4350 Lilac St Unit B · Palm Beach Gardens, FL
Flood risk 6/10 · Moderate
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.67%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 10/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 106°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 25 days/yr
Wind risk 10/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +25.0/30.0
- DSCR +8.2/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- 1% rule +7.2/10.0
- Schools +4.3/10.0
- Livability +3.5/5.0
- Rent growth +3.1/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$299,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Great 2/2 townhome located in the heart of Palm Beach Gardens. Move-in ready. Both full bathrooms have been upgraded and the entire unit has been freshly painted. New flooring throughout with wood-look tile in the main living areas and new carpet in both bedrooms. BRAND NEW A/C IN 2019. Within walking distance to the popular Palm Beach Gardens Green Market and just minutes from all major shopping, dining, and so many other local hot spots.
Key facts
- $200 HOA
- 2 parking spots
- Built 1976
Property features AI
Finance
- Financial info: Pets allowed with no restrictions
- HOA & community: HOA with $200 monthly fee; HOA covers insurance, common areas, and reserve funds; Association amenities: Other
Exterior
- Parking: Assigned parking; 2 open parking spaces
- Security: Security system
- Utilities: Cable available
- Home design: Townhouse; 2 stories; Resale property; Not waterfront
- Construction: CBS construction
- Exterior features: Patio; Fenced
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Electric range; Microwave; Refrigerator
- Bedrooms: No main-level bedrooms
- Flooring: Carpet; Ceramic tile
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms; 1 main-level bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central air; Ceiling fan(s)
- Interior features: Walk-in closet(s); Sliding windows
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath townhouse listed at $299k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $654 ($8k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($4k rent vs $299k).
- Recommended offer: $272k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 69/100 on livability (#464 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, employment A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, cost of living F.
- Palm Beach (suburban): math 46% / reading 53% proficiency, ranked #34 of 73 in FL (top 47%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Palm Beach Gardens Elementary School (math 67% / reading 66%, grade B+, #473 of 2,144 statewide, top 23%, 652 students, 49% FRL); Watson B. Duncan Middle School (math 54% / reading 59%, grade B, #171 of 571 statewide, top 30%, 1,157 students, 41% FRL); Palm Beach Gardens High School (math 19% / reading 40%, grade F, #447 of 667 statewide, top 68%, 2,570 students, 61% FRL) — zoned schools at 50% FRL track the district average.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.5%/yr); 303 active listings in the ZIP; 35 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 3,974 units permitted in Palm Beach County in 2024 (1,012 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $3,645/mo this rent would consume 46% of the median local household income ($95k/yr) (locally 1429% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $9k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Palm Beach County population projected at +30% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 99 days — a 9% lower offer ($272k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts since 7y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $165k; list at $299k implies a 81% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk; severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→25/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 99 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1976 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.22% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.92%
- Cash-on-cash
- 9.38%
- DSCR
- 1.42
- GRM
- 6.8
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 2.49% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -2.7%
- Equity multiple
- 0.90×
- Total profit
- $-8,491
- Equity at exit
- $44,582
- IRR
- 6.4%
- Equity multiple
- 1.47×
- Total profit
- $39,322
- Equity at exit
- $25,852
Cash invested: $83,720 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 33410
- Rents YoY
- 2.5%
- Active inventory
- 303
- Price-to-rent
- 6.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $3,645 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,568
- Tax from tax record
- −$333 /mo · $3,996/yr
- Insurance
- −$125
- HOA
- −$200
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$766
- Net cashflow
- $654
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $74,750
- Closing costs
- $8,970
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 35 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4120 Union Square Blvd Palm Beach Gardens, FL | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1035 | $2,632 | $2.54 | 2d | 92 | 0.59mi |
| 9627 Althea Way Palm Beach Gardens, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1540 | $6,200 | $4.03 | 24d | 1 | 0.62mi |
| 9507 Bellewood St Palm Beach Gardens, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1200 | $5,000 | $4.17 | 20d | 1 | 0.75mi |
| 4295 Crestdale St Palm Beach Gardens, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1366 | $4,500 | $3.29 | 24d | 1 | 0.80mi |
| 9446 Birmingham Dr Palm Beach Gardens, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1092 | $3,250 | $2.98 | 5d | 1 | 0.85mi |
