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184 Rodney Ave
B Composite 73.87
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +27.8/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +9.8/10.0
  • 1% rule +7.6/10.0
  • Rent growth +4.0/5.0
  • Livability +3.9/5.0
  • Schools +3.3/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$134,999

184 Rodney Ave · Buffalo, NY 14214
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,366 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 152 Days on market
Built 1920 3,808 sqft lot $99/sqft · 20% below area Est $168k · 20% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Welcome to 184 Rodney Ave! Located close to Fillmore in Masten District. Near Bus line, Shopping/Food Marts, ECMC and the 33 expressway giving you access to Downtown in minutes. The home is currently Vacant, This would be a great investment property or a very nice place for you to live .

Key facts

  • 3,808 sq ft lot
  • Built 1920
  • Listed 152 days

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $135k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $412 ($5k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $135k).
  • Recommended offer: $119k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 10.0% vs local median 8.0% in Buffalo — meaningfully above typical; check what's discounted (condition, days-on-market, listing class) to confirm the premium yield is real.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 77/100 on livability (#195 in NY, #3,011 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime F, employment D-.
  • Buffalo City School District (urban): math 41% / reading 40% proficiency, ranked #535 of 590 in NY (top 91%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 75% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: International School (math 8% / reading 17%, grade F, #2,048 of 2,108 statewide, top 97%, 981 students, 92% FRL); Hutchinson Central Technical High School (math 96% / reading 32%, grade B-, #807 of 1,100 statewide, top 73%, 1,175 students, 78% FRL).
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.8%/yr); 92 active listings in the ZIP; 31 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 26d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 42% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 1,244 units permitted in Erie County in 2024 (563 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 35% of the median local income ($58k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $933 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 5.8% rent growth), your $38k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 152 days — a 12% lower offer ($119k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1920 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $118,799 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 152 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1920 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.26%
Cap rate
9.96%
Cash-on-cash
13.09%
DSCR
1.58
GRM
6.6

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$168,253
List price
$134,999
Delta
-19.76%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
18 Wade Ave 0.17mi 4/1.0 (+1) 1,370 (+0%) 9mo $180,000 $131 79
190 Victoria Ave 0.18mi 4/1.5 (+1) 1,305 (-4%) 0mo $200,000 $153 77
28 Victoria Ave 0.15mi 4/1.5 (+1) 1,320 (-3%) 5mo $160,000 $121 77
67 Wade Ave 0.07mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,375 (+1%) 13mo $182,000 $132 76
86 Wade Ave 0.07mi 3/1.0 1,276 (-7%) 18mo $200,000 $157 71
374 Dewey Ave 0.35mi 3/1.5 1,304 (-4%) 10mo $238,000 $183 66
40 Federal Ave 0.49mi 4/1.0 (+1) 1,375 (+1%) 11mo $152,000 $111 62
22 Fairfield Ave 0.36mi 3/1.0 1,512 (+11%) 6mo $220,000 $146 60
138 Greenfield St 0.52mi 3/1.0 1,468 (+8%) 7mo $385,000 $262 58
170 E Morris Ave Unit N 0.43mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,203 (-12%) 10mo $208,000 $173 46
149 Greenfield St 0.51mi 3/1.0 1,540 (+13%) 17mo $350,000 $227 40
92 Fernhill Ave 0.74mi 3/1.0 1,494 (+9%) 13mo $215,000 $144 39

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 5.81% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
6.2%
Equity multiple
1.25×
Total profit
$9,357
Equity at exit
$20,129
10-year hold
IRR
17.9%
Equity multiple
2.68×
Total profit
$63,580
Equity at exit
$11,672

Cash invested: $37,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State New York
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
NYC rent stabilization (~1M units); 2019 HSTPA strengthened tenant rights; courts deeply backlogged.

