406 W Indiana Ave · Sebring, OH
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $713 – $1,323
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 96°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 18 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +23.7/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +7.6/10.0
- 1% rule +6.9/10.0
- Schools +4.2/10.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$84,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
This is an ONLINE ONLY foreclosure sale. There are NO SHOWINGS. Deposit due by wire transfer within 48 upon conclusion . Cash deal; funding must take place within 30 days of confirmation of sale. 5% Buyer’s Premium shall apply. Subject to postponement and cancellation. Full terms and conditions at online registration.
Key facts
- Corner double lot
- Covered front porch
- Side entry
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $85k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $161 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $85k).
- Recommended offer: $80k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 63/100 on livability (#827 in OH) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime A; Watch: schools C-, amenities F, commute F.
- Sebring Local (town): math 48% / reading 54% proficiency, ranked #438 of 656 in OH (top 67%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Market conditions: 17 active listings in the ZIP; 147 units permitted in Mahoning County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $587 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Mahoning County population projected at -14% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 70 days — a 6% lower offer ($80k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts since 12y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $10k (11%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1915 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 70 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1915 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.19% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.57%
- Cash-on-cash
- 8.15%
- DSCR
- 1.36
- GRM
- 7.0
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $144,144
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 406 W Indiana Ave | 0.00mi | 3/2.0 | 1,584 (0%) | 1mo | $87,000 | $55 | 99 |
| 145 N 17th St | 0.28mi | 3/1.0 | 1,592 (+0%) | 7mo | $144,200 | $91 | 76 |
| 225 W Ohio Ave | 0.27mi | 3/1.0 | 1,400 (-12%) | 0mo | $60,100 | $43 | 64 |
| 756 N 15th St | 0.40mi | 3/1.0 | 1,670 (+5%) | 7mo | $91,200 | $55 | 62 |
| 625 W Maryland Ave | 0.27mi | 3/2.0 | 1,792 (+13%) | 7mo | $186,000 | $104 | 60 |
| 245 E Maryland Ave | 0.50mi | 3/1.0 | 1,496 (-6%) | 4mo | $25,000 | $17 | 60 |
| 324 S 15th St | 0.68mi | 3/2.5 | 1,509 (-5%) | 2mo | $167,500 | $111 | 56 |
| 215 E Virginia Ave | 0.47mi | 3/2.0 | 1,730 (+9%) | 9mo | $180,000 | $104 | 55 |
| 240 S 15th St | 0.65mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,662 (+5%) | 7mo | $60,000 | $36 | 47 |
| 676 W Tennessee Ave | 0.48mi | 4/1.0 (+1) | 1,456 (-8%) | 12mo | $60,000 | $41 | 45 |
| 487 W Florida Ave | 0.60mi | 4/1.0 (+1) | 1,427 (-10%) | 12mo | $151,000 | $106 | 37 |
| 656 N 12th St | 0.70mi | 3/1.5 | 1,364 (-14%) | 10mo | $184,900 | $136 | 34 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -3.8%
- Equity multiple
- 0.86×
- Total profit
- $-3,429
- Equity at exit
- $12,659
- IRR
- 5.9%
- Equity multiple
- 1.44×
- Total profit
- $10,444
- Equity at exit
- $7,341
Cash invested: $23,772 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 73 Landlord-Friendly
- State Ohio
- 73 Landlord-Friendly · R+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 44672
- Home prices YoY
- -14.6%
- Active inventory
- 17
- Price-to-rent
- 7.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,013 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$445
- Tax from tax record
- −$158 /mo · $1,895/yr
- Insurance
- −$35
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$213
- Net cashflow
- $161
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $209 | -5% $185 | +0% $161 | +5% $137 | +10% $113 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $81 | -5% $121 | +0% $161 | +5% $201 | +10% $241 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $204 | -0.5pp $183 | base $161 | +0.5pp $139 | +1.0pp $117 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $21,225
- Closing costs
- $2,547
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 14 events
-
2026-04-22status Pending
-
2026-03-13price $84,900
-
2026-02-09$94,900 Active
-
2026-02-06soldstatus $98,000 Closed 325-char remark
Show marketing remark (325 chars)
This is an ONLINE ONLY foreclosure sale. There are NO SHOWINGS. Deposit due by wire transfer within 48 upon conclusion . Cash deal; funding must take place within 30 days of confirmation of sale. 5% Buyer’s Premium shall apply. Subject to postponement and cancellation. Full terms and conditions at online registration.
