1519 Stewart Ave · Gulfport, MS
Flood risk 3/10 · Minor
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.2%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,241 – $2,305
Heat risk 10/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 106°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 23 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Rent growth +5.0/5.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Schools +3.4/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$49,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Solid Investment Opportunity - Vacant Home With Great Bones This vacant property offers strong structural bones and a true blank slate for your next project. Whether you're looking to renovate for resale, build rental income, or customize a personal home, this one provides the foundation to make it happen. The layout is functional, the structure is solid, and the home is ready for your vision. Property is being sold as‑is, where‑is. No repairs will be made by the seller.
Key facts
- Functional layout
- Solid structure
- 5,227 sq ft lot
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $49k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $822 ($10k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $49k).
- Recommended offer: $45k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 26.4% vs local median 4.9% in Gulfport — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 73/100 on livability (#15 in MS) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools D, amenities F, commute F.
- Gulfport School District (urban): math 41% / reading 42% proficiency, ranked #37 of 130 in MS (top 28%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 67% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+10.5%/yr); 252 active listings in the ZIP; 9 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 14d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 2,194 units permitted in Harrison County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $1,496/mo this rent would consume 52% of the median local household income ($35k/yr) (locally 1516% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $339 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $1k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Harrison County population projected at +27% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 8.0% rent growth), your $14k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 114 days — a 9% lower offer ($45k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts since 17y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1935 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→23/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 114 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1935 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 3.05% ✓
- Cap rate
- 26.41%
- Cash-on-cash
- 71.86%
- DSCR
- 4.20
- GRM
- 2.7
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $129,242
- List price
- $49,000
- Delta
- -62.09%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1704 62nd Ave | 0.24mi | 3/2.0 | 1,559 (+0%) | 3mo | $129,000 | $83 | 82 |
| 401 Holley St | 0.43mi | 3/2.0 | 1,540 (-1%) | 0mo | $240,000 | $156 | 74 |
| 1211 E Old Pass Rd | 0.42mi | 3/2.0 | 1,590 (+2%) | 1mo | $245,000 | $154 | 72 |
| 1200 7th St | 0.53mi | 3/2.0 | 1,595 (+3%) | 0mo | $199,500 | $125 | 67 |
| 1209 E Old Pass Rd | 0.43mi | 3/2.0 | 1,408 (-9%) | 1mo | $217,000 | $154 | 60 |
| 116 Edmund Dr | 0.70mi | 3/2.0 | 1,519 (-2%) | 3mo | $220,000 | $145 | 57 |
| 451 Pinecrest Cir | 0.69mi | 3/2.0 | 1,581 (+2%) | 7mo | $245,000 | $155 | 55 |
| 121 Edmund Dr | 0.71mi | 3/2.0 | 1,600 (+3%) | 5mo | $225,000 | $141 | 54 |
| 4513 W Railroad St | 0.75mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,586 (+2%) | 6mo | $238,800 | $151 | 52 |
| 1920 49th Ave | 0.72mi | 3/1.0 | 1,421 (-9%) | 4mo | $115,000 | $81 | 48 |
| 709 Rich Ave | 0.69mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,661 (+7%) | 1mo | $249,000 | $150 | 46 |
| 808 Mills Ave | 0.74mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,678 (+8%) | 5mo | $215,000 | $128 | 39 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 77.2%
- Equity multiple
- 4.81×
- Total profit
- $52,332
- Equity at exit
- $7,306
- IRR
- 82.2%
- Equity multiple
- 11.87×
- Total profit
- $149,080
- Equity at exit
- $4,237
Cash invested: $13,720 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Mississippi
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+11
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 39501
- Home prices YoY
- -34.5%
- Rents YoY
- 10.5%
- Active inventory
- 252
- Price-to-rent
- 2.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,496 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$257
- Tax from tax record
- −$83 /mo · $993/yr
- Insurance
- −$20
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$314
- Net cashflow
- $822
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $849 | -5% $836 | +0% $822 | +5% $808 | +10% $794 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $703 | -5% $763 | +0% $822 | +5% $881 | +10% $940 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $846 | -0.5pp $834 | base $822 | +0.5pp $809 | +1.0pp $796 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $12,250
- Closing costs
- $1,470
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 9 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1412 Jo Ellen Cir Gulfport, MS | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1275 | $1,050 | $0.82 | 14d | 1 | 0.26mi |
| 1206 Beach Ave Gulfport, MS | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1076 | $1,500 | $1.39 | 14d | 1 | 0.40mi |
| 1129 Woodward Ave Gulfport, MS | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1719 | $1,300 | $0.76 | 14d | 1 | 0.63mi |
| 945 Finley St Long Beach, MS | 3.0 | 2.0 | 2080 | $2,200 | $1.06 | 14d | 1 | 0.81mi |
| 4319 Lewis St Gulfport, MS | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1371 | $1,649 | $1.20 | 14d | 1 | 0.95mi |
| 4115 8th St Gulfport, MS | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1514 | $2,375 | $1.57 | 14d | 1 | 1.12mi |
| 4115 8th St Gulfport, MS | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1514 | $2,375 | $1.57 | 44d | 1 | 1.12mi |
| 2986 58th Ave Gulfport, MS | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1153 | $1,295 | $1.12 | 14d | 1 | 1.31mi |
| 3008 50th Ave Gulfport, MS | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1054 | $1,050 | $1.00 | 14d | 1 | 1.49mi |
Listing history 22 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $49,000 Active 114 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $49,000 Active 113 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $49,000 Active 112 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $49,000 Active 111 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $49,000 Active 109 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $49,000 Active 108 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $49,000 Active 106 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $49,000 Active 105 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $49,000 Active 104 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $49,000 Active 103 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $49,000 Active 100 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $49,000 Active 98 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $49,000 Active 97 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $49,000 Active 96 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $49,000 Active 95 DOM
-
2026-03-16status Active 477-char remark
Show marketing remark (477 chars)
Solid Investment Opportunity - Vacant Home With Great Bones This vacant property offers strong structural bones and a true blank slate for your next project. Whether you're looking to renovate for resale, build rental income, or customize a personal home, this one provides the foundation to make it happen. The layout is functional, the structure is solid, and the home is ready for your vision. Property is being sold as‑is, where‑is. No repairs will be made by the seller.
