1838 Morningside Ave · Atlantic City, NJ
Flood risk 9/10 · Severe
- FEMA flood zone
- AE
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.99%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $1,737 – $8,500
Fire risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $526 – $976
Heat risk 9/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 94°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 8/10 · Major
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 80.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +20.4/30.0
- DSCR +6.5/10.0
- 1% rule +5.1/10.0
- Appreciation +5.0/10.0
- Livability +2.8/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.4/10.0
- ARV discount +0.2/15.0
$239,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Spacious Corner Property With Rare Double Lot — Welcome to a unique property with exceptional potential, located on the corner of Penrose Ave & Morningside Ave, with a second full lot extending all the way to Ohio Ave. The home sits on one parcel, and the attached, fully fenced additional lot—conveyed at closing—creates an expansive outdoor space rarely found in this area. The home offers 3 bedrooms, 2 full bathrooms, a laundry/utility room, and an open-concept flow between the kitchen, dining area, and living room. The layout feels comfortable and functional, with HVAC, a gas stove and oven, and an attached carport for covered parking. A well-maintained shed provide
Key facts
- Incredible lot size
- Rare double lot
- Open concept flow
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Carport; No garage
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Gas water heater
- Home design: Brick exterior; For sale
- Construction: Brick construction; Slab foundation
- Exterior features: Deck; Fenced yard; Concrete driveway; Corner lot
Interior
- Kitchen: Gas stove
- Bedrooms: 7 rooms (includes bedrooms and living spaces)
- Flooring: Vinyl; Wall-to-wall carpet
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Central air conditioning; Ceiling fan(s); Natural gas heating
- Interior features: Ceiling fans; Central air conditioning; Natural gas heating; Laundry/utility room
- Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $240k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-116 ($-1k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $219k (8.6% below list).
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $240k).
- Recommended offer: $218k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 7.8% vs local median 3.7% in Atlantic City — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 55/100 on livability (#525 in NJ) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: health & safety A; Watch: commute D, schools F, crime F.
- Atlantic City School District (urban): math 9% / reading 26% proficiency, ranked #454 of 472 in NJ (top 96%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 85% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 7 active listings in the ZIP; 13 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 22d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 672 units permitted in Atlantic County in 2024 (258 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $9k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $7k appreciation (3.0% local appreciation)).
- Atlantic County population projected at -12% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- By year 4, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$30k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 105 days — a 9% lower offer ($218k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $427/mo.
- Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone AE (mandatory federal flood insurance); severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 105 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1966 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.01% ✓
- Cap rate
- 7.85%
- Cash-on-cash
- 5.54%
- DSCR
- 1.25
- GRM
- 8.3
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $206,550
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1838 Morningside Ave | 0.00mi | 3/2.0 | 1,350 (0%) | 0mo | $235,000 | $174 | 100 |
| 1410 Emerson Ave | 0.15mi | 3/2.0 | 1,244 (-8%) | 12mo | $300,000 | $241 | 70 |
| 1428 Madison Ave | 0.07mi | 3/2.5 | 1,474 (+9%) | 12mo | $155,000 | $105 | 70 |
| 1932 Mckinley Ave Ave | 0.50mi | 3/2.0 | 1,369 (+1%) | 6mo | $232,300 | $170 | 69 |
| 704 N Michigan Ave | 0.62mi | 3/1.5 | 1,404 (+4%) | 4mo | $215,000 | $153 | 59 |
| 1115 N Ohio Ave | 0.38mi | 3/1.0 | 1,438 (+6%) | 16mo | $149,000 | $104 | 54 |
| 2018 Mckinley Ave | 0.50mi | 3/1.0 | 1,192 (-12%) | 4mo | $97,000 | $81 | 50 |
| 1552 W Riverside Dr | 0.30mi | 3/2.5 | 1,150 (-15%) | 15mo | $450,000 | $391 | 47 |
| 1910 Grant Ave | 0.55mi | 3/1.0 | 1,460 (+8%) | 14mo | $100,000 | $68 | 45 |
| 719 N Ohio Ave | 0.57mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,436 (+6%) | 16mo | $1,570,000 | $1,093 | 45 |
| 604 N Indiana Ave | 0.67mi | 3/1.5 | 1,476 (+9%) | 14mo | $162,500 | $110 | 39 |
| 811 N Arkansas Ave | 0.56mi | 3/1.0 | 1,200 (-11%) | 15mo | $130,000 | $108 | 39 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 5.6%
- Equity multiple
- 1.32×
- Total profit
- $21,760
- Equity at exit
- $107,869
- IRR
- 8.7%
- Equity multiple
- 2.31×
- Total profit
- $88,237
- Equity at exit
- $166,240
Cash invested: $67,172 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 21 Tenant-Leaning
- State New Jersey
- 21 Tenant-Leaning · D+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 08401-0000
- Active inventory
- 7
- Price-to-rent
- 8.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,418 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,258
- Tax from tax record
- −$242 /mo · $2,900/yr
- Insurance
- −$100
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$427 /mo · $5,118/yr
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$508
- Net cashflow
- $-116
