100 Harrison St · Gretna, VA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $666 – $1,236
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 101°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 18 days/yr
Wind risk 3/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 4.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +29.2/30.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- 1% rule +7.3/10.0
- Schools +6.6/10.0
- Appreciation +6.0/10.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.2/5.0
$80,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Sold - for comps only. Three bedroom, one bath, living room and eat-in kitchen on nice lot close to grocery store and shopping.
Key facts
- 0.54 acre lot
- Built 1993
- Listed 118 days
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $80k. Condition is rated fair.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $278 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($983 rent vs $80k).
- Recommended offer: $73k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 10.5% vs local median 3.8% in Gretna — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 74/100 on livability (#157 in VA, #4,927 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment F.
- Pittsylvania County Public School District (rural): math 65% / reading 78% proficiency, ranked #22 of 131 in VA (top 17%) — strong family-tenant draw, lease renewals of 3-5y typical.
- Zoned schools: Gretna Elementary (math 72% / reading 80%, grade A, #202 of 1,108 statewide, top 19%, 460 students, 83% FRL); Gretna Middle (math 47% / reading 72%, grade B, #160 of 342 statewide, top 48%, 397 students, 81% FRL); Gretna High (math 57% / reading 67%, grade B-, #231 of 319 statewide, top 75%, 535 students, 80% FRL) — zoned schools average 81% FRL vs 47% district-wide (34 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: 107 active listings in the ZIP; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 72 units permitted in Pittsylvania County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $2k of equity ($553 loan paydown + $2k appreciation (1.9% local appreciation)).
- Pittsylvania County population projected at -22% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (1.9% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $22k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 119 days — a 9% lower offer ($73k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 6 sale attempts since 5y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $20k (20%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 119 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.23% ✓
- Cap rate
- 10.47%
- Cash-on-cash
- 14.90%
- DSCR
- 1.66
- GRM
- 6.8
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $168,528
- List price
- $80,000
- Delta
- -52.53%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 8 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 6 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 312 Chaney Ln | 0.49mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 775 (-6%) | 1mo | $52,000 | $67 | 61 |
| 105 N Franklin Blvd | 0.58mi | 2/1.5 (-1) | 798 (-4%) | 8mo | $135,000 | $169 | 53 |
| 407 Chaney Ln Ln | 0.65mi | 3/1.0 | 774 (-6%) | 23mo | $165,000 | $213 | 40 |
| 117 Hollyberry Dr | 1.02mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 912 (+10%) | 5mo | $165,000 | $181 | 39 |
| 313 Payne St | 0.36mi | 3/1.0 | 960 (+16%) | 24mo | $170,693 | $178 | 39 |
| 817 Music St | 1.08mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 725 (-12%) | 9mo | $103,000 | $142 | 31 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
1.91% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 19.0%
- Equity multiple
- 2.02×
- Total profit
- $22,840
- Equity at exit
- $31,188
- IRR
- 21.2%
- Equity multiple
- 3.78×
- Total profit
- $62,314
- Equity at exit
- $44,632
Cash invested: $22,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 55 Moderately Landlord-Leaning
- State Virginia
- 55 Moderately Landlord-Leaning · D+2
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
Active competition Active MLS
- For sale now
- 0 active · 1 under contract
- Months of supply
- 0.0 mo
Closed sales set the value; these active listings set current market conditions and a practical price ceiling.
