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5100 Caruso Rd
B Composite 72.0
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Schools +4.4/10.0
  • Livability +4.0/5.0
  • Condition / age +3.8/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.3/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$90,000

5100 Caruso Rd · Bradenton, FL 34203
1 bd · 1.0 ba · — sqft · SingleFamily · 9 Days on market
Built 1985 Good condition ↓ 30% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Here's your million-dollar view without paying for it. Situated on the Braden River in Horseshoe Cove RV Resort, you'll love the panoramic views from your living room as you watch wildlife evolve right in front of you. We are offering this beautiful 950 sq. ft. home which comes fully furnished and turnkey, including a 48v 2019 golf cart with new lithium battery and built in charger. Cemented patio area with table and chairs, and additional seating behind the house. Fully renovated. All you need are your personal possessions. Horseshoe Cove offers ample amenities and endless activities and events throughout the year. Please give us a call. We are willing to negotiate asap. All offers are con

Key facts

  • Fishing dock
  • Boat docks
  • Private island

Tags

HORSESHOE COVE RV RESORTPRIVATE ISLANDWALKING TRAILSFISHING DOCKBOAT DOCKSGAZEBO

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Home design: Single-family house; 950 square feet of living area
  • Exterior features: Approximately 0.10-acre lot

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $90k. Condition is rated good.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($16k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $90k).
  • Cap rate 24.2% vs local median 3.6% in Bradenton — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 81/100 on livability (#101 in FL, #1,528 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment D+, crime D, amenities F.
  • Manatee (suburban): math 54% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #26 of 73 in FL (top 36%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Market conditions: Rents soft (-1.0%/yr); 384 active listings in the ZIP; 22 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 7,472 units permitted in Manatee County in 2024 (1,782 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 42% of the median local income ($71k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $622 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Manatee County population projected at +43% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 0.0% rent growth), your $25k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 9 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→28/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $90,000

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  2. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  3. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  4. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  5. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
2.76%
Cap rate
24.17%
Cash-on-cash
63.83%
DSCR
3.84
GRM
3.0

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Show comp detail 2 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
5316 53rd Ave E Unit F23 0.55mi 2/2.0 (+1) 864 23mo $165,000 $191 34
5316 53rd Ave E Unit C19 0.67mi 2/2.0 (+1) 1,120 21mo $145,000 $129 29

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
59.5%
Equity multiple
3.52×
Total profit
$63,545
Equity at exit
$13,419
10-year hold
IRR
63.1%
Equity multiple
6.45×
Total profit
$137,282
Equity at exit
$7,782

Cash invested: $25,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Florida
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; preempts local rent control; landlord-friendly statutes. Court speed varies by county.

ZIP-level market 34203

Home prices YoY
-24.5%
Rents YoY
-1.0%
Active inventory
384
Price-to-rent
3.0×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,484 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$472
Tax est. 1.5%
$112 /mo · $1,350/yr
Insurance
$38
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$522
Net cashflow
$1,340

Break-even live

Break-even rent $787
Max offer price $90,000
Occupancy floor 41%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$22,500
Closing costs
$2,700
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 22 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
5547 West Pl Unit C-1 Bradenton, FL 2.0 2.0 1652 $3,600 $2.18 23d 1 0.51mi
6503 Fairway Gardens Dr Unit Available Bradenton, FL 2.0 2.0 1346 $2,200 $1.63 23d 1 0.57mi
5414 Fair Oaks St Unit 10-D Bradenton, FL 2.0 2.0 1004 $1,995 $1.99 3d 1 0.62mi
5316 53rd Ave E Unit Q111 Bradenton, FL 2.0 2.0 1056 $1,495 $1.42 10d 1 0.65mi
5515 Fair Oaks St Unit 5515 Bradenton, FL 2.0 2.0 1004 $2,000 $1.99 23d 1 0.66mi
5635 Whitehead St Bradenton, FL 2.0 2.5 1496 $2,300 $1.54 23d 1 0.67mi
5650 Simonton St Bradenton, FL 2.0 2.5 1496 $2,095 $1.40 3d 1 0.74mi
6501 Stone River Rd Bradenton, FL 2.0 2.0 1080 $2,820 $2.61 16d 2 0.74mi
6501 Stone River Rd Unit Available Bradenton, FL 2.0 2.0 1118 $2,200 $1.97 23d 1 0.74mi
6505 Stone River Rd Bradenton, FL 2.0 2.0 1080 $2,825 $2.62 16d 3 0.76mi
5616 Gentle Breeze St Bradenton, FL 2.0 2.0 1100 $1,700 $1.55 23d 1 0.80mi
6758 Fairview Ter Bradenton, FL 2.0 2.0 1346 $2,300 $1.71 23d 1 0.87mi
6870 Fairview Ter #6870 Bradenton, FL 2.0 2.0 1346 $2,200 $1.63 16d 1 0.99mi
6872 Fairview Ter #101 Bradenton, FL 2.0 2.0 1352 $2,000 $1.48 23d 1 0.99mi
6713 Stone River Rd #202 Bradenton, FL 2.0 2.0 1232 $1,900 $1.54 23d 1 0.99mi
6807 Stone River Rd #202 Bradenton, FL 2.0 2.0 1292 $3,500 $2.71 16d 1 1.00mi
4540 Runabout Way Bradenton, FL 2.0 2.5 1080 $2,300 $2.13 23d 1 1.04mi
5016 Misty Canal Pl Bradenton, FL 2.0 2.5 1080 $1,950 $1.81 23d 1 1.09mi
5707 45th St E #19 Bradenton, FL 2.0 2.0 972 $1,700 $1.75 23d 1 1.19mi
6815 Pleasant Hill Rd Bradenton, FL 2.0 2.5 2100 $4,500 $2.14 23d 1 1.24mi
5811 White Oak Bayou Ct Bradenton, FL 2.0 2.5 2147 $6,500 $3.03 23d 1 1.31mi
6738 Peach Tree Creek Rd Bradenton, FL 2.0 2.0 1838 $6,200 $3.37 23d 1 1.42mi

