1380 Detroit St · Elgin, OR
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $498 – $926
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 94°F)
- 8 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 18 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 7/10 · Major
- Unhealthy air days now
- 9 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 11 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +15.7/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +4.8/10.0
- 1% rule +4.5/10.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Schools +3.6/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$187,200
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Spacious Daylight Ranch on corner lot in Elgin, Oregon! 5 bedroom daylight ranch featuring spacious living areas and a functional daylight basement floorplan. Attached garage plus detached garage - great for parking, storage or workshop space. Flexible layout ideal for multi-generational living or guests. Come see for yourself what makes this Elgin home and lifestyle so special!
Key facts
- Flexible layout
- Corner lot
- Detached garage
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 5-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $187k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $81 ($969/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $177k (5.3% below list).
- Recommended offer: $170k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 73/100 on livability (#98 in OR) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime A; Watch: health & safety C-, schools D+, employment D+.
- Elgin SD 23 (rural): math 30% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #114 of 183 in OR (top 62%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 35 active listings in the ZIP; 38 units permitted in Union County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Union County population projected to shrink 9% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 117 days — a 9% lower offer ($170k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts since 6y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $101k (35%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 117 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1965 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.95% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.81%
- Cash-on-cash
- 1.85%
- DSCR
- 1.08
- GRM
- 8.8
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $230,716
- List price
- $187,200
- Delta
- -18.86%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 7 within 1.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -13.3%
- Equity multiple
- 0.52×
- Total profit
- $-25,149
- Equity at exit
- $27,912
- IRR
- -4.4%
- Equity multiple
- 0.71×
- Total profit
- $-15,102
- Equity at exit
- $16,186
Cash invested: $52,416 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 28 Tenant-Leaning
- State Oregon
- 28 Tenant-Leaning · D+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 97827
- Home prices YoY
- -28.6%
- Active inventory
- 35
- Price-to-rent
- 8.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,773 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$982
- Tax from tax record
- −$261 /mo · $3,127/yr
- Insurance
- −$78
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$372
- Net cashflow
- $81
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $46,800
- Closing costs
- $5,616
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 23 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $187,200 Active 117 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $187,200 Active 116 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $187,200 Active 115 DOM
-
2026-06-16remarks 393-char remark
-
2026-06-16price $187,200 Active 114 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $216,000 Active 114 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $216,000 Active 112 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $216,000 Active 111 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $216,000 Active 108 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $216,000 Active 107 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $216,000 Active 106 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $216,000 Active 104 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $216,000 Active 102 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $216,000 Active 101 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $216,000 Active 100 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $216,000 Active 99 DOM
-
2026-05-13price $216,000 381-char remark
Show marketing remark (381 chars)
Spacious Daylight Ranch on corner lot in Elgin, Oregon! 5 bedroom daylight ranch featuring spacious living areas and a functional daylight basement floorplan. Attached garage plus detached garage - great for parking, storage or workshop space. Flexible layout ideal for multi-generational living or guests. Come see for yourself what makes this Elgin home and lifestyle so special!
-
2026-04-11price $244,800 381-char remark
Show marketing remark (381 chars)
Spacious Daylight Ranch on corner lot in Elgin, Oregon! 5 bedroom daylight ranch featuring spacious living areas and a functional daylight basement floorplan. Attached garage plus detached garage - great for parking, storage or workshop space. Flexible layout ideal for multi-generational living or guests. Come see for yourself what makes this Elgin home and lifestyle so special!
-
2026-02-21$288,000 Active 381-char remark
Show marketing remark (381 chars)
Spacious Daylight Ranch on corner lot in Elgin, Oregon! 5 bedroom daylight ranch featuring spacious living areas and a functional daylight basement floorplan. Attached garage plus detached garage - great for parking, storage or workshop space. Flexible layout ideal for multi-generational living or guests. Come see for yourself what makes this Elgin home and lifestyle so special!
