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918 Virginia Park St
D Composite 43.44
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • Cash flow +11.2/30.0
  • 1% rule +5.4/10.0
  • Livability +3.7/5.0
  • DSCR +3.3/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.3/10.0
  • Rent growth +1.2/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$249,000

918 Virginia Park St · Detroit, MI 48202
5 bd · 1.5 ba · 2,747 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 158 Days on market
Built 1912 8,712 sqft lot $91/sqft · 28% below area Est $344k · 28% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Located in the historic Virginia Park District of Detroit, this spacious 5-bedroom, 3.2-bath home offers 2,747 sq ft of living space on a corner lot with a 2-car garage. The property is white boxed, meaning the major rough work has been completed and inspected, leaving only cosmetic finishes to bring your vision to life. All rough-in inspections are approved, including plumbing, HVAC, electrical, roof, windows, and exterior doors—saving time and construction costs. The flexible floor plan and generous room sizes make this ideal for an owner-occupant or investor seeking a value-add opportunity in a highly regarded neighborhood. Conveniently located less than 10 minutes from downtown Detroit with easy access to major corridors and city amenities. A rare opportunity to finish a nearly complete home in one of Detroit's most historic districts.

Key facts

  • Flexible floor plan
  • Corner lot
  • 8,712 sq ft lot

Tags

CORNER LOTFLEXIBLE FLOOR PLANVALUE-ADD OPPORTUNITYHIGHLY REGARDED NEIGHBORHOODEASY ACCESS TO MAJOR CORRIDORSCLOSE TO DOWNTOWN DETROIT

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 5-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $249k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-98 ($-1k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $232k (6.9% below list).
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $249k).
  • Recommended offer: $219k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 5.8% vs local median 10.0% in Detroit — below-typical yield; the buyer is paying a premium for something (appreciation thesis, condition, location) that the cap rate doesn't capture.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 73/100 on livability (#218 in MI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: crime F, employment F.
  • Detroit Public Schools Community District (urban): math 10% / reading 24% proficiency, ranked #499 of 540 in MI (top 92%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 90% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: Thirkell Elementarymiddle School (math 2% / reading 8%, grade F, #1,325 of 1,397 statewide, top 99%, 501 students, 91% FRL); Northwestern High School (math 10% / reading 10%, grade F, #659 of 713 statewide, top 97%, 358 students, 88% FRL) — zoned schools at 90% FRL track the district average.
  • Market conditions: Rents falling (-5.1%/yr); 257 active listings in the ZIP; 11 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 12d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 2,639 units permitted in Wayne County in 2024 (1,216 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $2,580/mo this rent would consume 71% of the median local household income ($44k/yr) (locally 1258% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Wayne County population projected at -17% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 158 days — a 12% lower offer ($219k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 4 sale attempts since 21y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $70k; list at $249k implies a 256% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: property tax is 3.5% of price; built in 1912 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $219,120 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 158 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. Built in 1912 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  4. Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
  5. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  6. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  7. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  8. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  9. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  10. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  11. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  12. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.04%
Cap rate
5.82%
Cash-on-cash
-1.69%
DSCR
0.93
GRM
8.0

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$344,337
List price
$249,000
Delta
-27.69%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
1640 Estates Dr 0.56mi 4/3.0 (-1) 2,674 (-3%) 0mo $380,000 $142 58
65 Melbourne St 0.52mi 4/4.5 (-1) 2,650 (-4%) 2mo $275,000 $104 51
708 Taylor St 0.47mi 4/1.5 (-1) 2,435 (-11%) 7mo $225,000 $92 48
100 Taylor St 0.56mi 4/2.5 (-1) 2,486 (-10%) 3mo $140,000 $56 47
1199 Atkinson St 0.57mi 5/2.5 3,060 (+11%) 5mo $265,000 $87 46
7406 Kipling Ave 0.51mi 4/5.0 (-1) 2,605 (-5%) 4mo $321,000 $123 45
686 Atkinson St S 0.61mi 5/2.5 2,384 (-13%) 1mo $195,000 $82 45
237 Alger St 0.67mi 4/3.0 (-1) 2,597 (-6%) 6mo $337,500 $130 44
1441 Longfellow St 0.73mi 5/2.5 2,463 (-10%) 2mo $166,000 $67 43
1411 Atkinson St 0.60mi 5/5.5 2,993 (+9%) 7mo $148,000 $49 35
1475 Atkinson St 0.63mi 4/2.5 (-1) 2,377 (-14%) 6mo $172,500 $73 34
2007 Virginia Park St 0.67mi 6/4.0 (+1) 2,960 (+8%) 9mo $362,500 $122 34