| 2750 Rio Vista Blvd Palm Beach Gardens, FL | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 925 | $2,999 | $3.24 | 3d | 27 | 0.86mi |
| 4358 Birdwood St Palm Beach Gardens, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1232 | $5,000 | $4.06 | 24d | 1 | 0.88mi |
| 4292 Birdwood St Palm Beach Gardens, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1232 | $3,800 | $3.08 | 24d | 1 | 0.88mi |
| 418 Capistrano Dr Palm Beach Gardens, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1570 | $3,600 | $2.29 | 24d | 1 | 0.96mi |
| 4538 Arthur St Palm Beach Gardens, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1336 | $2,900 | $2.17 | 24d | 1 | 1.00mi |
| 3955 Design Center Dr Palm Beach Gardens, FL | 3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 996 | $3,514 | $3.53 | 2d | 25 | 1.01mi |
| 3660 RCA Blvd Palm Beach Gardens, FL | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1524 | $6,849 | $4.49 | 1d | 30 | 1.02mi |
| 4907 Midtown Ln #1211 Palm Beach Gardens, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1134 | $3,350 | $2.95 | 4d | 1 | 1.03mi |
| 11028 Legacy Dr #203 Palm Beach Gardens, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1309 | $4,000 | $3.06 | 24d | 1 | 1.04mi |
| 11024 Legacy Dr #104 Palm Beach Gardens, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1345 | $6,000 | $4.46 | 24d | 1 | 1.05mi |
| 7102 Geminata Oak Ct Unit 7102 Palm Beach Gardens, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1152 | $3,200 | $2.78 | 8d | 1 | 1.06mi |
| 9147 Reed Dr Unit A Palm Beach Gardens, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1400 | $3,400 | $2.43 | 5d | 1 | 1.10mi |
| 2407 24th Ln Palm Beach Gardens, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1596 | $2,900 | $1.82 | 24d | 1 | 1.14mi |
| 2407 24th Ln Palm Beach Gardens, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1596 | $2,900 | $1.82 | 15d | 1 | 1.14mi |
| 11011 Legacy Dr #306 Palm Beach Gardens, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1403 | $4,350 | $3.10 | 24d | 1 | 1.14mi |
| 2410 24th Ln Palm Beach Gardens, FL | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1596 | $3,000 | $1.88 | 5d | 1 | 1.15mi |
| 5250 Woodland Lakes Dr #130 Palm Beach Gardens, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1287 | $2,950 | $2.29 | 24d | 1 | 1.16mi |
| 9121 E Highland Pines Dr Palm Beach Gardens, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1540 | $2,950 | $1.92 | 19d | 1 | 1.18mi |
| 10201 Chapman Oak Ct Palm Beach Gardens, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1152 | $4,000 | $3.47 | 24d | 1 | 1.18mi |
| 9130 E Highland Pines Blvd Unit 1326856P Palm Beach Gardens, FL | 2.0–4.0 | 2.0–4.0 | 1721 | $3,696 | $2.15 | 3d | 2 | 1.19mi |
| 9126 E Highland Pines Blvd Unit 1326848P Palm Beach Gardens, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1496 | $5,292 | $3.54 | 3d | 1 | 1.20mi |
| 11023 Legacy Ln #204 Palm Beach Gardens, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1309 | $3,500 | $2.67 | 24d | 1 | 1.22mi |
| 403 4th Ln Palm Beach Gardens, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1596 | $2,950 | $1.85 | 24d | 1 | 1.23mi |
| 11021 Legacy Ln #303 Palm Beach Gardens, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1403 | $2,950 | $2.10 | 24d | 1 | 1.24mi |
| 11556 Winchester Dr Unit 29c Palm Beach Gardens, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1562 | $2,950 | $1.89 | 24d | 1 | 1.36mi |
| 4348 Hazel Ave Palm Beach Gardens, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1740 | $4,200 | $2.41 | 24d | 1 | 1.38mi |
| 10174 Plum St Palm Beach Gardens, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1546 | $3,800 | $2.46 | 24d | 1 | 1.43mi |
| 4289 S Mary Cir Palm Beach Gardens, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1246 | $2,850 | $2.29 | 24d | 1 | 1.47mi |
| 222 E Tall Oaks Cir Palm Beach Gardens, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1577 | $5,000 | $3.17 | 22d | 1 | 1.47mi |
| 1128 Rainwood Cir W Palm Beach Gardens, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1650 | $4,200 | $2.55 | 22d | 1 | 1.50mi |
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $200 · $2,400/yr
Listing history 19 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $299,000 Active 99 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $299,000 Active 98 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $299,000 Active 97 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $299,000 Active 96 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $299,000 Active 94 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $299,000 Active 90 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $299,000 Active 89 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $299,000 Active 88 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $299,000 Active 85 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $299,000 Active 84 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $299,000 Active 83 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $299,000 Active 82 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $299,000 Active 81 DOM
-
2026-02-24$299,000 Active
-
2019-12-04soldstatus $165,000
-
2019-11-22soldstatus $165,000 Closed 443-char remark
Show marketing remark (443 chars)
Great 2/2 townhome located in the heart of Palm Beach Gardens. Move-in ready. Both full bathrooms have been upgraded and the entire unit has been freshly painted. New flooring throughout with wood-look tile in the main living areas and new carpet in both bedrooms. BRAND NEW A/C IN 2019. Within walking distance to the popular Palm Beach Gardens Green Market and just minutes from all major shopping, dining, and so many other local hot spots.
