
  • 2 garage spots
  • Built 1925

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Detached 2-car garage
  • Utilities: Private well water; Septic tank sewer
  • Home design: Single-family residence (house); 1 story
  • Exterior features: Shingle roof; 0.8-acre lot

Interior

  • Kitchen: Electric cooktop; Refrigerator
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom (main level)
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Natural gas
  • Interior features: Electric cooktop; Refrigerator; Gas water heater; Finished full basement

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $80k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $862 ($10k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $80k).
  • Recommended offer: $78k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 19.2% vs local median 6.1% in Rockford — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 62/100 on livability (#876 in IL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime F, amenities F, commute F.
  • Rockford SD 205 (urban): math 12% / reading 16% proficiency, ranked #533 of 620 in IL (top 86%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 73% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: Ellis Elementary School (math 2% / reading 2%, grade F, #1,927 of 2,056 statewide, top 100%, 401 students, 0% FRL); Thurgood Marshall School (math 82% / reading 82%, grade A+, #1 of 665 statewide, top 0%, 482 students, 0% FRL); Auburn High School (math 26% / reading 32%, grade F, #210 of 693 statewide, top 30%, 1,936 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 73% district-wide (73 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
  • Zoned-school proficiency averages 38% at this address vs 14% district-wide (+24 pts) — the actual schools serving this property are materially stronger than the Rockford SD 205 average implies; a family-tenant draw the district grade alone would hide.
  • Market conditions: 72 active listings in the ZIP; 4 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 45d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 75% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 285 units permitted in Winnebago County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $553 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Winnebago County population projected at -20% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $22k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 44 days — a 3% lower offer ($78k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts since 10y ago; this cycle's ask is 14% above the opening price — seller raised mid-cycle; expect resistance to lowballs.
  • Current owner paid $22k; list at $80k implies a 264% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1925 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $77,599 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 44 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1925 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
2.13%
Cap rate
19.23%
Cash-on-cash
46.19%
DSCR
3.06
GRM
3.9

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$135,177
List price
$79,999
Delta
-40.82%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 6 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
814 Cambridge Ave 0.11mi 3/1.5 (+1) 1,533 (-0%) 2mo $160,000 $104 85
709 Cambridge Ave 0.23mi 3/1.5 (+1) 1,533 (-0%) 4mo $150,000 $98 79
734 Trenton Ave 0.22mi 3/2.5 (+1) 1,533 (-0%) 19mo $159,000 $104 62
702 Cambridge Ave 0.24mi 1/1.0 (-1) 1,343 (-13%) 1mo $72,000 $54 61
803 Plaisance Ave 0.43mi 2/2.0 1,624 (+6%) 22mo $123,000 $76 49
435 Waveland Ave 0.60mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,310 (-15%) 2mo $142,000 $108 36

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
43.4%
Equity multiple
2.87×
Total profit
$41,933
Equity at exit
$11,928
10-year hold
IRR
49.4%
Equity multiple
5.78×
Total profit
$107,152
Equity at exit
$6,917

Cash invested: $22,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
State Illinois
43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+7
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Chicago RTLO is among the strongest tenant ordinances in the Midwest; downstate is more landlord-friendly.

ZIP-level market 61102

Home prices YoY
-33.1%
Active inventory
72
Price-to-rent
3.9×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,701 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$420
Tax from tax record
$29 /mo · $346/yr
Insurance
$33
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$357
Net cashflow
$862

Break-even live

Break-even rent $610
Max offer price $79,999
Occupancy floor 44%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $907 -5% $885 +0% $862 +5% $840 +10% $817
Rent -10% $728 -5% $795 +0% $862 +5% $929 +10% $997
Rate -1.0pp $902 -0.5pp $883 base $862 +0.5pp $841 +1.0pp $820

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$20,000
Closing costs
$2,400
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 4 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
2315 Green St Rockford, IL 3.0 1.0 1290 $1,600 $1.24 45d 1 0.98mi
2403 Elm St Rockford, IL 2.0 1.0 1373 $1,400 $1.02 45d 1 1.08mi
2403 Elm St Rockford, IL 2.0 1.0 1373 $1,400 $1.02 14d 1 1.08mi
2916 School St Rockford, IL 3.0 1.5 1578 $2,400 $1.52 45d 1 1.17mi

Listing history 24 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $79,999 Active 44 DOM
  2. 2026-06-19
    days on market $79,999 Active 42 DOM
  3. 2026-06-18
    days on market $79,999 Active 41 DOM
  4. 2026-06-17
    days on market $79,999 Active 40 DOM
  5. 2026-06-16
    days on market $79,999 Active 39 DOM
  6. 2026-06-15
    remarks 205-char remark
    Show marketing remark (200 chars)

    INVESTORS!!!!! Looking for good bones on almost an acre of land....here's a 2 bedroom, 1 bath home ready for your ideas and make this your home! Now including additional pin making it a .80 acre sale!

