1136 Clay Highway Hwy · Clay, WV
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $787 – $1,461
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 99°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 21 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 1.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +14.0/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Appreciation +5.0/10.0
- DSCR +4.3/10.0
- 1% rule +3.9/10.0
- Livability +2.8/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.3/10.0
$95,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Well-kept ranch home situated on 7.7 acres directly across from Clay County High School. This property features 3 bedrooms and 1 full bath with both a walk-in shower and soaking tub. Enjoy peace of mind with a complete home generator. For the business-minded buyer, this property offers excellent potential as an Airbnb or short-term rental, conveniently located near Rail Explorers and the Elk River Trail, making it an ideal destination for visitors and outdoor enthusiasts alike. Most Furniture included
Key facts
- Near rail explorers
- Elk river trail
- Airbnb potential
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Security: Smoke detectors
- Utilities: Public water; Septic sewer
- Home design: Single-family residence; Single-story
- Construction: Plaster and vinyl siding exterior; Metal roof
- Exterior features: Deck; 7.01 acre lot
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Gas range; Microwave; Refrigerator
- Flooring: Carpet; Laminate
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Heat pump heating; Heat pump cooling
- Interior features: Insulated windows; 6 total rooms; No basement
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $95k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $13 ($156/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $85k (10.8% below list).
- Recommended offer: $85k (10.8% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 56/100 on livability (#267 in WV) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+; Watch: crime D+, amenities F, commute F.
- Clay County Schools (rural): math 21% / reading 36% proficiency, ranked #41 of 55 in WV (top 74%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Zoned schools: Clay Elementary School (math 22% / reading 37%, grade F, #225 of 377 statewide, top 68%, 314 students, 0% FRL); Clay Middle School (math 21% / reading 36%, grade F, #63 of 109 statewide, top 59%, 413 students, 0% FRL); Clay County High School (math 12% / reading 37%, grade F, #91 of 110 statewide, top 85%, 533 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 57% district-wide (57 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
- Market conditions: 7 active listings in the ZIP; 11 units permitted in Clay County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $747 of equity ($657 loan paydown + $90 appreciation (0.1% local appreciation)).
- Clay County population projected at -39% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 24 days — a 2% lower offer ($94k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- Current owner paid $60k; list at $95k implies a 58% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1941 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1941 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.89% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.46%
- Cash-on-cash
- 0.58%
- DSCR
- 1.03
- GRM
- 9.3
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
0.09% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -1.2%
- Equity multiple
- 0.94×
- Total profit
- $-1,518
- Equity at exit
- $28,035
- IRR
- 4.4%
- Equity multiple
- 1.48×
- Total profit
- $12,736
- Equity at exit
- $34,060
Cash invested: $26,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State West Virginia
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+22
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 25043
- Home prices YoY
- 0.1%
- Active inventory
- 7
- Price-to-rent
- 9.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $847 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$498
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$119 /mo · $1,425/yr
- Insurance
- −$40
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$178
- Net cashflow
- $13
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $23,750
- Closing costs
- $2,850
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 8 events
-
2026-06-07status $95,000 Pending 24 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $95,000 Active 24 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $95,000 Active 23 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $95,000 Active 22 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $95,000 Active 21 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $95,000 Active 20 DOM
-
2026-05-11$95,000 Active
-
2009-09-22soldstatus $60,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 5/10 Major
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥99°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $10,169
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,321
- − Property taxes
- −$1,425
- − Insurance
- −$475
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$814
- − Management
- −$814
- − Depreciation
- −$2,764
- Taxable loss
- −$1,443
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$346
- After-tax cash flow
- $502/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Clay County Schools
- NCES district ID
- 5400240
- Math proficiency
- 21% ▼ -14.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 36% ▼ -10.00%
- Median HH income
- $32,831
- Composite
- 23.26/100
- National rank
- #7932
- State rank
- #41 of 55 in WV
Livability — Clay
- Score
- 56/100
- State rank
- #267
- US rank
- #22600
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Population (ZIP)
- 1,446
Population outlook (Clay County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 7,860 people
- By 2030
- 7,227 · -8.1%
- By 2040
- 5,947 · -24.3%
- By 2050
- 4,802 · -38.9%
- By 2075
- 2,942 · -62.6%
- By 2100
- 1,930 · -75.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (99%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 99%
- Common ancestry
- Iranian 2% Serbian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 0%
Political lean MEDSL · Clay
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+62.2) · D 17.9% · R 80.2% · Other 1.9%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -52.0pp toward R · 2008: -10.2pp · 2024: -62.2pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+62.2 2020: R+60.6 2016: R+58.2 2012: R+34.6 2008: R+10.2
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 0.09%
- Current HPI
- 136.9922
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- —
- F500 in state
- 0
Price history
+58.3% since first listed2 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-11 Listed $95,000 KVBOR
- 2009-09-22 Sold (Public Records) $60,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+5.5%/yrLatest (2025): $184 · +7.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…