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262 Hoover Dr 🌊 Lakefront
D Composite 43.96
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +16.7/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • DSCR +5.2/10.0
  • Schools +3.9/10.0
  • 1% rule +3.2/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Livability +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$99,000

262 Hoover Dr · Prince's Lakes, IN 46164
1 bd · 1.0 ba · 660 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 282 Days on market
Built 1961 1.29 ac lot ↓ 34% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Back on the market through no fault of seller or home! Rustic Lakefront Opportunity on Carolyn Lake in the Prince's Lake community. Bring your vision and creativity to this rustic log cabin bungalow shell. Set on three wooded lots totaling 1.67 acres, this property is ready for a total rehab and the chance to create your dream retreat. The barn is in great condition, ideal for projects, hobbies, or storing outdoor toys, while the additional shed offers flexible storage space. Surrounded by trees and nature, this setting provides the perfect backdrop for a weekend getaway or a full-time lakeside lifestyle. Home is conveniently located near the dog park and playground. Please be careful pulli

Key facts

  • Rustic log cabin
  • Three wooded lots
  • Surrounded by trees

Tags

LAKEFRONT OPPORTUNITYRUSTIC LOG CABINTHREE WOODED LOTSGREAT CONDITION BARNFLEXIBLE STORAGE SPACESURROUNDED BY TREES

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Detached 2-car garage
  • Utilities: Public water; Septic system
  • Home design: Single-family residence; One story
  • Construction: Log construction; Slab foundation
  • Exterior features: Approximately 1.67-acre lot (1–3 acres)

Interior

  • Bedrooms: One bedroom on the main level
  • Bathrooms: One full bathroom on the main level
  • Heating & cooling: No heating; No cooling
  • Interior features: Wood-burning fireplace; Appliances not included

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $99k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $61 ($735/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $81k (18.1% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $81k (18.1% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads: area grade D — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
  • Nineveh-Hensley-Jackson United (rural): math 41% / reading 48% proficiency, ranked #93 of 301 in IN (top 31%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Indian Creek Elementary School (520 students, 39% FRL); Indian Creek Middle School (math 32% / reading 46%, grade F, #128 of 330 statewide, top 40%, 486 students, 35% FRL); Indian Creek Sr High School (math 37% / reading 67%, grade D+, #106 of 369 statewide, top 31%, 624 students, 30% FRL).
  • Market conditions: 77 active listings in the ZIP; 1,133 units permitted in Johnson County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $684 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Johnson County population projected at +26% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 282 days — a 12% lower offer ($87k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $51k (34%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Recommended offer $81,097 (18.1% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 282 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 18% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1961 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  6. This sits on a lake — are riparian / water-frontage rights deeded with the parcel? Any dock permits, shoreline easements, or HOA water-use restrictions?
  7. What's the documented flood / surge / shoreline-erosion history here (FEMA AND non-FEMA — e.g., storm surge, creek backup, septic-field saturation)?
  8. Any water-quality or seasonal algae-bloom issues that affect tenant satisfaction or short-term-rental demand?
  9. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  10. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  11. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.82%
Cap rate
7.04%
Cash-on-cash
2.65%
DSCR
1.12
GRM
10.2

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$264,627
Comps found
5
Show comp detail 5 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
304 E Hoover Dr 0.05mi 2/1.0 (+1) 725 (+10%) 9mo $215,000 $297 68
8421 S Kinman Dr 0.71mi 2/1.0 (+1) 668 (+1%) 6mo $280,000 $419 55
8657 S Nash Dr 0.54mi 1/1.0 736 (+12%) 13mo $200,000 $272 45
8726 S Slevins Dr 0.70mi 2/1.0 (+1) 660 (0%) 23mo $301,990 $458 43
8644 S Kinman Dr 0.62mi 2/1.0 (+1) 576 (-13%) 13mo $148,000 $257 34

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-12.2%
Equity multiple
0.56×
Total profit
$-12,194
Equity at exit
$14,761
10-year hold
IRR
-3.1%
Equity multiple
0.79×
Total profit
$-5,809
Equity at exit
$8,560

Cash invested: $27,720 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Indiana
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+11
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day pay-or-quit; landlord-favorable; preempted.

