366 Mcneal Heritage Cir · Hahira, GA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 7/10 · Major
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $963 – $1,789
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 108°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 8/10 · Major
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Unhealthy air days now
- 10 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 13 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Appreciation +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +9.6/15.0
- Cash flow +6.8/30.0
- Schools +4.7/10.0
- Livability +3.4/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- 1% rule +1.9/10.0
- DSCR +1.0/10.0
$328,500
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
One step inside this popular floor-plan and you immediately feel at home with an open-concept layout that's perfect for entertaining. Enjoy granite countertops, kitchen tile backsplash, wood flooring throughout for easy maintenance, and a covered back porch ideal for grilling and relaxing. McNeal Estates offers the best of community living - golf cart rides, sidewalks for safety, a community pool, basketball court, and a playground for family fun. Located just minutes from downtown Hahira, you'll love the small-town charm and local conveniences: farm-to-table restaurant, children's and women's boutiques, a nail salon, a true barber shop, and community events at the Railroad Depot. Truly ONE
Key facts
- Wood flooring
- Community pool
- Granite countertops
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Located in the McNeal Estates subdivision (Phase 3)
- HOA & community: Homeowners association with community pool; Annual HOA fee of $435 (approximately $36.25/month)
Exterior
- Parking: Attached 2-car garage with garage door opener
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Single-family residence; One-story home
- Construction: Cement siding
- Exterior features: Covered patio/porch
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Microwave
- Flooring: Vinyl flooring
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Heat pump heating
- Interior features: Dishwasher; Microwave
- Laundry & utility: Dedicated laundry room
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $328k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-511 ($-6k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $255k (22.5% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $227k (30.8% below list).
- Recommended offer: $227k (30.8% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 67/100 on livability (#161 in GA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime C-, employment D+, health & safety D.
- Lowndes County (rural): math 59% / reading 52% proficiency, ranked #8 of 174 in GA (top 5%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Zoned schools: Hahira Elementary School (math 72% / reading 55%, grade B, #99 of 1,228 statewide, top 8%, 807 students, 40% FRL); Hahira Middle School (math 65% / reading 63%, grade B+, #30 of 470 statewide, top 6%, 859 students, 32% FRL); Lowndes High School (math 69% / reading 51%, grade C+, #14 of 424 statewide, top 3%, 3,201 students, 39% FRL) — zoned schools at 37% FRL track the district average.
- Market conditions: 198 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; solid renter incomes; 896 units permitted in Lowndes County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 32% of the median local income ($84k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $35k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $33k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
- Lowndes County population projected at +10% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$56k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 40 days — a 3% lower offer ($319k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 40 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 31% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.69% ✗
- Cap rate
- 4.43%
- Cash-on-cash
- -6.66%
- DSCR
- 0.70
- GRM
- 12.0
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $344,896
- List price
- $328,500
- Delta
- -4.75%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 359 Mcneal Heritage Cir | 0.04mi | 4/2.0 | 1,683 (-5%) | 0mo | $319,900 | $190 | 90 |
| 213 Barry Field Cir | 0.14mi | 4/2.0 | 1,804 (+2%) | 2mo | $329,900 | $183 | 88 |
| 367 Mcneal Heritage Cir | 0.03mi | 4/2.0 | 1,671 (-5%) | 3mo | $326,900 | $196 | 87 |
| 209 Mcneal Heritage Cir | 0.16mi | 4/2.0 | 1,830 (+4%) | 0mo | $359,900 | $197 | 86 |
| 351 Mcneal Heritage Cir | 0.07mi | 4/2.0 | 1,671 (-5%) | 2mo | $321,800 | $193 | 86 |
| 338 Mcneal Heritage Cir | 0.20mi | 4/2.0 | 1,830 (+4%) | 1mo | $359,900 | $197 | 84 |
| 343 Mcneal Heritage Cir | 0.16mi | 4/2.0 | 1,683 (-5%) | 1mo | $319,900 | $190 | 84 |
| 347 Mcneal Heritage Cir | 0.16mi | 4/2.0 | 1,683 (-5%) | 2mo | $329,900 | $196 | 83 |
| 224 Barry Field Cir | 0.18mi | 4/2.0 | 1,683 (-5%) | 3mo | $319,900 | $190 | 82 |
| 117 Sparrow Dr | 0.42mi | 4/2.0 | 1,748 (-1%) | 2mo | $270,000 | $154 | 77 |
| 233 Mcneal Heritage Cir | 0.16mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,880 (+6%) | 1mo | $359,900 | $191 | 76 |
| 220 Wood Duck Pt | 0.34mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,739 (-2%) | 1mo | $289,900 | $167 | 76 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 19.6%
- Equity multiple
- 2.59×
- Total profit
- $146,444
- Equity at exit
- $295,939
- IRR
- 18.0%
- Equity multiple
- 5.97×
- Total profit
- $456,942
- Equity at exit
- $638,203
Cash invested: $91,980 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Georgia
