19196 Fillmore Rd · Stanwood, MI
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $784 – $1,456
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 96°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +27.1/30.0
- DSCR +9.4/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- 1% rule +7.3/10.0
- Livability +2.9/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.4/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$149,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Beautifully updated and maintained Home in Stanwood, 2 bedroom, 2 bath 1985 single wide home with addition entryway, fencing, one car newer garage, sidewalks, covered porch, and a metal roof, all on 2 Acres in a country setting. .. The country views are sweeping. Just a few miles from old 131 and expressway 131. Large cement pad from a removed outbuilding that you could use in many ways.
Key facts
- 2 acre lot
- Garage
- Built 1985
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Detached 1-car garage
- Utilities: Well water; Electric utilities
- Home design: Ranch-style residential property; Built in 1985
- Construction: Vinyl siding; Metal roof; Crawl space foundation
- Exterior features: 2.0-acre lot
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Range; Refrigerator
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating
- Interior features: Eat-in kitchen; LP tank (rented); Window screens; Total of 8 rooms
- Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer; Electric water heater
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $150k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $423 ($5k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $150k).
- Recommended offer: $148k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 57/100 on livability (#654 in MI) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools F, crime F, amenities F.
- Morley Stanwood Community Schools (rural): math 24% / reading 33% proficiency, ranked #390 of 540 in MI (top 72%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Market conditions: 196 active listings in the ZIP; 116 units permitted in Mecosta County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Mecosta County population projected to shrink 9% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $42k cash investment doubles in ~10 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 27 days — a 2% lower offer ($148k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 12 sale attempts since 24y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $35k; list at $150k implies a 328% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Questions for the listing agent
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.23% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.68%
- Cash-on-cash
- 12.09%
- DSCR
- 1.54
- GRM
- 6.8
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 1.7%
- Equity multiple
- 1.06×
- Total profit
- $2,677
- Equity at exit
- $22,351
- IRR
- 11.3%
- Equity multiple
- 1.88×
- Total profit
- $37,132
- Equity at exit
- $12,961
Cash invested: $41,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Michigan
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 49346
- Home prices YoY
- -27.2%
- Active inventory
- 196
- Price-to-rent
- 6.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,847 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$786
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$187 /mo · $2,248/yr
- Insurance
- −$62
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$388
- Net cashflow
- $423
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $527 | -5% $475 | +0% $423 | +5% $371 | +10% $319 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $277 | -5% $350 | +0% $423 | +5% $496 | +10% $569 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $498 | -0.5pp $461 | base $423 | +0.5pp $384 | +1.0pp $345 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $37,475
- Closing costs
- $4,497
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 29 events
-
2026-05-07status Pending 391-char remark
Show marketing remark (390 chars)
Beautifully updated and maintained Home in Stanwood, 2 bedroom, 2 bath 1985 single wide home with addition entryway, fencing, one car newer garage, sidewalks, covered porch, and a metal roof, all on 2 Acres in a country setting. .. The country views are sweeping. Just a few miles from old 131 and expressway 131. Large cement pad from a removed outbuilding that you could use in many ways.
-
2026-05-07status Pending 390-char remark
Show marketing remark (390 chars)
Beautifully updated and maintained Home in Stanwood, 2 bedroom, 2 bath 1985 single wide home with addition entryway, fencing, one car newer garage, sidewalks, covered porch, and a metal roof, all on 2 Acres in a country setting. .. The country views are sweeping. Just a few miles from old 131 and expressway 131. Large cement pad from a removed outbuilding that you could use in many ways.
-
2026-05-07status Pending
Show marketing remark (390 chars)
Beautifully updated and maintained Home in Stanwood, 2 bedroom, 2 bath 1985 single wide home with addition entryway, fencing, one car newer garage, sidewalks, covered porch, and a metal roof, all on 2 Acres in a country setting. .. The country views are sweeping. Just a few miles from old 131 and expressway 131. Large cement pad from a removed outbuilding that you could use in many ways.
-
2026-04-30historical Active Under Contract 391-char remark
Show marketing remark (390 chars)
Beautifully updated and maintained Home in Stanwood, 2 bedroom, 2 bath 1985 single wide home with addition entryway, fencing, one car newer garage, sidewalks, covered porch, and a metal roof, all on 2 Acres in a country setting. .. The country views are sweeping. Just a few miles from old 131 and expressway 131. Large cement pad from a removed outbuilding that you could use in many ways.
