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366 Mcneal Heritage Cir
D Composite 42.47
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Appreciation +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +9.6/15.0
  • Cash flow +6.8/30.0
  • Schools +4.7/10.0
  • Livability +3.4/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • 1% rule +1.9/10.0
  • DSCR +1.0/10.0

$328,500

366 Mcneal Heritage Cir · Hahira, GA 31632
4 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,766 sqft · SingleFamily · 40 Days on market
Built 2026 0.28 ac lot $186/sqft · at area comps Est $345k · at est. $36/mo HOA · 2% of rent

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

One step inside this popular floor-plan and you immediately feel at home with an open-concept layout that's perfect for entertaining. Enjoy granite countertops, kitchen tile backsplash, wood flooring throughout for easy maintenance, and a covered back porch ideal for grilling and relaxing. McNeal Estates offers the best of community living - golf cart rides, sidewalks for safety, a community pool, basketball court, and a playground for family fun. Located just minutes from downtown Hahira, you'll love the small-town charm and local conveniences: farm-to-table restaurant, children's and women's boutiques, a nail salon, a true barber shop, and community events at the Railroad Depot. Truly ONE

Key facts

  • Wood flooring
  • Community pool
  • Granite countertops

Tags

OPEN-CONCEPT LAYOUTGRANITE COUNTERTOPSKITCHEN TILE BACKSPLASHWOOD FLOORINGCOVERED BACK PORCHCOMMUNITY POOL

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Located in the McNeal Estates subdivision (Phase 3)
  • HOA & community: Homeowners association with community pool; Annual HOA fee of $435 (approximately $36.25/month)

Exterior

  • Parking: Attached 2-car garage with garage door opener
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Single-family residence; One-story home
  • Construction: Cement siding
  • Exterior features: Covered patio/porch

Interior

  • Kitchen: Dishwasher; Microwave
  • Flooring: Vinyl flooring
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Heat pump heating
  • Interior features: Dishwasher; Microwave
  • Laundry & utility: Dedicated laundry room

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $328k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-511 ($-6k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $255k (22.5% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $227k (30.8% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $227k (30.8% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 67/100 on livability (#161 in GA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime C-, employment D+, health & safety D.
  • Lowndes County (rural): math 59% / reading 52% proficiency, ranked #8 of 174 in GA (top 5%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Zoned schools: Hahira Elementary School (math 72% / reading 55%, grade B, #99 of 1,228 statewide, top 8%, 807 students, 40% FRL); Hahira Middle School (math 65% / reading 63%, grade B+, #30 of 470 statewide, top 6%, 859 students, 32% FRL); Lowndes High School (math 69% / reading 51%, grade C+, #14 of 424 statewide, top 3%, 3,201 students, 39% FRL) — zoned schools at 37% FRL track the district average.
  • Market conditions: 198 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; solid renter incomes; 896 units permitted in Lowndes County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 32% of the median local income ($84k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $35k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $33k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
  • Lowndes County population projected at +10% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
  • By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$56k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 40 days — a 3% lower offer ($319k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $227,287 (30.8% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 40 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 31% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.69%
Cap rate
4.43%
Cash-on-cash
-6.66%
DSCR
0.70
GRM
12.0

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$344,896
List price
$328,500
Delta
-4.75%
Verdict
FAIR
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
359 Mcneal Heritage Cir 0.04mi 4/2.0 1,683 (-5%) 0mo $319,900 $190 90
213 Barry Field Cir 0.14mi 4/2.0 1,804 (+2%) 2mo $329,900 $183 88
367 Mcneal Heritage Cir 0.03mi 4/2.0 1,671 (-5%) 3mo $326,900 $196 87
209 Mcneal Heritage Cir 0.16mi 4/2.0 1,830 (+4%) 0mo $359,900 $197 86
351 Mcneal Heritage Cir 0.07mi 4/2.0 1,671 (-5%) 2mo $321,800 $193 86
338 Mcneal Heritage Cir 0.20mi 4/2.0 1,830 (+4%) 1mo $359,900 $197 84
343 Mcneal Heritage Cir 0.16mi 4/2.0 1,683 (-5%) 1mo $319,900 $190 84
347 Mcneal Heritage Cir 0.16mi 4/2.0 1,683 (-5%) 2mo $329,900 $196 83
224 Barry Field Cir 0.18mi 4/2.0 1,683 (-5%) 3mo $319,900 $190 82
117 Sparrow Dr 0.42mi 4/2.0 1,748 (-1%) 2mo $270,000 $154 77
233 Mcneal Heritage Cir 0.16mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,880 (+6%) 1mo $359,900 $191 76
220 Wood Duck Pt 0.34mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,739 (-2%) 1mo $289,900 $167 76

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
19.6%
Equity multiple
2.59×
Total profit
$146,444
Equity at exit
$295,939
10-year hold
IRR
18.0%
Equity multiple
5.97×
Total profit
$456,942
Equity at exit
$638,203

Cash invested: $91,980 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Georgia
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Magistrate court evictions in 10-30 days; no rent control; preempted; few tenant protections.

