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4535 Muris Ln 🏷️ Likely Rental
D+ Composite 45.33
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +15.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • 1% rule +5.0/10.0
  • DSCR +5.0/10.0
  • Livability +4.0/5.0
  • Schools +3.4/10.0
  • Rent growth +3.0/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$1,895

4535 Muris Ln · Pasco, WA 99301
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,382 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 19 Days on market
Built 2007 6,969 sqft lot $1/sqft · 99% below area

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

We do not accept 3rd party applications or viewing requests. 3 bed, 2 bath, 1382 sqft. house in West Pasco Interior: * Entry living room with bay window * Kitchen has lots of counter space with eat-at bar and pantry * Family room on the kitchen * Primary bedroom has attached bath and oversized closet * 2 additional bedrooms and 1 bathroom Exterior: * Attached 2 car garage * Concrete patio Additional Lease Information: 1 year lease term No Pets Deposit & Fees Include: $1,336 Refundable Deposit $269 Non-Refundable Inspection Fee $190 Non-Refundable Carpet Cleaning Fee Rental Terms Rent: $1,895 Application Fee: $49 Security Deposit: $1,895 Available 5/10/26 Pet Policy

Key facts

  • 6,969 sq ft lot
  • 2 garage spots
  • Built 2007

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…
🏷️ Possibly a rental listed for sale. The $1,895 price doesn't fit this home's estimated sale value (~$362,831) and the remarks read like a rental — treat the cards below with caution.

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $2k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $2k ($20k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $2k).
  • Recommended offer: $2k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 1049.9% vs local median 3.0% in Pasco — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 79/100 on livability (#104 in WA, #1,999 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime D+, schools D-.
  • Pasco School District (suburban): math 31% / reading 40% proficiency, ranked #242 of 291 in WA (top 83%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 61% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.0%/yr); 705 active listings in the ZIP; 13 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 21d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 981 units permitted in Franklin County in 2024 (517 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $13 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $57 of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Franklin County population projected at +50% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 2.0% rent growth), your $531 cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 19 days — a 2% lower offer ($2k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $1,866 (1.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  2. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  3. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  4. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
110.96%
Cap rate
1049.92%
Cash-on-cash
3727.24%
DSCR
166.84
GRM
0.1

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$362,831
List price
$1,895
Delta
-99.48%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
4539 Muris Ln 0.01mi 3/2.0 1,382 (0%) 2mo $379,900 $275 98
4405 Campolina Ln 0.11mi 3/2.0 1,436 (+4%) 7mo $400,000 $279 83
4115 Minorca Ln 0.34mi 3/2.0 1,382 (0%) 5mo $365,000 $264 80
8212 Quadra Dr 0.35mi 3/2.0 1,382 (0%) 6mo $300,000 $217 78
4614 Tamworth Ln 0.09mi 3/2.0 1,527 (+10%) 1mo $380,000 $249 78
4615 Clydesdale Ln 0.39mi 3/2.0 1,382 (0%) 6mo $399,000 $289 77
8608 Heathrow Ct 0.37mi 3/2.0 1,440 (+4%) 1mo $377,500 $262 75
9607 Palomino Dr 0.60mi 3/2.0 1,436 (+4%) 5mo $405,000 $282 61
9703 Percheron Dr 0.65mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,436 (+4%) 1mo $380,000 $265 58
7857 Coldwater Dr 0.56mi 3/2.0 1,507 (+9%) 1mo $460,000 $305 58
4206 Kitimat Ln 0.30mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,578 (+14%) 5mo $414,900 $263 54
10004 Sunset 0.56mi 3/2.0 1,586 (+15%) 3mo $490,310 $309 47

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 1.99% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
Equity multiple
194.32×
Total profit
$102,575
Equity at exit
$283
10-year hold
IRR
Equity multiple
408.28×
Total profit
$216,103
Equity at exit
$164

Cash invested: $531 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
28 Tenant-Leaning
State Washington
28 Tenant-Leaning · D+8
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Just-cause statewide (2021); Seattle layers rent control restrictions + relocation assistance; very tenant-friendly.

