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1732 13th Ave
B Composite 74.68
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +12.9/15.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Rent growth +4.9/5.0
  • Livability +3.1/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.2/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$90,000

1732 13th Ave · Rockford, IL 61104
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,552 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 175 Days on market
Built 1900 6,969 sqft lot $58/sqft · 12% below area Est $102k · 12% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

4 Bedroom 2 Story Home. 16x11 Bonus Room could be used as extra Bedroom. Partially Fenced Yard.

Key facts

  • 6,969 sq ft lot
  • Built 1900
  • Listed 175 days

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $90k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $505 ($6k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $90k).
  • Recommended offer: $79k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 13.0% vs local median 6.1% in Rockford — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 62/100 on livability (#876 in IL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools F, crime F, amenities F.
  • Rockford SD 205 (urban): math 12% / reading 16% proficiency, ranked #533 of 620 in IL (top 86%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 73% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+9.7%/yr); 67 active listings in the ZIP; 11 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 55% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 285 units permitted in Winnebago County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $1,474/mo this rent would consume 52% of the median local household income ($34k/yr) (locally 1406% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $622 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Winnebago County population projected at -20% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 8.0% rent growth), your $25k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 175 days — a 12% lower offer ($79k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 4 sale attempts since 20y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $67k; 34% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $79,200 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 175 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.64%
Cap rate
13.02%
Cash-on-cash
24.03%
DSCR
2.07
GRM
5.1

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$102,369
List price
$90,000
Delta
-12.08%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
1519 13th St 0.15mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,550 (-0%) 2mo $166,000 $107 82
1615 15th Ave 0.23mi 3/1.0 1,451 (-6%) 1mo $149,000 $103 78
1123 16th St 0.25mi 3/1.0 1,758 (+13%) 0mo $125,000 $71 66
2229 Broadway St 0.44mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,492 (-4%) 0mo $169,500 $114 64
2317 11th Ave 0.52mi 4/1.0 (+1) 1,612 (+4%) 1mo $166,000 $103 64
1130 16th St 0.27mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,734 (+12%) 1mo $111,500 $64 58
1610 Parmele St 0.32mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,776 (+14%) 3mo $78,500 $44 54
2205 18th Ave 0.54mi 3/1.0 1,355 (-13%) 0mo $107,000 $79 54
2342 17th Ave 0.61mi 3/1.0 1,726 (+11%) 1mo $167,000 $97 52
2126 9th St 0.74mi 3/2.5 1,435 (-8%) 2mo $163,000 $114 46
1318 6th Ave 0.62mi 3/1.5 1,365 (-12%) 5mo $125,000 $92 45
620 17th St 0.59mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,336 (-14%) 2mo $199,000 $149 38

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
23.0%
Equity multiple
2.01×
Total profit
$25,394
Equity at exit
$13,419
10-year hold
IRR
34.1%
Equity multiple
4.93×
Total profit
$99,138
Equity at exit
$7,782

Cash invested: $25,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
State Illinois
43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+7
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Chicago RTLO is among the strongest tenant ordinances in the Midwest; downstate is more landlord-friendly.

ZIP-level market 61104

Home prices YoY
-21.4%
Rents YoY
9.7%
Active inventory
67
Price-to-rent
5.1×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,474 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$472
Tax from tax record
$150 /mo · $1,802/yr
Insurance
$38
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$310
Net cashflow
$505

Break-even live

Break-even rent $835
Max offer price $90,000
Occupancy floor 61%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$22,500
Closing costs
$2,700
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 11 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
1004 15th St Rockford, IL 4.0 1.5 1267 $1,450 $1.14 21d 1 0.29mi
1202 18th St Unit 3 Rockford, IL 3.0 1.0 1500 $1,700 $1.13 13d 1 0.39mi
1519 17th Ave Rockford, IL 3.0 2.0 1500 $1,600 $1.07 13d 1 0.41mi
1231 11th Ave Rockford, IL 4.0 1.0 1284 $1,450 $1.13 43d 1 0.44mi
1119 9th Ave Unit 1W Rockford, IL 3.0 1.0 1155 $1,600 $1.39 43d 1 0.60mi
333 S Gardiner Ave Unit AVE2 Rockford, IL 4.0 1.0 1306 $1,600 $1.23 43d 1 0.68mi
2021 2nd Ave Rockford, IL 2.0 1.0 1250 $1,000 $0.80 13d 1 0.83mi
914 18th Ave Rockford, IL 2.0 1.0 1123 $900 $0.80 43d 1 0.83mi
2217 8th St Rockford, IL 3.0 1.0 1260 $1,500 $1.19 43d 1 0.90mi
314 N Longwood St Rockford, IL 2.0 1.0 1060 $1,100 $1.04 43d 1 1.22mi
708 29th St Rockford, IL 3.0 2.0 1800 $1,600 $0.89 21d 1 1.29mi

