3217 Thunderbird Ln · Bossier City, LA
Flood risk 6/10 · Moderate
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.72%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,269 – $2,357
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 111°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 22 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 66.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +27.7/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +9.7/10.0
- 1% rule +7.2/10.0
- Schools +3.8/10.0
- Livability +3.6/5.0
- Rent growth +3.4/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$115,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Charming 3-Bedroom Home Near Barksdale Air Force Base! Well-maintained 3 bed, 1 bath home with a spacious living room, kitchen with plenty of storage, and laundry room. Large fenced backyard with covered patio and storage shed perfect for relaxing or entertaining. Great opportunity for first-time buyers or investors looking to add to their portfolio.
Key facts
- Covered patio
- Storage shed
- Fenced backyard
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $115k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $346 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $115k).
- Recommended offer: $101k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 9.9% vs local median 4.7% in Bossier City — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 71/100 on livability (#47 in LA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment D+, crime F, amenities F.
- Bossier Parish (urban): math 40% / reading 47% proficiency, ranked #17 of 98 in LA (top 17%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.6%/yr); 145 active listings in the ZIP; 19 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 21d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 716 units permitted in Bossier Parish in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $795 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Bossier County population projected at +28% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.6% rent growth), your $32k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 151 days — a 12% lower offer ($101k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 4 sale attempts since 5y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $10k (8%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk; major wind risk, 66% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→22/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 151 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1967 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.22% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.90%
- Cash-on-cash
- 12.89%
- DSCR
- 1.57
- GRM
- 6.9
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $145,830
- List price
- $115,000
- Delta
- -21.14%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3259 Sarah St | 0.33mi | 3/1.5 | 1,130 (-3%) | 11mo | $154,500 | $137 | 69 |
| 3105 Donald Dr | 0.15mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,250 (+8%) | 8mo | $60,000 | $48 | 69 |
| 3001 Oliver St | 0.29mi | 3/1.0 | 1,094 (-6%) | 10mo | $125,000 | $114 | 68 |
| 3001 Jamie Pl | 0.21mi | 3/1.0 | 1,320 (+14%) | 5mo | $165,000 | $125 | 63 |
| 1617 Dudley | 0.48mi | 3/1.0 | 1,200 (+3%) | 11mo | $138,000 | $115 | 63 |
| 2914 Bobbie St | 0.47mi | 3/1.0 | 1,216 (+5%) | 10mo | $145,000 | $119 | 62 |
| 1333 Michael St | 0.28mi | 3/1.0 | 1,010 (-13%) | 6mo | $115,000 | $114 | 60 |
| 1245 Dudley Ln | 0.51mi | 3/1.0 | 1,096 (-6%) | 8mo | $89,900 | $82 | 60 |
| 3208 Jana Pl | 0.28mi | 3/1.0 | 1,295 (+11%) | 10mo | $122,900 | $95 | 60 |
| 1126 Patricia Dr | 0.57mi | 3/1.0 | 1,205 (+4%) | 11mo | $142,000 | $118 | 58 |
| 1140 Waller Ave | 0.69mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,288 (+11%) | 3mo | $32,000 | $25 | 38 |
| 1405 Fullilove Dr | 0.68mi | 3/1.5 | 1,331 (+14%) | 10mo | $40,000 | $30 | 34 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.6% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 3.4%
- Equity multiple
- 1.13×
- Total profit
- $4,247
- Equity at exit
- $17,147
- IRR
- 13.5%
- Equity multiple
- 2.11×
- Total profit
- $35,593
- Equity at exit
- $9,943
Cash invested: $32,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Louisiana
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+12
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 71112
- Rents YoY
- 3.6%
- Active inventory
- 145
- Price-to-rent
