1788 Cherokee Dr Unit F · West Carrollton, OH
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $713 – $1,323
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 99°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 4 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 5 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +17.2/30.0
- 1% rule +9.8/10.0
- ARV discount +6.6/15.0
- DSCR +5.4/10.0
- Schools +3.4/10.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$86,500
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Charming Condo in West Carrollton – Move-In Ready! Welcome to this inviting 2-bedroom, 1.5-bath condominium in the desirable Indian Creek community. The home features a spacious living area that flows into the dining space and kitchen, perfect for entertaining or relaxing. The primary bedroom includes a private bath, while a walkout from the living room opens to your own private patio. Residents enjoy access to a clubhouse and pool, plus the convenience of on-site laundry. The monthly condo fee covers hazard insurance, trash removal, swimming, clubhouse use, and water—offering peace of mind and easy living. Located close to I-75, shopping, and dining, this condo is a must-see. Come and experience it for yourself!
Key facts
- Clubhouse
- Private patio
- Pool
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.5-bath condo listed at $86k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $62 ($742/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $86k).
- Recommended offer: $81k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 7.2% vs local median 4.7% in West Carrollton — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 65/100 on livability (#712 in OH) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime C-, amenities F, commute F.
- West Carrollton City (suburban): math 34% / reading 46% proficiency, ranked #540 of 656 in OH (top 82%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 82 active listings in the ZIP; 19 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 3d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 907 units permitted in Montgomery County in 2024 (416 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $598 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Montgomery County population projected at -10% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 79 days — a 6% lower offer ($81k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 5 sale attempts since 12y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $8k (9%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $50k; list at $86k implies a 73% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: HOA is 29% of rent.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 79 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1974 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.48% ✓
- Cap rate
- 7.15%
- Cash-on-cash
- 3.06%
- DSCR
- 1.14
- GRM
- 5.6
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $84,750
- List price
- $86,500
- Delta
- 2.06%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -11.2%
- Equity multiple
- 0.59×
- Total profit
- $-9,844
- Equity at exit
- $12,897
- IRR
- -1.5%
- Equity multiple
- 0.89×
- Total profit
- $-2,551
- Equity at exit
- $7,479
Cash invested: $24,220 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 73 Landlord-Friendly
- State Ohio
- 73 Landlord-Friendly · R+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 45449
- Active inventory
- 82
- Price-to-rent
- 5.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,277 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$454
- Tax from tax record
- −$84 /mo · $1,003/yr
- Insurance
- −$36
- HOA
- −$374
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$268
- Net cashflow
- $62
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $21,625
- Closing costs
- $2,595
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 19 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1651 S Elm St Dayton, OH | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 908 | $1,549 | $1.71 | 2d | 9 | 0.14mi |
| 841 Gawain Cir Dayton, OH | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 950 | $1,140 | $1.20 | 2d | 17 | 0.33mi |
| 712 Green Feather Ct Unit 5 Dayton, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,200 | $1.20 | 2d | 1 | 0.63mi |
| 1306 Black Forest Dr Apt A Dayton, OH | 1.0 | 1.0 | 830 | $925 | $1.11 | 23d | 1 | 0.66mi |
| 1306 Black Forest Dr Unit B Dayton, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 830 | $1,175 | $1.42 | 2d | 1 | 0.66mi |
