17 Old Devereaux St · Natchez, MS
Flood risk No data
- FEMA flood zone
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- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
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- Est. flood insurance / yr
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Fire risk No data
- Est. fire insurance / yr
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Heat risk No data
- Hot days now (above threshold)
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- Hot days in 30 yrs
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Wind risk No data
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
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Air-quality risk No data
- Unhealthy air days now
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- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
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Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +27.6/30.0
- ARV discount +10.3/15.0
- DSCR +9.7/10.0
- 1% rule +7.5/10.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.0/10.0
- Condition / age +1.0/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$279,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Own a piece of history in the Holy Family Catholic Church Historic District. This home, also listed on the National Register of Historic Places, was home to one of the first African American doctors in Natchez and then later became a small school for the neighborhood children. This home features two floors and a finished-out basement. Formally home to the Wharlest Jackson Elks Lodge, many of the rooms were multifunctional for a meeting space. The home has four+ bedrooms and 2+ baths. Lots of the original millwork and, though covered, the original hardwood floors. The front porch has been enclosed so the beautiful mouldings and windows have been preserved from the weather. So many possibilities here - you don't want to miss out.
Key facts
- 0.29 acre lot
- Built 1840
- Listed 111 days
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/3.0-bath single-family listed at $279k. Condition is rated poor.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $837 ($10k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($4k rent vs $279k).
- Recommended offer: $254k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 9.9% vs local median 4.4% in Natchez — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 63/100 on livability (#156 in MS) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, crime B, housing B; Watch: health & safety C-, schools F, amenities F.
- Natchez-Adams School District (town): math 8% / reading 19% proficiency, ranked #114 of 130 in MS (top 88%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 90% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 283 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 6 units permitted in Adams County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Adams County population projected at -21% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $78k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 111 days — a 9% lower offer ($254k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1840 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 111 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
- Built in 1840 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.25% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.89%
- Cash-on-cash
- 12.86%
- DSCR
- 1.57
- GRM
- 6.6
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $297,541
- List price
- $279,000
- Delta
- -6.23%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 2 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 201 Somerset Dr | 0.55mi | 5/3.0 (+1) | 2,887 (-10%) | 10mo | $215,000 | $74 | 45 |
| 307 Winchester Rd | 0.66mi | 3/2.5 (-1) | 2,963 (-7%) | 16mo | $395,000 | $133 | 37 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 2.7%
- Equity multiple
- 1.10×
- Total profit
- $8,145
- Equity at exit
- $41,600
- IRR
- 12.3%
- Equity multiple
- 1.97×
- Total profit
- $75,942
- Equity at exit
- $24,123
Cash invested: $78,120 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Mississippi
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+11
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 39120
- Active inventory
- 283
- Price-to-rent
- 6.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $3,500 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,463
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$349 /mo · $4,185/yr
- Insurance
- −$116
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$735
- Net cashflow
- $837
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $1,030 | -5% $933 | +0% $837 | +5% $740 | +10% $644 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $560 | -5% $699 | +0% $837 | +5% $975 | +10% $1,113 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $977 | -0.5pp $908 | base $837 | +0.5pp $765 | +1.0pp $691 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $69,750
- Closing costs
- $8,370
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 160 Devereaux Dr Natchez, MS | 3.0 | 2.0 | 4000 | $3,500 | $0.88 | 44d | 1 | 0.36mi |
Listing history 2 events
-
2026-05-04status Pending 737-char remark
Show marketing remark (737 chars)
Own a piece of history in the Holy Family Catholic Church Historic District. This home, also listed on the National Register of Historic Places, was home to one of the first African American doctors in Natchez and then later became a small school for the neighborhood children. This home features two floors and a finished-out basement. Formally home to the Wharlest Jackson Elks Lodge, many of the rooms were multifunctional for a meeting space. The home has four+ bedrooms and 2+ baths. Lots of the original millwork and, though covered, the original hardwood floors. The front porch has been enclosed so the beautiful mouldings and windows have been preserved from the weather. So many possibilities here - you don't want to miss out.
