17456 Crescent Moon Loop · Lakewood Ranch, FL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 10/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 109°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 28 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +12.5/30.0
- ARV discount +11.3/15.0
- 1% rule +4.4/10.0
- Schools +4.4/10.0
- Condition / age +4.0/5.0
- DSCR +3.7/10.0
- Livability +2.5/5.0
- Rent growth +1.2/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$314,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Under Construction. Our townhomes at Star Farms feature concrete-block construction, including a concrete-block party wall between units, providing the feel of a single-family home with the carefree lifestyle of a townhome. With stainless steel appliances and granite countertops in the kitchen, a laundry room equipped with a washer and dryer, and America's Smart Home Automation system, our townhomes at Star Farms offer quality and an unbeatable value that will serve you and your family for years to come.
Key facts
- Gated community
- Fitness center
- Resort-style pools
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Total monthly fees noted as $266.20; total annual fees $3,194.40
- Financial info: CDD: Yes; Lease restrictions apply
- HOA & community: HOA managed by Access Management; Monthly HOA fee of $266.20 (includes guard service, pool, maintenance of structure and grounds, recreational facilities, security); Community amenities: clubhouse, fitness center, pool, spa/hot tub, tennis courts, pickleball courts, basketball court, park, playground, recreation facilities, community mailbox, sidewalks, deed-restricted; Association approval required; Pets allowed
Exterior
- Parking: Driveway; Attached garage with garage door opener; 1-car garage
- Security: Gated community; 24-hour guard (via HOA)
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electricity connected; Cable connected
- Home design: Residential townhouse; Two stories; Faces north; Entry on main level
- Construction: Block and stucco construction; Shingle roof; Slab foundation; Built by D.R. Horton
- Exterior features: Covered, screened patio/porch; Hurricane shutters; Sliding doors; Trees and landscaped yard; Sidewalks; Paved driveway
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Disposal; Microwave; Range; Refrigerator; Electric water heater
- Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms
- Flooring: Carpet; Tile
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms; 1 half bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Ceiling fans; Eat-in kitchen; Stone counters; Walk-in closets; Window treatments; Great room
- Laundry & utility: Inside laundry in a laundry closet; Inside utility room
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.5-bath townhouse listed at $315k. Condition is rated good.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-48 ($-573/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $306k (2.7% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $296k (5.9% below list).
- Recommended offer: $296k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 6.1% vs local median 3.3% in Lakewood Ranch — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads: area grade D — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
- Manatee (suburban): math 54% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #26 of 73 in FL (top 36%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Zoned schools: B.D. Gullett Elementary School (math 78% / reading 73%, grade A, #211 of 2,144 statewide, top 10%, 1,121 students, 20% FRL); Lakewood Ranch High School (math 47% / reading 63%, grade C, #135 of 667 statewide, top 20%, 2,435 students, 22% FRL) — zoned schools average 21% FRL vs 51% district-wide (29 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
- Zoned-school proficiency averages 65% at this address vs 52% district-wide (+13 pts) — the actual schools serving this property are materially stronger than the Manatee average implies; a family-tenant draw the district grade alone would hide.
- Market conditions: Rents falling (-5.2%/yr); 1154 active listings in the ZIP; 24 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); high-income renter base; 7,472 units permitted in Manatee County in 2024 (1,782 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $9k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Manatee County population projected at +43% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 83 days — a 6% lower offer ($296k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts since 4y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $35k (10%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→28/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 83 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.94% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.11%
- Cash-on-cash
- -0.65%
- DSCR
- 0.97
- GRM
- 8.9
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $343,804
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17436 Crescent Moon Loop | 0.02mi | 3/2.5 | 1,673 (-2%) | 4mo | $280,000 | $167 | 93 |
| 17713 Crescent Moon Loop | 0.12mi | 3/2.5 | 1,758 (+3%) | 3mo | $332,000 | $189 | 87 |
| 17460 Crescent Moon Loop | 0.01mi | 3/2.5 | 1,784 (+5%) | 8mo | $350,000 | $196 | 85 |
| 17776 Crescent Moon Loop | 0.17mi | 3/2.5 | 1,463 (-14%) | 6mo | $315,000 | $215 | 64 |
| 2262 Washington Palm Ct | 0.60mi | 3/2.5 | 1,790 (+5%) | 1mo | $316,940 | $177 | 63 |
| 2272 Washington Palm Ct | 0.61mi | 3/2.5 | 1,790 (+5%) | 2mo | $362,120 | $202 | 61 |
| 17413 Haysack Ter | 0.17mi | 3/2.5 | 1,463 (-14%) | 9mo | $332,990 | $228 | 61 |
| 17417 Haysack Ter | 0.17mi | 3/2.5 | 1,463 (-14%) | 10mo | $320,000 | $219 | 61 |
| 17425 Haysack Ter | 0.17mi | 3/2.5 | 1,463 (-14%) | 10mo | $320,000 | $219 | 61 |