| 1308 Camp Hill Way Dayton, OH | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1000 | $1,175 | $1.18 | 2d | 11 | 0.88mi |
| 1122 Redbluff Dr Unit B Dayton, OH | 1.0 | 1.0 | 850 | $900 | $1.06 | 43d | 1 | 0.96mi |
| 155 Prestige Pl Miamisburg, OH | 1.0 | 1.0 | 593 | $1,370 | $2.31 | 2d | 9 | 1.00mi |
| 1735 Mars Hill Dr Dayton, OH | 2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 968 | $1,162 | $1.20 | 2d | 4 | 1.05mi |
| 1130 Bishop Dr Unit 1130-C Dayton, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 850 | $880 | $1.04 | 2d | 1 | 1.09mi |
| 85 N Gebhart Church Rd Unit G Miamisburg, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 950 | $895 | $0.94 | 23d | 1 | 1.10mi |
| 7477 Shady Water Ln Dayton, OH | 2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 712 | $1,490 | $2.09 | 2d | 36 | 1.11mi |
| 2910 Knoll Ridge Dr Dayton, OH | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 680 | $974 | $1.43 | 2d | 1 | 1.12mi |
| 1644 Villa South Dr Dayton, OH | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1000 | $1,500 | $1.50 | 43d | 1 | 1.18mi |
| 8470 Towson Blvd Miamisburg, OH | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1050 | $1,182 | $1.13 | 2d | 9 | 1.28mi |
| 8310 Lyons Gate Way Miamisburg, OH | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 715 | $1,455 | $2.03 | 3d | 11 | 1.29mi |
| 8470 Towson Blvd Miamisburg, OH | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1050 | $1,188 | $1.13 | 18d | 7 | 1.32mi |
| 911 S Alex Rd Dayton, OH | 1.0 | 1.0 | 625 | $799 | $1.28 | 2d | 5 | 1.35mi |
| 2125 Maue Rd Miamisburg, OH | 2.0 | 1.0–1.5 | 825 | $2,048 | $2.48 | 2d | 1 | 1.37mi |
HOA detail condo
- Monthly dues
- $374 · $4,488/yr
- Likely covers
- watertrashinsurancepool
- Assessments
- None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.
Listing history 38 events
-
2026-06-19price $86,500 Active 79 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $90,000 Active 79 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $90,000 Active 78 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $90,000 Active 77 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $90,000 Active 76 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $90,000 Active 74 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $90,000 Active 73 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $90,000 Active 71 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $90,000 Active 70 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $90,000 Active 69 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $90,000 Active 68 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $90,000 Active 64 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $90,000 Active 63 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $90,000 Active 62 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $90,000 Active 61 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $90,000 Active 60 DOM
-
2026-05-02price $92,000 735-char remark
Show marketing remark (735 chars)
Charming Condo in West Carrollton – Move-In Ready! Welcome to this inviting 2-bedroom, 1.5-bath condominium in the desirable Indian Creek community. The home features a spacious living area that flows into the dining space and kitchen, perfect for entertaining or relaxing. The primary bedroom includes a private bath, while a walkout from the living room opens to your own private patio. Residents enjoy access to a clubhouse and pool, plus the convenience of on-site laundry. The monthly condo fee covers hazard insurance, trash removal, swimming, clubhouse use, and water—offering peace of mind and easy living. Located close to I-75, shopping, and dining, this condo is a must-see. Come and experience it for yourself!
-
2026-03-31$95,000 Active 735-char remark
Show marketing remark (735 chars)
Charming Condo in West Carrollton – Move-In Ready! Welcome to this inviting 2-bedroom, 1.5-bath condominium in the desirable Indian Creek community. The home features a spacious living area that flows into the dining space and kitchen, perfect for entertaining or relaxing. The primary bedroom includes a private bath, while a walkout from the living room opens to your own private patio. Residents enjoy access to a clubhouse and pool, plus the convenience of on-site laundry. The monthly condo fee covers hazard insurance, trash removal, swimming, clubhouse use, and water—offering peace of mind and easy living. Located close to I-75, shopping, and dining, this condo is a must-see. Come and experience it for yourself!
