Multi-family
1796 E 53rd St · New York, NY
Flood risk 6/10 · Moderate
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.67%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $691 – $1,283
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 97°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 75.0%
Air-quality risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Unhealthy air days now
- 6 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 8 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +17.2/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +5.4/10.0
- Rent growth +5.0/5.0
- Schools +5.0/10.0
- 1% rule +4.0/10.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$653,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Multi-family units
County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 1 unit. estimate disagrees with records
Listing remarks MLS
Basement: Fam/Rec Room OWNER 4.5 ROOM APARTMENT HAS W/W CARPET AND RECENTLY PAINTED. TWO MODERN KITCHENS AND BATHS, HARDWOOD FLRS, LARGE FENCED YARD, INTERIOR STAIRS TO GARAGE AND BASEMENT. Show Instr: CALL SEAN 253-1517.
Key facts
- 2,000 sq ft lot
- Garage
- Listed 54 days
Property features AI
Finance
- Financial info: Cash financing noted
Exterior
- Parking: Private driveway; Attached garage with 2 parking spaces
- Utilities: 110V electric; Gas hot water
- Home design: Attached residential building; Two-unit multi-family (owner occupied units)
- Construction: Brick exterior; Asphalt/tar roof; Poured concrete foundation
- Exterior features: Front yard; Back yard
Interior
- Kitchen: Microwave; Refrigerator; Stove
- Bedrooms: One bedroom on first floor; Two bedrooms on second floor
- Flooring: Carpeting; Hardwood floors
- Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms (one in each unit)
- Heating & cooling: Steam/radiator heat; Gas heating fuel
- Interior features: Window A/C units; Terrace
- Laundry & utility: Laundry area
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath multifamily listed at $653k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $465 ($6k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $588k (9.9% below list).
- Recommended offer: $588k (9.9% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 7.1% vs local median 2.6% in New York — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 75/100 on livability (#268 in NY, #4,188 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, health & safety A; Watch: crime F, cost of living F.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+16.2%/yr); 459 active listings in the ZIP; 4 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 10,063 units permitted in Kings County in 2024 (9,789 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $5,884/mo this rent would consume 72% of the median local household income ($97k/yr) (locally 2384% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $5k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $20k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Kings County population projected at +13% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 8.0% rent growth), your $183k cash investment doubles in ~10 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 54 days — a 3% lower offer ($633k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts since 31y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $34k (5%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $220k; list at $653k implies a 197% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk; major wind risk, 75% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 54 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 10% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1960 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.90% ✗
- Cap rate
- 7.15%
- Cash-on-cash
- 3.05%
- DSCR
- 1.14
- GRM
- 9.2
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $784,214
- Comps found
- 11
Show comp detail 11 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1906 E 52nd St | 0.12mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,640 (+1%) | 5mo | $658,600 | $402 | 84 |
| 1900 E 51st St | 0.11mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,659 (+2%) | 12mo | $799,000 | $482 | 77 |
| 5709 Fillmore Ave | 0.24mi | 3/2.0 | 1,672 (+3%) | 9mo | $740,000 | $443 | 77 |
| 1880 E 52nd St | 0.08mi | 3/2.0 | 1,638 (+1%) | 23mo | $820,000 | $501 | 76 |
| 1930 E 52nd St | 0.15mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,640 (+1%) | 23mo | $865,000 | $527 | 67 |
| 1650 E 48th St | 0.49mi | 3/2.0 | 1,566 (-4%) | 4mo | $750,000 | $479 | 67 |
| 1873 Hendrickson St | 0.27mi | 3/2.0 | 1,727 (+6%) | 20mo | $890,000 | $515 | 60 |
| 2057 E 52nd St | 0.25mi | 3/3.0 | 1,472 (-10%) | 20mo | $880,000 | $598 | 51 |
| 4910 Avenue M | 0.50mi | 3/2.0 | 1,840 (+13%) | 8mo | $590,000 | $321 | 48 |
| 2068 E 61 St | 0.45mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,710 (+5%) | 23mo | $795,000 | $465 | 47 |
| 2055 E 53rd Pl | 0.24mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,414 (-13%) | 22mo | $910,000 | $644 | 43 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -6.4%
- Equity multiple
- 0.75×
- Total profit
- $-45,217
- Equity at exit
- $97,364
- IRR
- 8.3%
- Equity multiple
- 1.76×
- Total profit
- $139,828
- Equity at exit
- $56,460
Cash invested: $182,840 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (CITY)
- 0 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State New York
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City New York
- 0 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+34
ZIP-level market 11234
- Rents YoY
- 16.2%
- Active inventory
- 459
- Price-to-rent
- 18.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $5,884 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$3,424
- Tax from tax record
- −$487 /mo · $5,843/yr
- Insurance
- −$272
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$1,236
- Net cashflow
- $465