-
2026-04-30historical Accepting Backup Offers 390-char remark
Show marketing remark (390 chars)
Beautifully updated and maintained Home in Stanwood, 2 bedroom, 2 bath 1985 single wide home with addition entryway, fencing, one car newer garage, sidewalks, covered porch, and a metal roof, all on 2 Acres in a country setting. .. The country views are sweeping. Just a few miles from old 131 and expressway 131. Large cement pad from a removed outbuilding that you could use in many ways.
-
2026-04-30historical Active - Backup Offers Accepted
Show marketing remark (390 chars)
Beautifully updated and maintained Home in Stanwood, 2 bedroom, 2 bath 1985 single wide home with addition entryway, fencing, one car newer garage, sidewalks, covered porch, and a metal roof, all on 2 Acres in a country setting. .. The country views are sweeping. Just a few miles from old 131 and expressway 131. Large cement pad from a removed outbuilding that you could use in many ways.
-
2026-04-17status Active 391-char remark
Show marketing remark (390 chars)
Beautifully updated and maintained Home in Stanwood, 2 bedroom, 2 bath 1985 single wide home with addition entryway, fencing, one car newer garage, sidewalks, covered porch, and a metal roof, all on 2 Acres in a country setting. .. The country views are sweeping. Just a few miles from old 131 and expressway 131. Large cement pad from a removed outbuilding that you could use in many ways.
-
2026-04-17status Active 390-char remark
Show marketing remark (390 chars)
Beautifully updated and maintained Home in Stanwood, 2 bedroom, 2 bath 1985 single wide home with addition entryway, fencing, one car newer garage, sidewalks, covered porch, and a metal roof, all on 2 Acres in a country setting. .. The country views are sweeping. Just a few miles from old 131 and expressway 131. Large cement pad from a removed outbuilding that you could use in many ways.
-
2026-04-17status Active
Show marketing remark (390 chars)
Beautifully updated and maintained Home in Stanwood, 2 bedroom, 2 bath 1985 single wide home with addition entryway, fencing, one car newer garage, sidewalks, covered porch, and a metal roof, all on 2 Acres in a country setting. .. The country views are sweeping. Just a few miles from old 131 and expressway 131. Large cement pad from a removed outbuilding that you could use in many ways.
-
2026-04-13historical Active Under Contract 391-char remark
Show marketing remark (390 chars)
Beautifully updated and maintained Home in Stanwood, 2 bedroom, 2 bath 1985 single wide home with addition entryway, fencing, one car newer garage, sidewalks, covered porch, and a metal roof, all on 2 Acres in a country setting. .. The country views are sweeping. Just a few miles from old 131 and expressway 131. Large cement pad from a removed outbuilding that you could use in many ways.
-
2026-04-13historical Accepting Backup Offers 390-char remark
Show marketing remark (390 chars)
Beautifully updated and maintained Home in Stanwood, 2 bedroom, 2 bath 1985 single wide home with addition entryway, fencing, one car newer garage, sidewalks, covered porch, and a metal roof, all on 2 Acres in a country setting. .. The country views are sweeping. Just a few miles from old 131 and expressway 131. Large cement pad from a removed outbuilding that you could use in many ways.
-
2026-04-13historical Active - Backup Offers Accepted
Show marketing remark (390 chars)
Beautifully updated and maintained Home in Stanwood, 2 bedroom, 2 bath 1985 single wide home with addition entryway, fencing, one car newer garage, sidewalks, covered porch, and a metal roof, all on 2 Acres in a country setting. .. The country views are sweeping. Just a few miles from old 131 and expressway 131. Large cement pad from a removed outbuilding that you could use in many ways.
-
2026-04-10$149,900 Active 391-char remark
Show marketing remark (391 chars)
Beautifully updated and maintained Home in Stanwood, 2 bedroom, 2 bath 1985 single wide home with addition entryway, fencing, one car newer garage, sidewalks, covered porch, and a metal roof, all on 2 Acres in a country setting. .. The country views are sweeping. Just a few miles from old 131 and expressway 131. Large cement pad from a removed outbuilding that you could use in many ways.
-
2026-04-09$149,900 Active 390-char remark
Show marketing remark (390 chars)
Beautifully updated and maintained Home in Stanwood, 2 bedroom, 2 bath 1985 single wide home with addition entryway, fencing, one car newer garage, sidewalks, covered porch, and a metal roof, all on 2 Acres in a country setting. .. The country views are sweeping. Just a few miles from old 131 and expressway 131. Large cement pad from a removed outbuilding that you could use in many ways.