ZIP-level market 24557
- Home prices YoY
- 1.2%
- Active inventory
- 107
- Price-to-rent
- 6.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $983 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$420
- Tax from tax record
- −$45 /mo · $545/yr
- Insurance
- −$33
- HOA
- −$0
- Lot rent
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$206
- Net cashflow
- $278
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $323 | -5% $301 | +0% $278 | +5% $256 | +10% $233 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $201 | -5% $239 | +0% $278 | +5% $317 | +10% $356 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $318 | -0.5pp $299 | base $278 | +0.5pp $257 | +1.0pp $236 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $20,000
- Closing costs
- $2,400
- Club membership (one-time)
- —
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking
- No garage
- Utilities
- Public waterPublic sewer
- Home design
- Residential propertyApproximately 828 above-grade finished area
- Construction
- Vinyl siding
- Exterior features
- Front porchComposition roof
Interior
- Bedrooms
- 3 bedrooms on the main level
- Flooring
- VinylCarpet
- Bathrooms
- 1 full bathroom (main level)
- Heating & cooling
- Electric heatingHeat pump
- Interior features
- Vinyl and carpet flooringCrawl space basement
Listing history 50 events
-
2026-08-08days on market $80,000 Active 119 DOM
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2026-08-07days on market $80,000 Active 118 DOM
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2026-08-06days on market $80,000 Active 117 DOM
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2026-08-05days on market $80,000 Active 116 DOM
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2026-08-04days on market $80,000 Active 115 DOM
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2026-08-03days on market $80,000 Active 114 DOM
-
2026-07-31days on market $80,000 Active 111 DOM
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2026-07-30days on market $80,000 Active 110 DOM
-
2026-07-29days on market $80,000 Active 109 DOM
-
2026-07-27days on market $80,000 Active 107 DOM
-
2026-07-25days on market $80,000 Active 105 DOM
-
2026-07-24days on market $80,000 Active 104 DOM
-
2026-07-23days on market $80,000 Active 103 DOM
-
2026-07-22days on market $80,000 Active 102 DOM
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2026-07-21days on market $80,000 Active 101 DOM
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2026-07-18days on market $80,000 Active 98 DOM
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2026-07-16days on market $80,000 Active 96 DOM
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2026-07-16days on market $80,000 Active 95 DOM
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2026-07-14days on market $80,000 Active 94 DOM
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2026-07-13days on market $80,000 Active 93 DOM
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2026-07-12days on market $80,000 Active 92 DOM
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2026-07-11days on market $80,000 Active 91 DOM
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2026-07-10days on market $80,000 Active 90 DOM
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2026-07-09days on market $80,000 Active 89 DOM
-
2026-07-08days on market $80,000 Active 88 DOM
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2026-07-07days on market $80,000 Active 87 DOM
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2026-07-06days on market $80,000 Active 86 DOM
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2026-07-05days on market $80,000 Active 85 DOM
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2026-07-04days on market $80,000 Active 84 DOM
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2026-07-03days on market $80,000 Active 83 DOM
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2026-07-02days on market $80,000 Active 82 DOM
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2026-07-01price $80,000 Active 81 DOM
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2026-07-01days on market $100,000 Active 81 DOM
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2026-06-30days on market $100,000 Active 80 DOM
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2026-06-29days on market $100,000 Active 79 DOM
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2026-06-28days on market $100,000 Active 78 DOM
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2026-06-28days on market $100,000 Active 77 DOM
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2026-06-27days on market $100,000 Active 76 DOM
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2026-06-26days on market $100,000 Active 75 DOM
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2026-06-22days on market $100,000 Active 72 DOM
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2026-06-21days on market $100,000 Active 71 DOM
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2026-06-19days on market $100,000 Active 69 DOM
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2026-06-18days on market $100,000 Active 68 DOM
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2026-06-17days on market $100,000 Active 67 DOM
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2026-06-16days on market $100,000 Active 66 DOM
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2026-06-15days on market $100,000 Active 65 DOM
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2026-06-14days on market $100,000 Active 63 DOM
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2026-06-13days on market $100,000 Active 62 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $100,000 Active 60 DOM
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2026-06-09days on market $100,000 Active 59 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast VA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $545 · $45/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $656 · $55/mo
- Expected delta
- +$111/yr (+$9/mo · 20.4%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥101°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 3/10 Moderate 4% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $11,794
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,481
- − Property taxes
- −$545
- − Insurance
- −$400
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$944
- − Management
- −$944
- − Depreciation
- −$2,327
- Taxable income
- $2,154
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$517
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,821/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 9 photos
This single-family home requires significant exterior and interior repairs and updates to improve its condition and value. Investors can expect a moderate level of renovation to bring it up to current standards.