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $20 | -5% $-48 | +0% $-116 | +5% $-184 | +10% $-252 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-307 | -5% $-212 | +0% $-116 | +5% $-21 | +10% $75 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $5 | -0.5pp $-55 | base $-116 | +0.5pp $-178 | +1.0pp $-242 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $59,975
- Closing costs
- $7,197
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 13 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1532 Emerson Pl Fl Front Atlantic City, NJ | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1200 | $2,400 | $2.00 | 14d | 1 | 0.13mi |
| 1523 N Arkansas Ave Atlantic City, NJ | 3.0 | 2.0 | 984 | $2,500 | $2.54 | 22d | 1 | 0.13mi |
| 1510 N Arkansas Ave Atlantic City, NJ | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1008 | $2,750 | $2.73 | 14d | 1 | 0.14mi |
| 905 Keener Ave Atlantic City, NJ | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1059 | $1,900 | $1.79 | 22d | 1 | 0.51mi |
| 2015 Grant Ave Atlantic City, NJ | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1056 | $2,325 | $2.20 | 22d | 1 | 0.52mi |
| 2021 Grant Ave Atlantic City, NJ | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1011 | $2,350 | $2.32 | 22d | 1 | 0.52mi |
| 1916 Magellan Ave Atlantic City, NJ | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1478 | $1,850 | $1.25 | 22d | 1 | 0.59mi |
| 326 N Tennessee Ave Unit 2 Atlantic City, NJ | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1815 | $2,200 | $1.21 | 14d | 1 | 0.95mi |
| 4 Italy Ter Atlantic City, NJ | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $2,300 | $2.30 | 22d | 1 | 1.05mi |
| 1724 Atlantic Ave Unit A1 Atlantic City, NJ | 3.0 | 1.0 | 950 | $2,300 | $2.42 | 22d | 1 | 1.24mi |
| 100 N Chelsea Ave Unit 1 Atlantic City, NJ | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1200 | $15,000 | $12.50 | 22d | 1 | 1.30mi |
| 31 N Virginia Ave Atlantic City, NJ | 3.0 | 1.0 | 725 | $2,230 | $3.08 | 14d | 1 | 1.40mi |
| 512 N Harrisburg Ave Atlantic City, NJ | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1156 | $2,800 | $2.42 | 14d | 1 | 1.44mi |
Listing history 17 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $239,900 Under Contract 105 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $239,900 Under Contract 104 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $239,900 Under Contract 103 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $239,900 Under Contract 102 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $239,900 Under Contract 100 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $239,900 Under Contract 99 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $239,900 Under Contract 97 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $239,900 Under Contract 96 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $239,900 Under Contract 95 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $239,900 Under Contract 94 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $239,900 Under Contract 89 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $239,900 Under Contract 88 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $239,900 Under Contract 87 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $239,900 Under Contract 86 DOM
-
2026-03-31historical Under Contract
-
2026-03-18price $239,900
-
2026-03-04$259,900 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NJ · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $2,900 · $242/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $4,437 · $370/mo
- Expected delta
- +$1,537/yr (+$128/mo · 53.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 9/10 Extreme FEMA zone AE · 99% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 2/10 Low
- Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥94°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 8/10 Severe 80% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $29,013
- − Mortgage interest
- −$13,438
- − Property taxes
- −$2,900
- − Insurance
- −$6,318
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,321
- − Management
- −$2,321
- − Depreciation
- −$6,979
- Taxable loss
- −$5,264
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,263
- After-tax cash flow
- $-131/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Atlantic City School District
- NCES district ID
- 3400960
- Math proficiency
- 9% ▼ -12.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 26% ▼ -6.00%
- Median HH income
- $27,842
- Composite
- 13.66/100
- National rank
- #9504
- State rank
- #454 of 472 in NJ
Livability — Atlantic City
- Score
- 55/100
- State rank
- #525
- US rank
- #23095
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Atlantic City, NJ
Population outlook (Atlantic County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 268,948 people
- By 2030
- 264,497 · -1.7%
- By 2040
- 252,261 · -6.2%
- By 2050
- 237,846 · -11.6%
- By 2075
- 210,650 · -21.7%
- By 2100
- 180,234 · -33.0%
Not yet ingested
- Political lean
- —
- Race & ethnicity
- —
- Common origin
- —
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- —
- Current HPI
- —
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.05%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NJ)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Consumer Goods | 3 | $31B |
|
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| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $153B |
|
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| Technology | 2 | $21B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $20B |
|
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| Healthcare | 2 | $19B |
|
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| Financial Services | 1 | $70B |
|
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Price history
-7.7% since first listed3 events — show timeline
- 2026-03-31 Contingent — SJSRMLS
- 2026-03-18 Price Changed $239,900 SJSRMLS
- 2026-03-04 Listed $259,900 SJSRMLS
Property tax history
-3.3%/yrLatest (2025): $2,900 · -2.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…