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19196 Fillmore Rd
C+ Composite 61.52
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +27.1/30.0
  • DSCR +9.4/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • 1% rule +7.3/10.0
  • Livability +2.9/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.4/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$149,900

19196 Fillmore Rd · Stanwood, MI 49346
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,124 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 27 Days on market
Built 1985 2.00 ac lot

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Beautifully updated and maintained Home in Stanwood, 2 bedroom, 2 bath 1985 single wide home with addition entryway, fencing, one car newer garage, sidewalks, covered porch, and a metal roof, all on 2 Acres in a country setting. .. The country views are sweeping. Just a few miles from old 131 and expressway 131. Large cement pad from a removed outbuilding that you could use in many ways.

Key facts

  • 2 acre lot
  • Garage
  • Built 1985

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Detached 1-car garage
  • Utilities: Well water; Electric utilities
  • Home design: Ranch-style residential property; Built in 1985
  • Construction: Vinyl siding; Metal roof; Crawl space foundation
  • Exterior features: 2.0-acre lot

Interior

  • Kitchen: Dishwasher; Range; Refrigerator
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating
  • Interior features: Eat-in kitchen; LP tank (rented); Window screens; Total of 8 rooms
  • Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer; Electric water heater

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $150k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $423 ($5k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $150k).
  • Recommended offer: $148k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 57/100 on livability (#654 in MI) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools F, crime F, amenities F.
  • Morley Stanwood Community Schools (rural): math 24% / reading 33% proficiency, ranked #390 of 540 in MI (top 72%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Market conditions: 196 active listings in the ZIP; 116 units permitted in Mecosta County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Mecosta County population projected to shrink 9% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $42k cash investment doubles in ~10 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 27 days — a 2% lower offer ($148k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 12 sale attempts since 24y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $35k; list at $150k implies a 328% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Recommended offer $147,651 (1.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  2. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  3. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.23%
Cap rate
9.68%
Cash-on-cash
12.09%
DSCR
1.54
GRM
6.8

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
1.7%
Equity multiple
1.06×
Total profit
$2,677
Equity at exit
$22,351
10-year hold
IRR
11.3%
Equity multiple
1.88×
Total profit
$37,132
Equity at exit
$12,961

Cash invested: $41,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Michigan
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
7-day pay-or-quit; mixed climate; Detroit/AA have some protections.

ZIP-level market 49346

Home prices YoY
-27.2%
Active inventory
196
Price-to-rent
6.8×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,847 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$786
Tax est. 1.5%
$187 /mo · $2,248/yr
Insurance
$62
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$388
Net cashflow
$423

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,311
Max offer price $149,900
Occupancy floor 72%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $527 -5% $475 +0% $423 +5% $371 +10% $319
Rent -10% $277 -5% $350 +0% $423 +5% $496 +10% $569
Rate -1.0pp $498 -0.5pp $461 base $423 +0.5pp $384 +1.0pp $345

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$37,475
Closing costs
$4,497
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 29 events

  1. 2026-05-07
    status Pending 391-char remark
    Show marketing remark (390 chars)

    Beautifully updated and maintained Home in Stanwood, 2 bedroom, 2 bath 1985 single wide home with addition entryway, fencing, one car newer garage, sidewalks, covered porch, and a metal roof, all on 2 Acres in a country setting. .. The country views are sweeping. Just a few miles from old 131 and expressway 131. Large cement pad from a removed outbuilding that you could use in many ways.

  2. 2026-05-07
    status Pending 390-char remark
    Show marketing remark (390 chars)

    Beautifully updated and maintained Home in Stanwood, 2 bedroom, 2 bath 1985 single wide home with addition entryway, fencing, one car newer garage, sidewalks, covered porch, and a metal roof, all on 2 Acres in a country setting. .. The country views are sweeping. Just a few miles from old 131 and expressway 131. Large cement pad from a removed outbuilding that you could use in many ways.

  3. 2026-05-07
    status Pending
    Show marketing remark (390 chars)

    Beautifully updated and maintained Home in Stanwood, 2 bedroom, 2 bath 1985 single wide home with addition entryway, fencing, one car newer garage, sidewalks, covered porch, and a metal roof, all on 2 Acres in a country setting. .. The country views are sweeping. Just a few miles from old 131 and expressway 131. Large cement pad from a removed outbuilding that you could use in many ways.

  4. 2026-04-30
    historical Active Under Contract 391-char remark
    Show marketing remark (390 chars)

    Beautifully updated and maintained Home in Stanwood, 2 bedroom, 2 bath 1985 single wide home with addition entryway, fencing, one car newer garage, sidewalks, covered porch, and a metal roof, all on 2 Acres in a country setting. .. The country views are sweeping. Just a few miles from old 131 and expressway 131. Large cement pad from a removed outbuilding that you could use in many ways.

