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9487 Us Highway 522 S
D+ Composite 48.6
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +18.4/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • DSCR +5.8/10.0
  • 1% rule +5.7/10.0
  • Schools +3.2/10.0
  • Livability +3.0/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$99,900

9487 Us Highway 522 S · Granville, PA 17044
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 929 sqft · Other public records · 112 Days on market
Built 1936 0.79 ac lot $108/sqft · 42% above area ↓ 23% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Investment opportunity! Two separate homes on one property. Both homes have newer hard wood floors throughout first level. Roof and windows replaced on both houses in 2012. Mountain views in a quiet area, yet close to restaurants and stores.

Key facts

  • Mountain views
  • 0.79 acre lot
  • Built 1936

Tags

NEWER HARD WOOD FLOORSMOUNTAIN VIEWS

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath other listed at $100k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $93 ($1k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $100k).
  • Recommended offer: $91k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 59/100 on livability (#1,537 in PA) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, employment B; Watch: crime C-, schools F, amenities F.
  • Mifflin County SD (town): math 28% / reading 49% proficiency, ranked #380 of 539 in PA (top 70%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 73 active listings in the ZIP; 58 units permitted in Mifflin County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $691 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Mifflin County population projected at -18% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 112 days — a 9% lower offer ($91k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1936 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $90,909 (9.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 112 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1936 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.07%
Cap rate
7.41%
Cash-on-cash
4.00%
DSCR
1.18
GRM
7.8

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$55,687
List price
$99,900
Delta
79.40%
Verdict
OVERPRICED
Comps
1 within 2.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-10.0%
Equity multiple
0.64×
Total profit
$-10,188
Equity at exit
$14,895
10-year hold
IRR
-0.5%
Equity multiple
0.96×
Total profit
$-993
Equity at exit
$8,638

Cash invested: $27,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Pennsylvania
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day notice; Philadelphia has eviction-court diversion + some protections; otherwise moderate.

ZIP-level market 17044

Home prices YoY
-6.7%
Active inventory
73
Price-to-rent
7.8×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,073 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$524
Tax from tax record
$189 /mo · $2,266/yr
Insurance
$42
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$225
Net cashflow
$93

Break-even live

Break-even rent $955
Max offer price $99,900
Occupancy floor 86%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $150 -5% $122 +0% $93 +5% $65 +10% $37
Rent -10% $9 -5% $51 +0% $93 +5% $136 +10% $178
Rate -1.0pp $144 -0.5pp $119 base $93 +0.5pp $67 +1.0pp $41

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$24,975
Closing costs
$2,997
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 9 events

  1. 2026-05-04
    status Pending 241-char remark
    Show marketing remark (241 chars)

    Investment opportunity! Two separate homes on one property. Both homes have newer hard wood floors throughout first level. Roof and windows replaced on both houses in 2012. Mountain views in a quiet area, yet close to restaurants and stores.

  2. 2026-03-18
    price $99,900 241-char remark
    Show marketing remark (241 chars)

    Investment opportunity! Two separate homes on one property. Both homes have newer hard wood floors throughout first level. Roof and windows replaced on both houses in 2012. Mountain views in a quiet area, yet close to restaurants and stores.

  3. 2026-01-12
    listed $105,000 Active 241-char remark
    Show marketing remark (241 chars)

    Investment opportunity! Two separate homes on one property. Both homes have newer hard wood floors throughout first level. Roof and windows replaced on both houses in 2012. Mountain views in a quiet area, yet close to restaurants and stores.

  4. 2025-08-20
    historical
  5. 2025-06-23
    price $115,000
  6. 2025-04-09
    price $117,000
  7. 2025-03-24
    price $120,000
  8. 2025-03-04
    price $125,000
  9. 2025-02-17
    listed $130,000 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$2,266 · $189/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,266 · $189/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥98°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 0% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$12,876
− Mortgage interest
−$5,596
− Property taxes
−$2,266
− Insurance
−$500
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,030
− Management
−$1,030
− Depreciation
−$2,906
Taxable loss
−$452
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$108
After-tax cash flow
$1,228/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Mifflin County SD
NCES district ID
4215290
Math proficiency
28% ▼ -7.00%
Reading proficiency
49% ▼ -9.00%
Median HH income
$40,718
Composite
32.28/100
National rank
#5755
State rank
#380 of 539 in PA

Livability — Granville

Score
59/100
State rank
#1537
US rank
#20227

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime C- Employment B Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

City population
254
Population (ZIP)
20,526

Population outlook (Mifflin County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
44,611 people
By 2030
43,212 · -3.1%
By 2040
40,197 · -9.9%
By 2050
36,813 · -17.5%
By 2075
28,833 · -35.4%
By 2100
20,296 · -54.5%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (92%)
Race & ethnicity
White 92% Two or more races 6% Hispanic / Latino 3%
Common ancestry
Romanian 2% Polish 2% Serbian 1%
Foreign-born
1%
Languages at home
97% English-only · Spanish 1% German/W. Germanic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Mifflin

2024 margin
Solid R (+56.4) · D 21.4% · R 77.9%
2008→2024 swing
-22.8pp toward R · 2008: -33.7pp · 2024: -56.4pp
All cycles
2024: R+56.4 2020: R+56.1 2016: R+57.5 2012: R+46.8 2008: R+33.7

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -15.27%
Current HPI
214.2729
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.68%
F500 in state
34

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-23.2% since first listed
9 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-04 Pending BRIGHT MLS
  • 2026-03-18 Price Changed $99,900 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2026-01-12 Listed $105,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2025-08-20 Listing Removed BRIGHT MLS
  • 2025-06-23 Price Changed $115,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2025-04-09 Price Changed $117,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2025-03-24 Price Changed $120,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2025-03-04 Price Changed $125,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2025-02-17 Listed $130,000 BRIGHT MLS

Property tax history

+0.6%/yr

Latest (2026): $2,266 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…