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17 Old Devereaux St
C+ Composite 62.9
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +27.6/30.0
  • ARV discount +10.3/15.0
  • DSCR +9.7/10.0
  • 1% rule +7.5/10.0
  • Livability +3.2/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.0/10.0
  • Condition / age +1.0/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$279,000

17 Old Devereaux St · Natchez, MS 39120
4 bd · 3.0 ba · 3,200 sqft · SingleFamily · 111 Days on market
Built 1840 Poor condition 0.29 ac lot $87/sqft · 6% below area Est $298k · 6% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Own a piece of history in the Holy Family Catholic Church Historic District. This home, also listed on the National Register of Historic Places, was home to one of the first African American doctors in Natchez and then later became a small school for the neighborhood children. This home features two floors and a finished-out basement. Formally home to the Wharlest Jackson Elks Lodge, many of the rooms were multifunctional for a meeting space. The home has four+ bedrooms and 2+ baths. Lots of the original millwork and, though covered, the original hardwood floors. The front porch has been enclosed so the beautiful mouldings and windows have been preserved from the weather. So many possibilities here - you don't want to miss out.

Key facts

  • 0.29 acre lot
  • Built 1840
  • Listed 111 days

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/3.0-bath single-family listed at $279k. Condition is rated poor.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $837 ($10k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($4k rent vs $279k).
  • Recommended offer: $254k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 9.9% vs local median 4.4% in Natchez — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 63/100 on livability (#156 in MS) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, crime B, housing B; Watch: health & safety C-, schools F, amenities F.
  • Natchez-Adams School District (town): math 8% / reading 19% proficiency, ranked #114 of 130 in MS (top 88%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 90% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: 283 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 6 units permitted in Adams County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Adams County population projected at -21% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $78k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 111 days — a 9% lower offer ($254k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1840 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $253,890 (9.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 111 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
  3. Built in 1840 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.25%
Cap rate
9.89%
Cash-on-cash
12.86%
DSCR
1.57
GRM
6.6

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$297,541
List price
$279,000
Delta
-6.23%
Verdict
FAIR
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 2 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
201 Somerset Dr 0.55mi 5/3.0 (+1) 2,887 (-10%) 10mo $215,000 $74 45
307 Winchester Rd 0.66mi 3/2.5 (-1) 2,963 (-7%) 16mo $395,000 $133 37

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
2.7%
Equity multiple
1.10×
Total profit
$8,145
Equity at exit
$41,600
10-year hold
IRR
12.3%
Equity multiple
1.97×
Total profit
$75,942
Equity at exit
$24,123

Cash invested: $78,120 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Mississippi
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+11
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; very landlord-favorable; no rent control.

ZIP-level market 39120

Active inventory
283
Price-to-rent
6.6×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$3,500 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,463
Tax est. 1.5%
$349 /mo · $4,185/yr
Insurance
$116
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$735
Net cashflow
$837

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,441
Max offer price $279,000
Occupancy floor 71%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $1,030 -5% $933 +0% $837 +5% $740 +10% $644
Rent -10% $560 -5% $699 +0% $837 +5% $975 +10% $1,113
Rate -1.0pp $977 -0.5pp $908 base $837 +0.5pp $765 +1.0pp $691

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$69,750
Closing costs
$8,370
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 1 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
160 Devereaux Dr Natchez, MS 3.0 2.0 4000 $3,500 $0.88 44d 1 0.36mi

Listing history 2 events

  1. 2026-05-04
    status Pending 737-char remark
    Show marketing remark (737 chars)

    Own a piece of history in the Holy Family Catholic Church Historic District. This home, also listed on the National Register of Historic Places, was home to one of the first African American doctors in Natchez and then later became a small school for the neighborhood children. This home features two floors and a finished-out basement. Formally home to the Wharlest Jackson Elks Lodge, many of the rooms were multifunctional for a meeting space. The home has four+ bedrooms and 2+ baths. Lots of the original millwork and, though covered, the original hardwood floors. The front porch has been enclosed so the beautiful mouldings and windows have been preserved from the weather. So many possibilities here - you don't want to miss out.

