70 E Hanover St · Wellsville, NY
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- AE
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $2,026 – $9,024
Fire risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $691 – $1,283
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 89°F)
- 8 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 18 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +15.0/30.0
- Appreciation +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- 1% rule +5.0/10.0
- DSCR +5.0/10.0
- Schools +4.0/10.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$29,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Investor Opportunity – Multi-Unit Potential at 70 Hanover Wellsville. This property offers a fantastic opportunity to create up to 5 rental units—3 in the main house and 2 in the detached secondary structure. Potential layout includes four studio apartments and one 3-bedroom unit. Some updates have already been completed, including electrical, plumbing, windows, and partial drywall/OSB installation. Construction materials and select appliances will convey with the sale, helping you jumpstart the renovation process. With a little vision and sweat equity, this could become a strong income-producing asset. Priced to sell and full of potential—don’t miss out
Key facts
- Updates completed
- Studio apartments
- Rental units
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 5-bed/2.5-bath other listed at $29k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $445 ($5k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $29k).
- Recommended offer: $27k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 43.8% vs local median 6.6% in Wellsville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 73/100 on livability (#336 in NY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools C-, crime C-, employment C-.
- Wellsville Central School District (town): math 42% / reading 53% proficiency, ranked #442 of 590 in NY (top 75%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 52 active listings in the ZIP; 87 units permitted in Allegany County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $3k of equity ($200 loan paydown + $3k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
- Allegany County population projected at -26% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $8k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 9, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$32k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 61 days — a 6% lower offer ($27k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $460/mo; built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone AE (mandatory federal flood insurance) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 61 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 4.83% ✓
- Cap rate
- 43.75%
- Cash-on-cash
- 133.78%
- DSCR
- 6.95
- GRM
- 1.7
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 77.5%
- Equity multiple
- 6.47×
- Total profit
- $44,428
- Equity at exit
- $26,125
- IRR
- 71.7%
- Equity multiple
- 14.44×
- Total profit
- $109,160
- Equity at exit
- $56,341
Cash invested: $8,120 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State New York
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 14895
- Home prices YoY
- 6.9%
- Active inventory
- 52
- Price-to-rent
- 1.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,400 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$152
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$36 /mo · $435/yr
- Insurance
- −$12
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$460 /mo · $5,525/yr
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$294
- Net cashflow
- $445
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $7,250
- Closing costs
- $870
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 4 events
-
2025-08-19status Pending
-
2025-06-19$29,000 Active
-
2024-01-04soldstatus $250,750
-
2002-04-10soldstatus $22,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone AE · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 2/10 Low
- Heat 2/10 Low 8 d/yr ≥89°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $16,794
- − Mortgage interest
- −$1,624
- − Property taxes
- −$435
- − Insurance
- −$5,670
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,344
- − Management
- −$1,344
- − Depreciation
- −$844
- Taxable income
- $5,534
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,328
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,009/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Wellsville Central School District
- NCES district ID
- 3630480
- Math proficiency
- 42% ▼ -10.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 53% ▲ 6.00%
- Median HH income
- $39,964
- Composite
- 39.71/100
- National rank
- #3903
- State rank
- #442 of 590 in NY
Livability — Wellsville
- Score
- 73/100
- State rank
- #336
- US rank
- #5669
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Wellsville, NY
- Population (ZIP)
- 9,117
Population outlook (Allegany County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 45,362 people
- By 2030
- 43,078 · -5.0%
- By 2040
- 38,031 · -16.2%
- By 2050
- 33,634 · -25.9%
- By 2075
- 25,285 · -44.3%
- By 2100
- 18,902 · -58.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (96%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 96% Two or more races 2%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 3% Italian 3% Romanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 1%
- Languages at home
- 98% English-only · German/W. Germanic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Allegany
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+43.2) · D 28.4% · R 71.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -21.5pp toward R · 2008: -21.7pp · 2024: -43.2pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+43.2 2020: R+38.9 2016: R+42.3 2012: R+25.3 2008: R+21.7
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 18.16%
- Current HPI
- 280.3569
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.60%
- F500 in state
- 92
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 10 | $950B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 9 | $162B |
|
||
| Insurance | 4 | $225B |
|
||
| Telecommunications | 2 | $144B |
|
||
| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $112B |
|
||
| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $69B |
|
||
Price history
+31.8% since first listed4 events — show timeline
- 2025-08-19 Pending — UNYREIS
- 2025-06-19 Listed $29,000 UNYREIS
- 2024-01-04 Sold (Public Records) $250,750 Public Records
- 2002-04-10 Sold (Public Records) $22,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+2.2%/yrLatest (2025): $3,562 · +13.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…