-
2020-12-22soldstatus $242,000
-
2020-12-21soldstatus $242,000 Sold 494-char remark
Show marketing remark (494 chars)
Completely quality remodeled 2 level daylite home 2430 sf, m/l with 5 bedrooms and 2 bathrooms in a quiet friendly neighborhood. A great view of Mt Harris home in Elgin, Oregon. Large open floor plan on main level w/beautiful tile floors. Daylited lower level has large tiled floors, 3 bedrooms, large utility room & workshop/storage room. There is an attached garage w/detached single car garage w/extra RV parking area. Fenced large back yard ready for your touches. Call now to view.
-
2020-10-14status Pending 494-char remark
Show marketing remark (494 chars)
Completely quality remodeled 2 level daylite home 2430 sf, m/l with 5 bedrooms and 2 bathrooms in a quiet friendly neighborhood. A great view of Mt Harris home in Elgin, Oregon. Large open floor plan on main level w/beautiful tile floors. Daylited lower level has large tiled floors, 3 bedrooms, large utility room & workshop/storage room. There is an attached garage w/detached single car garage w/extra RV parking area. Fenced large back yard ready for your touches. Call now to view.
-
2020-09-02$249,000 Active 494-char remark
Show marketing remark (494 chars)
Completely quality remodeled 2 level daylite home 2430 sf, m/l with 5 bedrooms and 2 bathrooms in a quiet friendly neighborhood. A great view of Mt Harris home in Elgin, Oregon. Large open floor plan on main level w/beautiful tile floors. Daylited lower level has large tiled floors, 3 bedrooms, large utility room & workshop/storage room. There is an attached garage w/detached single car garage w/extra RV parking area. Fenced large back yard ready for your touches. Call now to view.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast OR · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $3,127 · $261/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $3,127 · $261/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 6/10 Major
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 8 d/yr ≥94°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 7/10 Severe 9 unhealthy d/yr today · 11 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $21,282
- − Mortgage interest
- −$10,486
- − Property taxes
- −$3,127
- − Insurance
- −$936
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,703
- − Management
- −$1,703
- − Depreciation
- −$5,446
- Taxable loss
- −$2,119
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$508
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,477/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Elgin SD 23
- NCES district ID
- 4104590
- Math proficiency
- 30% ▬ 0.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 50% ▲ 5.00%
- Median HH income
- $41,951
- Composite
- 36.11/100
- National rank
- #9488
- State rank
- #114 of 183 in OR
Livability — Elgin
- Score
- 73/100
- State rank
- #98
- US rank
- #5083
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Elgin, OR
- Population (ZIP)
- 2,557
Population outlook (Union County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 25,207 people
- By 2030
- 24,794 · -1.6%
- By 2040
- 23,658 · -6.1%
- By 2050
- 22,897 · -9.2%
- By 2075
- 20,885 · -17.1%
- By 2100
- 17,841 · -29.2%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (92%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 92% Two or more races 4% Hispanic / Latino 2% Asian 2% Pacific Islander 1%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 7% Lithuanian 2% Slovak 2%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada, South Korea
- Languages at home
- 98% English-only · Other Asian/Pacific 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Union
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+40.6) · D 28.1% · R 68.7% · Other 3.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -17.0pp toward R · 2008: -23.6pp · 2024: -40.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+40.6 2020: R+40.4 2016: R+41.4 2012: R+30.8 2008: R+23.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -85.14%
- Current HPI
- 212.464
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.05%
- F500 in state
- 2
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OR)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Consumer Goods | 1 | $51B |
|
||
Price history
-13.3% since first listed7 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-13 Price Changed $216,000 RMLS
- 2026-04-11 Price Changed $244,800 RMLS
- 2026-02-21 Listed $288,000 RMLS
- 2020-12-22 Sold (Public Records) $242,000 Public Records
- 2020-12-21 Sold (MLS) $242,000 RMLS
- 2020-10-14 Pending — RMLS
- 2020-09-02 Listed $249,000 RMLS
Property tax history
+3.1%/yrLatest (2025): $3,127 · +3.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…