| 17421 Haysack Ter | 0.17mi | 3/2.5 | 1,463 (-14%) | 10mo | $320,000 | $219 | 61 |
| 2214 Washington Palm Ct | 0.60mi | 3/2.5 | 1,790 (+5%) | 8mo | $333,840 | $187 | 57 |
| 16514 16514 San Nicola Pl | 0.72mi | 2/2.5 (-1) | 1,629 (-4%) | 9mo | $264,440 | $162 | 46 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -21.1%
- Equity multiple
- 0.29×
- Total profit
- $-62,582
- Equity at exit
- $46,953
- IRR
- -24.8%
- Equity multiple
- -0.04×
- Total profit
- $-91,271
- Equity at exit
- $27,227
Cash invested: $88,172 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 34211
- Home prices YoY
- -27.5%
- Rents YoY
- -5.2%
- Active inventory
- 1154
- Price-to-rent
- 8.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,964 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,651
- Tax from tax record
- −$341 /mo · $4,090/yr
- Insurance
- −$131
- HOA
- −$266
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$622
- Net cashflow
- $-48
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $78,725
- Closing costs
- $9,447
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 24 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3222 Bitterroot Ln Bradenton, FL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1665 | $3,000 | $1.80 | 24d | 1 | 0.12mi |
| 17649 Crescent Moon Loop Bradenton, FL | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1673 | $2,749 | $1.64 | 24d | 1 | 0.13mi |
| 17624 Crescent Moon Loop Bradenton, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1784 | $2,950 | $1.65 | 24d | 1 | 0.13mi |
| 17777 Crescent Moon Loop Bradenton, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1464 | $2,300 | $1.57 | 21d | 1 | 0.15mi |
| 17707 Gulf Ranch Pl Bradenton, FL | 4.0 | 2.5 | 2045 | $4,800 | $2.35 | 3d | 1 | 0.30mi |
| 16929 Yard Spring Dr Bradenton, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1504 | $2,700 | $1.80 | 3d | 1 | 0.38mi |
| 18143 Wheathouse Pl Bradenton, FL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1828 | $3,300 | $1.81 | 24d | 1 | 0.50mi |
| 3109 Novara Ln Bradenton, FL | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1373 | $2,500 | $1.82 | 12d | 1 | 0.56mi |
| 16610 San Nicola Pl Bradenton, FL | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1268 | $1,975 | $1.56 | 24d | 1 | 0.64mi |
| 16559 San Nicola Pl Bradenton, FL | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1185 | $1,990 | $1.68 | 24d | 1 | 0.67mi |
| 16555 San Nicola Pl Bradenton, FL | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1180 | $2,100 | $1.78 | 12d | 1 | 0.67mi |
| 16527 San Nicola Pl Bradenton, FL | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1200 | $2,200 | $1.83 | 24d | 1 | 0.69mi |
| 16530 San Nicola Pl Bradenton, FL | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1185 | $1,875 | $1.58 | 20d | 1 | 0.70mi |
| 16515 San Nicola Pl Bradenton, FL | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1187 | $1,975 | $1.66 | 24d | 1 | 0.70mi |
| 18524 Buckskin Dr Bradenton, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1464 | $2,300 | $1.57 | 24d | 1 | 0.79mi |
| 3263 Alba Cir Bradenton, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1926 | $12,000 | $6.23 | 24d | 1 | 0.84mi |
| 2531 Beachcomber Inlet Loop Bradenton, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1479 | $2,745 | $1.86 | 3d | 7 | 0.89mi |
| 17903 Cherished Loop Bradenton, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1672 | $2,800 | $1.67 | 24d | 1 | 0.91mi |
| 17918 Cherished Loop Bradenton, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1452 | $3,000 | $2.07 | 24d | 1 | 0.93mi |
| 16139 Isola Pl Bradenton, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1678 | $4,000 | $2.38 | 16d | 1 | 0.95mi |
| 16126 San Donato Pl Bradenton, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1926 | $5,500 | $2.86 | 24d | 1 | 0.95mi |
| 17929 Cherished Loop Bradenton, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1432 | $3,000 | $2.09 | 3d | 1 | 0.95mi |
| 2617 Fetlock Run Unit 2617 Bradenton, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1464 | $2,350 | $1.61 | 16d | 1 | 0.96mi |
| 17419 Harvest Moon Way Bradenton, FL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 2045 | $2,595 | $1.27 | 16d | 1 | 1.43mi |
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $266 · $3,192/yr
Listing history 27 events
-
2026-06-16status $314,900 Pending 83 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $314,900 Active 83 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $314,900 Active 81 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $314,900 Active 80 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $314,900 Active 78 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $314,900 Active 77 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $314,900 Active 76 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $314,900 Active 75 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $314,900 Active 71 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $314,900 Active 70 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $314,900 Active 69 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $314,900 Active 68 DOM
-
2026-05-20price $314,900
-
2026-04-15price $324,900
-
2026-03-30price $339,000
-
2026-03-24$349,900 Active
-
2023-09-15soldstatus $367,650 Closed 509-char remark
Show marketing remark (509 chars)
Under Construction. Our townhomes at Star Farms feature concrete-block construction, including a concrete-block party wall between units, providing the feel of a single-family home with the carefree lifestyle of a townhome. With stainless steel appliances and granite countertops in the kitchen, a laundry room equipped with a washer and dryer, and America's Smart Home Automation system, our townhomes at Star Farms offer quality and an unbeatable value that will serve you and your family for years to come.
