7086 Alan Ave · Jacksonville, FL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 9/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 107°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 6 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 6 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +24.0/30.0
- DSCR +7.7/10.0
- 1% rule +6.5/10.0
- ARV discount +4.4/15.0
- Livability +4.2/5.0
- Schools +3.9/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Rent growth +2.2/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$109,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Sold AS-IS. Email Listing Agent to gain access code to view property.
Key facts
- Hvac replacement
- Enclosed porch
- Strong rental market
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- HOA & community: Not a senior community
Exterior
- Parking: Other parking
- Utilities: Sewer available; Water connected
- Home design: Single-family residence; Residential use
- Exterior features: Quarter-acre lot
Interior
- Kitchen: Electric range; Refrigerator
- Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Interior features: Central heating and central air
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $110k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $216 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $110k).
- Recommended offer: $108k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 8.6% vs local median 4.0% in Jacksonville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 83/100 on livability (#50 in FL, #911 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, housing A+.
- Duval (urban): math 46% / reading 45% proficiency, ranked #48 of 73 in FL (top 66%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: Rents soft (-1.4%/yr); 291 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 20d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 6,503 units permitted in Duval County in 2024 (1,131 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 37% of the median local income ($41k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $760 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Duval County population projected at +19% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 20 days — a 2% lower offer ($108k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 8 sale attempts since 25y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $15k (12%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $65k; list at $110k implies a 69% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1947 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1947 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.15% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.65%
- Cash-on-cash
- 8.41%
- DSCR
- 1.37
- GRM
- 7.3
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $102,896
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7069 Alan Ave | 0.04mi | 3/1.0 | 872 (0%) | 8mo | $129,900 | $149 | 92 |
| 7400 Fernandina Ave | 0.28mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 933 (+7%) | 1mo | $28,000 | $30 | 70 |
| 7447 Oriole St | 0.35mi | 3/1.5 | 912 (+5%) | 8mo | $71,250 | $78 | 68 |
| 753 Fernway St | 0.64mi | 3/1.0 | 929 (+6%) | 1mo | $110,000 | $118 | 58 |
| 950 Ashton St | 0.32mi | 3/1.0 | 1,000 (+15%) | 4mo | $142,500 | $143 | 58 |
| 5752 Oprey St | 0.58mi | 3/2.0 | 912 (+5%) | 6mo | $110,000 | $121 | 57 |
| 5298 Golfbrook Dr | 0.71mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 875 (+0%) | 8mo | $116,500 | $133 | 55 |
| 831 Ashford St | 0.53mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 912 (+5%) | 8mo | $40,000 | $44 | 52 |
| 825 Gates St | 0.72mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 837 (-4%) | 4mo | $134,000 | $160 | 52 |
| 1202 Lila Ave | 0.40mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 747 (-14%) | 8mo | $70,000 | $94 | 46 |
| 844 Crestwood St | 0.74mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 792 (-9%) | 6mo | $75,000 | $95 | 40 |
| 855 Cornwallis Dr | 0.74mi | 3/1.0 | 993 (+14%) | 15mo | $90,000 | $91 | 30 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -7.0%
- Equity multiple
- 0.75×
- Total profit
- $-7,724
- Equity at exit
- $16,386
- IRR
- -1.7%
- Equity multiple
- 0.90×
- Total profit
- $-3,162
- Equity at exit
- $9,502
Cash invested: $30,772 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 32208
- Home prices YoY
- -33.6%
- Rents YoY
- -1.4%
- Active inventory
- 291
- Price-to-rent
- 7.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,259 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$576
- Tax from tax record
- −$157 /mo · $1,879/yr
- Insurance
- −$46
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$264
- Net cashflow
- $216
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $27,475
- Closing costs
- $3,297
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 40 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 961 Dorchester St Jacksonville, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 884 | $1,025 | $1.16 | 2d | 1 | 0.39mi |
| 1059 Glencarin St Jacksonville, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 645 | $897 | $1.39 | 4d | 1 | 0.45mi |
| 1567 Rutledge Ave Jacksonville, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1050 | $1,113 | $1.06 | 23d | 1 | 0.47mi |
| 1136 Maynard St Jacksonville, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 919 | $1,045 | $1.14 | 23d | 1 | 0.54mi |
