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DAKOTA Plan 🏗️ New Construction
D- Composite 35.02
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +8.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Schools +4.3/10.0
  • Condition / age +4.0/5.0
  • Livability +3.5/5.0
  • Rent growth +3.2/5.0
  • 1% rule +2.5/10.0
  • DSCR +2.1/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$265,990

DAKOTA Plan · Wildwood, FL 34785
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,408 sqft · SingleFamily · 213 Days on market
Good condition Garage

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Discover the charm of efficient living in our thoughtfully designed Dakota floorplan, a three-bedroom, open-concept and concrete block constructed home in Triumph, in Wildwood, Florida. The clever layout seamlessly connects the living, dining, and kitchen areas maximizing space while embodying simplicity without sacrificing style. The well-appointed kitchen comes complete with a stainless-steel appliances, including a built-in dishwasher and microwave, along with quartz countertops. The laundry room is located nearby the garage. The primary bedroom has an ensuite bathroom with quartz countertops and walk-in closet.

Key facts

  • Open-concept
  • Dakota floorplan
  • Built-in dishwasher

Tags

DAKOTA FLOORPLANOPEN-CONCEPTCONCRETE BLOCK CONSTRUCTEDWELL-APPOINTED KITCHENSTAINLESS-STEEL APPLIANCESBUILT-IN DISHWASHER

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Costco Walmart Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 6.0 mi
Loading POIs…
🏗️ New construction. The $265,990 list price is a builder figure, so every metric below is computed on the value from comparable previous sales — $306,933.

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $266k. Condition is rated good.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-309 ($-4k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $262k (1.4% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $229k (13.8% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $229k (13.8% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 5.1% vs local median 4.0% in Wildwood — meaningfully above typical; check what's discounted (condition, days-on-market, listing class) to confirm the premium yield is real.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 69/100 on livability (#471 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: health & safety A+, cost of living A, crime A-; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment D-.
  • Sumter (rural): math 61% / reading 61% proficiency, ranked #11 of 73 in FL (top 15%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Zoned schools: Wildwood Elementary School (math 49% / reading 52%, grade D+, #1,055 of 2,144 statewide, top 50%, 940 students, 76% FRL); South Sumter Middle School (math 55% / reading 54%, grade B-, #183 of 571 statewide, top 34%, 897 students, 61% FRL) — zoned schools average 68% FRL vs 51% district-wide (18 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.9%/yr); 546 active listings in the ZIP; 30 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 70d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 100% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 3,961 units permitted in Sumter County in 2024 (248 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 42% of the median local income ($66k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $9k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Sumter County population projected at +45% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 213 days — a 12% lower offer ($234k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $229,342 (13.8% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 213 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 14% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.75%
Cap rate
5.08%
Cash-on-cash
-4.32%
DSCR
0.81
GRM
11.2

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$306,933
List price
$265,990
Delta
-13.34%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
4630 Parkview Ln 0.08mi 3/2.0 1,408 (0%) 4mo $265,990 $189 92
8713 Triumph Cir 0.10mi 3/2.0 1,408 (0%) 4mo $276,505 $196 92
8741 Triumph Cir 0.13mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,498 (+6%) 2mo $269,990 $180 76
8733 Triumph Cir 0.12mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,498 (+6%) 3mo $278,990 $186 76
4633 Parkview Ln 0.09mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,498 (+6%) 5mo $276,990 $185 76
4645 Parkview Ln 0.08mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,498 (+6%) 6mo $269,990 $180 76
2427 Tamarind Grove Run 0.72mi 3/2.0 1,392 (-1%) 2mo $325,000 $233 63
2409 Hook Hollow Ter 0.68mi 3/2.0 1,522 (+8%) 3mo $354,000 $233 52
4806 E C 462 0.51mi 3/2.0 1,606 (+14%) 5mo $600,000 $374 49
2332 Grenadier Way 0.74mi 3/2.0 1,560 (+11%) 1mo $370,000 $237 47
8128 Penrose Pl 0.56mi 3/2.0 1,614 (+15%) 4mo $267,000 $165 46
2414 Hook Hollow Ter 0.64mi 3/2.0 1,611 (+14%) 5mo $410,000 $255 42

