7417 Belgium Ave · Edgewater, AL
Flood risk 4/10 · Minor
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.2%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $916 – $1,700
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 107°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 20 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 27.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 5 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +25.6/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +8.5/10.0
- 1% rule +5.9/10.0
- Livability +3.3/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.8/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$115,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Investment opportunity or owner occupied home owner. Large 4 bedroom house. Roof 2020. Large kitchens and bedrooms. Den, living room and additional family room. Storage garage and building. This home comes with a 1 bedroom, den, kitchen and bath garage apartment.
Key facts
- Roof 2020
- Large kitchens
- Storage garage
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $115k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $271 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $115k).
- Recommended offer: $105k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 66/100 on livability (#108 in AL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: employment A+, cost of living A+; Watch: housing D+, commute D, schools F.
- Jefferson County (suburban): math 9% / reading 32% proficiency, ranked #104 of 129 in AL (top 81%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Market conditions: 42 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 2,114 units permitted in Jefferson County in 2024 (556 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $795 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Jefferson County population projected to shrink 4% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 120 days — a 9% lower offer ($105k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts since 4y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $15k (12%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1930 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 120 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1930 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.09% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.12%
- Cash-on-cash
- 10.09%
- DSCR
- 1.45
- GRM
- 7.7
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $146,331
- List price
- $115,000
- Delta
- -21.41%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 13 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 2 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7328 Denmark Ave | 0.15mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,736 (-9%) | 14mo | $54,900 | $32 | 61 |
| 7300 Denmark Ave | 0.21mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,709 (-10%) | 23mo | $131,000 | $77 | 44 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -1.2%
- Equity multiple
- 0.96×
- Total profit
- $-1,417
- Equity at exit
- $17,147
- IRR
- 8.5%
- Equity multiple
- 1.65×
- Total profit
- $20,857
- Equity at exit
- $9,943
Cash invested: $32,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Alabama
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+15
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 35224
- Home prices YoY
- -16.2%
- Active inventory
- 42
- Price-to-rent
- 7.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,250 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$603
- Tax from tax record
- −$66 /mo · $789/yr
- Insurance
- −$48
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$262
- Net cashflow
- $271
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $28,750
- Closing costs
- $3,450
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 2 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7328 Denmark Ave Birmingham, AL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1736 | $1,250 | $0.72 | 43d | 1 | 0.14mi |
| 306 1st St Pleasant Grove, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 2328 | $1,250 | $0.54 | 2d | 1 | 1.40mi |
Listing history 15 events
-
2026-02-04price $115,000 263-char remark
Show marketing remark (263 chars)
Investment opportunity or owner occupied home owner. Large 4 bedroom house. Roof 2020. Large kitchens and bedrooms. Den, living room and additional family room. Storage garage and building. This home comes with a 1 bedroom, den, kitchen and bath garage apartment.
-
2026-01-30$130,000 Active 263-char remark
Show marketing remark (263 chars)
Investment opportunity or owner occupied home owner. Large 4 bedroom house. Roof 2020. Large kitchens and bedrooms. Den, living room and additional family room. Storage garage and building. This home comes with a 1 bedroom, den, kitchen and bath garage apartment.
-
2025-11-09historical $1,300
-
2025-03-06$1,300
-
2025-01-09soldstatus $115,000
-
2022-06-01historical 288-char remark
Show marketing remark (288 chars)
Investment opportunity or owner occupied home owner. Large 4 bedroom house. Roof 2020. Large kitchens and bedrooms. Den, living room and additional family room. Storage garage and building. This home comes with a 1 bedroom, den, kitchen and bath garage apartment. Owner says bring offers.
-
2022-06-01soldstatus $54,500
Show marketing remark (288 chars)
Investment opportunity or owner occupied home owner. Large 4 bedroom house. Roof 2020. Large kitchens and bedrooms. Den, living room and additional family room. Storage garage and building. This home comes with a 1 bedroom, den, kitchen and bath garage apartment. Owner says bring offers.
-
2022-05-27soldstatus $54,500 Sold 288-char remark
Show marketing remark (288 chars)
Investment opportunity or owner occupied home owner. Large 4 bedroom house. Roof 2020. Large kitchens and bedrooms. Den, living room and additional family room. Storage garage and building. This home comes with a 1 bedroom, den, kitchen and bath garage apartment. Owner says bring offers.