-
2026-02-14historical
-
2026-01-22status Active
-
2026-01-15status Pending
-
2025-12-02price $92,000
-
2025-11-04price $100,000
-
2025-10-09price $105,000
-
2025-08-29price $107,500
-
2025-08-14$110,000 Active
-
2021-12-13soldstatus $50,000
-
2021-11-17soldstatus $50,000 Sold
-
2021-11-17soldstatus $50,000 Closed
-
2021-11-10historical Active/Pending
-
2021-10-22price $59,900
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2021-10-15$65,000 Active
-
2018-02-20soldstatus $35,000
-
2014-11-30historical
-
2014-05-21$39,925
-
2005-07-06soldstatus $50,500
-
1996-03-15soldstatus $41,000
-
1993-01-07soldstatus $425,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast OH · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,003 · $84/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,176 · $98/mo
- Expected delta
- +$173/yr (+$14/mo · 17.3%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥99°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 0% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $15,328
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,845
- − Property taxes
- −$1,003
- − Insurance
- −$432
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,226
- − Management
- −$1,226
- − HOA
- −$4,488
- − Depreciation
- −$2,516
- Taxable loss
- −$410
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$98
- After-tax cash flow
- $840/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- West Carrollton City
- NCES district ID
- 3904505
- Math proficiency
- 34% ▼ -12.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 46% ▼ -9.00%
- Median HH income
- $42,209
- Composite
- 33.71/100
- National rank
- #5380
- State rank
- #540 of 656 in OH
Livability — West Carrollton
- Score
- 65/100
- State rank
- #712
- US rank
- #12835
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- West Carrollton, OH
- County
- Montgomery County · 459,541 people
- City population
- 19,066
- Metro
- Dayton-Kettering, OH
- Population (ZIP)
- 19,066
- Household income
- $63,800
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 745.0
Population outlook (Montgomery County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 523,241 people
- By 2030
- 514,948 · -1.6%
- By 2040
- 493,378 · -5.7%
- By 2050
- 469,639 · -10.2%
- By 2075
- 418,360 · -20.0%
- By 2100
- 353,315 · -32.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (71%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 71% Black 13% Two or more races 9% Hispanic / Latino 6% Asian 3%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 4% Puerto Rican 1%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 2% Slovak 2% Lithuanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 8% · Canada, China, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 89% English-only · Spanish 5% Arabic 3% Chinese 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Montgomery
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 49.8% · R 49.3%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -5.8pp toward R · 2008: 6.2pp · 2024: 0.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+0.5 2020: D+2.2 2016: R+1.2 2012: D+3.1 2008: D+6.2
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -188.64%
- Current HPI
- 248.1785
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Dayton-Kettering, OH
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.98%
- F500 in state
- 48
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OH)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 3 | $145B |
|
||
| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $49B |
|
||
| Financial Services | 3 | $24B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 2 | $93B |
|
||
| Aerospace / Defense | 2 | $47B |
|
||
| Utilities | 2 | $33B |
|
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Price history
-78.4% since first listed22 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-02 Price Changed $92,000 Dayton MLS
- 2026-03-31 Listed $95,000 Dayton MLS
- 2026-02-14 Listing Removed — Dayton MLS
- 2026-01-22 Relisted — Dayton MLS
- 2026-01-15 Pending — Dayton MLS
- 2025-12-02 Price Changed $92,000 Dayton MLS
- 2025-11-04 Price Changed $100,000 Dayton MLS
- 2025-10-09 Price Changed $105,000 Dayton MLS
- 2025-08-29 Price Changed $107,500 Dayton MLS
- 2025-08-14 Listed $110,000 Dayton MLS
- 2021-12-13 Sold (Public Records) $50,000 Public Records
- 2021-11-17 Sold (MLS) $50,000 Dayton MLS
- 2021-11-17 Sold (MLS) $50,000 Dayton MLS
- 2021-11-10 Contingent — Dayton MLS
- 2021-10-22 Price Changed $59,900 Dayton MLS
- 2021-10-15 Listed $65,000 Dayton MLS
- 2018-02-20 Sold (Public Records) $35,000 Public Records
- 2014-11-30 Listing Removed — Dayton MLS
- 2014-05-21 Listed $39,925 Dayton MLS
- 2005-07-06 Sold (Public Records) $50,500 Public Records
- 1996-03-15 Sold (Public Records) $41,000 Public Records
- 1993-01-07 Sold (Public Records) $425,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+0.8%/yrLatest (2025): $1,003 · -0.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…