-
2023-05-08status Pending 509-char remark
Show marketing remark (509 chars)
Under Construction. Our townhomes at Star Farms feature concrete-block construction, including a concrete-block party wall between units, providing the feel of a single-family home with the carefree lifestyle of a townhome. With stainless steel appliances and granite countertops in the kitchen, a laundry room equipped with a washer and dryer, and America's Smart Home Automation system, our townhomes at Star Farms offer quality and an unbeatable value that will serve you and your family for years to come.
-
2023-05-02price $367,650 509-char remark
Show marketing remark (509 chars)
Under Construction. Our townhomes at Star Farms feature concrete-block construction, including a concrete-block party wall between units, providing the feel of a single-family home with the carefree lifestyle of a townhome. With stainless steel appliances and granite countertops in the kitchen, a laundry room equipped with a washer and dryer, and America's Smart Home Automation system, our townhomes at Star Farms offer quality and an unbeatable value that will serve you and your family for years to come.
-
2023-04-26price $365,650 509-char remark
Show marketing remark (509 chars)
Under Construction. Our townhomes at Star Farms feature concrete-block construction, including a concrete-block party wall between units, providing the feel of a single-family home with the carefree lifestyle of a townhome. With stainless steel appliances and granite countertops in the kitchen, a laundry room equipped with a washer and dryer, and America's Smart Home Automation system, our townhomes at Star Farms offer quality and an unbeatable value that will serve you and your family for years to come.
-
2023-04-05price $363,650 509-char remark
Show marketing remark (509 chars)
Under Construction. Our townhomes at Star Farms feature concrete-block construction, including a concrete-block party wall between units, providing the feel of a single-family home with the carefree lifestyle of a townhome. With stainless steel appliances and granite countertops in the kitchen, a laundry room equipped with a washer and dryer, and America's Smart Home Automation system, our townhomes at Star Farms offer quality and an unbeatable value that will serve you and your family for years to come.
-
2023-03-29price $362,650 509-char remark
Show marketing remark (509 chars)
Under Construction. Our townhomes at Star Farms feature concrete-block construction, including a concrete-block party wall between units, providing the feel of a single-family home with the carefree lifestyle of a townhome. With stainless steel appliances and granite countertops in the kitchen, a laundry room equipped with a washer and dryer, and America's Smart Home Automation system, our townhomes at Star Farms offer quality and an unbeatable value that will serve you and your family for years to come.
-
2023-03-15price $359,990 509-char remark
Show marketing remark (509 chars)
Under Construction. Our townhomes at Star Farms feature concrete-block construction, including a concrete-block party wall between units, providing the feel of a single-family home with the carefree lifestyle of a townhome. With stainless steel appliances and granite countertops in the kitchen, a laundry room equipped with a washer and dryer, and America's Smart Home Automation system, our townhomes at Star Farms offer quality and an unbeatable value that will serve you and your family for years to come.
-
2022-12-14price $364,990 509-char remark
Show marketing remark (509 chars)
Under Construction. Our townhomes at Star Farms feature concrete-block construction, including a concrete-block party wall between units, providing the feel of a single-family home with the carefree lifestyle of a townhome. With stainless steel appliances and granite countertops in the kitchen, a laundry room equipped with a washer and dryer, and America's Smart Home Automation system, our townhomes at Star Farms offer quality and an unbeatable value that will serve you and your family for years to come.
-
2022-08-17price $379,990 509-char remark
Show marketing remark (509 chars)
Under Construction. Our townhomes at Star Farms feature concrete-block construction, including a concrete-block party wall between units, providing the feel of a single-family home with the carefree lifestyle of a townhome. With stainless steel appliances and granite countertops in the kitchen, a laundry room equipped with a washer and dryer, and America's Smart Home Automation system, our townhomes at Star Farms offer quality and an unbeatable value that will serve you and your family for years to come.
