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3615 Higel Ave Duplex
B- Composite 67.02
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +24.6/30.0
  • 1% rule +8.0/10.0
  • DSCR +7.9/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Schools +5.4/10.0
  • Appreciation +4.7/10.0
  • Livability +4.0/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$650,000

3615 Higel Ave · Sarasota, FL 34242
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,550 sqft · MultiFamily public records · 165 Days on market
Built 1951 0.30 ac lot ↓ 24% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Multi-family units

County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 2 units. confirmed

Listing remarks MLS

An exceptional opportunity on coveted Siesta Key, this duplex property with two units is offered as-is, with flexibility to restore the existing structure or rebuild to suit your vision. Situated on an expansive lot just minutes from Shell Beach and Siesta Key Public Beach, the property offers convenient access to world-famous sand beaches, dining, and shopping. Whether you are a builder, investor, or owner looking to create a custom coastal retreat or income-producing duplex, this property presents outstanding potential in one of Florida’s most desirable island communities. All offers are welcomed and encouraged.

Key facts

  • Expansive lot
  • 0.3 acre lot
  • Built 1951

Tags

EXPANSIVE LOTCUSTOM COASTAL RETREATINCOME-PRODUCING DUPLEXOUTSTANDING POTENTIAL

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2 × 2-bed/2.0-bath units multifamily listed at $650k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $918 ($11k/yr) — positive. Per door: $459/mo.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($8k rent vs $650k).
  • Recommended offer: $572k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 80/100 on livability (#121 in FL, #1,854 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, health & safety A+, commute A; Watch: crime F.
  • Sarasota (urban): math 63% / reading 63% proficiency, ranked #7 of 73 in FL (top 10%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Market conditions: 523 active listings in the ZIP; high-income renter base; 7,466 units permitted in Sarasota County in 2024 (2,138 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $8,425/mo this rent would consume 87% of the median local household income ($116k/yr) (locally 147% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-0.7%/yr); year-one equity from $4k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Sarasota County population projected at +20% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • At projected returns (-0.7% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $182k cash investment doubles in ~10 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 165 days — a 12% lower offer ($572k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 22 sale attempts since 21y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $340k (34%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: property tax is 3.0% of price; flood insurance adds $427/mo; built in 1951 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone AE (mandatory federal flood insurance); severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→29/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $572,000 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 165 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
  3. What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
  4. Built in 1951 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  5. Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
  6. What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
  7. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  8. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  9. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  10. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  11. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  12. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  13. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.30%
Cap rate
8.77%
Cash-on-cash
8.86%
DSCR
1.39
GRM
6.4

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-0.69% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
2.4%
Equity multiple
1.11×
Total profit
$19,396
Equity at exit
$166,480
10-year hold
IRR
8.6%
Equity multiple
1.87×
Total profit
$158,133
Equity at exit
$183,117

Cash invested: $182,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Florida
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; preempts local rent control; landlord-friendly statutes. Court speed varies by county.

ZIP-level market 34242

Home prices YoY
-0.3%
Active inventory
523
Price-to-rent
12.9×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$8,425 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$3,409
Tax from tax record
$1,632 /mo · $19,585/yr
Insurance
$271
Flood insurance flood zone
−$427 /mo · $5,118/yr
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$1,769
Net cashflow
$918

Break-even live

Break-even rent $7,263
Max offer price $650,000
Occupancy floor 84%

2-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)

UnitsBedsBathsEst. rent
Total (2 units) $8,425

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$162,500
Closing costs
$19,500
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 50 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $650,000 Active 165 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $650,000 Active 164 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $650,000 Active 163 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    price $650,000 Active 162 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $699,900 Active 162 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $699,900 Active 160 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on market $699,900 Active 159 DOM
  8. 2026-06-10
    days on market $699,900 Active 157 DOM
  9. 2026-06-09
    days on market $699,900 Active 156 DOM
  10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $699,900 Active 155 DOM
  11. 2026-06-08
    days on market $699,900 Active 154 DOM
  12. 2026-06-05
    days on market $699,900 Active 151 DOM
  13. 2026-06-03
    days on market $699,900 Active 150 DOM
  14. 2026-06-02
    days on market $699,900 Active 149 DOM
  15. 2026-06-01
    days on market $699,900 Active 148 DOM
  16. 2026-05-31
    days on market $699,900 Active 147 DOM
  17. 2026-05-14
    price $699,900 627-char remark
    Show marketing remark (627 chars)

    An exceptional opportunity on coveted Siesta Key, this duplex property with two units is offered as-is, with flexibility to restore the existing structure or rebuild to suit your vision. Situated on an expansive lot just minutes from Shell Beach and Siesta Key Public Beach, the property offers convenient access to world-famous sand beaches, dining, and shopping. Whether you are a builder, investor, or owner looking to create a custom coastal retreat or income-producing duplex, this property presents outstanding potential in one of Florida’s most desirable island communities. All offers are welcomed and encouraged.