ZIP-level market 46164

Active inventory
77
Price-to-rent
10.2×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$811 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$519
Tax from tax record
$19 /mo · $228/yr
Insurance
$41
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$170
Net cashflow
$61

Break-even live

Break-even rent $733
Max offer price $99,000
Occupancy floor 87%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $117 -5% $89 +0% $61 +5% $33 +10% $5
Rent -10% $-3 -5% $29 +0% $61 +5% $93 +10% $125
Rate -1.0pp $111 -0.5pp $86 base $61 +0.5pp $36 +1.0pp $9

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$24,750
Closing costs
$2,970
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 22 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $99,000 Active 282 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $99,000 Active 279 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $99,000 Active 278 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $99,000 Active 277 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $99,000 Active 276 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $99,000 Active 274 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $99,000 Active 270 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $99,000 Active 269 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $99,000 Active 268 DOM
  10. 2026-06-03
    days on market $99,000 Active 264 DOM
  11. 2026-06-02
    days on market $99,000 Active 263 DOM
  12. 2026-06-01
    days on market $99,000 Active 262 DOM
  13. 2026-05-31
    days on market $99,000 Active 261 DOM
  14. 2026-05-18
    status Active
  15. 2026-04-30
    status Pending
  16. 2026-04-18
    price $99,000
  17. 2026-04-01
    price $109,000
  18. 2026-01-09
    price $119,000
  19. 2025-12-04
    price $129,000
  20. 2025-11-08
    price $139,000
  21. 2025-10-14
    price $145,000
  22. 2025-08-23
    listed $150,000 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast IN · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$228 · $19/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$535 · $45/mo
Expected delta
+$307/yr (+$26/mo · 134.4%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥102°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$9,732
− Mortgage interest
−$5,546
− Property taxes
−$228
− Insurance
−$495
− Repairs & maintenance
−$779
− Management
−$779
− Depreciation
−$2,880
Taxable loss
−$974
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$234
After-tax cash flow
$969/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Nineveh-Hensley-Jackson United
NCES district ID
1807620
Math proficiency
41% ▼ -12.00%
Reading proficiency
48% ▼ -10.00%
Median HH income
$59,040
Composite
39.07/100
National rank
#4053
State rank
#93 of 301 in IN

Livability — Prince's Lakes

No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)

Census & demographics

Census place
Prince's Lakes, IN
Population (ZIP)
3,991

Population outlook (Johnson County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
170,080 people
By 2030
179,983 · +5.8%
By 2040
198,580 · +16.8%
By 2050
214,661 · +26.2%
By 2075
247,990 · +45.8%
By 2100
257,821 · +51.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (96%)
Race & ethnicity
White 96% Two or more races 2% Pacific Islander 1%
Common ancestry
Romanian 3% Lithuanian 2% Slovak 2%
Foreign-born
1% · Canada
Languages at home
98% English-only · Spanish 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Johnson

2024 margin
Solid R (+34.3) · D 32.0% · R 66.3% · Other 1.7%
2008→2024 swing
-8.9pp toward R · 2008: -25.5pp · 2024: -34.3pp
All cycles
2024: R+34.3 2020: R+34.1 2016: R+42.5 2012: R+38.5 2008: R+25.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -129.89%
Current HPI
218.3894
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.90%
F500 in state
18

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IN)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-34.0% since first listed
9 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-18 Relisted MIBOR as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-04-30 Pending MIBOR as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-04-18 Price Changed $99,000 MIBOR as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-04-01 Price Changed $109,000 MIBOR as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-01-09 Price Changed $119,000 MIBOR as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-12-04 Price Changed $129,000 MIBOR as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-11-08 Price Changed $139,000 MIBOR as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-10-14 Price Changed $145,000 MIBOR as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-08-23 Listed $150,000 MIBOR as Distributed by MLS Grid

Property tax history

+41.7%/yr

Latest (2024): $228 · -5.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…