- 6.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,398 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$603
- Tax from tax record
- −$107 /mo · $1,289/yr
- Insurance
- −$48
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$294
- Net cashflow
- $346
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $28,750
- Closing costs
- $3,450
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 19 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3202 Jana Pl Bossier City, LA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1258 | $1,250 | $0.99 | 43d | 1 | 0.29mi |
| 3406 Black Lake Cir Bossier City, LA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1400 | $1,200 | $0.86 | 21d | 1 | 0.30mi |
| 3115 Oliver St Bossier City, LA | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1067 | $1,400 | $1.31 | 13d | 1 | 0.30mi |
| 1301 Williamsburg Dr Bossier City, LA | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1025 | $1,655 | $1.61 | 13d | 28 | 0.35mi |
| 1416 Williamsburg Dr Bossier City, LA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 960 | $1,200 | $1.25 | 13d | 1 | 0.36mi |
| 1302 Williamsburg Dr Bossier City, LA | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1050 | $1,720 | $1.64 | 21d | 14 | 0.39mi |
| 3204 McGregor St Bossier City, LA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1093 | $1,350 | $1.24 | 43d | 1 | 0.42mi |
| 1140 Schex Dr Bossier City, LA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1346 | $1,500 | $1.11 | 21d | 1 | 0.62mi |
| 1231 Waller Ave Bossier City, LA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1500 | $1,100 | $0.73 | 43d | 1 | 0.62mi |
| 1148 Dudley Ln Bossier City, LA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1013 | $925 | $0.91 | 13d | 1 | 0.66mi |
| 4056 Beech St Bossier City, LA | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1391 | $1,400 | $1.01 | 21d | 1 | 0.70mi |
| 1120 Margaret St Bossier City, LA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 950 | $1,200 | $1.26 | 21d | 1 | 0.78mi |
| 400 John Wesley Blvd Bossier City, LA | 2.0 | 1.5 | 935 | $842 | $0.90 | 13d | 2 | 0.85mi |
| 2248 Loreco St Bossier City, LA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1073 | $1,400 | $1.30 | 43d | 1 | 0.92mi |
| 205 Royal St Bossier City, LA | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1100 | $1,100 | $1.00 | 43d | 1 | 1.02mi |
| 305 Orleans St Bossier City, LA | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1021 | $1,000 | $0.98 | 21d | 1 | 1.03mi |
| 3325 E Texas St Bossier City, LA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 810 | $950 | $1.17 | 21d | 1 | 1.18mi |
| 2201 Naples St Bossier City, LA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 759 | $775 | $1.02 | 43d | 1 | 1.24mi |
| 100 Crossroads Blvd Bossier City, LA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 858 | $1,299 | $1.51 | 43d | 1 | 1.41mi |
Listing history 21 events
-
2026-06-02days on market $115,000 Active 151 DOM
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2026-06-01days on market $115,000 Active 150 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $115,000 Active 149 DOM
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2026-05-30days on market $115,000 Active 148 DOM
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2026-04-04price $115,000 354-char remark
Show marketing remark (354 chars)
Charming 3-Bedroom Home Near Barksdale Air Force Base! Well-maintained 3 bed, 1 bath home with a spacious living room, kitchen with plenty of storage, and laundry room. Large fenced backyard with covered patio and storage shed perfect for relaxing or entertaining. Great opportunity for first-time buyers or investors looking to add to their portfolio.
-
2026-02-05price $120,000 354-char remark
Show marketing remark (354 chars)
Charming 3-Bedroom Home Near Barksdale Air Force Base! Well-maintained 3 bed, 1 bath home with a spacious living room, kitchen with plenty of storage, and laundry room. Large fenced backyard with covered patio and storage shed perfect for relaxing or entertaining. Great opportunity for first-time buyers or investors looking to add to their portfolio.
-
2026-01-02$125,000 Active 354-char remark
Show marketing remark (354 chars)
Charming 3-Bedroom Home Near Barksdale Air Force Base! Well-maintained 3 bed, 1 bath home with a spacious living room, kitchen with plenty of storage, and laundry room. Large fenced backyard with covered patio and storage shed perfect for relaxing or entertaining. Great opportunity for first-time buyers or investors looking to add to their portfolio.