-
2019-11-11historical Contingent 443-char remark
Show marketing remark (443 chars)
Great 2/2 townhome located in the heart of Palm Beach Gardens. Move-in ready. Both full bathrooms have been upgraded and the entire unit has been freshly painted. New flooring throughout with wood-look tile in the main living areas and new carpet in both bedrooms. BRAND NEW A/C IN 2019. Within walking distance to the popular Palm Beach Gardens Green Market and just minutes from all major shopping, dining, and so many other local hot spots.
-
2019-10-29$174,000 Active 443-char remark
Show marketing remark (443 chars)
Great 2/2 townhome located in the heart of Palm Beach Gardens. Move-in ready. Both full bathrooms have been upgraded and the entire unit has been freshly painted. New flooring throughout with wood-look tile in the main living areas and new carpet in both bedrooms. BRAND NEW A/C IN 2019. Within walking distance to the popular Palm Beach Gardens Green Market and just minutes from all major shopping, dining, and so many other local hot spots.
-
1986-03-01soldstatus $47,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $3,996 · $333/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $3,996 · $333/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 6/10 Major FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 67% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 25 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $43,744
- − Mortgage interest
- −$16,749
- − Property taxes
- −$3,996
- − Insurance
- −$1,495
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$3,500
- − Management
- −$3,500
- − HOA
- −$2,400
- − Depreciation
- −$8,698
- Taxable income
- $3,407
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$818
- After-tax cash flow
- $7,033/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Palm Beach
- NCES district ID
- 1201500
- Math proficiency
- 46% ▼ -16.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 53% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $53,943
- Composite
- 42.72/100
- National rank
- #3160
- State rank
- #34 of 73 in FL
Livability — Palm Beach Gardens
- Score
- 69/100
- State rank
- #464
- US rank
- #8366
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Palm Beach Gardens, FL
- County
- Palm Beach County · 1,438,312 people
- City population
- 96,294
- Metro
- Miami-Fort Lauderdale-Pompano Beach, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 36,759
- Household income
- $94,530
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1429.0
Population outlook (Palm Beach County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,637,487 people
- By 2030
- 1,743,255 · +6.5%
- By 2040
- 1,948,712 · +19.0%
- By 2050
- 2,132,979 · +30.3%
- By 2075
- 2,530,027 · +54.5%
- By 2100
- 2,706,979 · +65.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (70%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 70% Hispanic / Latino 15% Two or more races 13% Black 5% Asian 4%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 2% Puerto Rican 2% Cuban 3%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 4% Lithuanian 3% Slovak 2%
- Foreign-born
- 17% · Canada, Jamaica, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 78% English-only · Spanish 13% French/Haitian/Cajun 3% Other Indo-European 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Palm Beach
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 50.0% · R 49.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -22.1pp toward R · 2008: 22.9pp · 2024: 0.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+0.8 2020: D+12.8 2016: D+15.3 2012: D+17.0 2008: D+22.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -346.12%
- Current HPI
- 375.5381
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 2.49%
- Metro
- Miami-Fort Lauderdale-Pompano Beach, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
|
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| Retail | 1 | $60B |
|
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| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
|
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| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
|
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| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
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Price history
+536.2% since first listed6 events — show timeline
- 2026-02-24 Listed $299,000 Beaches MLS
- 2019-12-04 Sold (Public Records) $165,000 Public Records
- 2019-11-22 Sold (MLS) $165,000 Beaches MLS
- 2019-11-11 Contingent — Beaches MLS
- 2019-10-29 Listed $174,000 Beaches MLS
- 1986-03-01 Sold (Public Records) $47,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+13.5%/yrLatest (2025): $3,996 · +7.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…