3374 Meyer Pl · Saginaw, MI
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $784 – $1,456
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 99°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 14 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +27.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +9.4/10.0
- 1% rule +6.4/10.0
- Rent growth +4.4/5.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Schools +3.1/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$125,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
This solid 3-bedroom, 1-bath home is perfect for first-time buyers or those looking to simplify. Enjoy beautiful hardwood, a newer roof for peace of mind, and a low-maintenance design that lets you spend time living instead. The spacious layout offers comfortable bedrooms and a functional kitchen, while the backyard shed provides excellent storage. Centrally located and easy to care for, this gem is move-in ready and full of potential. Don’t miss your chance—schedule a showing today!
Key facts
- Functional kitchen
- Move-in ready
- Newer roof
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- HOA & community: Homeowners association present
Exterior
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Single-family residence; One story
- Construction: Aluminum and vinyl siding; Built with crawl space foundation
- Exterior features: Shed on property; Lot dimensions approximately 71 x 132
Interior
- Flooring: Hardwood flooring
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Natural gas heating; No central cooling
- Interior features: Gas water heater; Crawl space basement
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $125k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $352 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $125k).
Location & tenants
- Location reads 63/100 on livability (#521 in MI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools F, crime F, amenities F.
- Saginaw Township Community Schools (suburban): math 27% / reading 45% proficiency, ranked #265 of 540 in MI (top 49%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+7.7%/yr); 156 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 154 units permitted in Saginaw County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $864 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Saginaw County population projected at -25% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 7.7% rent growth), your $35k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 3 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 9 sale attempts since 21y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $108k; 15% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1966 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.14% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.67%
- Cash-on-cash
- 12.06%
- DSCR
- 1.54
- GRM
- 7.3
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $158,400
- Comps found
- 6
Show comp detail 6 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3270 Northwood Pl | 0.09mi | 3/1.0 | 972 (+1%) | 19mo | $160,000 | $165 | 78 |
| 3307 Pasadena Pl | 0.12mi | 3/1.0 | 960 (0%) | 21mo | $150,000 | $156 | 77 |
| 3291 Pasadena Pl | 0.13mi | 3/1.0 | 1,040 (+8%) | 14mo | $149,380 | $144 | 69 |
| 3391 Voight Pl | 0.22mi | 3/1.5 | 1,104 (+15%) | 8mo | $180,000 | $163 | 57 |
| 3610 Northwood Pl | 0.35mi | 3/1.5 | 1,104 (+15%) | 16mo | $189,000 | $171 | 44 |
| 3112 Edward Pl | 0.29mi | 3/1.5 | 1,092 (+14%) | 22mo | $190,000 | $174 | 43 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 7.71% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 6.4%
- Equity multiple
- 1.26×
- Total profit
- $9,200
- Equity at exit
- $18,638
- IRR
- 19.4%
- Equity multiple
- 2.97×
- Total profit
- $68,795
- Equity at exit
- $10,808
Cash invested: $35,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Michigan
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 48603
- Rents YoY
- 7.7%
- Active inventory
- 156
- Price-to-rent
- 7.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,428 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$656
- Tax from tax record
- −$69 /mo · $830/yr
- Insurance
- −$52
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$300
- Net cashflow
- $352
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $422 | -5% $387 | +0% $352 | +5% $316 | +10% $281 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $239 | -5% $295 | +0% $352 | +5% $408 | +10% $464 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $415 | -0.5pp $383 | base $352 | +0.5pp $319 | +1.0pp $286 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $31,250
- Closing costs
- $3,750
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4070 Green Isle Way Saginaw, MI | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–1.5 | 950 | $1,350 | $1.42 | 44d | 15 | 1.10mi |
Listing history 4 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $125,000 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $125,000 Active 2 DOM
-
2026-06-17remarks 488-char remark
-
2026-06-17$125,000 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $830 · $69/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,378 · $115/mo
- Expected delta
- +$547/yr (+$46/mo · 66.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥99°F today · 14 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $17,140
- − Mortgage interest
- −$7,002
- − Property taxes
- −$830
- − Insurance
- −$625
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,371
- − Management
- −$1,371
- − Depreciation
- −$3,636
- Taxable income
- $2,305
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$553
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,667/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Saginaw Township Community Schools
- NCES district ID
- 2630450
- Math proficiency
- 27% ▼ -9.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 45% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $48,971
- Composite
- 31.01/100
- National rank
- #6094
- State rank
- #265 of 540 in MI
Livability — Saginaw
- Score
- 63/100
- State rank
- #521
- US rank
- #15424
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Saginaw County · 54,884 people
- City population
- 54,884
- Metro
- Saginaw, MI
- Population (ZIP)
- 27,757
- Household income
- $66,352
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1106.0
Population outlook (Saginaw County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 180,568 people
- By 2030
- 172,302 · -4.6%
- By 2040
- 153,919 · -14.8%
- By 2050
- 135,519 · -24.9%
- By 2075
- 97,199 · -46.2%
- By 2100
- 65,037 · -64.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (70%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 70% Black 12% Hispanic / Latino 10% Asian 5% Two or more races 5%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 8%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 8% Lithuanian 7% Slovak 3%
- Foreign-born
- 6% · Canada, China
- Languages at home
- 93% English-only · Other Indo-European 3% Spanish 2% Other Asian/Pacific 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Saginaw
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 47.7% · R 51.0% · Other 1.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -20.6pp toward R · 2008: 17.3pp · 2024: -3.3pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+3.3 2020: D+0.3 2016: R+1.1 2012: D+11.9 2008: D+17.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -103.35%
- Current HPI
- 152.7507
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 7.71%
- Metro
- Saginaw, MI
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.37%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Automotive Parts | 3 | $48B |
|
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| Automotive | 2 | $372B |
|
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| Chemicals | 1 | $45B |
|
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| Automotive Retail | 1 | $29B |
|
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| Healthcare / Medical Devices | 1 | $23B |
|
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| Automotive Technology | 1 | $20B |
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Price history
+52.6% since first listed25 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-16 Listed $125,000 REALCOMP
- 2026-06-16 Listed $125,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2023-12-20 Sold (Public Records) $108,250 Public Records
- 2023-12-15 Sold (MLS) $108,250 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2023-12-15 Sold (MLS) $108,250 REALCOMP
- 2023-11-16 Pending — REALCOMP
- 2023-11-16 Pending — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2023-11-14 Listed $105,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2023-11-14 Listed $105,000 REALCOMP
- 2020-09-23 Listing Removed — REALCOMP
- 2020-09-23 Listing Removed — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2020-08-17 Price Changed $79,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2020-08-17 Price Changed $79,900 REALCOMP
- 2020-07-28 Price Changed $84,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2020-07-28 Price Changed $84,900 REALCOMP
- 2020-07-09 Relisted — REALCOMP
- 2020-07-09 Relisted — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2020-07-06 Pending — REALCOMP
- 2020-07-06 Pending — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2020-06-29 Listed $87,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2020-06-29 Listed $87,900 REALCOMP
- 2005-04-28 Sold (Public Records) $81,900 Public Records
- 2005-04-01 Listing Removed — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2005-03-31 Sold (MLS) $81,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2005-03-08 Listed $81,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
Property tax history
-0.2%/yrLatest (2025): $830 · -51.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…