-
2025-10-24$130,000 Active
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2025-10-24historical
-
2025-10-10price $130,000
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2025-09-15price $135,000
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2025-09-09$130,000 Active
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2021-05-28soldstatus Sold
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2021-05-28soldstatus $120,000
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2021-03-15historical
-
2021-03-11$122,000
-
2010-01-26soldstatus $102,400
-
2007-06-15soldstatus $61,300
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2003-11-07soldstatus $57,874
-
2000-08-04soldstatus $59,900
-
1996-02-27soldstatus $50,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast LA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,289 · $107/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,289 · $107/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 6/10 Major FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 72% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥111°F today · 22 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 66% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $16,776
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,442
- − Property taxes
- −$1,289
- − Insurance
- −$575
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,342
- − Management
- −$1,342
- − Depreciation
- −$3,345
- Taxable income
- $2,440
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$586
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,566/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Bossier Parish
- NCES district ID
- 2200270
- Math proficiency
- 40% ▼ -32.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 47% ▼ -28.00%
- Median HH income
- $51,326
- Composite
- 37.5/100
- National rank
- #4402
- State rank
- #17 of 98 in LA
Livability — Bossier City
- Score
- 71/100
- State rank
- #47
- US rank
- #7044
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Bossier City, LA
- County
- Bossier Parish · 98,704 people
- City population
- 91,925
- Metro
- Shreveport-Bossier City, LA
- Population (ZIP)
- 33,587
- Household income
- $61,760
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1391.0
Population outlook (Bossier County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 143,247 people
- By 2030
- 151,802 · +6.0%
- By 2040
- 168,194 · +17.4%
- By 2050
- 183,533 · +28.1%
- By 2075
- 217,009 · +51.5%
- By 2100
- 230,091 · +60.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.57)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 59% Black 24% Hispanic / Latino 12% Two or more races 8% Asian 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 9%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 2% Slovak 1% Scottish 1%
- Foreign-born
- 5% · Canada, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 89% English-only · Spanish 7% Other Indo-European 1% Tagalog/Filipino 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Bossier
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+43.3) · D 27.7% · R 71.0% · Other 1.3%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +0.3pp no change · 2008: -43.7pp · 2024: -43.3pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+43.3 2020: R+41.0 2016: R+45.8 2012: R+45.4 2008: R+43.7
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -77.48%
- Current HPI
- 127.9821
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 3.60%
- Metro
- Shreveport-Bossier City, LA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.29%
- F500 in state
- 10
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in LA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Telecommunications | 2 | $23B |
|
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| Utilities | 1 | $12B |
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| Wholesale / Distribution | 1 | $5B |
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| Advertising | 1 | $2B |
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Price history
+130.0% since first listed17 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-04 Price Changed $115,000 NTREIS
- 2026-02-05 Price Changed $120,000 NTREIS
- 2026-01-02 Listed $125,000 NTREIS
- 2025-10-24 Listing Removed — NTREIS
- 2025-10-24 Listed $130,000 NTREIS
- 2025-10-10 Price Changed $130,000 NTREIS
- 2025-09-15 Price Changed $135,000 NTREIS
- 2025-09-09 Listed $130,000 NTREIS
- 2021-05-28 Sold (Public Records) $120,000 Public Records
- 2021-05-28 Sold (MLS) — NTREIS
- 2021-03-15 Listing Removed — NTREIS
- 2021-03-11 Listed $122,000 NTREIS
- 2010-01-26 Sold (Public Records) $102,400 Public Records
- 2007-06-15 Sold (Public Records) $61,300 Public Records
- 2003-11-07 Sold (Public Records) $57,874 Public Records
- 2000-08-04 Sold (Public Records) $59,900 Public Records
- 1996-02-27 Sold (Public Records) $50,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+13.8%/yrLatest (2025): $1,289 · -1.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…