  2. 2026-01-08
    listed $279,000 Active 737-char remark
    Show marketing remark (737 chars)

    Own a piece of history in the Holy Family Catholic Church Historic District. This home, also listed on the National Register of Historic Places, was home to one of the first African American doctors in Natchez and then later became a small school for the neighborhood children. This home features two floors and a finished-out basement. Formally home to the Wharlest Jackson Elks Lodge, many of the rooms were multifunctional for a meeting space. The home has four+ bedrooms and 2+ baths. Lots of the original millwork and, though covered, the original hardwood floors. The front porch has been enclosed so the beautiful mouldings and windows have been preserved from the weather. So many possibilities here - you don't want to miss out.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$42,000
− Mortgage interest
−$15,628
− Property taxes
−$4,185
− Insurance
−$1,395
− Repairs & maintenance
−$3,360
− Management
−$3,360
− Depreciation
−$8,116
Taxable income
$5,955
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,429
After-tax cash flow
$8,613/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos

Poor 20/100 Extensive rehab

This historic home requires extensive repairs and updates to bring it up to modern standards and improve its resale and rental value.

Repairs flagged

  • Major roof — Missing shingles and visible damage
  • Major exterior walls — Peeling paint and exposed brick
  • Major flooring — Worn carpet and potential subfloor issues
  • Major windows — Cracked frames and missing glass

Value-add opportunities

  • Resale New roof — Critical to safety and appearance
  • Resale Exterior paint and repairs — Enhances curb appeal
  • Resale Flooring replacement — Improves living space and value
  • Resale New windows — Enhances natural light and appearance
  • Both HVAC system upgrade — Improves comfort and energy efficiency
  • Resale Landscaping and curb appeal — Enhances overall appearance

Renovation cost estimate screening

Repair itemSeverityEst. cost
roof · Missing shingles and visible damage Major $15,000–50,000
exterior walls · Peeling paint and exposed brick Major $15,000–50,000
flooring · Worn carpet and potential subfloor issues Major $15,000–50,000
windows · Cracked frames and missing glass Major $15,000–50,000
Total estimated repair cost · 4 items $60,000–200,000

Value-add ROI direction

  • Resale New roof — Critical to safety and appearance
  • Resale Exterior paint and repairs — Enhances curb appeal
  • Resale Flooring replacement — Improves living space and value
  • Resale New windows — Enhances natural light and appearance
  • Both HVAC system upgrade — Improves comfort and energy efficiency
  • Resale Landscaping and curb appeal — Enhances overall appearance

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Natchez-Adams School District
NCES district ID
2803030
Math proficiency
8% ▼ -16.00%
Reading proficiency
19% ▼ -5.00%
Median HH income
$28,288
Composite
10.41/100
National rank
#9785
State rank
#114 of 130 in MS

Livability — Natchez

Score
63/100
State rank
#156
US rank
#15334

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime B Employment F Housing B Health & safety C- User ratings B+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Natchez, MS
Population (ZIP)
29,212

Population outlook (Adams County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
28,614 people
By 2030
27,405 · -4.2%
By 2040
24,914 · -12.9%
By 2050
22,554 · -21.2%
By 2075
17,096 · -40.3%
By 2100
12,156 · -57.5%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.55)
Race & ethnicity
Black 56% White 37% Hispanic / Latino 4% Two or more races 2%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 2% Slovak 1% Serbian 1%
Foreign-born
5% · Canada
Languages at home
94% English-only · Spanish 4% Other Asian/Pacific 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Adams

2024 margin
D (+13.9) · D 56.5% · R 42.6%
2008→2024 swing
-1.7pp toward R · 2008: 15.6pp · 2024: 13.9pp
All cycles
2024: D+13.9 2020: D+16.1 2016: D+14.7 2012: D+18.0 2008: D+15.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -93.67%
Current HPI
112.2371
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
F500 in state
0

Price history

2 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-04 Pending MLSU
  • 2026-01-08 Listed $279,000 MLSU

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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