ZIP-level market 31632

Home prices YoY
8.1%
Active inventory
198
Price-to-rent
12.0×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,273 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,723
Tax est. 1.5%
$411 /mo · $4,928/yr
Insurance
$137
HOA
$36
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$477
Net cashflow
$-511

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,919
Max offer price $254,612
Occupancy floor

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $-284 -5% $-397 +0% $-511 +5% $-624 +10% $-738
Rent -10% $-690 -5% $-600 +0% $-511 +5% $-421 +10% $-331
Rate -1.0pp $-345 -0.5pp $-427 base $-511 +0.5pp $-596 +1.0pp $-682

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$82,125
Closing costs
$9,855
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 2 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
305 Barfield St Hahira, GA 3.0 2.0 1361 $1,495 $1.10 45d 1 0.82mi
7410 Northcreek Cir Hahira, GA 3.0 2.0 1460 $1,750 $1.20 22d 1 1.04mi

HOA detail

Monthly dues
$36 · $432/yr
Likely covers
pool

Listing history 19 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $328,500 Active 40 DOM
  2. 2026-06-19
    days on market $328,500 Active 38 DOM
  3. 2026-06-18
    days on market $328,500 Active 37 DOM
  4. 2026-06-17
    days on market $328,500 Active 36 DOM
  5. 2026-06-16
    days on market $328,500 Active 35 DOM
  6. 2026-06-15
    days on market $328,500 Active 34 DOM
  7. 2026-06-14
    days on market $328,500 Active 32 DOM
  8. 2026-06-13
    days on market $328,500 Active 31 DOM
  9. 2026-06-10
    days on market $328,500 Active 29 DOM
  10. 2026-06-09
    days on market $328,500 Active 28 DOM
  11. 2026-06-08
    days on market $328,500 Active 27 DOM
  12. 2026-06-07
    days on market $328,500 Active 26 DOM
  13. 2026-06-05
    days on market $328,500 Active 23 DOM
  14. 2026-06-03
    days on market $328,500 Active 22 DOM
  15. 2026-06-02
    days on market $328,500 Active 21 DOM
  16. 2026-06-01
    days on market $328,500 Active 20 DOM
  17. 2026-05-31
    days on market $328,500 Active 19 DOM
  18. 2026-05-30
    days on market $328,500 Active 18 DOM
  19. 2026-05-12
    listed $328,500 Active 852-char remark

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 7/10 Severe
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 8/10 Severe 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 6/10 Major 10 unhealthy d/yr today · 13 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$27,274
− Mortgage interest
−$18,401
− Property taxes
−$4,928
− Insurance
−$1,642
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,182
− Management
−$2,182
− HOA
−$432
− Depreciation
−$9,556
Taxable loss
−$12,049
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$2,892
After-tax cash flow
$-3,236/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Lowndes County
NCES district ID
1303390
Math proficiency
59% ▼ -1.00%
Reading proficiency
52% ▼ -2.00%
Median HH income
$48,221
Composite
47.21/100
National rank
#2317
State rank
#8 of 174 in GA

Livability — Hahira

Score
67/100
State rank
#161
US rank
#10280

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime C- Employment D+ Housing A+ Health & safety D User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

County
Lowndes County · 107,801 people
Metro
Valdosta, GA
Population (ZIP)
15,942
Household income
$83,946
Rent vs Own
16.9% rent · 83.1% own
Severe rent burden
73.0

Population outlook (Lowndes County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
120,348 people
By 2030
123,469 · +2.6%
By 2040
128,482 · +6.8%
By 2050
131,907 · +9.6%
By 2075
139,080 · +15.6%
By 2100
133,649 · +11.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (79%)
Race & ethnicity
White 79% Black 12% Hispanic / Latino 6% Two or more races 5%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 2% Puerto Rican 2%
Common ancestry
Slovak 3% Serbian 2% Italian 1%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada, Jamaica
Languages at home
96% English-only · Spanish 3%

Political lean MEDSL · Lowndes

2024 margin
R (+18.0) · D 40.8% · R 58.8%
2008→2024 swing
-8.6pp toward R · 2008: -9.4pp · 2024: -18.0pp
All cycles
2024: R+18.0 2020: R+12.0 2016: R+18.2 2012: R+10.5 2008: R+9.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 19.44%
Current HPI
259.01
Rent YoY
Metro
Valdosta, GA
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.66%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in GA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

1 event — show timeline
  • 2026-05-12 Listed $328,500 SGMLS

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…