ZIP-level market 99301

Rents YoY
2.0%
Active inventory
705
Price-to-rent
0.1×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,103 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$10
Tax est. 1.5%
$2 /mo · $28/yr
Insurance
$1
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$442
Net cashflow
$1,648

Break-even live

Break-even rent $17
Max offer price $1,895
Occupancy floor 17%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$474
Closing costs
$57
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 13 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
4119 Bond Ln Pasco, WA 3.0 2.0 1382 $2,300 $1.66 20d 1 0.36mi
9315 Chapel Hill Blvd Pasco, WA 1.0–4.0 1.0–2.0 1015 $1,507 $1.48 13d 10 0.46mi
4519 Appaloosa Ln Pasco, WA 3.0 2.0 1616 $2,295 $1.42 20d 1 0.75mi
5801 Road 92 Pasco, WA 3.0 2.5 1449 $2,250 $1.55 13d 4 0.79mi
8011 Hudson Dr Pasco, WA 4.0 2.0 1480 $2,200 $1.49 43d 1 0.96mi
7820 Three Rivers Dr Pasco, WA 3.0 2.0 1440 $2,300 $1.60 20d 1 0.98mi
9417 Vincenzo Dr Pasco, WA 3.0 3.0 1675 $2,195 $1.31 43d 1 1.04mi
10305 Chapel Hill Blvd Pasco, WA 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 1045 $1,810 $1.73 13d 8 1.04mi
9904 Mia Ln Pasco, WA 3.0 2.5 1509 $1,950 $1.29 20d 1 1.16mi
6102 Road 68 Pasco, WA 2.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 1007 $1,548 $1.54 13d 4 1.23mi
6212 Road 68 Pasco, WA 2.0 2.0 953 $1,546 $1.62 13d 20 1.29mi
6626 Chapel Hill Blvd Pasco, WA 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 1191 $2,100 $1.76 13d 19 1.44mi
6701 W Argent Rd Pasco, WA 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 1014 $1,795 $1.77 20d 3 1.49mi

Listing history 3 events

  1. 2026-05-10
    historical $1,895
  2. 2026-05-07
    listed $1,895
  3. 2026-05-07
    listed $1,895 Active 783-char remark

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥99°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 7/10 Severe 9 unhealthy d/yr today · 11 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$25,233
− Mortgage interest
−$106
− Property taxes
−$28
− Insurance
−$9
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,019
− Management
−$2,019
− Depreciation
−$55
Taxable income
$20,996
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$5,039
After-tax cash flow
$14,738/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Pasco School District
NCES district ID
5306570
Math proficiency
31% ▬ 0.00%
Reading proficiency
40% ▬ 0.00%
Median HH income
$54,454
Composite
33.78/100
National rank
#10401
State rank
#242 of 291 in WA

Livability — Pasco

Score
79/100
State rank
#104
US rank
#1999

Category grades

Amenities B- Commute A+ Cost of living B Crime D+ Employment C+ Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings C-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Pasco, WA
County
Franklin County · 87,044 people
City population
87,044
Metro
Kennewick-Richland, WA
Population (ZIP)
87,044
Household income
$87,951
Rent vs Own
28.6% rent · 71.4% own
Severe rent burden
1556.0

Population outlook (Franklin County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
108,530 people
By 2030
118,705 · +9.4%
By 2040
140,053 · +29.0%
By 2050
162,360 · +49.6%
By 2075
217,667 · +100.6%
By 2100
264,533 · +143.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.56)
Race & ethnicity
Hispanic / Latino 55% White 37% Two or more races 22% Black 2% Asian 2% Native American 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 51%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 2% Italian 2% Portuguese 2%
Foreign-born
21% · Canada, Vietnam
Languages at home
49% English-only · Spanish 47% Russian/Polish/Slavic 2% Other Asian/Pacific 0%

Political lean MEDSL · Franklin

2024 margin
Strong R (+22.7) · D 37.4% · R 60.1% · Other 2.4%
2008→2024 swing
+1.0pp toward D · 2008: -23.7pp · 2024: -22.7pp
All cycles
2024: R+22.7 2020: R+14.5 2016: R+17.1 2012: R+25.2 2008: R+23.7

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -331.74%
Current HPI
284.481
Rent YoY
▲ 1.99%
Metro
Kennewick-Richland, WA
State GDP YoY
▲ 4.65%
F500 in state
22

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in WA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+0.0% since first listed
2 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-10 Rental Removed $1,895 APPFOLIO
  • 2026-05-07 Listed for Rent $1,895 APPFOLIO

Property tax history

+5.1%/yr

Latest (2026): $3,136 · +3.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…