Listing history 11 events

  1. 2026-05-04
    status Pending 95-char remark
    Show marketing remark (95 chars)

    4 Bedroom 2 Story Home. 16x11 Bonus Room could be used as extra Bedroom. Partially Fenced Yard.

  2. 2026-05-04
    status Pending 95-char remark
    Show marketing remark (95 chars)

    4 Bedroom 2 Story Home. 16x11 Bonus Room could be used as extra Bedroom. Partially Fenced Yard.

  3. 2025-11-10
    listed $90,000 Active 95-char remark
    Show marketing remark (95 chars)

    4 Bedroom 2 Story Home. 16x11 Bonus Room could be used as extra Bedroom. Partially Fenced Yard.

  4. 2025-11-10
    listed $90,000 Active 95-char remark
    Show marketing remark (95 chars)

    4 Bedroom 2 Story Home. 16x11 Bonus Room could be used as extra Bedroom. Partially Fenced Yard.

  5. 2007-05-03
    soldstatus $67,000
  6. 2007-04-02
    historical
  7. 2007-03-27
    historical
  8. 2007-03-14
    listed
  9. 2006-12-12
    listed
  10. 1994-08-05
    soldstatus $25,000
  11. 1994-08-05
    soldstatus $25,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast IL · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$1,802 · $150/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,923 · $160/mo
Expected delta
+$120/yr (+$10/mo · 6.7%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥101°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$17,686
− Mortgage interest
−$5,041
− Property taxes
−$1,802
− Insurance
−$450
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,415
− Management
−$1,415
− Depreciation
−$2,618
Taxable income
$4,945
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,187
After-tax cash flow
$4,870/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Rockford SD 205
NCES district ID
1734510
Math proficiency
12% ▼ -2.00%
Reading proficiency
16% ▼ -3.00%
Median HH income
$42,533
Composite
12.21/100
National rank
#9649
State rank
#533 of 620 in IL

Livability — Rockford

Score
62/100
State rank
#876
US rank
#17035

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Rockford, IL
County
Winnebago County · 147,297 people
City population
147,297
Metro
Rockford, IL
Population (ZIP)
17,222
Household income
$33,772
Rent vs Own
62.2% rent · 37.8% own
Severe rent burden
1406.0

Population outlook (Winnebago County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
271,080 people
By 2030
260,684 · -3.8%
By 2040
238,405 · -12.1%
By 2050
216,129 · -20.3%
By 2075
172,882 · -36.2%
By 2100
135,336 · -50.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Highly diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.70)
Race & ethnicity
White 41% Hispanic / Latino 26% Black 25% Two or more races 13% Asian 4%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 22% Puerto Rican 2%
Common ancestry
Romanian 2% Portuguese 2% Lithuanian 2%
Foreign-born
16% · Canada, South Korea, Philippines
Languages at home
74% English-only · Spanish 18% Other Asian/Pacific 3% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Winnebago

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 49.5% · R 49.0% · Other 1.5%
2008→2024 swing
-12.2pp toward R · 2008: 12.8pp · 2024: 0.6pp
All cycles
2024: D+0.6 2020: D+2.5 2016: R+1.2 2012: D+5.7 2008: D+12.8

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -63.40%
Current HPI
233.0219
Rent YoY
▲ 9.67%
Metro
Rockford, IL
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.59%
F500 in state
60

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+260.0% since first listed
11 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-04 Pending MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-05-04 Pending NWIAR
  • 2025-11-10 Listed $90,000 NWIAR
  • 2025-11-10 Listed $90,000 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2007-05-03 Sold (Public Records) $67,000 Public Records
  • 2007-04-02 Listing Removed MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2007-03-27 Listing Removed MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2007-03-14 Listed MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2006-12-12 Listed MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 1994-08-05 Sold (Public Records) $25,000 Public Records
  • 1994-08-05 Sold (Public Records) $25,000 Public Records

Property tax history

-0.9%/yr

Latest (2024): $1,802 · +3.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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