Deferred maintenance Est. $70,000–$210,000 screening
- Major Roof (roof) — No roof visible in photos
- Major Hvac (hvac) — No HVAC unit visible in photos
- Major Windows (windows) — No windows visible in photos
- Major Electrical (electrical) — No electrical panel visible in photos
- Major Plumbing (plumbing) — No plumbing fixtures visible in photos
- Major Exterior (exterior) — No exterior siding visible in photos
- Major Other — No other components visible in photos
Repairs flagged
- Major siding — Significant wear and tear, peeling paint, and missing panels.
- Major exterior paint — Chipped and uneven paint, especially around the roofline.
- Major landscaping — Overgrown vegetation and unkempt appearance.
- Major kitchen cabinets — Older cabinets with visible wear and tear.
- Major bathroom fixtures — Old-style fixtures and dated design.
Value-add opportunities
- Both New siding and paint — Enhances curb appeal and interior aesthetics, attracting both buyers and renters. ↑
- Both Modern kitchen cabinets and countertops — Updates the kitchen and improves functionality, making it more appealing to a broader audience. ↑
- Both Modern bathroom fixtures and backsplash — Updates the bathroom and improves functionality, making it more appealing to a broader audience. ↑
ⓘ Rehab cost is a screening estimate — Moderate scope × the home's square footage at US $/sqft rules of thumb (the same model as the Flip Finder). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting.
Zoned Schools
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Pittsylvania County Public School District
- NCES district ID
- 5102940
- Math proficiency
- 65% ▼ -22.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 78% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $41,672
- Composite
- 59.77/100
- National rank
- #900
- State rank
- #22 of 131 in VA
Livability — Gretna
- Score
- 74/100
- State rank
- #157
- US rank
- #4927
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Gretna, VA
- County
- Pittsylvania · 58,725 people
- Population (ZIP)
- 7,832
- Household income
- $44,948
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 4% of renters
Population outlook (Pittsylvania County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 58,725 people
- By 2030
- 56,388 · -4.0%
- By 2040
- 51,088 · -13.0%
- By 2050
- 45,875 · -21.9%
- By 2075
- 36,555 · -37.8%
- By 2100
- 28,288 · -51.8%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (76%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 76% Black 20% Two or more races 2% Hispanic / Latino 2%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 2% Serbian 1% Lithuanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 1% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 99% English-only · Spanish 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Pittsylvania
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+43.1) · D 28.1% · R 71.3%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -19.1pp toward R · 2008: -24.0pp · 2024: -43.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+43.1 2020: R+39.8 2016: R+39.6 2012: R+27.5 2008: R+24.0
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 1.91%
- Current HPI
- 160.7742
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.40%
- F500 in state
- 50
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in VA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Aerospace / Defense | 4 | $236B |
|
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| Technology / Defense | 3 | $32B |
|
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| Financial Services | 2 | $176B |
|
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| Utilities | 2 | $27B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $25B |
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| Technology | 2 | $15B |
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Price history
+255.6% since first listed21 events — show timeline
- 2026-07-01 Price Changed $80,000 DRRAR
- 2026-04-11 Listed $100,000 DRRAR
- 2026-02-12 Sold (Public Records) $84,059 Public Records
- 2025-10-27 Price Changed $90,000 DRRAR
- 2025-10-09 Price Changed $93,000 DRRAR
- 2025-09-27 Relisted — DRRAR
- 2025-09-17 Contingent — DRRAR
- 2025-09-10 Price Changed $95,000 DRRAR
- 2025-08-12 Price Changed $99,000 DRRAR
- 2025-06-24 Price Changed $105,000 DRRAR
- 2025-06-18 Price Changed $110,000 DRRAR
- 2025-06-09 Price Changed $114,000 DRRAR
- 2025-06-02 Relisted — DRRAR
- 2025-04-05 Contingent — DRRAR
- 2025-03-12 Listed $119,000 DRRAR
- 2022-12-02 Sold (MLS) $81,000 DRRAR
- 2022-03-08 Listed $84,000 DRRAR
- 2022-03-07 Sold (Public Records) $81,000 Public Records
- 2022-03-07 Sold (MLS) $81,000 LMLS
- 2021-10-18 Listed $84,000 LMLS
- 2003-05-29 Sold (Public Records) $22,500 Public Records
Property tax history
+6.3%/yrLatest (2026): $545 · +10.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…