  18. 2026-05-01
    status Active 627-char remark
    Show marketing remark (627 chars)

    An exceptional opportunity on coveted Siesta Key, this duplex property with two units is offered as-is, with flexibility to restore the existing structure or rebuild to suit your vision. Situated on an expansive lot just minutes from Shell Beach and Siesta Key Public Beach, the property offers convenient access to world-famous sand beaches, dining, and shopping. Whether you are a builder, investor, or owner looking to create a custom coastal retreat or income-producing duplex, this property presents outstanding potential in one of Florida’s most desirable island communities. All offers are welcomed and encouraged.

  19. 2026-04-30
    historical 627-char remark
    Show marketing remark (627 chars)

    An exceptional opportunity on coveted Siesta Key, this duplex property with two units is offered as-is, with flexibility to restore the existing structure or rebuild to suit your vision. Situated on an expansive lot just minutes from Shell Beach and Siesta Key Public Beach, the property offers convenient access to world-famous sand beaches, dining, and shopping. Whether you are a builder, investor, or owner looking to create a custom coastal retreat or income-producing duplex, this property presents outstanding potential in one of Florida’s most desirable island communities. All offers are welcomed and encouraged.

  20. 2026-04-01
    price $799,900 627-char remark
    Show marketing remark (627 chars)

    An exceptional opportunity on coveted Siesta Key, this duplex property with two units is offered as-is, with flexibility to restore the existing structure or rebuild to suit your vision. Situated on an expansive lot just minutes from Shell Beach and Siesta Key Public Beach, the property offers convenient access to world-famous sand beaches, dining, and shopping. Whether you are a builder, investor, or owner looking to create a custom coastal retreat or income-producing duplex, this property presents outstanding potential in one of Florida’s most desirable island communities. All offers are welcomed and encouraged.

  21. 2026-02-08
    price $899,900 627-char remark
    Show marketing remark (627 chars)

    An exceptional opportunity on coveted Siesta Key, this duplex property with two units is offered as-is, with flexibility to restore the existing structure or rebuild to suit your vision. Situated on an expansive lot just minutes from Shell Beach and Siesta Key Public Beach, the property offers convenient access to world-famous sand beaches, dining, and shopping. Whether you are a builder, investor, or owner looking to create a custom coastal retreat or income-producing duplex, this property presents outstanding potential in one of Florida’s most desirable island communities. All offers are welcomed and encouraged.

  22. 2026-01-03
    listed $990,000 Active 627-char remark
    Show marketing remark (627 chars)

    An exceptional opportunity on coveted Siesta Key, this duplex property with two units is offered as-is, with flexibility to restore the existing structure or rebuild to suit your vision. Situated on an expansive lot just minutes from Shell Beach and Siesta Key Public Beach, the property offers convenient access to world-famous sand beaches, dining, and shopping. Whether you are a builder, investor, or owner looking to create a custom coastal retreat or income-producing duplex, this property presents outstanding potential in one of Florida’s most desirable island communities. All offers are welcomed and encouraged.

  23. 2026-01-03
    historical
    Show marketing remark (627 chars)

    An exceptional opportunity on coveted Siesta Key, this duplex property with two units is offered as-is, with flexibility to restore the existing structure or rebuild to suit your vision. Situated on an expansive lot just minutes from Shell Beach and Siesta Key Public Beach, the property offers convenient access to world-famous sand beaches, dining, and shopping. Whether you are a builder, investor, or owner looking to create a custom coastal retreat or income-producing duplex, this property presents outstanding potential in one of Florida’s most desirable island communities. All offers are welcomed and encouraged.

  24. 2025-12-23
    listed $990,000 Active
  25. 2025-03-31
    historical
  26. 2025-01-02
    status Active
  27. 2024-12-30
    historical
  28. 2024-09-03
    status Active
  29. 2024-08-31
    historical
  30. 2024-05-07
    price $1,200,000
  31. 2023-11-22
    listed $1,400,000 Active
  32. 2023-11-02
    historical
  33. 2023-09-01
    price $1,500,000
  34. 2023-07-21
    listed $1,600,000 Active
  35. 2022-11-27
    price $1,390,000
  36. 2022-08-20
    price $1,550,000
  37. 2022-07-25
    listed $1,499,000 Active
  38. 2021-09-23
    soldstatus $985,000
  39. 2019-11-16
    historical
  40. 2019-04-27
    price $449,000
  41. 2019-04-16
    listed $495,000 Active
  42. 2019-04-16
    historical
  43. 2019-03-21
    listed $495,000 Active
  44. 2017-11-22
    soldstatus $399,000
  45. 2017-11-16
    soldstatus $399,000 Sold
  46. 2017-10-12
    soldstatus $311,800
  47. 2017-10-11
    listed $299,000 Active
  48. 2017-10-10
    soldstatus $311,870 Sold
  49. 2017-10-05
    status Pending
  50. 2017-10-05
    status Pending

