2904 Pine St · Abbeville, LA 70510

$29,000

2 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,115 sqft · SingleFamily · 16 Days on market

0.25 ac lot Est $36k · 19% under

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Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +15.0/30.0
• ARV discount +15.0/15.0
• 1% rule +5.0/10.0
• DSCR +5.0/10.0
• Schools +3.9/10.0
• Livability +3.4/5.0
• Rent growth +2.5/5.0
• Condition / age +2.5/5.0
• Appreciation +0.0/10.0

Listing remarks

Welcome to this two bedroom elevated home. The living room is open to the kitchen. The ground level is enclosed and includes a half bath. Features an exterior elevator. Wonderful porch and covered patios. Some photos have been virtually staged for demonstration purposes only.

Key facts

• 0.25 acre lot
• Parking
• Listed 16 days

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $29k.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $512 ($6k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $29k).
• Recommended offer: $29k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
• Cap rate 45.1% vs local median 6.6% in Abbeville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 68/100 on livability (#94 in LA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime F, amenities F, commute F.
• Vermilion Parish (town): math 40% / reading 53% proficiency, ranked #15 of 98 in LA (top 15%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
• Zoned schools: James A. Herod Elementary School (math 14% / reading 29%, grade F, #434 of 646 statewide, top 68%, 340 students, 90% FRL); Abbeville High School (math 12% / reading 32%, grade F, #171 of 265 statewide, top 66%, 607 students, 81% FRL) — zoned schools average 85% FRL vs 53% district-wide (32 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
• Zoned-school proficiency averages 22% at this address vs 46% district-wide (-25 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Vermilion Parish average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
• Market conditions: 180 active listings in the ZIP; 228 units permitted in Vermilion Parish in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $200 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $870 of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Vermilion County population projected at +10% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
• At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $8k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

• It's been on market 16 days — a 2% lower offer ($29k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

• Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $427/mo.
• Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone AE (mandatory federal flood insurance); severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.

Recommended offer $28,565 (1.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

1. What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
3. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
4. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 4.95% ✓
• Cap rate: 45.13%
• Cash-on-cash: 138.71%
• DSCR: 7.17
• GRM: 1.7

CMA / ARV

• ARV (on-the-fly): $35,680
• Comps found: 1

Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi

Address	Dist	Beds/Ba	Sqft	Sold	Price	$/sf	Match
2904 Pine St	0.00mi	2/1.0	1,115 (0%)	1mo	$35,500	$32	99

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: 75.9%
• Equity multiple: 4.47×
• Total profit: $28,194
• Equity at exit: $4,324

10-year hold

• IRR: 79.7%
• Equity multiple: 9.34×
• Total profit: $67,687
• Equity at exit: $2,507

Cash invested: $8,120 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
• State Louisiana: 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+12
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

5-day notice; no state rent control; civil-law jurisdiction; landlord-favorable.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 70510

• Active inventory: 180
• Price-to-rent: 1.7×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $1,437 medium
• Mortgage (P&I): −$152
• Tax from tax record: −$32 /mo · $387/yr
• Insurance: −$12
• Flood insurance flood zone: −$427 /mo · $5,118/yr
• HOA: −$0
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$302
• Net cashflow: $512

Break-even live

Break-even rent $789

Max offer price $29,000

Occupancy floor 59%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $7,250
• Closing costs: $870
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Listing history 2 events

1. 2026-04-15
   status Pending
2. 2026-03-30
   listed $29,000 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast LA · Resets to sale price

• Current annual tax: $387 · $32/mo
• Projected year-2 tax: $387 · $32/mo
• Expected delta: $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 9/10 Extreme FEMA zone AE · 99% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
• 🌡 Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
• 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $17,241
• − Mortgage interest: −$1,624
• − Property taxes: −$387
• − Insurance: −$5,264
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$1,379
• − Management: −$1,379
• − Depreciation: −$844
• Taxable income: $6,363
• Est. tax owed @ 24.0%: −$1,527
• After-tax cash flow: $4,617/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Vermilion Parish
• NCES district ID: 2201800
• Math proficiency: 40% ▼ -38.00%
• Reading proficiency: 53% ▼ -32.00%
• Median HH income: $45,115
• Composite: 39.37/100
• National rank: #3974
• State rank: #15 of 98 in LA

Livability — Abbeville

• Score: 68/100
• State rank: #94
• US rank: #9800

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• Population (ZIP): 23,909

Population outlook (Vermilion County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 64,095 people
• By 2030: 65,915 · +2.8%
• By 2040: 68,985 · +7.6%
• By 2050: 70,804 · +10.5%
• By 2075: 73,897 · +15.3%
• By 2100: 71,793 · +12.0%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Majority White (65%)
• Race & ethnicity: White 65% Black 24% Two or more races 4% Hispanic / Latino 4% Asian 4%
• Common ancestry: Lithuanian 15% Italian 1%
• Foreign-born: 5% · Vietnam, Canada
• Languages at home: 87% English-only · French/Haitian/Cajun 6% Vietnamese 3% Spanish 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Vermilion

• 2024 margin: Solid R (+63.8) · D 17.6% · R 81.4% · Other 1.1%
• 2008→2024 swing: -16.3pp toward R · 2008: -47.5pp · 2024: -63.8pp
• All cycles: 2024: R+63.8 2020: R+61.9 2016: R+59.6 2012: R+52.8 2008: R+47.5

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▼ -70.44%
• Current HPI: 97.6131
• Rent YoY: —
• Metro: —
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 3.29%
• F500 in state: 10

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in LA)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Telecommunications	2	$23B
▸Utilities	1	$12B
▸Wholesale / Distribution	1	$5B
▸Advertising	1	$2B

Price history

2 events — show timeline

• 2026-04-15 Pending — AcadianaMLS
• 2026-03-30 Listed $29,000 AcadianaMLS

Property tax history

+0.7%/yr

Latest (2025): $387 · -0.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.