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 2.85% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-23.7%
Equity multiple
0.19×
Total profit
$-69,749
Equity at exit
$45,765
10-year hold
IRR
-19.1%
Equity multiple
-0.02×
Total profit
$-87,380
Equity at exit
$26,538

Cash invested: $85,941 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Florida
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; preempts local rent control; landlord-friendly statutes. Court speed varies by county.
Balanced market Market conditions within 1.0 mi — comparable homes for sale

Active competition Active MLS

For sale now
23 active · 22 under contract
Months of supply
4.3 mo (23%/mo absorbed)
Median asking
$285,000 ($190/sqft)
Median days on market
92 d
This list price
17% of active listings are priced below it
ARV vs active asking
+14.7% above current asking $/sqft

Closed sales set the value; these active listings set current market conditions and a practical price ceiling.

ZIP-level market 34785

Home prices YoY
-10.7%
Rents YoY
2.9%
Active inventory
546
Price-to-rent
9.7×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,293 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,610
Tax est. 1.5%
$384 /mo · $4,604/yr
Insurance
$128
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$482
Net cashflow
$-309

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,685
Max offer price $262,171
Occupancy floor

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $-97 -5% $-203 +0% $-309 +5% $-415 +10% $-521
Rent -10% $-491 -5% $-400 +0% $-309 +5% $-219 +10% $-128
Rate -1.0pp $-155 -0.5pp $-231 base $-309 +0.5pp $-389 +1.0pp $-470

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$76,733
Closing costs
$9,208
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Cash invested
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Cash invested
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Cash invested
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 30 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
8118 Arrow Wood Loop Wildwood, FL 2.0 2.5 1317 $1,704 $1.29 70d 1 0.31mi
8128 Arrow Wood Loop Wildwood, FL 2.0 2.5 1317 $1,699 $1.29 70d 1 0.32mi
8168 Arrow Wood Loop Wildwood, FL 2.0 2.5 1317 $1,754 $1.33 70d 1 0.37mi
5222 Inglewood Dr Wildwood, FL 3.0 3.0 1693 $2,455 $1.45 70d 1 0.45mi
8073 Patagonia Dr Wildwood, FL 3.0 3.0 1638 $2,645 $1.61 70d 1 0.46mi
5234 Inglewood Dr Wildwood, FL 3.0 3.0 1693 $2,475 $1.46 70d 1 0.48mi
8061 Patagonia Dr Wildwood, FL 3.0 2.0 1855 $2,585 $1.39 70d 1 0.48mi
5192 Hartwood Loop Wildwood, FL 3.0 2.0 1572 $2,590 $1.65 70d 1 0.52mi
5255 Inglewood Dr Wildwood, FL 3.0 2.0 1638 $2,410 $1.47 70d 1 0.53mi
4980 Red Maple Ln Unit B1 Wildwood, FL 2.0 2.0 1095 $1,884 $1.72 70d 1 0.54mi
4980 Red Maple Ln Unit C1 Wildwood, FL 3.0 2.0 1445 $1,801 $1.25 70d 1 0.54mi
8062 Rexwood Rd Wildwood, FL 3.0 3.0 1638 $2,345 $1.43 70d 1 0.57mi
2393 Carriage Hill Way The Villages, FL 3.0 2.0 1631 $4,300 $2.64 70d 1 0.73mi
5115 Spanish Harbor Dr Wildwood, FL 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 990 $1,680 $1.70 70d 29 0.79mi
2393 Highbanks Ct The Villages, FL 3.0 2.0 1522 $2,800 $1.84 70d 1 0.85mi
2280 Biscayne Ave The Villages, FL 3.0 2.0 1400 $4,000 $2.86 70d 1 0.86mi
706 Stanley Ave Wildwood, FL 3.0 2.0 1611 $2,300 $1.43 70d 1 0.86mi
2272 Vassar Ln The Villages, FL 3.0 2.0 1416 $2,500 $1.77 70d 1 0.90mi
5339 Loblolly Ln Wildwood, FL 3.0 2.5 1688 $2,000 $1.18 70d 1 0.92mi
2290 Nackman Pl The Villages, FL 3.0 2.0 1427 $3,800 $2.66 70d 1 0.92mi
5267 Dragonfly Dr Wildwood, FL 3.0 2.5 1688 $1,945 $1.15 70d 1 0.92mi
7730 Wilds Loop Wildwood, FL 3.0 1.0–2.0 1084 $2,384 $2.20 70d 28 1.06mi
2192 Quinn Ln The Villages, FL 3.0 2.0 1611 $5,600 $3.48 70d 1 1.07mi
8362 Gower Trl Wildwood, FL 3.0 2.5 1464 $1,695 $1.16 70d 1 1.16mi
8396 Gower Trl Unit 1 Wildwood, FL 3.0 2.5 1707 $1,795 $1.05 70d 1 1.17mi
3234 Evenmore Way Wildwood, FL 4.0 2.0 1824 $2,100 $1.15 70d 1 1.32mi
7011 Homestead Lp Wildwood, FL 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 998 $1,759 $1.76 70d 22 1.34mi
5901 Myrtle DR Wildwood, FL 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 982 $2,009 $2.05 70d 11 1.36mi
3025 Bartow Ln The Villages, FL 3.0 2.0 1415 $3,500 $2.47 70d 1 1.43mi
3064 Gulfport Ct The Villages, FL 2.0 2.0 1602 $2,800 $1.75 70d 1 1.47mi