  5. 2026-04-30
    historical Accepting Backup Offers 390-char remark
    Show marketing remark (390 chars)

    Beautifully updated and maintained Home in Stanwood, 2 bedroom, 2 bath 1985 single wide home with addition entryway, fencing, one car newer garage, sidewalks, covered porch, and a metal roof, all on 2 Acres in a country setting. .. The country views are sweeping. Just a few miles from old 131 and expressway 131. Large cement pad from a removed outbuilding that you could use in many ways.

  6. 2026-04-30
    historical Active - Backup Offers Accepted
    Show marketing remark (390 chars)

    Beautifully updated and maintained Home in Stanwood, 2 bedroom, 2 bath 1985 single wide home with addition entryway, fencing, one car newer garage, sidewalks, covered porch, and a metal roof, all on 2 Acres in a country setting. .. The country views are sweeping. Just a few miles from old 131 and expressway 131. Large cement pad from a removed outbuilding that you could use in many ways.

  7. 2026-04-17
    status Active 391-char remark
    Show marketing remark (390 chars)

    Beautifully updated and maintained Home in Stanwood, 2 bedroom, 2 bath 1985 single wide home with addition entryway, fencing, one car newer garage, sidewalks, covered porch, and a metal roof, all on 2 Acres in a country setting. .. The country views are sweeping. Just a few miles from old 131 and expressway 131. Large cement pad from a removed outbuilding that you could use in many ways.

  8. 2026-04-17
    status Active 390-char remark
    Show marketing remark (390 chars)

    Beautifully updated and maintained Home in Stanwood, 2 bedroom, 2 bath 1985 single wide home with addition entryway, fencing, one car newer garage, sidewalks, covered porch, and a metal roof, all on 2 Acres in a country setting. .. The country views are sweeping. Just a few miles from old 131 and expressway 131. Large cement pad from a removed outbuilding that you could use in many ways.

  9. 2026-04-17
    status Active
    Show marketing remark (390 chars)

    Beautifully updated and maintained Home in Stanwood, 2 bedroom, 2 bath 1985 single wide home with addition entryway, fencing, one car newer garage, sidewalks, covered porch, and a metal roof, all on 2 Acres in a country setting. .. The country views are sweeping. Just a few miles from old 131 and expressway 131. Large cement pad from a removed outbuilding that you could use in many ways.

  10. 2026-04-13
    historical Active Under Contract 391-char remark
    Show marketing remark (390 chars)

    Beautifully updated and maintained Home in Stanwood, 2 bedroom, 2 bath 1985 single wide home with addition entryway, fencing, one car newer garage, sidewalks, covered porch, and a metal roof, all on 2 Acres in a country setting. .. The country views are sweeping. Just a few miles from old 131 and expressway 131. Large cement pad from a removed outbuilding that you could use in many ways.

  11. 2026-04-13
    historical Accepting Backup Offers 390-char remark
    Show marketing remark (390 chars)

    Beautifully updated and maintained Home in Stanwood, 2 bedroom, 2 bath 1985 single wide home with addition entryway, fencing, one car newer garage, sidewalks, covered porch, and a metal roof, all on 2 Acres in a country setting. .. The country views are sweeping. Just a few miles from old 131 and expressway 131. Large cement pad from a removed outbuilding that you could use in many ways.

  12. 2026-04-13
    historical Active - Backup Offers Accepted
    Show marketing remark (390 chars)

    Beautifully updated and maintained Home in Stanwood, 2 bedroom, 2 bath 1985 single wide home with addition entryway, fencing, one car newer garage, sidewalks, covered porch, and a metal roof, all on 2 Acres in a country setting. .. The country views are sweeping. Just a few miles from old 131 and expressway 131. Large cement pad from a removed outbuilding that you could use in many ways.

  13. 2026-04-10
    listed $149,900 Active 391-char remark
    Show marketing remark (391 chars)

    Beautifully updated and maintained Home in Stanwood, 2 bedroom, 2 bath 1985 single wide home with addition entryway, fencing, one car newer garage, sidewalks, covered porch, and a metal roof, all on 2 Acres in a country setting. .. The country views are sweeping. Just a few miles from old 131 and expressway 131. Large cement pad from a removed outbuilding that you could use in many ways.

  14. 2026-04-09
    listed $149,900 Active 390-char remark
    Show marketing remark (390 chars)

    Beautifully updated and maintained Home in Stanwood, 2 bedroom, 2 bath 1985 single wide home with addition entryway, fencing, one car newer garage, sidewalks, covered porch, and a metal roof, all on 2 Acres in a country setting. .. The country views are sweeping. Just a few miles from old 131 and expressway 131. Large cement pad from a removed outbuilding that you could use in many ways.