  7. 2026-06-15
    price $79,999 Active 38 DOM
    Show marketing remark (200 chars)

    INVESTORS!!!!! Looking for good bones on almost an acre of land....here's a 2 bedroom, 1 bath home ready for your ideas and make this your home! Now including additional pin making it a .80 acre sale!

  8. 2026-06-15
    days on market $65,999 Active 38 DOM
    Show marketing remark (200 chars)

    INVESTORS!!!!! Looking for good bones on almost an acre of land....here's a 2 bedroom, 1 bath home ready for your ideas and make this your home! Now including additional pin making it a .80 acre sale!

  9. 2026-06-14
    days on market $65,999 Active 36 DOM
  10. 2026-06-13
    days on market $65,999 Active 35 DOM
  11. 2026-06-10
    days on market $65,999 Active 33 DOM
  12. 2026-06-09
    days on market $65,999 Active 32 DOM
  13. 2026-06-08
    days on market $65,999 Active 31 DOM
  14. 2026-06-07
    days on market $65,999 Active 30 DOM
  15. 2026-06-03
    days on market $65,999 Active 26 DOM
  16. 2026-06-02
    days on market $65,999 Active 25 DOM
  17. 2026-06-01
    days on market $65,999 Active 24 DOM
  18. 2026-05-31
    days on market $65,999 Active 23 DOM
  19. 2026-05-30
    days on market $65,999 Active 22 DOM
  20. 2026-05-08
    listed $69,999 Active 153-char remark
    Show marketing remark (200 chars)

    INVESTORS!!!!! Looking for good bones on almost an acre of land....here's a 2 bedroom, 1 bath home ready for your ideas and make this your home! Now including additional pin making it a .80 acre sale!

  21. 2026-05-08
    listed $69,999 Active 151-char remark
    Show marketing remark (200 chars)

    INVESTORS!!!!! Looking for good bones on almost an acre of land....here's a 2 bedroom, 1 bath home ready for your ideas and make this your home! Now including additional pin making it a .80 acre sale!

  22. 2016-08-19
    soldstatus $22,000
  23. 2016-08-18
    soldstatus $22,000
    Show marketing remark (176 chars)

    Longtime homeowner, home is located on almost an acre, a lot of house and land for the money! Could be used as a 3 bedroom home. Needs a roof. PIN# 11-29-227-003 also included.

  24. 2016-07-15
    listed $23,900
    Show marketing remark (176 chars)

    Longtime homeowner, home is located on almost an acre, a lot of house and land for the money! Could be used as a 3 bedroom home. Needs a roof. PIN# 11-29-227-003 also included.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast IL · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$346 · $29/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,081 · $90/mo
Expected delta
+$735/yr (+$61/mo · 212.6%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥101°F today · 14 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$20,413
− Mortgage interest
−$4,481
− Property taxes
−$346
− Insurance
−$400
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,633
− Management
−$1,633
− Depreciation
−$2,327
Taxable income
$9,593
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$2,302
After-tax cash flow
$8,044/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Rockford SD 205
NCES district ID
1734510
Math proficiency
12% ▼ -2.00%
Reading proficiency
16% ▼ -3.00%
Median HH income
$42,533
Composite
12.21/100
National rank
#9649
State rank
#533 of 620 in IL

Livability — Rockford

Score
62/100
State rank
#876
US rank
#17035

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

City population
147,297
Population (ZIP)
16,620

Population outlook (Winnebago County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
271,080 people
By 2030
260,684 · -3.8%
By 2040
238,405 · -12.1%
By 2050
216,129 · -20.3%
By 2075
172,882 · -36.2%
By 2100
135,336 · -50.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Highly diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.70)
Race & ethnicity
White 36% Black 33% Hispanic / Latino 25% Two or more races 15%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 23%
Common ancestry
Portuguese 2% Iranian 1% Romanian 1%
Foreign-born
9% · Canada
Languages at home
81% English-only · Spanish 18%

Political lean MEDSL · Winnebago

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 49.5% · R 49.0% · Other 1.5%
2008→2024 swing
-12.2pp toward R · 2008: 12.8pp · 2024: 0.6pp
All cycles
2024: D+0.6 2020: D+2.5 2016: R+1.2 2012: D+5.7 2008: D+12.8

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -93.81%
Current HPI
189.9634
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.59%
F500 in state
60

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+234.7% since first listed
9 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-15 Price Changed $79,999 NWIAR
  • 2026-06-15 Price Changed $79,999 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-05-20 Price Changed $65,999 NWIAR
  • 2026-05-20 Price Changed $65,999 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-05-08 Listed $69,999 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-05-08 Listed $69,999 NWIAR
  • 2016-08-19 Sold (Public Records) $22,000 Public Records
  • 2016-08-18 Sold (MLS) $22,000 NWIAR
  • 2016-07-15 Listed $23,900 NWIAR

Property tax history

+8.3%/yr

Latest (2025): $346 · +30.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…