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-23.3%
Equity multiple
0.23×
Total profit
$-53,851
Equity at exit
$37,127
10-year hold
IRR
-33.1%
Equity multiple
-0.19×
Total profit
$-82,946
Equity at exit
$21,529

Cash invested: $69,720 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Michigan
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
7-day pay-or-quit; mixed climate; Detroit/AA have some protections.

ZIP-level market 48202

Rents YoY
-5.1%
Active inventory
257
Price-to-rent
8.0×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,580 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,306
Tax from tax record
$726 /mo · $8,718/yr
Insurance
$104
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$542
Net cashflow
$-98

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,704
Max offer price $231,705
Occupancy floor 99%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $43 -5% $-27 +0% $-98 +5% $-168 +10% $-239
Rent -10% $-302 -5% $-200 +0% $-98 +5% $4 +10% $106
Rate -1.0pp $27 -0.5pp $-35 base $-98 +0.5pp $-162 +1.0pp $-228

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$62,250
Closing costs
$7,470
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 11 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
216 Holbrook Unit Na Detroit, MI 4.0 2.0 2000 $2,200 $1.10 0d 1 0.66mi
216 Holbrook St Detroit, MI 4.0 2.0 2000 $2,000 $1.00 23d 1 0.66mi
2028 Gladstone St Unit 1 Detroit, MI 5.0 2.0 2500 $2,850 $1.14 5d 1 0.78mi
2080 Gladstone St #1 Detroit, MI 4.0 2.0 2426 $3,000 $1.24 0d 1 0.83mi
7370 La Salle Blvd Detroit, MI 4.0 3.0 3610 $4,500 $1.25 45d 1 1.01mi
8951 La Salle Blvd Detroit, MI 4.0 2.5 2440 $2,500 $1.02 3d 1 1.04mi
8951 La Salle Blvd Detroit, MI 5.0 2.5 2440 $2,500 $1.02 16d 1 1.04mi
8951 La Salle Blvd Unit NA Detroit, MI 4.0 2.5 2440 $2,500 $1.02 0d 1 1.04mi
1699 Glynn Ct Detroit, MI 5.0 3.5 2542 $2,500 $0.98 23d 1 1.04mi
2509 Gladstone St Unit NA Detroit, MI 6.0 3.0 3008 $2,000 $0.66 12d 1 1.09mi
2286 Calvert St Detroit, MI 4.0 1.0 3402 $1,450 $0.43 16d 1 1.32mi

Listing history 21 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $249,000 Active 158 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $249,000 Active 155 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $249,000 Active 154 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $249,000 Active 152 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $249,000 Active 150 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $249,000 Active 149 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $249,000 Active 146 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $249,000 Active 145 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $249,000 Active 144 DOM
  10. 2026-06-04
    days on market $249,000 Active 141 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $249,000 Active 140 DOM
  12. 2026-06-01
    days on market $249,000 Active 138 DOM
  13. 2026-05-31
    days on market $249,000 Active 137 DOM
  14. 2026-01-14
    listed $249,000 Active 857-char remark
    Show marketing remark (852 chars)

    Located in the historic Virginia Park District of Detroit, this spacious 5-bedroom, 3.2-bath home offers 2,747 sq ft of living space on a corner lot with a 2-car garage. The property is white boxed, meaning the major rough work has been completed and inspected, leaving only cosmetic finishes to bring your vision to life. All rough-in inspections are approved, including plumbing, HVAC, electrical, roof, windows, and exterior doors--saving time and construction costs. The flexible floor plan and generous room sizes make this ideal for an owner-occupant or investor seeking a value-add opportunity in a highly regarded neighborhood. Conveniently located less than 10 minutes from downtown Detroit with easy access to major corridors and city amenities. A rare opportunity to finish a nearly complete home in one of Detroit's most historic districts.