Property features AI

Finance

Other
Status: Active
Financial info
List price $264,990

Exterior

Parking
2 garage spaces (2 total parking spaces)
Home design
Single-family plan (DAKOTA)
Exterior features
Living area of 1408Address: 8443 Clearway Dr, Wildwood, FL 34785

Interior

Bedrooms
3 bedrooms
Bathrooms
2 full bathrooms
Interior features
Plan: DAKOTA (new construction)

Listing history 50 events

  1. 2026-08-08
    days on market $265,990 Active 213 DOM
  2. 2026-08-07
    days on market $265,990 Active 212 DOM
  3. 2026-08-06
    days on market $265,990 Active 211 DOM
  4. 2026-08-05
    days on market $265,990 Active 210 DOM
  5. 2026-08-04
    days on market $265,990 Active 209 DOM
  6. 2026-08-03
    days on market $265,990 Active 208 DOM
  7. 2026-07-31
    days on market $265,990 Active 205 DOM
  8. 2026-07-29
    days on market $265,990 Active 203 DOM
  9. 2026-07-27
    days on market $265,990 Active 201 DOM
  10. 2026-07-25
    days on market $265,990 Active 199 DOM
  11. 2026-07-23
    days on market $265,990 Active 197 DOM
  12. 2026-07-22
    days on market $265,990 Active 196 DOM
  13. 2026-07-21
    days on market $265,990 Active 195 DOM
  14. 2026-07-18
    days on market $265,990 Active 192 DOM
  15. 2026-07-16
    days on market $265,990 Active 190 DOM
  16. 2026-07-16
    days on market $265,990 Active 189 DOM
  17. 2026-07-14
    days on market $265,990 Active 188 DOM
  18. 2026-07-13
    days on market $265,990 Active 187 DOM
  19. 2026-07-12
    days on market $265,990 Active 186 DOM
  20. 2026-07-11
    days on market $265,990 Active 185 DOM
  21. 2026-07-10
    days on market $265,990 Active 184 DOM
  22. 2026-07-09
    days on market $265,990 Active 183 DOM
  23. 2026-07-08
    days on market $265,990 Active 182 DOM
  24. 2026-07-07
    days on market $265,990 Active 181 DOM
  25. 2026-07-06
    days on market $265,990 Active 180 DOM
  26. 2026-07-05
    days on market $265,990 Active 179 DOM
  27. 2026-07-04
    days on market $265,990 Active 178 DOM
  28. 2026-07-03
    days on market $265,990 Active 177 DOM
  29. 2026-07-02
    days on market $265,990 Active 176 DOM
  30. 2026-07-01
    days on market $265,990 Active 175 DOM
  31. 2026-06-30
    days on market $265,990 Active 174 DOM
  32. 2026-06-29
    days on market $265,990 Active 173 DOM
  33. 2026-06-28
    days on market $265,990 Active 172 DOM
  34. 2026-06-28
    days on market $265,990 Active 171 DOM
  35. 2026-06-27
    days on market $265,990 Active 170 DOM
  36. 2026-06-26
    days on market $265,990 Active 169 DOM
  37. 2026-06-23
    days on market $265,990 Active 166 DOM
  38. 2026-06-22
    days on market $265,990 Active 165 DOM
  39. 2026-06-19
    days on market $265,990 Active 163 DOM
  40. 2026-06-18
    days on market $265,990 Active 162 DOM
  41. 2026-06-17
    days on market $265,990 Active 161 DOM
  42. 2026-06-16
    days on market $265,990 Active 160 DOM
  43. 2026-06-15
    days on market $265,990 Active 159 DOM
  44. 2026-06-14
    days on market $265,990 Active 157 DOM
  45. 2026-06-13
    days on market $265,990 Active 156 DOM
  46. 2026-06-10
    days on market $265,990 Active 154 DOM
  47. 2026-06-09
    days on market $265,990 Active 153 DOM
  48. 2026-06-08
    days on market $265,990 Active 152 DOM
  49. 2026-06-02
    pricedays on market $265,990 Active 146 DOM
  50. 2026-06-01
    days on market $264,990 Active 145 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$27,521
− Mortgage interest
−$17,193
− Property taxes
−$4,604
− Insurance
−$1,535
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,202
− Management
−$2,202
− Depreciation
−$8,929
Taxable loss
−$9,143
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$2,194
After-tax cash flow
$-1,518/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 13 photos