Listing history 18 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $90,000 Active 9 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $90,000 Active 8 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $90,000 Active 7 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $90,000 Active 6 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $90,000 Active 4 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $90,000 Active 3 DOM
  7. 2026-06-10
    days on marketlisting id $90,000 Active 1 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $90,000 Active 241 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $90,000 Active 240 DOM
  10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $90,000 Active 239 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $90,000 Active 235 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $90,000 Active 234 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $90,000 Active 233 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $90,000 Active 232 DOM
  15. 2026-03-05
    price $90,000
  16. 2026-02-20
    price $99,000
  17. 2025-10-29
    price $119,000
  18. 2025-10-11
    listed $129,000 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 3/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 12% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 28 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$29,808
− Mortgage interest
−$5,041
− Property taxes
−$1,350
− Insurance
−$450
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,385
− Management
−$2,385
− Depreciation
−$2,618
Taxable income
$15,579
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$3,739
After-tax cash flow
$12,346/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 0 photos

Good 75/100 Cosmetic rehab

This fully renovated home offers a turnkey experience with a golf cart and patio area, making it an excellent investment opportunity.

Value-add opportunities

  • Both Upgrade the golf cart battery to a higher capacity lithium battery — This would extend the life of the golf cart and make it more appealing to potential buyers or renters.
  • Both Add a small outdoor lighting system — This would enhance the curb appeal and make the property more inviting at night.

Renovation cost estimate screening

Value-add ROI direction

  • Both Upgrade the golf cart battery to a higher capacity lithium battery — This would extend the life of the golf cart and make it more appealing to potential buyers or renters.
  • Both Add a small outdoor lighting system — This would enhance the curb appeal and make the property more inviting at night.

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Manatee
NCES district ID
1201230
Math proficiency
54% ▼ -6.00%
Reading proficiency
50% ▼ -2.00%
Median HH income
$49,607
Composite
44.43/100
National rank
#2806
State rank
#26 of 73 in FL

Livability — Bradenton

Score
81/100
State rank
#101
US rank
#1528

Category grades

Amenities F Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime D Employment D+ Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

County
Manatee County · 416,364 people
City population
227,091
Metro
North Port-Sarasota-Bradenton, FL
Population (ZIP)
40,618
Household income
$70,761
Rent vs Own
27.3% rent · 72.7% own
Severe rent burden
1469.0

Population outlook (Manatee County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
447,342 people
By 2030
488,911 · +9.3%
By 2040
567,934 · +27.0%
By 2050
637,995 · +42.6%
By 2075
781,970 · +74.8%
By 2100
848,272 · +89.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (65%)
Race & ethnicity
White 65% Hispanic / Latino 19% Two or more races 12% Black 9% Asian 5%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 9% Puerto Rican 3% Cuban 2% Dominican 1%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 3% Romanian 3% Slovak 2%
Foreign-born
17% · Canada, Vietnam, Dominican Republic
Languages at home
76% English-only · Spanish 16% Vietnamese 2% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Manatee

2024 margin
Strong R (+23.5) · D 37.9% · R 61.4%
2008→2024 swing
-16.5pp toward R · 2008: -7.0pp · 2024: -23.5pp
All cycles
2024: R+23.5 2020: R+16.1 2016: R+17.1 2012: R+12.5 2008: R+7.0

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -95.87%
Current HPI
295.8871
Rent YoY
▼ -0.97%
Metro
North Port-Sarasota-Bradenton, FL
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.28%
F500 in state
36

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-30.2% since first listed
4 events — show timeline
  • 2026-03-05 Price Changed $90,000 ForSaleByOwner.com
  • 2026-02-20 Price Changed $99,000 ForSaleByOwner.com
  • 2025-10-29 Price Changed $119,000 ForSaleByOwner.com
  • 2025-10-11 Listed $129,000 ForSaleByOwner.com

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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