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$19,585 · $1,632/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$19,585 · $1,632/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 10/10 Extreme FEMA zone AE · 99% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 29 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$101,100
− Mortgage interest
−$36,410
− Property taxes
−$19,585
− Insurance
−$8,368
− Repairs & maintenance
−$8,088
− Management
−$8,088
− Depreciation
−$18,909
Taxable income
$1,651
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$396
After-tax cash flow
$10,615/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Sarasota
NCES district ID
1201680
Math proficiency
63% ▼ -8.00%
Reading proficiency
63% ▼ -3.00%
Median HH income
$51,167
Composite
53.68/100
National rank
#1428
State rank
#7 of 73 in FL

Livability — Sarasota

Score
80/100
State rank
#121
US rank
#1854

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A Cost of living C+ Crime F Employment B- Housing A Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Sarasota, FL
County
Sarasota County · 448,376 people
City population
261,896
Metro
North Port-Sarasota-Bradenton, FL
Population (ZIP)
7,529
Household income
$115,967
Rent vs Own
9.6% rent · 90.4% own
Severe rent burden
147.0

Population outlook (Sarasota County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
452,380 people
By 2030
474,175 · +4.8%
By 2040
511,577 · +13.1%
By 2050
541,467 · +19.7%
By 2075
604,947 · +33.7%
By 2100
621,965 · +37.5%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (92%)
Race & ethnicity
White 92% Two or more races 3% Hispanic / Latino 3% Asian 2%
Common ancestry
Romanian 4% Lithuanian 3% Portuguese 2%
Foreign-born
13% · Canada, China, Jamaica
Languages at home
91% English-only · German/W. Germanic 2% Spanish 2% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Sarasota

2024 margin
R (+18.2) · D 40.5% · R 58.7%
2008→2024 swing
-18.1pp toward R · 2008: -0.1pp · 2024: -18.2pp
All cycles
2024: R+18.2 2020: R+10.4 2016: R+11.6 2012: R+7.4 2008: R+0.1

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -0.69%
Current HPI
237.6266
Rent YoY
Metro
North Port-Sarasota-Bradenton, FL
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.28%
F500 in state
36

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-23.9% since first listed
53 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-14 Price Changed $699,900 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-05-01 Relisted Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-04-30 Listing Removed Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-04-01 Price Changed $799,900 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-02-08 Price Changed $899,900 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-01-03 Listing Removed Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-01-03 Listed $990,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-12-23 Listed $990,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-03-31 Listing Removed Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-01-02 Relisted Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2024-12-30 Listing Removed Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2024-09-03 Relisted Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2024-08-31 Listing Removed Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2024-05-07 Price Changed $1,200,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2023-11-22 Listed $1,400,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2023-11-02 Listing Removed Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2023-09-01 Price Changed $1,500,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2023-07-21 Listed $1,600,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2022-11-27 Price Changed $1,390,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2022-08-20 Price Changed $1,550,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2022-07-25 Listed $1,499,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2021-09-23 Sold (Public Records) $985,000 Public Records
  • 2019-11-16 Listing Removed Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2019-04-27 Price Changed $449,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2019-04-16 Listing Removed Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2019-04-16 Listed $495,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2019-03-21 Listed $495,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2017-11-22 Sold (Public Records) $399,000 Public Records
  • 2017-11-16 Sold (MLS) $399,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2017-10-12 Sold (Public Records) $311,800 Public Records
  • 2017-10-11 Listed $299,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2017-10-10 Sold (MLS) $311,870 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2017-10-05 Pending Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2017-10-05 Pending Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2017-10-04 Relisted Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2017-10-04 Relisted Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2017-09-23 Pending Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2017-09-23 Pending Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2017-08-14 Listed $379,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2017-08-14 Listed $379,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2014-09-02 Listing Removed Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2014-07-05 Listed $399,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2011-10-31 Sold (Public Records) $250,000 Public Records
  • 2011-10-28 Listing Removed Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2011-10-28 Sold (MLS) $250,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2011-10-28 Listing Removed Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2010-09-15 Listed $267,500 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2010-09-15 Listed $267,500 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2010-09-15 Listed $267,500 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2010-05-26 Sold (MLS) $180,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2009-09-14 Listed $199,900 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2006-11-28 Listed $420,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2005-06-24 Listed $920,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid

Property tax history

+13.8%/yr

Latest (2025): $19,585 · -12.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…