-
2026-01-08$279,000 Active 737-char remark
Show marketing remark (737 chars)
Own a piece of history in the Holy Family Catholic Church Historic District. This home, also listed on the National Register of Historic Places, was home to one of the first African American doctors in Natchez and then later became a small school for the neighborhood children. This home features two floors and a finished-out basement. Formally home to the Wharlest Jackson Elks Lodge, many of the rooms were multifunctional for a meeting space. The home has four+ bedrooms and 2+ baths. Lots of the original millwork and, though covered, the original hardwood floors. The front porch has been enclosed so the beautiful mouldings and windows have been preserved from the weather. So many possibilities here - you don't want to miss out.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Nearby sold comps map
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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
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Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $42,000
- − Mortgage interest
- −$15,628
- − Property taxes
- −$4,185
- − Insurance
- −$1,395
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$3,360
- − Management
- −$3,360
- − Depreciation
- −$8,116
- Taxable income
- $5,955
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,429
- After-tax cash flow
- $8,613/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos
This historic home requires extensive repairs and updates to bring it up to modern standards and improve its resale and rental value.
Repairs flagged
- Major roof — Missing shingles and visible damage
- Major exterior walls — Peeling paint and exposed brick
- Major flooring — Worn carpet and potential subfloor issues
- Major windows — Cracked frames and missing glass
Value-add opportunities
- Resale New roof — Critical to safety and appearance
- Resale Exterior paint and repairs — Enhances curb appeal
- Resale Flooring replacement — Improves living space and value
- Resale New windows — Enhances natural light and appearance
- Both HVAC system upgrade — Improves comfort and energy efficiency
- Resale Landscaping and curb appeal — Enhances overall appearance
Renovation cost estimate screening
| Repair item | Severity | Est. cost |
|---|---|---|
| roof · Missing shingles and visible damage | Major | $15,000–50,000 |
| exterior walls · Peeling paint and exposed brick | Major | $15,000–50,000 |
| flooring · Worn carpet and potential subfloor issues | Major | $15,000–50,000 |
| windows · Cracked frames and missing glass | Major | $15,000–50,000 |
| Total estimated repair cost · 4 items | $60,000–200,000 |
Value-add ROI direction
- Resale New roof — Critical to safety and appearance ↑
- Resale Exterior paint and repairs — Enhances curb appeal ↑
- Resale Flooring replacement — Improves living space and value ↑
- Resale New windows — Enhances natural light and appearance ↑
- Both HVAC system upgrade — Improves comfort and energy efficiency ↑
- Resale Landscaping and curb appeal — Enhances overall appearance ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Natchez-Adams School District
- NCES district ID
- 2803030
- Math proficiency
- 8% ▼ -16.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 19% ▼ -5.00%
- Median HH income
- $28,288
- Composite
- 10.41/100
- National rank
- #9785
- State rank
- #114 of 130 in MS
Livability — Natchez
- Score
- 63/100
- State rank
- #156
- US rank
- #15334
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Natchez, MS
- Population (ZIP)
- 29,212
Population outlook (Adams County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 28,614 people
- By 2030
- 27,405 · -4.2%
- By 2040
- 24,914 · -12.9%
- By 2050
- 22,554 · -21.2%
- By 2075
- 17,096 · -40.3%
- By 2100
- 12,156 · -57.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.55)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 56% White 37% Hispanic / Latino 4% Two or more races 2%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 2% Slovak 1% Serbian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 5% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 94% English-only · Spanish 4% Other Asian/Pacific 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Adams
- 2024 margin
- D (+13.9) · D 56.5% · R 42.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -1.7pp toward R · 2008: 15.6pp · 2024: 13.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+13.9 2020: D+16.1 2016: D+14.7 2012: D+18.0 2008: D+15.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -93.67%
- Current HPI
- 112.2371
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- —
- F500 in state
- 0
Price history
2 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-04 Pending — MLSU
- 2026-01-08 Listed $279,000 MLSU
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…