Good 80/100 None rehab

This Dakota floorplan home in Wildwood, Florida is in good condition with minimal repairs needed. It offers a well-maintained exterior, spacious interiors, and modern appliances, making it a great investment for both resale and rental.

Value-add opportunities

  • Resale Paint exterior siding — Enhances curb appeal
  • Rental Trim landscaping — Improves curb appeal and enhances property value
F Composite school gradezoned avg 43/100

Zoned Schools

Elementary Wildwood Elementary School D+ FL #1,055/2,144 Nat'l #12,398/41,679 High Wildwood Middle/ High School F FL #379/667 Nat'l #9,567/17,239

Schools (NCES district)

District
Sumter
NCES district ID
1201800
Math proficiency
61% ▼ -4.00%
Reading proficiency
61% ▼ -2.00%
Median HH income
$48,240
Composite
51.74/100
National rank
#1682
State rank
#11 of 73 in FL
C Composite livability gradescore 69/100

Livability — Wildwood

Score
69/100
State rank
#471
US rank
#8500

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A Crime A- Employment D- Housing B- Health & safety A+ User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Wildwood, FL
County
Sumter County · 161,172 people
City population
21,568
Metro
The Villages, FL
Population (ZIP)
21,568
Household income
$66,136
Rent vs Own
26.7% rent · 73.3% own
Severe rent burden
11% of renters

Population outlook (Sumter County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
161,172 people
By 2030
180,083 · +11.7%
By 2040
209,892 · +30.2%
By 2050
234,186 · +45.3%
By 2075
284,602 · +76.6%
By 2100
317,039 · +96.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.62)
Race & ethnicity
White 52% Black 29% Hispanic / Latino 14% Two or more races 3%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 4% Puerto Rican 2%
Common ancestry
Romanian 3% Lithuanian 2% Italian 2%
Foreign-born
11% · Canada, Jamaica
Languages at home
85% English-only · Spanish 12% Other Indo-European 1% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Sumter

2024 margin
Solid R (+37.6) · D 30.9% · R 68.6%
2008→2024 swing
-10.6pp toward R · 2008: -27.0pp · 2024: -37.6pp
All cycles
2024: R+37.6 2020: R+36.1 2016: R+39.2 2012: R+34.9 2008: R+27.0

Not yet ingested

Civics

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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