-
2022-07-20price $400,990 509-char remark
Show marketing remark (509 chars)
Under Construction. Our townhomes at Star Farms feature concrete-block construction, including a concrete-block party wall between units, providing the feel of a single-family home with the carefree lifestyle of a townhome. With stainless steel appliances and granite countertops in the kitchen, a laundry room equipped with a washer and dryer, and America's Smart Home Automation system, our townhomes at Star Farms offer quality and an unbeatable value that will serve you and your family for years to come.
-
2022-07-14$428,990 Active 509-char remark
Show marketing remark (509 chars)
Under Construction. Our townhomes at Star Farms feature concrete-block construction, including a concrete-block party wall between units, providing the feel of a single-family home with the carefree lifestyle of a townhome. With stainless steel appliances and granite countertops in the kitchen, a laundry room equipped with a washer and dryer, and America's Smart Home Automation system, our townhomes at Star Farms offer quality and an unbeatable value that will serve you and your family for years to come.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $4,090 · $341/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $4,090 · $341/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 28 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $35,570
- − Mortgage interest
- −$17,639
- − Property taxes
- −$4,090
- − Insurance
- −$1,574
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,846
- − Management
- −$2,846
- − HOA
- −$3,192
- − Depreciation
- −$9,161
- Taxable loss
- −$5,779
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,387
- After-tax cash flow
- $813/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos
This well-maintained townhome in a gated community with top amenities is ready for move-in. Minor updates could further enhance its curb appeal and rental value.
Value-add opportunities
- Both Paint exterior walls — Enhances curb appeal and value
- Rental Replace outdoor furniture — Improves rental appeal
- Both Install smart home automation system — Enhances convenience and value
- Resale Upgrade kitchen appliances — Modernizes kitchen and adds value
Renovation cost estimate screening
Value-add ROI direction
- Both Paint exterior walls — Enhances curb appeal and value ↑
- Rental Replace outdoor furniture — Improves rental appeal ↑
- Both Install smart home automation system — Enhances convenience and value ↑
- Resale Upgrade kitchen appliances — Modernizes kitchen and adds value ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Manatee
- NCES district ID
- 1201230
- Math proficiency
- 54% ▼ -6.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 50% ▼ -2.00%
- Median HH income
- $49,607
- Composite
- 44.43/100
- National rank
- #2806
- State rank
- #26 of 73 in FL
Livability — Lakewood Ranch
No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Lakewood Ranch, FL
- County
- Manatee County · 416,364 people
- City population
- 52,177
- Metro
- North Port-Sarasota-Bradenton, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 24,980
- Household income
- $119,911
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 815.0
Population outlook (Manatee County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 447,342 people
- By 2030
- 488,911 · +9.3%
- By 2040
- 567,934 · +27.0%
- By 2050
- 637,995 · +42.6%
- By 2075
- 781,970 · +74.8%
- By 2100
- 848,272 · +89.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (81%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 81% Hispanic / Latino 11% Two or more races 10% Asian 3% Black 2% Native American 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 2% Puerto Rican 3% Cuban 3%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 5% Romanian 3% Scotch-Irish 2%
- Foreign-born
- 16% · Canada, Jamaica, China
- Languages at home
- 81% English-only · Spanish 10% Other Indo-European 3% Russian/Polish/Slavic 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Manatee
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+23.5) · D 37.9% · R 61.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -16.5pp toward R · 2008: -7.0pp · 2024: -23.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+23.5 2020: R+16.1 2016: R+17.1 2012: R+12.5 2008: R+7.0
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -100.84%
- Current HPI
- 265.946
- Rent YoY
- ▼ -5.17%
- Metro
- North Port-Sarasota-Bradenton, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
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| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
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| Retail | 1 | $60B |
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| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
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| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
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| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
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Price history
-26.6% since first listed15 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-20 Price Changed $314,900 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-04-15 Price Changed $324,900 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-03-30 Price Changed $339,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-03-24 Listed $349,900 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2023-09-15 Sold (MLS) $367,650 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2023-05-08 Pending — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2023-05-02 Price Changed $367,650 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2023-04-26 Price Changed $365,650 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2023-04-05 Price Changed $363,650 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2023-03-29 Price Changed $362,650 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2023-03-15 Price Changed $359,990 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2022-12-14 Price Changed $364,990 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2022-08-17 Price Changed $379,990 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2022-07-20 Price Changed $400,990 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2022-07-14 Listed $428,990 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
Property tax history
+42.8%/yrLatest (2025): $4,090 · +2.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…