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7417 Belgium Ave
B- Composite 65.07
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +25.6/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +8.5/10.0
  • 1% rule +5.9/10.0
  • Livability +3.3/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.8/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$115,000

7417 Belgium Ave · Edgewater, AL 35224
4 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,910 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 120 Days on market
Built 1930 9,583 sqft lot $60/sqft · 21% below area Est $146k · 21% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Investment opportunity or owner occupied home owner. Large 4 bedroom house. Roof 2020. Large kitchens and bedrooms. Den, living room and additional family room. Storage garage and building. This home comes with a 1 bedroom, den, kitchen and bath garage apartment.

Key facts

  • Roof 2020
  • Large kitchens
  • Storage garage

Tags

ROOF 2020LARGE KITCHENSDENLIVING ROOMFAMILY ROOMSTORAGE GARAGE

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $115k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $271 ($3k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $115k).
  • Recommended offer: $105k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 66/100 on livability (#108 in AL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: employment A+, cost of living A+; Watch: housing D+, commute D, schools F.
  • Jefferson County (suburban): math 9% / reading 32% proficiency, ranked #104 of 129 in AL (top 81%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Market conditions: 42 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 2,114 units permitted in Jefferson County in 2024 (556 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $795 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Jefferson County population projected to shrink 4% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 120 days — a 9% lower offer ($105k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts since 4y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $15k (12%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1930 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $104,650 (9.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 120 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1930 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.09%
Cap rate
9.12%
Cash-on-cash
10.09%
DSCR
1.45
GRM
7.7

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$146,331
List price
$115,000
Delta
-21.41%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
13 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 2 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
7328 Denmark Ave 0.15mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,736 (-9%) 14mo $54,900 $32 61
7300 Denmark Ave 0.21mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,709 (-10%) 23mo $131,000 $77 44

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-1.2%
Equity multiple
0.96×
Total profit
$-1,417
Equity at exit
$17,147
10-year hold
IRR
8.5%
Equity multiple
1.65×
Total profit
$20,857
Equity at exit
$9,943

Cash invested: $32,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Alabama
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+15
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Right-to-evict in 7 days for non-payment; no rent control; preempted statewide; courts move quickly.

ZIP-level market 35224

Home prices YoY
-16.2%
Active inventory
42
Price-to-rent
7.7×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,250 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$603
Tax from tax record
$66 /mo · $789/yr
Insurance
$48
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$262
Net cashflow
$271

Break-even live

Break-even rent $907
Max offer price $115,000
Occupancy floor 73%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$28,750
Closing costs
$3,450
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 2 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
7328 Denmark Ave Birmingham, AL 4.0 2.0 1736 $1,250 $0.72 43d 1 0.14mi
306 1st St Pleasant Grove, AL 3.0 2.0 2328 $1,250 $0.54 2d 1 1.40mi

Listing history 15 events

  1. 2026-02-04
    price $115,000 263-char remark
    Show marketing remark (263 chars)

    Investment opportunity or owner occupied home owner. Large 4 bedroom house. Roof 2020. Large kitchens and bedrooms. Den, living room and additional family room. Storage garage and building. This home comes with a 1 bedroom, den, kitchen and bath garage apartment.

  2. 2026-01-30
    listed $130,000 Active 263-char remark
    Show marketing remark (263 chars)

    Investment opportunity or owner occupied home owner. Large 4 bedroom house. Roof 2020. Large kitchens and bedrooms. Den, living room and additional family room. Storage garage and building. This home comes with a 1 bedroom, den, kitchen and bath garage apartment.

  3. 2025-11-09
    historical $1,300
  4. 2025-03-06
    listed $1,300
  5. 2025-01-09
    soldstatus $115,000
  6. 2022-06-01
    historical 288-char remark
    Show marketing remark (288 chars)

    Investment opportunity or owner occupied home owner. Large 4 bedroom house. Roof 2020. Large kitchens and bedrooms. Den, living room and additional family room. Storage garage and building. This home comes with a 1 bedroom, den, kitchen and bath garage apartment. Owner says bring offers.

  7. 2022-06-01
    soldstatus $54,500
    Show marketing remark (288 chars)

    Investment opportunity or owner occupied home owner. Large 4 bedroom house. Roof 2020. Large kitchens and bedrooms. Den, living room and additional family room. Storage garage and building. This home comes with a 1 bedroom, den, kitchen and bath garage apartment. Owner says bring offers.