| 1536 W 45th St Jacksonville, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $1,050 | $1.31 | 23d | 1 | 0.55mi |
| 5736 Teeler Ave Jacksonville, FL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 852 | $1,000 | $1.17 | 23d | 1 | 0.71mi |
| 7927 Reid Ave Jacksonville, FL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1055 | $1,500 | $1.42 | 23d | 1 | 0.73mi |
| 7210 Elwood Ave Jacksonville, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 831 | $995 | $1.20 | 21d | 1 | 0.82mi |
| 4813 Moncrief Rd Jacksonville, FL | 2.0–3.0 | 1.0 | 755 | $920 | $1.22 | 2d | 8 | 0.92mi |
| 535 W 59th St Jacksonville, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 816 | $1,395 | $1.71 | 7d | 1 | 0.93mi |
| 7511 N Shore Dr Jacksonville, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1014 | $1,350 | $1.33 | 4d | 1 | 0.94mi |
| 7124 Lorain St Jacksonville, FL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 864 | $1,043 | $1.21 | 2d | 1 | 0.95mi |
| 5352 Dodge Rd Jacksonville, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1050 | $1,261 | $1.20 | 23d | 1 | 1.00mi |
| 1803 W 44th St Unit 1803 Jacksonville, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $950 | $1.27 | 7d | 1 | 1.01mi |
| 5616 Calvin Ave Jacksonville, FL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1008 | $1,195 | $1.19 | 7d | 1 | 1.02mi |
| 5514 Long St Jacksonville, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 941 | $1,250 | $1.33 | 1d | 1 | 1.02mi |
| 6460 Lanark Ave Jacksonville, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 708 | $1,095 | $1.55 | 23d | 1 | 1.02mi |
| 5350 Dodge Rd Jacksonville, FL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,500 | $1.50 | 23d | 1 | 1.02mi |
| 1823 W 44th St Jacksonville, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1066 | $1,500 | $1.41 | 23d | 1 | 1.03mi |
| 385 Duray Ct Jacksonville, FL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 932 | $1,250 | $1.34 | 19d | 1 | 1.06mi |
| 2312 Palmdale St Jacksonville, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 972 | $1,231 | $1.27 | 23d | 1 | 1.07mi |
| 356 Duray Ct Jacksonville, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1070 | $1,425 | $1.33 | 13d | 1 | 1.11mi |
| 562 W 49th St Jacksonville, FL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1091 | $1,195 | $1.10 | 23d | 1 | 1.12mi |
| 1959 W 45th St Jacksonville, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 895 | $1,245 | $1.39 | 13d | 1 | 1.13mi |
| 2092 Benedict Rd Jacksonville, FL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 816 | $1,095 | $1.34 | 23d | 1 | 1.16mi |
| 1653 W 35th St Jacksonville, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $825 | $1.03 | 23d | 1 | 1.16mi |
| 912 Saratoga Blvd Jacksonville, FL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 930 | $1,250 | $1.34 | 23d | 1 | 1.19mi |
| 1551 W 33rd St #2 Jacksonville, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 842 | $795 | $0.94 | 20d | 1 | 1.20mi |
| 425 W 47th St Jacksonville, FL | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1083 | $1,193 | $1.10 | 7d | 1 | 1.21mi |
| 8617 3rd Ave Jacksonville, FL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1048 | $1,200 | $1.15 | 10d | 1 | 1.21mi |
| 346 W 68th St Jacksonville, FL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1114 | $1,385 | $1.24 | 4d | 1 | 1.22mi |
| 1975 Rugby Rd Jacksonville, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 992 | $1,100 | $1.11 | 7d | 1 | 1.22mi |
| 4721 E Castlewood Dr Jacksonville, FL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1008 | $1,250 | $1.24 | 23d | 1 | 1.22mi |
| 319 W 49th St Jacksonville, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 977 | $1,200 | $1.23 | 23d | 1 | 1.24mi |
| 8642 2nd Ave Jacksonville, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1074 | $1,245 | $1.16 | 1d | 1 | 1.24mi |
| 2534 Aubrey Ave Jacksonville, FL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 759 | $1,250 | $1.65 | 23d | 1 | 1.25mi |
| 1417 W 31st St Jacksonville, FL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 880 | $1,100 | $1.25 | 1d | 1 | 1.26mi |
| 2185 Benedict Rd Unit 2187 Jacksonville, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 630 | $995 | $1.58 | 10d | 1 | 1.26mi |
| 2185 Benedict Rd Jacksonville, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 630 | $995 | $1.58 | 23d | 1 | 1.26mi |
| 4114 Moncrief Rd Jacksonville, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 821 | $975 | $1.19 | 7d | 1 | 1.26mi |
Listing history 31 events
-
2026-06-08days on market $109,900 Active 20 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $109,900 Active 19 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $109,900 Active 16 DOM
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2026-06-03days on market $109,900 Active 15 DOM
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2026-06-02pricedays on market $109,900 Active 14 DOM
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2026-06-01days on market $114,900 Active 13 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $114,900 Active 12 DOM
-
2026-05-21price $119,900
-
2026-05-19$124,900 Active
-
2022-05-18historical
-
2022-05-07$150,000 Active
-
2022-02-14price $1,200
-
2021-11-15soldstatus $65,000
-
2021-11-04soldstatus $64,000 Sold 72-char remark
Show marketing remark (72 chars)
Sold AS-IS. Email Listing Agent to gain access code to view property.