ZIP-level market 14214

Rents YoY
5.8%
Active inventory
92
Price-to-rent
6.6×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,703 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$708
Tax est. 1.5%
$169 /mo · $2,025/yr
Insurance
$56
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$358
Net cashflow
$412

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,181
Max offer price $134,999
Occupancy floor 71%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $506 -5% $459 +0% $412 +5% $366 +10% $319
Rent -10% $278 -5% $345 +0% $412 +5% $480 +10% $547
Rate -1.0pp $480 -0.5pp $447 base $412 +0.5pp $377 +1.0pp $342

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$33,750
Closing costs
$4,050
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 31 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
76 Vernon Pl Unit Lower Buffalo, NY 3.0 1.0 1190 $1,445 $1.21 16d 1 0.42mi
76 Vernon Pl Unit Upper Buffalo, NY 3.0 1.0 1190 $1,595 $1.34 16d 1 0.42mi
140 Parkridge Ave Buffalo, NY 3.0 1.0 990 $1,500 $1.52 45d 1 0.69mi
89 Lasalle Ave Buffalo, NY 1.0–4.0 1.0–4.0 1024 $2,291 $2.24 3d 10 0.75mi
90 Sussex St Unit 2 Buffalo, NY 2.0 1.0 1000 $1,000 $1.00 45d 1 0.76mi
92 Lasalle Ave Unit 1 Buffalo, NY 2.0 1.0 1000 $1,150 $1.15 45d 1 0.84mi
40 Lisbon Ave Unit Upper Buffalo, NY 2.0 1.0 1057 $1,500 $1.42 13d 1 0.96mi
26 Custer St Buffalo, NY 2.0 1.0 1000 $1,300 $1.30 45d 1 1.02mi
263 Minnesota Ave Unit Upper Buffalo, NY 3.0 1.0 1242 $1,500 $1.21 16d 1 1.04mi
121 Humboldt Pkwy Unit B Buffalo, NY 2.0 1.0 1265 $1,750 $1.38 45d 1 1.05mi
117 Humboldt Pkwy Unit A Buffalo, NY 3.0 1.0 1105 $2,300 $2.08 45d 1 1.05mi
107 Humboldt Pkwy Unit A Buffalo, NY 2.0 1.0 1172 $1,995 $1.70 45d 1 1.06mi
2 Agassiz Cir Unit A Buffalo, NY 2.0 1.0 1076 $2,150 $2.00 25d 1 1.09mi
2 Agassiz Cir Unit B Buffalo, NY 2.0 1.0 983 $2,050 $2.09 25d 1 1.09mi
222 Lisbon Ave Buffalo, NY 4.0 1.0 1300 $1,400 $1.08 25d 1 1.10mi
222 Lisbon Ave Unit Upper Buffalo, NY 3.0 1.0 1400 $1,400 $1.00 45d 1 1.10mi
220 Dartmouth Ave Buffalo, NY 2.0 1.0 1000 $1,100 $1.10 25d 1 1.10mi
163 Carmel Rd Buffalo, NY 3.0 1.0 1400 $1,800 $1.29 4d 1 1.12mi
265 Lisbon Ave Unit 2 Buffalo, NY 3.0 1.0 1200 $1,400 $1.17 45d 1 1.13mi
74 Dorris Ave Buffalo, NY 3.0 1.0 1200 $1,450 $1.21 45d 1 1.19mi
97 Davidson Ave Buffalo, NY 3.0 1.0 925 $1,495 $1.62 3d 1 1.28mi
17 Proctor Ave Unit 1 Buffalo, NY 2.0 1.0 900 $1,100 $1.22 45d 1 1.29mi
60 Englewood Ave Buffalo, NY 4.0 1.0 1400 $1,650 $1.18 3d 1 1.31mi
179 Donaldson Rd Buffalo, NY 3.0 1.0 1152 $1,350 $1.17 5d 1 1.31mi
27 Henley Rd Buffalo, NY 2.0 1.0 1200 $1,299 $1.08 16d 1 1.33mi
71 Gerald Ave Buffalo, NY 2.0 1.0 1773 $1,100 $0.62 45d 1 1.44mi
184 Butler Ave Unit 1545840P Buffalo, NY 4.0 1.0 1496 $3,226 $2.16 16d 1 1.45mi
189 Westminster Ave Buffalo, NY 4.0 1.5 1065 $1,595 $1.50 12d 1 1.46mi
414 Taunton Pl Unit Lowet Buffalo, NY 3.0 1.0 1232 $1,700 $1.38 16d 1 1.47mi
102 Florida St Buffalo, NY 3.0 1.0 1296 $1,650 $1.27 45d 1 1.48mi
307 Sterling Ave Buffalo, NY 3.0 1.0 1632 $1,800 $1.10 5d 1 1.49mi