  8. 2022-05-27
    soldstatus $54,500 Sold 288-char remark
    Show marketing remark (288 chars)

    Investment opportunity or owner occupied home owner. Large 4 bedroom house. Roof 2020. Large kitchens and bedrooms. Den, living room and additional family room. Storage garage and building. This home comes with a 1 bedroom, den, kitchen and bath garage apartment. Owner says bring offers.

  9. 2022-04-22
    historical Contingent 288-char remark
    Show marketing remark (288 chars)

    Investment opportunity or owner occupied home owner. Large 4 bedroom house. Roof 2020. Large kitchens and bedrooms. Den, living room and additional family room. Storage garage and building. This home comes with a 1 bedroom, den, kitchen and bath garage apartment. Owner says bring offers.

  10. 2022-04-14
    price $65,000 288-char remark
    Show marketing remark (288 chars)

    Investment opportunity or owner occupied home owner. Large 4 bedroom house. Roof 2020. Large kitchens and bedrooms. Den, living room and additional family room. Storage garage and building. This home comes with a 1 bedroom, den, kitchen and bath garage apartment. Owner says bring offers.

  11. 2022-02-21
    listed $80,000 Active 288-char remark
    Show marketing remark (288 chars)

    Investment opportunity or owner occupied home owner. Large 4 bedroom house. Roof 2020. Large kitchens and bedrooms. Den, living room and additional family room. Storage garage and building. This home comes with a 1 bedroom, den, kitchen and bath garage apartment. Owner says bring offers.

  12. 2022-02-12
    price $80,000
  13. 2022-01-19
    price $85,000
  14. 2022-01-04
    price $91,000
  15. 2021-12-02
    price $97,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast AL · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$789 · $66/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$789 · $66/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 4/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 20% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$15,000
− Mortgage interest
−$6,442
− Property taxes
−$789
− Insurance
−$575
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,200
− Management
−$1,200
− Depreciation
−$3,345
Taxable income
$1,449
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$348
After-tax cash flow
$2,902/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Jefferson County
NCES district ID
0101920
Math proficiency
9% ▼ -24.00%
Reading proficiency
32% ▼ -5.00%
Median HH income
$51,712
Composite
18.4/100
National rank
#8937
State rank
#104 of 129 in AL

Livability — Edgewater

Score
66/100
State rank
#108
US rank
#11927

Category grades

Amenities F Commute D Cost of living A+ Crime C Employment A+ Housing D+ Health & safety F User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Edgewater, AL
Population (ZIP)
5,409

Population outlook (Jefferson County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
669,185 people
By 2030
669,694 · +0.1%
By 2040
661,388 · -1.2%
By 2050
643,086 · -3.9%
By 2075
577,267 · -13.7%
By 2100
474,758 · -29.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Black (69%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 69% White 22% Two or more races 5% Hispanic / Latino 3% Native American 1%
Common ancestry
Slovak 0%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada
Languages at home
97% English-only · Spanish 3%

Political lean MEDSL · Jefferson

2024 margin
D (+10.4) · D 54.6% · R 44.2% · Other 1.2%
2008→2024 swing
+5.4pp toward D · 2008: 5.1pp · 2024: 10.4pp
All cycles
2024: D+10.4 2020: D+13.2 2016: D+7.2 2012: D+6.0 2008: D+5.1

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -24.47%
Current HPI
126.3423
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.94%
F500 in state
4

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+18.6% since first listed
15 events — show timeline
  • 2026-02-04 Price Changed $115,000 Greater Alabama MLS
  • 2026-01-30 Listed $130,000 Greater Alabama MLS
  • 2025-11-09 Rental Removed $1,300 BUILDIUM
  • 2025-03-06 Listed for Rent $1,300 BUILDIUM
  • 2025-01-09 Sold (Public Records) $115,000 Public Records
  • 2022-06-01 Delisted Greater Alabama MLS
  • 2022-06-01 Sold (Public Records) $54,500 Public Records
  • 2022-05-27 Sold (MLS) $54,500 Greater Alabama MLS
  • 2022-04-22 Contingent Greater Alabama MLS
  • 2022-04-14 Price Changed $65,000 Greater Alabama MLS
  • 2022-02-21 Listed $80,000 Greater Alabama MLS
  • 2022-02-12 Price Changed $80,000 Greater Alabama MLS
  • 2022-01-19 Price Changed $85,000 Greater Alabama MLS
  • 2022-01-04 Price Changed $91,000 Greater Alabama MLS
  • 2021-12-02 Price Changed $97,000 Greater Alabama MLS

Property tax history

+29.3%/yr

Latest (2025): $789 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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