136 Hunters Rd Lot 39 · Norwich, CT
Flood risk 8/10 · Major
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.99%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $829 – $1,539
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 98°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 59.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +9.3/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Rent growth +4.2/5.0
- Livability +4.0/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.1/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$115,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Enjoy open floorplan living in desirable Oakland Heights, a 55+ community. This well managed, nicely maintained park is close to shopping and is close to the Mohegan Park entrance. The home features 2 good sized bedrooms, 2 full baths, an oversized tub, updated kitchen and a bedroom view of the forest. There is a 9' x 20' covered porch that is perfect for relaxing on and a shed for storage. Park fee includes water, sewer and road maintenance. There are no dogs in this park, but 1 cat is allowed. Subject to park approval.
Key facts
- Updated electrical
- New doors
- Completely remodeled
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $115k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $524 ($6k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $115k).
- Cap rate 12.5% vs local median 4.1% in Norwich — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 81/100 on livability (#18 in CT, #1,391 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: housing A+, health & safety A+, commute A-.
- Norwich School District (urban): math 19% / reading 29% proficiency, ranked #139 of 153 in CT (top 91%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 62% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Moriarty Magnet School (math 26% / reading 31%, grade F, #396 of 553 statewide, top 72%, 368 students, 62% FRL); Kelly Steam Magnet Middle School (math 15% / reading 32%, grade F, #156 of 175 statewide, top 90%, 556 students, 72% FRL).
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+6.6%/yr); 243 active listings in the ZIP; 4 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 15d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 487 units permitted in Southeastern Connecticut Planning Region in 2024 (244 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 30% of the median local income ($66k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $795 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 6.6% rent growth), your $32k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 4 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 3 sale attempts since 18y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $47k; list at $115k implies a 145% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk; major wind risk, 59% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.43% ✓
- Cap rate
- 12.45%
- Cash-on-cash
- 22.00%
- DSCR
- 1.98
- GRM
- 5.8
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 6.62% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 15.5%
- Equity multiple
- 1.65×
- Total profit
- $20,935
- Equity at exit
- $17,147
- IRR
- 26.7%
- Equity multiple
- 3.75×
- Total profit
- $88,600
- Equity at exit
- $9,943
Cash invested: $32,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 27 Tenant-Leaning
- State Connecticut
- 27 Tenant-Leaning · D+7
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 06360
- Home prices YoY
- -19.9%
- Rents YoY
- 6.6%
- Active inventory
- 243
- Price-to-rent
- 5.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,639 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$603
- Tax from tax record
- −$54 /mo · $644/yr
- Insurance
- −$48
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$66 /mo · $798/yr
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$344
- Net cashflow
- $524
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $589 | -5% $557 | +0% $524 | +5% $491 | +10% $459 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $394 | -5% $459 | +0% $524 | +5% $589 | +10% $653 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $582 | -0.5pp $553 | base $524 | +0.5pp $494 | +1.0pp $464 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $28,750
- Closing costs
- $3,450
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 4 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 Hunters Rd Apt 1 Norwich, CT | 2.0 | 1.0 | 720 | $1,850 | $2.57 | 15d | 1 | 0.45mi |
| 79 S B St Unit B Taftville, CT | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $1,600 | $1.45 | 15d | 1 | 0.54mi |
| 70 Sandy Ln Norwich, CT | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–1.5 | 900 | $1,225 | $1.36 | 3d | 6 | 1.06mi |
| 17 Sylvester St Norwich, CT | 1.0 | 1.0 | 592 | $1,350 | $2.28 | 15d | 1 | 1.14mi |
Listing history 8 events
-
2026-04-26status Under Contract
-
2026-04-22$115,000 Active
-
2023-02-10soldstatus $47,000 Closed 526-char remark
Show marketing remark (526 chars)
Enjoy open floorplan living in desirable Oakland Heights, a 55+ community. This well managed, nicely maintained park is close to shopping and is close to the Mohegan Park entrance. The home features 2 good sized bedrooms, 2 full baths, an oversized tub, updated kitchen and a bedroom view of the forest. There is a 9' x 20' covered porch that is perfect for relaxing on and a shed for storage. Park fee includes water, sewer and road maintenance. There are no dogs in this park, but 1 cat is allowed. Subject to park approval.