  15. 2026-04-09
    listed $149,900 Active
    Show marketing remark (390 chars)

    Beautifully updated and maintained Home in Stanwood, 2 bedroom, 2 bath 1985 single wide home with addition entryway, fencing, one car newer garage, sidewalks, covered porch, and a metal roof, all on 2 Acres in a country setting. .. The country views are sweeping. Just a few miles from old 131 and expressway 131. Large cement pad from a removed outbuilding that you could use in many ways.

  16. 2010-04-16
    soldstatus $35,000
  17. 2010-04-16
    soldstatus $35,000
  18. 2010-04-16
    soldstatus $35,000
  19. 2010-04-05
    listed $35,000
  20. 2010-04-05
    listed $35,000
  21. 2010-03-31
    historical
  22. 2010-03-31
    historical
  23. 2010-02-27
    listed $42,500
  24. 2010-02-27
    listed $42,500
  25. 2007-05-18
    soldstatus $55,000
  26. 2004-01-14
    soldstatus $28,000
  27. 2004-01-14
    soldstatus $28,000
  28. 2002-06-08
    listed $45,000
  29. 2002-06-08
    listed $45,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥96°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$22,160
− Mortgage interest
−$8,397
− Property taxes
−$2,248
− Insurance
−$750
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,773
− Management
−$1,773
− Depreciation
−$4,361
Taxable income
$2,859
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$686
After-tax cash flow
$4,389/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Morley Stanwood Community Schools
NCES district ID
2624600
Math proficiency
24% ▼ -1.00%
Reading proficiency
33% ▲ 1.00%
Median HH income
$40,617
Composite
24.03/100
National rank
#7769
State rank
#390 of 540 in MI

Livability — Stanwood

Score
57/100
State rank
#654
US rank
#22265

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Population (ZIP)
4,851

Population outlook (Mecosta County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
42,954 people
By 2030
42,954 · +0.0%
By 2040
41,574 · -3.2%
By 2050
39,250 · -8.6%
By 2075
32,628 · -24.0%
By 2100
27,476 · -36.0%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (96%)
Race & ethnicity
White 96% Two or more races 3% Hispanic / Latino 1%
Common ancestry
Iranian 8% Romanian 7% Lithuanian 4%
Foreign-born
1% · Canada
Languages at home
95% English-only · German/W. Germanic 3% Spanish 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Mecosta

2024 margin
Solid R (+30.0) · D 34.2% · R 64.2% · Other 1.6%
2008→2024 swing
-29.3pp toward R · 2008: -0.7pp · 2024: -30.0pp
All cycles
2024: R+30.0 2020: R+28.0 2016: R+26.1 2012: R+9.8 2008: R+0.7

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -73.43%
Current HPI
196.1356
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.37%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+233.1% since first listed
29 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-07 Pending REALCOMP
  • 2026-05-07 Pending MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-05-07 Pending SW Michigan MLS
  • 2026-04-30 Contingent REALCOMP
  • 2026-04-30 Contingent MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-04-30 Contingent SW Michigan MLS
  • 2026-04-17 Relisted REALCOMP
  • 2026-04-17 Relisted MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-04-17 Relisted SW Michigan MLS
  • 2026-04-13 Contingent REALCOMP
  • 2026-04-13 Contingent MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-04-13 Contingent SW Michigan MLS
  • 2026-04-10 Listed $149,900 REALCOMP
  • 2026-04-09 Listed $149,900 SW Michigan MLS
  • 2026-04-09 Listed $149,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2010-04-16 Sold (Public Records) $35,000 Public Records
  • 2010-04-16 Sold (MLS) $35,000 REALCOMP
  • 2010-04-16 Sold (MLS) $35,000 SW Michigan MLS
  • 2010-04-05 Listed $35,000 REALCOMP
  • 2010-04-05 Listed $35,000 SW Michigan MLS
  • 2010-03-31 Listing Removed SW Michigan MLS
  • 2010-03-31 Listing Removed REALCOMP
  • 2010-02-27 Listed $42,500 SW Michigan MLS
  • 2010-02-27 Listed $42,500 REALCOMP
  • 2007-05-18 Sold (Public Records) $55,000 Public Records
  • 2004-01-14 Sold (MLS) $28,000 REALCOMP
  • 2004-01-14 Sold (MLS) $28,000 SW Michigan MLS
  • 2002-06-08 Listed $45,000 REALCOMP
  • 2002-06-08 Listed $45,000 SW Michigan MLS

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…