362 W Cedar St · Palmyra, PA
Flood risk No data
- FEMA flood zone
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- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
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- Est. flood insurance / yr
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Fire risk No data
- Est. fire insurance / yr
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Heat risk No data
- Hot days now (above threshold)
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- Hot days in 30 yrs
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Wind risk No data
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
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Air-quality risk No data
- Unhealthy air days now
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- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
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Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +9.4/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Schools +5.3/10.0
- Livability +4.0/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$144,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Property entered for comp purposes only.
Key facts
- 2 parking spots
- Built 1992
- Listed 97 days
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $145k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $624 ($7k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $145k).
- Recommended offer: $132k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 11.5% vs local median 1.8% in Palmyra — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 79/100 on livability (#246 in PA, #2,112 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: commute F.
- Palmyra Area SD (suburban): math 52% / reading 70% proficiency, ranked #63 of 539 in PA (top 12%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease; only 16% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
- Market conditions: 110 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; solid renter incomes; 315 units permitted in Lebanon County in 2024 (36 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Lebanon County population projected at +10% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $41k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 97 days — a 9% lower offer ($132k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts since 2y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 97 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.44% ✓
- Cap rate
- 11.46%
- Cash-on-cash
- 18.46%
- DSCR
- 1.82
- GRM
- 5.8
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 10.2%
- Equity multiple
- 1.40×
- Total profit
- $16,321
- Equity at exit
- $21,605
- IRR
- 19.3%
- Equity multiple
- 2.62×
- Total profit
- $65,589
- Equity at exit
- $12,528
Cash invested: $40,572 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Pennsylvania
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 17078
- Home prices YoY
- -25.1%
- Active inventory
- 110
- Price-to-rent
- 5.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,087 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$760
- Tax from tax record
- −$204 /mo · $2,452/yr
- Insurance
- −$60
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$438
- Net cashflow
- $624
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $36,225
- Closing costs
- $4,347
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
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- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
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Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
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- Monthly P&I
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- Monthly cashflow
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- DSCR
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- Eligible?
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No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
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- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
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Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 2 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 45 N Penn St Palmyra, PA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1750 | $2,300 | $1.31 | 44d | 1 | 1.00mi |
| 822 W Main St Palmyra, PA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1410 | $1,650 | $1.17 | 14d | 1 | 1.17mi |
Listing history 7 events
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2026-05-03status Pending
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2026-04-27historical Active Under Contract
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2026-01-21$144,900 Active
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2026-01-19historical $144,900
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2024-03-01$130,000 40-char remark
Show marketing remark (40 chars)
Property entered for comp purposes only.
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2024-02-29soldstatus $130,000 40-char remark
Show marketing remark (40 chars)
Property entered for comp purposes only.
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2004-06-01soldstatus $56,400
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $2,452 · $204/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,452 · $204/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $25,045
- − Mortgage interest
- −$8,117
- − Property taxes
- −$2,452
- − Insurance
- −$724
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,004
- − Management
- −$2,004
- − Depreciation
- −$4,215
- Taxable income
- $5,529
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,327
- After-tax cash flow
- $6,163/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Palmyra Area SD
- NCES district ID
- 4218390
- Math proficiency
- 52% ▼ -13.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 70% ▼ -10.00%
- Median HH income
- $60,526
- Composite
- 52.84/100
- National rank
- #1537
- State rank
- #63 of 539 in PA
Livability — Palmyra
- Score
- 79/100
- State rank
- #246
- US rank
- #2112
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Palmyra, PA
- County
- Lebanon County · 95,836 people
- City population
- 23,840
- Metro
- Lebanon, PA
- Population (ZIP)
- 23,840
- Household income
- $93,135
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 503.0
Population outlook (Lebanon County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 144,806 people
- By 2030
- 147,534 · +1.9%
- By 2040
- 152,952 · +5.6%
- By 2050
- 159,406 · +10.1%
- By 2075
- 181,736 · +25.5%
- By 2100
- 198,402 · +37.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (85%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 85% Hispanic / Latino 8% Two or more races 4% Asian 3% Black 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Puerto Rican 6%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 3% Slovak 1% Serbian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 4% · India, Canada, South Korea
- Languages at home
- 92% English-only · Spanish 3% Other Indo-European 2% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Lebanon
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+32.0) · D 33.6% · R 65.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -13.1pp toward R · 2008: -18.9pp · 2024: -32.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+32.0 2020: R+31.7 2016: R+35.5 2012: R+28.0 2008: R+18.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -85.77%
- Current HPI
- 255.2294
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Lebanon, PA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.68%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 2 | $309B |
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| Insurance | 2 | $27B |
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| Telecommunications / Media | 1 | $124B |
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| Industrial Distribution | 1 | $22B |
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| Financial Services | 1 | $20B |
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| Chemicals / Materials | 1 | $18B |
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Price history
+156.9% since first listed7 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-03 Pending — BRIGHT MLS
- 2026-04-27 Contingent — BRIGHT MLS
- 2026-01-21 Listed $144,900 BRIGHT MLS
- 2026-01-19 Coming Soon $144,900 BRIGHT MLS
- 2024-03-01 Listed $130,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2024-02-29 Sold (MLS) $130,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2004-06-01 Sold (Public Records) $56,400 Public Records
Property tax history
+4.4%/yrLatest (2026): $2,452 · +0.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…