-
2026-04-09$149,900 Active
Show marketing remark (390 chars)
Beautifully updated and maintained Home in Stanwood, 2 bedroom, 2 bath 1985 single wide home with addition entryway, fencing, one car newer garage, sidewalks, covered porch, and a metal roof, all on 2 Acres in a country setting. .. The country views are sweeping. Just a few miles from old 131 and expressway 131. Large cement pad from a removed outbuilding that you could use in many ways.
-
2010-04-16soldstatus $35,000
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2010-04-16soldstatus $35,000
-
2010-04-16soldstatus $35,000
-
2010-04-05$35,000
-
2010-04-05$35,000
-
2010-03-31historical
-
2010-03-31historical
-
2010-02-27$42,500
-
2010-02-27$42,500
-
2007-05-18soldstatus $55,000
-
2004-01-14soldstatus $28,000
-
2004-01-14soldstatus $28,000
-
2002-06-08$45,000
-
2002-06-08$45,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥96°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $22,160
- − Mortgage interest
- −$8,397
- − Property taxes
- −$2,248
- − Insurance
- −$750
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,773
- − Management
- −$1,773
- − Depreciation
- −$4,361
- Taxable income
- $2,859
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$686
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,389/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Morley Stanwood Community Schools
- NCES district ID
- 2624600
- Math proficiency
- 24% ▼ -1.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 33% ▲ 1.00%
- Median HH income
- $40,617
- Composite
- 24.03/100
- National rank
- #7769
- State rank
- #390 of 540 in MI
Livability — Stanwood
- Score
- 57/100
- State rank
- #654
- US rank
- #22265
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Population (ZIP)
- 4,851
Population outlook (Mecosta County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 42,954 people
- By 2030
- 42,954 · +0.0%
- By 2040
- 41,574 · -3.2%
- By 2050
- 39,250 · -8.6%
- By 2075
- 32,628 · -24.0%
- By 2100
- 27,476 · -36.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (96%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 96% Two or more races 3% Hispanic / Latino 1%
- Common ancestry
- Iranian 8% Romanian 7% Lithuanian 4%
- Foreign-born
- 1% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 95% English-only · German/W. Germanic 3% Spanish 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Mecosta
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+30.0) · D 34.2% · R 64.2% · Other 1.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -29.3pp toward R · 2008: -0.7pp · 2024: -30.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+30.0 2020: R+28.0 2016: R+26.1 2012: R+9.8 2008: R+0.7
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -73.43%
- Current HPI
- 196.1356
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.37%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Automotive Parts | 3 | $48B |
|
||
| Automotive | 2 | $372B |
|
||
| Chemicals | 1 | $45B |
|
||
| Automotive Retail | 1 | $29B |
|
||
| Healthcare / Medical Devices | 1 | $23B |
|
||
| Automotive Technology | 1 | $20B |
|
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Price history
+233.1% since first listed29 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-07 Pending — REALCOMP
- 2026-05-07 Pending — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-05-07 Pending — SW Michigan MLS
- 2026-04-30 Contingent — REALCOMP
- 2026-04-30 Contingent — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-04-30 Contingent — SW Michigan MLS
- 2026-04-17 Relisted — REALCOMP
- 2026-04-17 Relisted — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-04-17 Relisted — SW Michigan MLS
- 2026-04-13 Contingent — REALCOMP
- 2026-04-13 Contingent — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-04-13 Contingent — SW Michigan MLS
- 2026-04-10 Listed $149,900 REALCOMP
- 2026-04-09 Listed $149,900 SW Michigan MLS
- 2026-04-09 Listed $149,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2010-04-16 Sold (Public Records) $35,000 Public Records
- 2010-04-16 Sold (MLS) $35,000 REALCOMP
- 2010-04-16 Sold (MLS) $35,000 SW Michigan MLS
- 2010-04-05 Listed $35,000 REALCOMP
- 2010-04-05 Listed $35,000 SW Michigan MLS
- 2010-03-31 Listing Removed — SW Michigan MLS
- 2010-03-31 Listing Removed — REALCOMP
- 2010-02-27 Listed $42,500 SW Michigan MLS
- 2010-02-27 Listed $42,500 REALCOMP
- 2007-05-18 Sold (Public Records) $55,000 Public Records
- 2004-01-14 Sold (MLS) $28,000 REALCOMP
- 2004-01-14 Sold (MLS) $28,000 SW Michigan MLS
- 2002-06-08 Listed $45,000 REALCOMP
- 2002-06-08 Listed $45,000 SW Michigan MLS
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…