-
2021-10-17status Pending 72-char remark
Show marketing remark (72 chars)
Sold AS-IS. Email Listing Agent to gain access code to view property.
-
2021-10-07price $69,800 72-char remark
Show marketing remark (72 chars)
Sold AS-IS. Email Listing Agent to gain access code to view property.
-
2021-10-07status Active 72-char remark
Show marketing remark (72 chars)
Sold AS-IS. Email Listing Agent to gain access code to view property.
-
2021-09-23status Pending 72-char remark
Show marketing remark (72 chars)
Sold AS-IS. Email Listing Agent to gain access code to view property.
-
2021-09-08$79,800 Active 72-char remark
Show marketing remark (72 chars)
Sold AS-IS. Email Listing Agent to gain access code to view property.
-
2008-06-27historical
-
2008-06-18soldstatus $20,000
-
2008-02-13$25,000
-
2007-04-19historical
-
2006-12-11$70,000
-
2003-08-26historical
-
2003-08-14soldstatus $19,000
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2003-07-03$21,900
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2001-04-18soldstatus $65,000
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2001-02-13$65,000
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1992-11-25soldstatus $37,500
-
1991-06-01soldstatus $39,900
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,879 · $157/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,879 · $157/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · -0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 2/10 Low
- Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 6 unhealthy d/yr today · 6 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $15,106
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,156
- − Property taxes
- −$1,879
- − Insurance
- −$550
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,208
- − Management
- −$1,208
- − Depreciation
- −$3,197
- Taxable income
- $907
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$218
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,372/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Duval
- NCES district ID
- 1200480
- Math proficiency
- 46% ▼ -11.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 45% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $48,987
- Composite
- 38.97/100
- National rank
- #4076
- State rank
- #48 of 73 in FL
Livability — Jacksonville
- Score
- 83/100
- State rank
- #50
- US rank
- #911
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Jacksonville, FL
- County
- Duval County · 1,015,274 people
- City population
- 979,034
- Metro
- Jacksonville, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 32,699
- Household income
- $41,324
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1765.0
Population outlook (Duval County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,013,010 people
- By 2030
- 1,059,228 · +4.6%
- By 2040
- 1,141,439 · +12.7%
- By 2050
- 1,205,258 · +19.0%
- By 2075
- 1,324,282 · +30.7%
- By 2100
- 1,319,620 · +30.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Black (77%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 77% White 16% Two or more races 4% Hispanic / Latino 3%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 97% English-only · Spanish 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Duval
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 48.7% · R 50.1% · Other 1.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +0.4pp no change · 2008: -1.9pp · 2024: -1.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+1.5 2020: D+3.8 2016: R+1.5 2012: R+3.6 2008: R+1.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -110.56%
- Current HPI
- 217.9706
- Rent YoY
- ▼ -1.36%
- Metro
- Jacksonville, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
||
| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
|
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| Retail | 1 | $60B |
|
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| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
|
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| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
|
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| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
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Price history
+200.5% since first listed24 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-21 Price Changed $119,900 realMLS
- 2026-05-19 Listed $124,900 realMLS
- 2022-05-18 Listing Removed — realMLS
- 2022-05-07 Listed $150,000 realMLS
- 2022-02-14 Price Changed $1,200 RENT.
- 2021-11-15 Sold (Public Records) $65,000 Public Records
- 2021-11-04 Sold (MLS) $64,000 realMLS
- 2021-10-17 Pending — realMLS
- 2021-10-07 Price Changed $69,800 realMLS
- 2021-10-07 Relisted — realMLS
- 2021-09-23 Pending — realMLS
- 2021-09-08 Listed $79,800 realMLS
- 2008-06-27 Listing Removed — realMLS
- 2008-06-18 Sold (MLS) $20,000 realMLS
- 2008-02-13 Listed $25,000 realMLS
- 2007-04-19 Listing Removed — realMLS
- 2006-12-11 Listed $70,000 realMLS
- 2003-08-26 Listing Removed — realMLS
- 2003-08-14 Sold (MLS) $19,000 realMLS
- 2003-07-03 Listed $21,900 realMLS
- 2001-04-18 Sold (MLS) $65,000 realMLS
- 2001-02-13 Listed $65,000 realMLS
- 1992-11-25 Sold (Public Records) $37,500 Public Records
- 1991-06-01 Sold (Public Records) $39,900 Public Records
Property tax history
+10.3%/yrLatest (2025): $1,879 · +21.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…