-
2023-01-24status Under Contract 526-char remark
Show marketing remark (526 chars)
Enjoy open floorplan living in desirable Oakland Heights, a 55+ community. This well managed, nicely maintained park is close to shopping and is close to the Mohegan Park entrance. The home features 2 good sized bedrooms, 2 full baths, an oversized tub, updated kitchen and a bedroom view of the forest. There is a 9' x 20' covered porch that is perfect for relaxing on and a shed for storage. Park fee includes water, sewer and road maintenance. There are no dogs in this park, but 1 cat is allowed. Subject to park approval.
-
2023-01-17$51,900 Active 526-char remark
Show marketing remark (526 chars)
Enjoy open floorplan living in desirable Oakland Heights, a 55+ community. This well managed, nicely maintained park is close to shopping and is close to the Mohegan Park entrance. The home features 2 good sized bedrooms, 2 full baths, an oversized tub, updated kitchen and a bedroom view of the forest. There is a 9' x 20' covered porch that is perfect for relaxing on and a shed for storage. Park fee includes water, sewer and road maintenance. There are no dogs in this park, but 1 cat is allowed. Subject to park approval.
-
2009-08-19soldstatus $20,000 105-char remark
Show marketing remark (105 chars)
Very clean mobile home located in adult park, open floor plan, 1 cat allowed, lot rent is $340 per month.
-
2009-08-14soldstatus $20,000
-
2008-10-16$29,900 105-char remark
Show marketing remark (105 chars)
Very clean mobile home located in adult park, open floor plan, 1 cat allowed, lot rent is $340 per month.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast CT · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $644 · $54/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,552 · $129/mo
- Expected delta
- +$908/yr (+$76/mo · 141.1%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 8/10 Severe FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 99% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥98°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 59% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $19,672
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,442
- − Property taxes
- −$644
- − Insurance
- −$1,372
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,574
- − Management
- −$1,574
- − Depreciation
- −$3,345
- Taxable income
- $4,721
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,133
- After-tax cash flow
- $5,155/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Norwich School District
- NCES district ID
- 0903120
- Math proficiency
- 19% ▼ -8.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 29% ▼ -7.00%
- Median HH income
- $50,813
- Composite
- 21.27/100
- National rank
- #8395
- State rank
- #139 of 153 in CT
Livability — Norwich
- Score
- 81/100
- State rank
- #18
- US rank
- #1391
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Norwich, CT
- County
- New London County · 147,197 people
- City population
- 37,216
- Metro
- Norwich-New London, CT
- Population (ZIP)
- 37,216
- Household income
- $65,539
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1643.0
Population outlook (Southeastern Connecticut County) Hauer SSP2
- By 2040
- 293,442
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.63)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 56% Hispanic / Latino 21% Two or more races 12% Black 10% Asian 7%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 3% Puerto Rican 9% Cuban 1% Dominican 3%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 8% Romanian 5% Hispanic 4%
- Foreign-born
- 15% · Canada, China
- Languages at home
- 77% English-only · Spanish 11% French/Haitian/Cajun 4% Chinese 3%
Political lean MEDSL · Southeastern Connecticut
- 2024 margin
- D (+13.0) · D 55.6% · R 42.6% · Other 1.8%
- All cycles
- 2024: D+13.0
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -65.27%
- Current HPI
- 261.8575
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 6.62%
- Metro
- Norwich-New London, CT
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.06%
- F500 in state
- 38
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CT)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Machinery | 4 | $38B |
|
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| Insurance | 3 | $71B |
|
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| Financial Services | 2 | $25B |
|
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| Transportation / Logistics | 2 | $18B |
|
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| Healthcare | 1 | $247B |
|
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| Telecommunications | 1 | $55B |
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Price history
+284.6% since first listed8 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-26 Pending — Smart MLS
- 2026-04-22 Listed $115,000 Smart MLS
- 2023-02-10 Sold (MLS) $47,000 Smart MLS
- 2023-01-24 Pending — Smart MLS
- 2023-01-17 Listed $51,900 Smart MLS
- 2009-08-19 Sold (MLS) $20,000 Smart MLS
- 2009-08-14 Sold (Public Records) $20,000 Public Records
- 2008-10-16 Listed $29,900 Smart MLS
Property tax history
-1.8%/yrLatest (2023): $644 · -0.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…