16663 89th Pl N · The Acreage, FL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 9/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 107°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 25 days/yr
Wind risk 10/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +11.0/30.0
- ARV discount +10.1/15.0
- Rent growth +4.4/5.0
- Schools +4.3/10.0
- Livability +3.4/5.0
- 1% rule +3.3/10.0
- DSCR +3.2/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$550,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
HOME HAS A PRIVATE ENTRANCE WITH GATE.
Key facts
- 1.14 acre lot
- Garage
- Built 2001
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Pets allowed with no restrictions
- Financial info: No land lease
Exterior
- Parking: Converted garage; Driveway; Parking for 4 vehicles
- Utilities: Well water; Septic tank; Electricity available; Water available
- Home design: Single-family residence; One story; Faces west; Resale property
- Construction: Built with concrete block and stucco (CBS); Stucco exterior; Shingle roof; 1,792 total building area
- Exterior features: Screened patio; Patio
Interior
- Kitchen: Electric range; Dishwasher; Disposal; Microwave; Refrigerator; Electric water heater
- Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms on the main level
- Flooring: Ceramic tile; Laminate; Marble; Wood
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms (main level)
- Heating & cooling: Central air; Ceiling fans
- Interior features: Ceiling fans; Skylights; Blinds; French doors; Satellite dish
- Laundry & utility: Interior laundry room with washer hookup
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $550k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-231 ($-3k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $509k (7.4% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $459k (16.6% below list).
- Recommended offer: $459k (16.6% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 67/100 on livability (#550 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, employment A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, cost of living F.
- Palm Beach (suburban): math 46% / reading 53% proficiency, ranked #34 of 73 in FL (top 47%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Frontier Elementary School (math 69% / reading 76%, grade A, #281 of 2,144 statewide, top 13%, 688 students, 39% FRL); Osceola Creek Middle School (math 53% / reading 54%, grade C+, #205 of 571 statewide, top 36%, 835 students, 41% FRL); Seminole Ridge Community High School (math 36% / reading 56%, grade D-, #220 of 667 statewide, top 33%, 2,262 students, 36% FRL).
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+7.7%/yr); 599 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; high-income renter base; 3,974 units permitted in Palm Beach County in 2024 (1,012 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $4,586/mo this rent would consume 45% of the median local household income ($122k/yr) (locally 43% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $4k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $16k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Palm Beach County population projected at +30% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 43 days — a 3% lower offer ($534k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts since 23y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $181k; list at $550k implies a 204% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→25/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 43 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 17% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.83% ✗
- Cap rate
- 5.79%
- Cash-on-cash
- -1.80%
- DSCR
- 0.92
- GRM
- 10.0
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $584,192
- Comps found
- 1
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17354 90th St N | 0.73mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 2,057 (+15%) | 16mo | $670,000 | $326 | 23 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 7.68% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -14.1%
- Equity multiple
- 0.47×
- Total profit
- $-81,110
- Equity at exit
- $82,007
- IRR
- 1.0%
- Equity multiple
- 1.08×
- Total profit
- $13,085
- Equity at exit
- $47,554
Cash invested: $154,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 33470
- Home prices YoY
- -23.3%
- Rents YoY
- 7.7%
- Active inventory
- 599
- Price-to-rent
- 10.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $4,586 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$2,884
- Tax from tax record
- −$740 /mo · $8,885/yr
- Insurance
- −$229
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$963
- Net cashflow
- $-231
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $81 | -5% $-75 | +0% $-231 | +5% $-387 | +10% $-542 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-593 | -5% $-412 | +0% $-231 | +5% $-50 | +10% $131 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $46 | -0.5pp $-91 | base $-231 | +0.5pp $-373 | +1.0pp $-518 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $137,500
- Closing costs
- $16,500
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 2 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15845 83rd Ln N Loxahatchee, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1850 | $3,999 | $2.16 | 20d | 1 | 0.92mi |
| 15854 Tangelo Blvd West Palm Beach, FL | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1911 | $4,000 | $2.09 | 26d | 1 | 0.98mi |
Listing history 19 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $550,000 Active 43 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $550,000 Active 40 DOM
-
2026-06-17pricedays on market $550,000 Active 39 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $565,000 Active 38 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $565,000 Active 37 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $565,000 Active 35 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $565,000 Active 31 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $565,000 Active 30 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $565,000 Active 29 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $565,000 Active 26 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $565,000 Active 25 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $565,000 Active 24 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $565,000 Active 23 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $565,000 Active 22 DOM
-
2026-05-09$565,000 Active
-
2003-08-01soldstatus $181,000 38-char remark
Show marketing remark (38 chars)
HOME HAS A PRIVATE ENTRANCE WITH GATE.
-
2003-08-01soldstatus $181,000
Show marketing remark (38 chars)
HOME HAS A PRIVATE ENTRANCE WITH GATE.
-
2003-07-24historical 38-char remark
Show marketing remark (38 chars)
HOME HAS A PRIVATE ENTRANCE WITH GATE.
-
2003-06-23$179,000 38-char remark
Show marketing remark (38 chars)
HOME HAS A PRIVATE ENTRANCE WITH GATE.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $8,885 · $740/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $8,885 · $740/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 25 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $55,033
- − Mortgage interest
- −$30,809
- − Property taxes
- −$8,885
- − Insurance
- −$2,750
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$4,403
- − Management
- −$4,403
- − Depreciation
- −$16,000
- Taxable loss
- −$12,216
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$2,932
- After-tax cash flow
- $162/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Palm Beach
- NCES district ID
- 1201500
- Math proficiency
- 46% ▼ -16.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 53% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $53,943
- Composite
- 42.72/100
- National rank
- #3160
- State rank
- #34 of 73 in FL
Livability — The Acreage
- Score
- 67/100
- State rank
- #550
- US rank
- #10381
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- The Acreage, FL
- County
- Palm Beach County · 1,438,312 people
- Metro
- Miami-Fort Lauderdale-Pompano Beach, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 35,610
- Household income
- $122,163
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 43.0
Population outlook (Palm Beach County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,637,487 people
- By 2030
- 1,743,255 · +6.5%
- By 2040
- 1,948,712 · +19.0%
- By 2050
- 2,132,979 · +30.3%
- By 2075
- 2,530,027 · +54.5%
- By 2100
- 2,706,979 · +65.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.58)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 59% Hispanic / Latino 24% Two or more races 16% Black 10% Asian 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 2% Puerto Rican 5% Cuban 6% Dominican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 3% Romanian 2% Italian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 19% · Canada, Jamaica
- Languages at home
- 77% English-only · Spanish 18% French/Haitian/Cajun 2% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Palm Beach
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 50.0% · R 49.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -22.1pp toward R · 2008: 22.9pp · 2024: 0.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+0.8 2020: D+12.8 2016: D+15.3 2012: D+17.0 2008: D+22.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -124.68%
- Current HPI
- 410.2689
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 7.68%
- Metro
- Miami-Fort Lauderdale-Pompano Beach, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
|
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| Retail | 1 | $60B |
|
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| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
|
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| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
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| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
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Price history
+215.6% since first listed5 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-09 Listed $565,000 Beaches MLS
- 2003-08-01 Sold (Public Records) $181,000 Public Records
- 2003-08-01 Sold (MLS) $181,000 Beaches MLS
- 2003-07-24 Listing Removed — Beaches MLS
- 2003-06-23 Listed $179,000 Beaches MLS
Property tax history
+10.1%/yrLatest (2025): $8,885 · +3.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…