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $835 | -5% $650 | +0% $465 | +5% $280 | +10% $95 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $0 | -5% $233 | +0% $465 | +5% $697 | +10% $930 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $794 | -0.5pp $631 | base $465 | +0.5pp $296 | +1.0pp $124 |
2-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)
| Units | Beds | Baths | Est. rent |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2× units | 2 | 1 | $5,884 |
| #1 | 2 | 1 | $2,942 |
| #2 | 2 | 1 | $2,942 |
| Total (2 units) | $5,884 | ||
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $163,250
- Closing costs
- $19,590
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 4 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2731 E 65th St Unit 1 Brooklyn, NY | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1300 | $3,400 | $2.62 | 25d | 1 | 0.83mi |
| 3222 Kings Hwy Unit 2 Brooklyn, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1200 | $3,000 | $2.50 | 25d | 1 | 1.01mi |
| 1455 Royce St Unit 1H Brooklyn, NY | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1113 | $3,700 | $3.32 | 25d | 1 | 1.11mi |
| 2002 E 29th St Unit 2F Brooklyn, NY | 4.0 | 1.5 | 1500 | $3,600 | $2.40 | 25d | 1 | 1.30mi |
Listing history 19 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $653,000 Active 54 DOM
-
2026-06-17price $653,000 Active 53 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $687,500 Active 53 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $687,500 Active 52 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $687,500 Active 51 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $687,500 Active 49 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $687,500 Active 45 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $687,500 Active 44 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $687,500 Active 43 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $687,500 Active 40 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $687,500 Active 39 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $687,500 Active 37 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $687,500 Active 36 DOM
-
2026-04-25$687,500 Active
-
2019-03-01soldstatus $220,000
-
2001-01-16soldstatus $260,000
-
2000-03-02soldstatus $195,000
-
1995-06-12soldstatus $170,000
-
1995-01-25$177,000 221-char remark
Show marketing remark (221 chars)
Basement: Fam/Rec Room OWNER 4.5 ROOM APARTMENT HAS W/W CARPET AND RECENTLY PAINTED. TWO MODERN KITCHENS AND BATHS, HARDWOOD FLRS, LARGE FENCED YARD, INTERIOR STAIRS TO GARAGE AND BASEMENT. Show Instr: CALL SEAN 253-1517.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $5,843 · $487/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $8,439 · $703/mo
- Expected delta
- +$2,597/yr (+$216/mo · 44.4%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 6/10 Major FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 67% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 2/10 Low
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 75% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 5/10 Major 6 unhealthy d/yr today · 8 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $70,608
- − Mortgage interest
- −$36,578
- − Property taxes
- −$5,843
- − Insurance
- −$3,265
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$5,649
- − Management
- −$5,649
- − Depreciation
- −$18,996
- Taxable loss
- −$5,371
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,289
- After-tax cash flow
- $6,869/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
No district data.
Livability — New York
- Score
- 75/100
- State rank
- #268
- US rank
- #4188
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- New York, NY
- County
- Kings County · 2,614,986 people
- City population
- 7,731,280
- Metro
- New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ-PA
- Population (ZIP)
- 83,187
- Household income
- $97,479
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 2384.0
Population outlook (Kings County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 2,847,441 people
- By 2030
- 2,937,006 · +3.1%
- By 2040
- 3,095,491 · +8.7%
- By 2050
- 3,228,968 · +13.4%
- By 2075
- 3,321,723 · +16.7%
- By 2100
- 3,111,387 · +9.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.69)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 42% White 35% Hispanic / Latino 10% Asian 8% Two or more races 7%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 1% Puerto Rican 4%
- Common ancestry
- Hispanic 8% Scotch-Irish 3% Romanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 35% · Canada, China, Mexico
- Languages at home
- 65% English-only · French/Haitian/Cajun 9% Spanish 7% Russian/Polish/Slavic 6%
Political lean MEDSL · Kings
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+44.0) · D 72.0% · R 28.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -15.5pp toward R · 2008: 59.4pp · 2024: 44.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+44.0 2020: D+54.8 2016: D+61.8 2012: D+63.9 2008: D+59.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -667.47%
- Current HPI
- 318.0416
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 16.21%
- Metro
- New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ-PA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.60%
- F500 in state
- 92
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 10 | $950B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 9 | $162B |
|
||
| Insurance | 4 | $225B |
|
||
| Telecommunications | 2 | $144B |
|
||
| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $112B |
|
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $69B |
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Price history
+288.4% since first listed6 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-25 Listed $687,500 BNYMLS
- 2019-03-01 Sold (Public Records) $220,000 Public Records
- 2001-01-16 Sold (Public Records) $260,000 Public Records
- 2000-03-02 Sold (Public Records) $195,000 Public Records
- 1995-06-12 Sold (Public Records) $170,000 Public Records
- 1995-01-25 Listed $177,000 BNYMLS
Property tax history
+3.4%/yrLatest (2025): $5,843 · -2.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…