-
2026-02-06soldstatus $98,000
Show marketing remark (325 chars)
This is an ONLINE ONLY foreclosure sale. There are NO SHOWINGS. Deposit due by wire transfer within 48 upon conclusion . Cash deal; funding must take place within 30 days of confirmation of sale. 5% Buyer’s Premium shall apply. Subject to postponement and cancellation. Full terms and conditions at online registration.
-
2025-08-17status Pending 325-char remark
Show marketing remark (325 chars)
This is an ONLINE ONLY foreclosure sale. There are NO SHOWINGS. Deposit due by wire transfer within 48 upon conclusion . Cash deal; funding must take place within 30 days of confirmation of sale. 5% Buyer’s Premium shall apply. Subject to postponement and cancellation. Full terms and conditions at online registration.
-
2025-07-10$98,000 Active 325-char remark
Show marketing remark (325 chars)
This is an ONLINE ONLY foreclosure sale. There are NO SHOWINGS. Deposit due by wire transfer within 48 upon conclusion . Cash deal; funding must take place within 30 days of confirmation of sale. 5% Buyer’s Premium shall apply. Subject to postponement and cancellation. Full terms and conditions at online registration.
-
2014-07-28soldstatus $86,000 1004-char remark
Show marketing remark (1004 chars)
This property has so much to offer. When entering the home from the back deck you enter into a large office/craft room with nice closet, & hardwood flooring. The spacious country kitchen with oak cabinets, tile flooring & backsplash is a cook's dream. Next is either a formal dining room w/ hardwood floors or a spacious living room w/ many windows that makes this area light and inviting & has neutral decor. To the front of the home you have an enclosed front porch which would be a great place to sit and relax. A large full bath completes the first floor. The upstairs has 3 nice size bedrooms & a full bath. This home is situated on the double corner lot & features a 3 car detached garage & a great play area complete with swing. The yard also has an invisible dog fence. This home has had many updates over the last few years. A complete list is posted online and will be available at the home for your review when you visit. Room sizes & sq ft. is approx.
-
2014-07-28soldstatus $86,000
Show marketing remark (1004 chars)
This property has so much to offer. When entering the home from the back deck you enter into a large office/craft room with nice closet, & hardwood flooring. The spacious country kitchen with oak cabinets, tile flooring & backsplash is a cook's dream. Next is either a formal dining room w/ hardwood floors or a spacious living room w/ many windows that makes this area light and inviting & has neutral decor. To the front of the home you have an enclosed front porch which would be a great place to sit and relax. A large full bath completes the first floor. The upstairs has 3 nice size bedrooms & a full bath. This home is situated on the double corner lot & features a 3 car detached garage & a great play area complete with swing. The yard also has an invisible dog fence. This home has had many updates over the last few years. A complete list is posted online and will be available at the home for your review when you visit. Room sizes & sq ft. is approx.
-
2014-06-11historical 1004-char remark
Show marketing remark (1004 chars)
This property has so much to offer. When entering the home from the back deck you enter into a large office/craft room with nice closet, & hardwood flooring. The spacious country kitchen with oak cabinets, tile flooring & backsplash is a cook's dream. Next is either a formal dining room w/ hardwood floors or a spacious living room w/ many windows that makes this area light and inviting & has neutral decor. To the front of the home you have an enclosed front porch which would be a great place to sit and relax. A large full bath completes the first floor. The upstairs has 3 nice size bedrooms & a full bath. This home is situated on the double corner lot & features a 3 car detached garage & a great play area complete with swing. The yard also has an invisible dog fence. This home has had many updates over the last few years. A complete list is posted online and will be available at the home for your review when you visit. Room sizes & sq ft. is approx.