-
2026-02-18status Pending 477-char remark
Show marketing remark (477 chars)
Solid Investment Opportunity - Vacant Home With Great Bones This vacant property offers strong structural bones and a true blank slate for your next project. Whether you're looking to renovate for resale, build rental income, or customize a personal home, this one provides the foundation to make it happen. The layout is functional, the structure is solid, and the home is ready for your vision. Property is being sold as‑is, where‑is. No repairs will be made by the seller.
-
2026-01-29$49,000 Active 477-char remark
Show marketing remark (477 chars)
Solid Investment Opportunity - Vacant Home With Great Bones This vacant property offers strong structural bones and a true blank slate for your next project. Whether you're looking to renovate for resale, build rental income, or customize a personal home, this one provides the foundation to make it happen. The layout is functional, the structure is solid, and the home is ready for your vision. Property is being sold as‑is, where‑is. No repairs will be made by the seller.
-
2011-02-10soldstatus
-
2009-09-04soldstatus
-
2009-09-02soldstatus 85-char remark
Show marketing remark (85 chars)
Older home in need of alot of repairs. Value is in the land. SPECIAL ADDENDUMS APPLY.
-
2009-07-17$12,500 85-char remark
Show marketing remark (85 chars)
Older home in need of alot of repairs. Value is in the land. SPECIAL ADDENDUMS APPLY.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MS · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $993 · $83/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $993 · $83/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 3/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 20% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 23 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $17,951
- − Mortgage interest
- −$2,745
- − Property taxes
- −$993
- − Insurance
- −$245
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,436
- − Management
- −$1,436
- − Depreciation
- −$1,425
- Taxable income
- $9,670
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$2,321
- After-tax cash flow
- $7,539/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Gulfport School District
- NCES district ID
- 2801710
- Math proficiency
- 41% ▼ -15.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 42% ▼ -6.00%
- Median HH income
- $35,712
- Composite
- 34.38/100
- National rank
- #5213
- State rank
- #37 of 130 in MS
Livability — Gulfport
- Score
- 73/100
- State rank
- #15
- US rank
- #5010
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Gulfport, MS
- County
- Harrison County · 178,171 people
- City population
- 96,188
- Metro
- Gulfport-Biloxi, MS
- Population (ZIP)
- 22,565
- Household income
- $34,758
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1516.0
Population outlook (Harrison County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 228,444 people
- By 2030
- 241,942 · +5.9%
- By 2040
- 267,531 · +17.1%
- By 2050
- 291,062 · +27.4%
- By 2075
- 346,711 · +51.8%
- By 2100
- 378,165 · +65.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.56)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 59% White 29% Two or more races 7% Hispanic / Latino 5%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 2% Serbian 1% Slovak 1%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 95% English-only · Spanish 4%
Political lean MEDSL · Harrison
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+28.9) · D 35.0% · R 63.9% · Other 1.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -2.9pp toward R · 2008: -26.0pp · 2024: -28.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+28.9 2020: R+25.2 2016: R+30.7 2012: R+26.6 2008: R+26.0
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -110.16%
- Current HPI
- 208.998
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 10.49%
- Metro
- Gulfport-Biloxi, MS
- State GDP YoY
- —
- F500 in state
- 0
Price history
+292.0% since first listed7 events — show timeline
- 2026-03-16 Relisted — MLSU
- 2026-02-18 Pending — MLSU
- 2026-01-29 Listed $49,000 MLSU
- 2011-02-10 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2009-09-04 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2009-09-02 Sold (MLS) — MLSU
- 2009-07-17 Listed $12,500 MLSU
Property tax history
+1.3%/yrLatest (2025): $993 · +4.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…