Listing history 16 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $134,999 Active 152 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $134,999 Active 149 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $134,999 Active 148 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $134,999 Active 147 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $134,999 Active 146 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $134,999 Active 144 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on market $134,999 Active 143 DOM
  8. 2026-06-10
    days on market $134,999 Active 141 DOM
  9. 2026-06-09
    days on market $134,999 Active 140 DOM
  10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $134,999 Active 139 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $134,999 Active 138 DOM
  12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $134,999 Active 134 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $134,999 Active 133 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $134,999 Active 132 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $134,999 Active 131 DOM
  16. 2026-01-20
    listed $134,999 Active 289-char remark
    Show marketing remark (289 chars)

    Welcome to 184 Rodney Ave! Located close to Fillmore in Masten District. Near Bus line, Shopping/Food Marts, ECMC and the 33 expressway giving you access to Downtown in minutes. The home is currently Vacant, This would be a great investment property or a very nice place for you to live .

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥93°F today · 14 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$20,434
− Mortgage interest
−$7,562
− Property taxes
−$2,025
− Insurance
−$675
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,635
− Management
−$1,635
− Depreciation
−$3,927
Taxable income
$2,975
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$714
After-tax cash flow
$4,233/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Buffalo City School District
NCES district ID
3605850
Math proficiency
41% ▲ 11.00%
Reading proficiency
40% ▲ 7.00%
Median HH income
$31,665
Composite
33.17/100
National rank
#5544
State rank
#535 of 590 in NY

Livability — Buffalo

Score
77/100
State rank
#195
US rank
#3011

Category grades

Amenities A Commute A+ Cost of living A Crime F Employment D- Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Buffalo, NY
County
Erie County · 714,559 people
City population
440,021
Metro
Buffalo-Cheektowaga, NY
Population (ZIP)
21,314
Household income
$58,228
Rent vs Own
57.7% rent · 42.3% own
Severe rent burden
1820.0

Population outlook (Erie County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
933,037 people
By 2030
935,181 · +0.2%
By 2040
928,531 · -0.5%
By 2050
905,725 · -2.9%
By 2075
834,037 · -10.6%
By 2100
708,033 · -24.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.67)
Race & ethnicity
White 47% Black 31% Asian 11% Hispanic / Latino 7% Two or more races 6%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Puerto Rican 3%
Common ancestry
Romanian 5% Lithuanian 2% Scotch-Irish 1%
Foreign-born
14% · Canada, China
Languages at home
81% English-only · Other Indo-European 7% Spanish 4% Other Asian/Pacific 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Erie

2024 margin
Lean D (+9.7) · D 54.8% · R 45.2%
2008→2024 swing
-7.9pp toward R · 2008: 17.5pp · 2024: 9.7pp
All cycles
2024: D+9.7 2020: D+14.7 2016: D+4.8 2012: D+15.6 2008: D+17.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -282.52%
Current HPI
373.377
Rent YoY
▲ 5.81%
Metro
Buffalo-Cheektowaga, NY
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.60%
F500 in state
92

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

1 event — show timeline
  • 2026-01-20 Listed $134,999 WNYREIS

Property tax history

+6.6%/yr

Latest (2025): $207 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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