-
2022-04-22historical Contingent 288-char remark
Show marketing remark (288 chars)
Investment opportunity or owner occupied home owner. Large 4 bedroom house. Roof 2020. Large kitchens and bedrooms. Den, living room and additional family room. Storage garage and building. This home comes with a 1 bedroom, den, kitchen and bath garage apartment. Owner says bring offers.
-
2022-04-14price $65,000 288-char remark
Show marketing remark (288 chars)
Investment opportunity or owner occupied home owner. Large 4 bedroom house. Roof 2020. Large kitchens and bedrooms. Den, living room and additional family room. Storage garage and building. This home comes with a 1 bedroom, den, kitchen and bath garage apartment. Owner says bring offers.
-
2022-02-21$80,000 Active 288-char remark
Show marketing remark (288 chars)
Investment opportunity or owner occupied home owner. Large 4 bedroom house. Roof 2020. Large kitchens and bedrooms. Den, living room and additional family room. Storage garage and building. This home comes with a 1 bedroom, den, kitchen and bath garage apartment. Owner says bring offers.
-
2022-02-12price $80,000
-
2022-01-19price $85,000
-
2022-01-04price $91,000
-
2021-12-02price $97,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast AL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $789 · $66/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $789 · $66/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 4/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 20% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $15,000
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,442
- − Property taxes
- −$789
- − Insurance
- −$575
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,200
- − Management
- −$1,200
- − Depreciation
- −$3,345
- Taxable income
- $1,449
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$348
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,902/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Jefferson County
- NCES district ID
- 0101920
- Math proficiency
- 9% ▼ -24.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 32% ▼ -5.00%
- Median HH income
- $51,712
- Composite
- 18.4/100
- National rank
- #8937
- State rank
- #104 of 129 in AL
Livability — Edgewater
- Score
- 66/100
- State rank
- #108
- US rank
- #11927
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Edgewater, AL
- Population (ZIP)
- 5,409
Population outlook (Jefferson County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 669,185 people
- By 2030
- 669,694 · +0.1%
- By 2040
- 661,388 · -1.2%
- By 2050
- 643,086 · -3.9%
- By 2075
- 577,267 · -13.7%
- By 2100
- 474,758 · -29.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Black (69%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 69% White 22% Two or more races 5% Hispanic / Latino 3% Native American 1%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 0%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 97% English-only · Spanish 3%
Political lean MEDSL · Jefferson
- 2024 margin
- D (+10.4) · D 54.6% · R 44.2% · Other 1.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +5.4pp toward D · 2008: 5.1pp · 2024: 10.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+10.4 2020: D+13.2 2016: D+7.2 2012: D+6.0 2008: D+5.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -24.47%
- Current HPI
- 126.3423
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.94%
- F500 in state
- 4
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 1 | $8B |
|
||
| Healthcare | 1 | $5B |
|
||
Price history
+18.6% since first listed15 events — show timeline
- 2026-02-04 Price Changed $115,000 Greater Alabama MLS
- 2026-01-30 Listed $130,000 Greater Alabama MLS
- 2025-11-09 Rental Removed $1,300 BUILDIUM
- 2025-03-06 Listed for Rent $1,300 BUILDIUM
- 2025-01-09 Sold (Public Records) $115,000 Public Records
- 2022-06-01 Delisted — Greater Alabama MLS
- 2022-06-01 Sold (Public Records) $54,500 Public Records
- 2022-05-27 Sold (MLS) $54,500 Greater Alabama MLS
- 2022-04-22 Contingent — Greater Alabama MLS
- 2022-04-14 Price Changed $65,000 Greater Alabama MLS
- 2022-02-21 Listed $80,000 Greater Alabama MLS
- 2022-02-12 Price Changed $80,000 Greater Alabama MLS
- 2022-01-19 Price Changed $85,000 Greater Alabama MLS
- 2022-01-04 Price Changed $91,000 Greater Alabama MLS
- 2021-12-02 Price Changed $97,000 Greater Alabama MLS
Property tax history
+29.3%/yrLatest (2025): $789 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…