-
2014-02-10$87,000 1004-char remark
Show marketing remark (1004 chars)
This property has so much to offer. When entering the home from the back deck you enter into a large office/craft room with nice closet, & hardwood flooring. The spacious country kitchen with oak cabinets, tile flooring & backsplash is a cook's dream. Next is either a formal dining room w/ hardwood floors or a spacious living room w/ many windows that makes this area light and inviting & has neutral decor. To the front of the home you have an enclosed front porch which would be a great place to sit and relax. A large full bath completes the first floor. The upstairs has 3 nice size bedrooms & a full bath. This home is situated on the double corner lot & features a 3 car detached garage & a great play area complete with swing. The yard also has an invisible dog fence. This home has had many updates over the last few years. A complete list is posted online and will be available at the home for your review when you visit. Room sizes & sq ft. is approx.
-
2003-10-10soldstatus $89,500
-
1992-08-03soldstatus $24,000
-
1989-02-06soldstatus $20,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast OH · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,895 · $158/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,895 · $158/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥96°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $12,151
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,756
- − Property taxes
- −$1,895
- − Insurance
- −$424
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$972
- − Management
- −$972
- − Depreciation
- −$2,470
- Taxable income
- $662
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$159
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,778/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Sebring Local
- NCES district ID
- 3904835
- Math proficiency
- 48% ▼ -4.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 54% ▼ -2.00%
- Median HH income
- $38,488
- Composite
- 42.5/100
- National rank
- #3207
- State rank
- #438 of 656 in OH
Livability — Sebring
- Score
- 63/100
- State rank
- #827
- US rank
- #15374
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Sebring, OH
- County
- Mahoning · 224,175 people
- City population
- 4,741
- Metro
- Youngstown-Warren, OH
- Population (ZIP)
- 4,741
- Household income
- $49,835
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 20.1
Population outlook (Mahoning County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 223,932 people
- By 2030
- 218,387 · -2.5%
- By 2040
- 205,367 · -8.3%
- By 2050
- 193,606 · -13.5%
- By 2075
- 173,694 · -22.4%
- By 2100
- 151,147 · -32.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (93%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 93% Two or more races 6% Hispanic / Latino 2%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 4% Iranian 3% Romanian 3%
- Foreign-born
- 1%
- Languages at home
- 97% English-only · Spanish 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Mahoning
- 2024 margin
- Lean R (+9.4) · D 44.9% · R 54.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -36.1pp toward R · 2008: 26.6pp · 2024: -9.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+9.4 2020: R+1.9 2016: D+3.0 2012: D+27.7 2008: D+26.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -38.88%
- Current HPI
- 227.2518
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.98%
- F500 in state
- 48
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OH)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 3 | $145B |
|
||
| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $49B |
|
||
| Financial Services | 3 | $24B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 2 | $93B |
|
||
| Aerospace / Defense | 2 | $47B |
|
||
| Utilities | 2 | $33B |
|
||
Price history
+324.5% since first listed14 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-22 Pending — MLSNOW
- 2026-03-13 Price Changed $84,900 MLSNOW
- 2026-02-09 Listed $94,900 MLSNOW
- 2026-02-06 Sold (Public Records) $98,000 Public Records
- 2026-02-06 Sold (MLS) $98,000 MLSNOW
- 2025-08-17 Pending — MLSNOW
- 2025-07-10 Listed $98,000 MLSNOW
- 2014-07-28 Sold (Public Records) $86,000 Public Records
- 2014-07-28 Sold (MLS) $86,000 MLSNOW
- 2014-06-11 Listing Removed — MLSNOW
- 2014-02-10 Listed $87,000 MLSNOW
- 2003-10-10 Sold (Public Records) $89,500 Public Records
- 1992-08-03 Sold (Public Records) $24,000 Public Records
- 1989-02-06 Sold (Public Records) $20,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+6.7%/yrLatest (2025): $1,895 · +20.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…