  15. 2026-01-14
    listed $249,000 Active 852-char remark
    Show marketing remark (852 chars)

    Located in the historic Virginia Park District of Detroit, this spacious 5-bedroom, 3.2-bath home offers 2,747 sq ft of living space on a corner lot with a 2-car garage. The property is white boxed, meaning the major rough work has been completed and inspected, leaving only cosmetic finishes to bring your vision to life. All rough-in inspections are approved, including plumbing, HVAC, electrical, roof, windows, and exterior doors--saving time and construction costs. The flexible floor plan and generous room sizes make this ideal for an owner-occupant or investor seeking a value-add opportunity in a highly regarded neighborhood. Conveniently located less than 10 minutes from downtown Detroit with easy access to major corridors and city amenities. A rare opportunity to finish a nearly complete home in one of Detroit's most historic districts.

  16. 2026-01-14
    listed $249,000 Active
    Show marketing remark (852 chars)

    Located in the historic Virginia Park District of Detroit, this spacious 5-bedroom, 3.2-bath home offers 2,747 sq ft of living space on a corner lot with a 2-car garage. The property is white boxed, meaning the major rough work has been completed and inspected, leaving only cosmetic finishes to bring your vision to life. All rough-in inspections are approved, including plumbing, HVAC, electrical, roof, windows, and exterior doors--saving time and construction costs. The flexible floor plan and generous room sizes make this ideal for an owner-occupant or investor seeking a value-add opportunity in a highly regarded neighborhood. Conveniently located less than 10 minutes from downtown Detroit with easy access to major corridors and city amenities. A rare opportunity to finish a nearly complete home in one of Detroit's most historic districts.

  17. 2006-06-14
    soldstatus $70,000
  18. 2006-04-03
    soldstatus $70,000
  19. 2005-09-28
    listed $71,500
  20. 2004-04-26
    soldstatus $270,000
  21. 2003-03-17
    soldstatus $107,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$8,718 · $726/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$8,718 · $726/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥96°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 4/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 6 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$30,958
− Mortgage interest
−$13,948
− Property taxes
−$8,718
− Insurance
−$1,245
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,477
− Management
−$2,477
− Depreciation
−$7,244
Taxable loss
−$5,149
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$1,236
After-tax cash flow
$61/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Detroit Public Schools Community District
NCES district ID
2601103
Math proficiency
10% ▼ -2.00%
Reading proficiency
24% ▲ 6.00%
Median HH income
$25,815
Composite
13.06/100
National rank
#9564
State rank
#499 of 540 in MI

Livability — Detroit

Score
73/100
State rank
#218
US rank
#5427

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety B- User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Detroit, MI
County
Wayne County · 1,562,939 people
City population
572,865
Metro
Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
Population (ZIP)
15,780
Household income
$43,627
Rent vs Own
69.1% rent · 30.9% own
Severe rent burden
1258.0

Population outlook (Wayne County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
1,675,273 people
By 2030
1,620,300 · -3.3%
By 2040
1,502,341 · -10.3%
By 2050
1,384,039 · -17.4%
By 2075
1,124,592 · -32.9%
By 2100
881,193 · -47.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.57)
Race & ethnicity
Black 60% White 26% Asian 6% Two or more races 4% Hispanic / Latino 3%
Common ancestry
Romanian 3% Slovak 1% Lithuanian 1%
Foreign-born
8% · Canada, Vietnam
Languages at home
90% English-only · Other Indo-European 3% Arabic 2% Spanish 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Wayne

2024 margin
Strong D (+29.0) · D 62.7% · R 33.7% · Other 3.6%
2008→2024 swing
-20.5pp toward R · 2008: 49.5pp · 2024: 29.0pp
All cycles
2024: D+29.0 2020: D+38.1 2016: D+37.3 2012: D+46.9 2008: D+49.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -239.24%
Current HPI
145.5509
Rent YoY
▼ -5.13%
Metro
Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.37%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+132.7% since first listed
8 events — show timeline
  • 2026-01-14 Listed $249,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-01-14 Listed $249,000 REALCOMP
  • 2026-01-14 Listed $249,000 SW Michigan MLS
  • 2006-06-14 Sold (Public Records) $70,000 Public Records
  • 2006-04-03 Sold (MLS) $70,000 REALCOMP
  • 2005-09-28 Listed $71,500 REALCOMP
  • 2004-04-26 Sold (Public Records) $270,000 Public Records
  • 2003-03-17 Sold (Public Records) $107,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+33.2%/yr

Latest (2025): $8,718 · +11.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…