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 31632
- Home prices YoY
- 8.1%
- Active inventory
- 198
- Price-to-rent
- 12.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,273 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,723
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$411 /mo · $4,928/yr
- Insurance
- −$137
- HOA
- −$36
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$477
- Net cashflow
- $-511
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $-284 | -5% $-397 | +0% $-511 | +5% $-624 | +10% $-738 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-690 | -5% $-600 | +0% $-511 | +5% $-421 | +10% $-331 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-345 | -0.5pp $-427 | base $-511 | +0.5pp $-596 | +1.0pp $-682 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $82,125
- Closing costs
- $9,855
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 2 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 305 Barfield St Hahira, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1361 | $1,495 | $1.10 | 45d | 1 | 0.82mi |
| 7410 Northcreek Cir Hahira, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1460 | $1,750 | $1.20 | 22d | 1 | 1.04mi |
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $36 · $432/yr
- Likely covers
- pool
Listing history 19 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $328,500 Active 40 DOM
-
2026-06-19days on market $328,500 Active 38 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $328,500 Active 37 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $328,500 Active 36 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $328,500 Active 35 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $328,500 Active 34 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $328,500 Active 32 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $328,500 Active 31 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $328,500 Active 29 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $328,500 Active 28 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $328,500 Active 27 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $328,500 Active 26 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $328,500 Active 23 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $328,500 Active 22 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $328,500 Active 21 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $328,500 Active 20 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $328,500 Active 19 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $328,500 Active 18 DOM
-
2026-05-12$328,500 Active 852-char remark
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 7/10 Severe
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 8/10 Severe 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 6/10 Major 10 unhealthy d/yr today · 13 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $27,274
- − Mortgage interest
- −$18,401
- − Property taxes
- −$4,928
- − Insurance
- −$1,642
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,182
- − Management
- −$2,182
- − HOA
- −$432
- − Depreciation
- −$9,556
- Taxable loss
- −$12,049
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$2,892
- After-tax cash flow
- $-3,236/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Lowndes County
- NCES district ID
- 1303390
- Math proficiency
- 59% ▼ -1.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 52% ▼ -2.00%
- Median HH income
- $48,221
- Composite
- 47.21/100
- National rank
- #2317
- State rank
- #8 of 174 in GA
Livability — Hahira
- Score
- 67/100
- State rank
- #161
- US rank
- #10280
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Lowndes County · 107,801 people
- Metro
- Valdosta, GA
- Population (ZIP)
- 15,942
- Household income
- $83,946
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 73.0
Population outlook (Lowndes County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 120,348 people
- By 2030
- 123,469 · +2.6%
- By 2040
- 128,482 · +6.8%
- By 2050
- 131,907 · +9.6%
- By 2075
- 139,080 · +15.6%
- By 2100
- 133,649 · +11.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (79%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 79% Black 12% Hispanic / Latino 6% Two or more races 5%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 2% Puerto Rican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 3% Serbian 2% Italian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada, Jamaica
- Languages at home
- 96% English-only · Spanish 3%
Political lean MEDSL · Lowndes
- 2024 margin
- R (+18.0) · D 40.8% · R 58.8%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -8.6pp toward R · 2008: -9.4pp · 2024: -18.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+18.0 2020: R+12.0 2016: R+18.2 2012: R+10.5 2008: R+9.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 19.44%
- Current HPI
- 259.01
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Valdosta, GA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.66%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in GA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Paper / Packaging | 2 | $29B |
|
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| Retail | 1 | $160B |
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| Transportation / Logistics | 1 | $91B |
|
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| Airlines | 1 | $62B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 1 | $47B |
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| Utilities | 1 | $25B |
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Price history
1 event — show timeline
- 2026-05-12 Listed $328,500 SGMLS
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…